Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - September 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BAQ-1   09/24/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMPOINT Sep02 Aug06 Jul09 Jun10 May21 (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
STAND UNITED Aug26         (clarke d)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
A LISTER May06 Apr22 Mar19 Feb12   (pringle edmun)CASTILLO AMIN 120 30.00    
VALENTINO'S HERE Sep02         (brown)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 30.00    
URAGANO Aug18 Jul15 May30 May06 Apr08 (breen j)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00    
EXCURSIONNISTE Sep02 Aug06 Jul09 May21 Apr24 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
KIYOMORI         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00    
SILENT RUNNING Aug17 Jun30 Apr22 Feb05   (bond j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00    
 
BAQ-2   09/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIR SHOW Aug24 Jul23 Jul02 Jun04 May08 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.50    
BINGO JOHN May29 May14 Apr28 Mar31 Feb20 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 15.00    
ARRIO         (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 26% 2.90    
SPECTATORLESS Jul22 Jul04 Jun16 May28 May05 (pringle edmun)CASTILLO AMIN 122 12.00    
CORKMAN Sep05 Aug24 Jul15 May29 Apr30 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50    
WILL E SUTTON Aug31 Jul15 Jun17 May06 Mar19 (kantarmaci mer)ORTIZ L 124 8.00    
KINETIC SKY Aug10         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.40 43% 1.30    
 
BAQ-3   09/24/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($175K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN A HURRY Sep10 Aug16 Jul16 May21 Apr23 (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50    
  (by BLAME out of SCAMPERING by AFLEET ALEX)
EVVIE JETS Jul27 Jul10 Jun12 May15   (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 122 5.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
LOVE AND THUNDER (IRE) Aug07 Jul03 May15     (brown c)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 10% 9.20    
  (by SIYOUNI (FR) out of PRETTY PAPER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
TASS (GB) Sep07 Jul27 Jun24 Jun10 May13 (martin carlos )LEZCANO JOSE 124 12.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of MASASI by MORE THAN READY)
KALIFORNIA QUEEN (GER)         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.20 18% 4.60    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA (IRE) out of KALDERA by SINNDAR (IRE))
SCR  W W FITZY Sep01 Aug04 Jun12 May06 Apr01 (morley thomas)RIDER TBA 122 0.20 38% 1.60    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of STORMY FITZ by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
BAQ-4   09/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3 ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILIPO Aug24 Aug03 May20 Apr14 Feb25 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
HAGLER Aug03 May26 Apr08 Feb06 Jan01 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
FUNNY JOKE Aug28 Jul04 Jun05 Mar13   (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60    
SUPERSONIC Aug25         (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.50 25% 2.90    
PRINTRACK Aug03 Jul18 Jun22 Mar13 Feb25 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 5.00 45% 1.20    
BE THE BOSS Sep01 Aug10 Jul17 Jun21 Jun06 (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 118 4.50    
MUST BE LOVE Aug27 Aug03 Jun25 Jun09 May26 (rodriguez g)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTIN BAY Sep02 Aug18 Jul15 Jun19 May13 (arriaga anton)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 15% 5.60    
VALLELUJAH Aug13 Jul17 Jun11 May08 Apr14 (davis ro)DAVIS A 118 12.00    
SISTER LINDA Jul25 Jun24 May30     (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.50    
LET HER INSPIRE U Aug26 Jul22 Jun16     (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.60 48% 1.10    
WAILIN JOSIE Sep02 Jul15 Jun17 May20 Apr08 (jerke)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
SUNSET LOUISE Aug17 Jun24 Jan06     (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 8% 11.40    
CARAGATE Aug18 Jul21 Jun24 May27 Apr09 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/24/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAT FLIP Aug20 Jul24       (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 4.00    
SCR  CHIRINGO Aug07         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.00    
GLOBAL SURPRISE Aug27         (avila carl)CANCEL ERIC 119 2.50 49% 1.00    
UNCLE DAN Aug18         (martin f)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
NAGIRROC Aug22         (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
RUTHERFORD         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00    
HAPPY CAT         (duart)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00    
PAROS         (jerkens j)VARGAS A 119 20.00    
MULLINGAR Aug06 Jul23       (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00    
DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) Aug14 Jul30 Jul01     (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  SHEA ON THE LAM Sep03 Aug13       (david ca)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATCHING CUPID Aug11 Jul14 Jun09     (bak)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
JOEY LOOSE LIPS Aug19         (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 121 15.00    
SCR  FAST N FEARIOUS Aug13 Jul14 Jul01 Jun17 May27 (brown br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.80 63% 0.60    
LEDDY Aug03         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 6% 14.70    
DOCTOR LOVE (FR) Aug27 Aug14 Jul24 Jun22 May19 (clarke d)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
CATHEDRAL BEACH Aug24 Aug03 Jun03 May07 Mar20 (lynch natalia)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 5% 18.20    
DRINK THE WIND Sep03 Aug10 Jul21 Jul03 Jun12 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50    
 
