Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTY MISS KEENS Sep02         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 ★    
SCR  DOWNTOWN MISCHIEF         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 ★    
3  MISS FASHIONISTA         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 34% 1.90    
4  BANTERRA Sep02 Jul27       (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.00 42% 1.40    
5  CLOVER STREET         (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00 ★    
6  VAX         (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 119 4.50    
7  REIGN OF THUNDER Sep05         (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 20.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/01/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENORA LOCA         (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
SCR  JUNIPERMARSHMALLOW         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
3  NYXED         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
4  LA VITA SOFIA Aug28         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00 ★    
5  JUSTIFIABLE BELLE Aug28         (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 28% 2.50    
6  FREYDIS THE RED (FR) Sep04 Jul31       (mcpeek kenneth)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  HOLA GATA Aug21 Jul24       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  IDEA GENERATION (IRE) Sep01 Jul24       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
9  RIVER OAKS         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/01/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNABOUT Sep14 Aug21 Aug10 May14 Apr01 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 28% 2.60    
2  LOST IN ROME Sep01 Jul28 Jun30 May29 Apr09 (rodriguez gust)ROSARIO JOEL 121 2.00 ★    
SCR  OUR PHILLY SPECIAL Sep06 Jul06 May19 Apr05 Mar15 (servis tyler)ORTIZ L 121 2.50 17% 4.90    
4  TAPIZEARANCE Aug05 Jul04 May21 Apr16 Mar26 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 16% 5.10    
5  AMERICAN LINCOLN Sep03 Jul10 Jun25 May28 Apr30 (romer)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 10.00    
6  INVEST Aug05 May21 Apr28 Mar19 Feb24 (shi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 10.00 16% 5.20    
7  MANIFEST DESTINY Aug31 Aug17 Jul09 Jun18 Mar04 (younghans wi)HOWELL TALBERT 121 20.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALO CITY Sep04 Aug14 Jun23 May27 May06 (lynch nat)VARGAS A 122 10.00 ★    
2  BEES AND HONEY Sep01 Jul09 Jun04 Apr15   (mcgaughey cla)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 14% 6.30    
3  FLASHNDYNAMITE Aug04 Jul12 Jul04 Jun06 Apr29 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 15.00 9% 9.90    
4  BRATTLE HOUSE Aug14 Jun12 May05     (mott william)CASTELLANO J 126 1.00 47% 1.10    
5  VEGAS WEEKEND Feb18         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50    
SCR  HONEY MONEY Aug14 Jul20 Jun23 May22 May08 (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00 8% 11.20    
SCR  LOVE AND LOVE Aug15 May30 Apr29 Mar27   (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/01/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASCAIS         (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
SCR  INFLATIONARY         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 ★    
3  MOUNT UP         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 26% 2.90    
4  LIMITS OF POWER         (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 ★    
5  MAGIADORO         (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
6  TOWN SQUARE         (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
SCR  HINENI         (zito nic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  FULL MOON MADNESS Sep03 Jul23       (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
BAQ-6   10/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HUDSON OVERPASS Sep04 Jul09 Jun12     (gross)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 50.00    
SCR  KING MOONRACER Sep03 Aug10 Jul14 Jun17   (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00    
3  BOX OF JOE Jun17 May21 Apr29 Apr08 Feb26 (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 118 30.00    
SCR  FRANK'S ART Sep04 Aug10 Jul09     (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
5  GOLQUIST Sep04 Aug10 Jul08 Jun18 May21 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 6% 14.70    
6  BOLD JOURNEY Aug27 Jul31 Apr01 Mar05 Feb12 (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 10.00 7% 13.70    
7  SHERIFF BIANCO Sep04 Jul17 Jul09 May21   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  SELL SOMETHING Aug18 Jul29 Jun23 May28 Apr29 (sciacca gar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 50.00    
SCR  MISTER CHAIRMAN Sep03 Jul30 May13     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00    
10  COURAGEOOUS OH LA Sep04 Aug13 Jul28 Jul09 Jun18 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 118 10.00    
11  TWO DOWN Aug13 Jul17 May28 May13   (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
12  WAR TERMINATOR Aug10         (thomas jonath)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 9% 9.70    
SCR  ATHENRY Sep04 Jul17 Jun17 Apr24   (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00    
14  FENWAY Jul08         (sciacca gary)RIDER TBA 123 6.00    
15  STORM SHOOTER Sep18 Sep04 Jul28 May27 May21 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50    
 
BAQ-7   10/01/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFE IS GOOD Aug06 Jul02 Jan29     (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 126 0.11 59% 0.70    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BEACH WALK by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  LAW PROFESSOR Sep01 Apr02 Mar05 Feb05   (atras rob)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 8% 12.30    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of HAUNTED HEROINE by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  THOMAS SHELBY Sep10 Jul09 May01 Mar19 Feb12 (jacobson david)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00 10% 8.90    
  (by CURLIN out of HARRIETT LANE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  KEEPMEINMIND Sep03 Jul22       (pletcher todd )ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 ★    
  (by LAOBAN out of INCLINATION by VICTORY GALLOP)
5  INFORMATIVE Aug20 Jul23 Jun11 May07   (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 15.00 ★    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of LUCKY BLACK by HARD SPUN)
 