BAQ-8   09/24/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMBOITE (IRE) Aug28 Aug17 Jul24 Jul02 May29 (maker j)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.50    
1A  HILLIARD Sep05 Jun30 Jun05 Apr16   (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.50    
DANZIGWITHTHESTARS Aug25 Jul15 Jun19 May20 Apr16 (schettino domin)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
CELESTIAL CITY Sep03 Aug05 Jul02 May29 May05 (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 15% 5.60    
TRANSACTIONAL (GB) Aug19         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
SCR  MASTEROFTHESENATE Aug01         (toner)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 15.00    
SCR  KLICKITAT Sep17 May15       (rice lind)VARGAS A 124 8.00 10% 8.70    
CAUSIN' MAYHEM Aug21 Jul24 Jun03 Mar12   (pletcher to)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 7% 12.50    
AL'S ROCKET Aug13 Jun11 May07 Apr09   (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
SCR  CRYO Aug28 Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 May30 (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 122 1.60 11% 8.30    
SCR  BOLD VICTORY Sep05 Aug28 Jul30 Jul02 Jun16 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
BAQ-9   09/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANEJO Aug26 Aug06 May29 May01 Apr02 (o'neill doug)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
BEST IDEA Aug20 Jul18 May30 May01 Mar13 (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 120 3.00 30% 2.40    
NICKY THE VEST         (thomas jona)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS Aug06 Jun26 May14 Apr16 Mar19 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00    
THERISASTORMBREWIN Aug12 Jul10 May29 Apr28 Mar26 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00    
BAR FOURTEEN Aug03 Jul15 Jun19 May20 May01 (sciac)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 20.00    
KEY POINT Aug26 May12 Apr01     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
MONTEBELLO Aug26 Jun30 May12     (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00    
BIG BOBBY Aug26 Jul30 Jun16 Jan01   (mott )DIAZ RAFAEL 122 15.00 5% 17.70    
 
BAQ-10   09/24/2022 5940ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACTION JACKSON Aug06         (abreu jo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 30.00    
JERRY THE NIPPER Aug26 Jul02 May15 Apr22 Mar27 (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 6% 14.80    
COLD HARD CASH Aug27 Jul28 Jul09     (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00    
CROSS BORDER Aug27 Jul31 May30 Apr02 Jan29 (brion keri)ORTIZ L 124 4.50    
CITY MAN Sep05 Jul15 May30 May07 Apr09 (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 1.40 20% 4.00    
SANCTUARY CITY Sep03 Jul31 Jul15 Jun18 May30 (ferraro james)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50    
ADVANCED STRATEGY Jul09 May30       (antonacci phili)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00    
SCR  BANKIT Aug26 Aug12 Feb19     (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 126 1.80 46% 1.20    
SCR  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Aug26 Jul28 Jun24 May30 May08 (schosberg richard)RIDER TBA 122 3.00    
 
BAQ-11   09/24/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FALSE HOPE Aug12 Jun16 May21 Apr24 Feb26 (schettino do)SAMUEL L 120 20.00    
FROSTY INVASION Aug31 Aug03 Jun24 May12 Feb26 (schettino dominic)LUZZI J 120 20.00    
JANNIE MAE Aug12 Jul17 Jun17     (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00    
MOULY Sep04 Jun30 Jun10 May22   (duggan p)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
CAPITAL GAL Aug11 Jun24 May08 Apr23 Mar25 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 18% 4.60    
BIZZY IZZY         (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 30.00 5% 18.10    
SKYWARD PRINCESS Aug05 Jul17 Jun04     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
KUKARO Aug31 Aug05       (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
OAK LOVES A FIGHT Aug12 Jul17 Jun26 Jun16 May30 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
10  ACE UP HER SLEEVE Aug12 Aug03       (klesaris )VARGAS A 120 12.00    
SCR  LATEST EDITION Aug12 Jun26 May30     (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 15% 5.90    
SCR  BOURBON DIVERSION Aug31 Jan13       (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50    
SCR  SO ARE YOU Aug31 Jul06 Jun15     (meadow e)USKE S 124 30.00    
SCR  HONOR STAR Aug31 Jul31       (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 20.00    
SCR  LACEY UNDERALL         (jerkens j)VARGAS A 120 10.00 15% 5.90    
SCR  MY CARA MIA MINE Sep03 Aug20 Jul23 Feb05   (friedman mi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00 18% 4.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.