BAQ-8   10/01/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 YIELDING Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEORGEES SPIRIT Sep01 Jul21       (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 ★    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of MARCH ON by WAKI BOB)
2  FREE LOOK Sep04 Jul31       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.80 17% 5.00    
  (by TAPIT out of WILD MINT by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  PLEASANT PASSAGE Aug21         (mcgaughey cla)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 11% 7.90    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of PEACEFUL PASSAGE by WAR FRONT)
4  ALLURING ANGEL (GB) Sep13 Aug04       (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 ★    
  (by FASTNET ROCK out of ALL OF ME by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  IM JUST KIDDIN Aug12 Jul15       (kimmel c)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of KHANCORD KID by LEMON DROP KID)
6  BE YOUR BEST (IRE) Sep01 Jul31       (de horacio)ORTIZ L 122 1.20 44% 1.30    
  (by MUHAARAR out of KAMAKURA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
BAQ-9   10/01/2022 3960ft TURF RC5 YIELDING Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOBLE EMOTION Aug27 Jul29 Jun19     (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of EMOTIONAL WORDS by CURLIN)
2  ARZAK Sep10 Aug05 Jul02 May15 Apr17 (trombetta mic)ORTIZ JR 126 4.00 32% 2.20    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DELIGHTFUL MELODY by TAPIT)
SCR  NOTHING BETTER Sep05 Aug14 Jun17 May22   (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 124 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ONE TRUE LOVE by DUKE OF MARMALADE)
4  SEVEN SCENTS Aug31 Aug07 Jun22 May21 Apr24 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of FOREVER VOW by BROKEN VOW)
5  YES AND YES Sep06 Aug05 Jul15 Jun23 Jun09 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00    
  (by SIDNEY'S CANDY out of ABERDEEN ALLEY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  VOODOO ZIP Sep02 Jul02 May29 Apr22   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00 9% 10.30    
  (by CITY ZIP out of MOONSHINE MAGIC by BLUEGRASS CAT)
7  THIN WHITE DUKE Sep02 Aug05 Jul28 Jul02 Jun03 (donk david)ORTIZ L 124 4.50    
  (by DOMINUS out of ABERDEEN ALLEY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  VALUE PROPOSITION (GB) Apr30 Apr09 Jan08     (goodman gedalia)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DANSILI (GB) out of DASH TO THE FRONT (GB) by DIKTAT (GB))
SCR  FAUCI Sep02 Jul29 Jul04 Jun09 May12 (antonacci phil)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 15.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  DANCING BUCK Sep02 Jul29 Jun16 May05 Apr07 (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 ★    
  (by WAR DANCER out of FRIVOLOUS BUCK by CATIENUS)
11  CHEWING GUM Sep10 Jul23 Jan01     (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 126 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SHARED HEART by FORESTRY)
12  SCUTTLEBUZZ Aug23 Jul15 Jun11 Apr30   (rodriguez rudy )CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of ELUSIVE RUMOUR by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  GREELEY AND BEN Sep04 Jul02 Jun04 Apr24 Mar19 (englehart jeffrey)RIDER TBA 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by GREELEY'S CONQUEST out of TRACI'S WILD by LANGFUHR)
 
BAQ-10   10/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 2 ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANDIAMO A FIRENZE Aug26 Jul16 Jun03     (breen j)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 ★    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of MY EVERY WISH by LANGFUHR)
2  TOP RECRUIT Aug14 Jul09 Jun09     (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 10% 9.40    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of OH SO BELLA by AFLEET ALEX)
3  VERIFYING Aug27         (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
  (by JUSTIFY out of DIVA DELITE by REPENT)
4  CHAMPIONS DREAM Sep03         (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 ★    
  (by JUSTIFY out of DANCINGINHERDREAMS by TAPIT)
5  BLAZING SEVENS Sep05 Jul24       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of TROPHY GIRL by TALC)
6  GULFPORT Sep05 Aug13 Jul04 Jun10   (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 26% 2.80    
  (by UNCLE MO out of FAME AND FORTUNE by WESTERN FAME)
 
BAQ-11   10/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTIVATING CARA Aug26 Jun25 May28 Apr30 Mar25 (friedman mit)HARKIE K 121 20.00    
2  BROOKLYN HEIGHTS Aug29 Jul12 Jun29 Jun07 May16 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 20.00    
3  KANT HURRY LOVE Aug26         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
4  SILVER FIST Sep23 Aug26 Jul22 Jun28 May28 (lawrence james )CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
5  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER Sep15 Aug13 Jul21 Jul03 May30 (cash russell)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 ★    
6  CARBON Mar20         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 7% 14.20    
7  TELLAPERFECTTALE Jul05 May28 Apr25 Mar31 Mar04 (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00 ★    
8  RIBOT'S VALENTINE Sep05 Jan08       (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  LIBERTY FLAME Jun19 May28 Apr23 Apr02   (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 12.00    
10  PATRIA Aug26 Jul29 May06 Apr08 Mar13 (salazar marco)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.