Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - September 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   09/23/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAY STACK Aug21         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 49% 1.00    
2  JUST A SPLASH (IRE)         (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 ★    
3  LA CHANCE Sep01 Aug08 Jul15 Jun14   (rohena rafa)CAMILO D 119 50.00    
4  MISINTENTION Sep04 Jul31       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
5  IMPLICATED Aug17         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
6  KEEP IT SEXY         (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00    
7  AGUA DULCE (GB)         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
8  SUMMERTIME FUN Sep04         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
9  INVEST WISELY Aug07         (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 6.00 6% 16.40    
10  MADEMOISELLEJACKIE Aug28         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 ★    
 
BAQ-2   09/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET AS SUGAR Aug15 Jul13 Jun14 May16   (englehart jeremia)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 34% 1.90    
2  BOSS CARA Aug07 Jun18 May27 Apr28 Mar31 (romero jesus)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.50 8% 12.20    
3  BELLS ON HER TOES Aug17 Jul27 Jun12 May13 Feb26 (metivier richar)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00 ★    
4  BASTET Aug28 Jul27 Jun03 May06 Feb24 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00    
5  LONDON GOLD Jun04 May06 Apr22 Apr07 Mar27 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 120 30.00    
6  DAME CINCO Aug11 Apr28       (camejo m)ROSARIO JOEL 123 1.80 13% 6.60    
7  BEAUTIFUL KAREN Aug06 Mar25 Feb27 Feb06   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50 24% 3.10    
8  FROSTED WILD RIDE Feb24 Jan28 Jan14     (rohena rafa)CAMILO D 118 20.00    
 
BAQ-3   09/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TODAY'S FLAVOR         (o'neill doug)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.20 49% 1.00    
2  MIDNIGHT EXPRESS         (klesaris st)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 20.00    
3  REFUAH Jul03 May27 Apr29 Apr02 Feb12 (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 ★    
4  CENTRAL PRIDE Jul30 May21 Apr28 Feb12 Jan22 (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 121 10.00 ★    
5  CONQUIST Sep02 Aug06 Jun30 Jun09   (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 121 8.00 ★    
6  BALDIZAR         (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
7  OCEAN'S RESERVE Jul28 Jul03 Jun09 May14   (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 121 1.60 23% 3.40    
 
BAQ-4   09/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHO HOO THATS ME Aug26 Jul08 May30 Apr24   (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 34% 2.00    
2  FOOLISH GHOST Sep03 Jul04       (rodriguez rudy )CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50 17% 5.00    
3  EXCELLENT TIMING Aug26         (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50    
4  JADE'S DREAM Sep04 Jul15 Jun19 May20 Apr07 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 123 20.00    
5  QUICK RETURN Aug17 Jul28 Jun22 May12 Apr28 (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00    
6  MAJORITY PARTNER Aug27 Jul14 Apr30 Mar12   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 10% 9.40    
7  UNIQUE UNIONS Jul31 Jul08 Jun11 Apr23 Jan09 (schosberg richard)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
8  BIG ENGINE Sep04 Jul30 Jul04 May21 Apr21 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00 7% 12.70    
SCR  BIG BOBBY Aug26 Jul30 Jun16 Jan01   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 15.00 8% 11.80    
 
BAQ-5   09/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOLCE SERA Aug12 Jul04 Jun25 Jun09 May13 (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 120 50.00    
2  BEACHFRONT BID Aug19 Jun25 May14 Apr08 Feb27 (albertrani tho)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 22% 3.50    
3  TIZZY IN THE SKY Aug25 Jul01       (camejo m)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
4  INTO HAPPINESS Jan14         (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
5  WINTER MISCHIEF         (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 ★    
6  INVENTING Jul28 Jun11 May06 Apr02   (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
7  MATTAPOISETT Jul27 Jul01       (mott william)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
SCR  POUT Aug12         (zito nic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 30.00    
9  SIGNAL FROM NOISE         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 ★    
 
BAQ-6   09/23/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KID EMERALD         (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
SCR  TWENTY SIX BLACK Jul27         (de horacio)ORTIZ L 119 4.50    
3  BLUE SOLDIER Aug10 Jul26       (rohena rafa)CAMILO D 119 20.00    
4  EYE WITNESS         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 17% 4.80    
5  BE OF COURAGE         (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 30.00    
6  KING OF COMEDY Aug10         (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
7  DR. SETTLE'S DREAM         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
8  ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA Aug10         (serpe m)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 5% 19.00    
9  FIRE KING Aug04         (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 17% 5.00    
10  WHO ME Aug04 Jul08       (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
11  CHASIN' YOU Sep04         (lynch natalia)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
SCR  DISARMED Sep04 Jul27       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 19% 4.40    
SCR  TATER AND TOT Sep04         (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
SCR  JOYFUL GHOST         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
SCR  UNCLE MARTY Sep05 Aug04       (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 4.00    
SCR  NOBILIS Sep05         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 1.80 24% 3.10    
 
BAQ-7   09/23/2022 7260ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEARCH FOR TRUTH         (dickinson m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00 13% 6.70    
2  PARQUETRY Sep05 Aug10 Jul16 Jun18 May05 (tagg barclay)CANCEL ERIC 120 30.00    
3  MO REWARDS Aug17 Jul16       (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
4  C FALLS Aug25 Jul30 Jul02 May15 Apr29 (casse w)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
5  CONSTITUTIONLAWYER Aug13 Jul16 Jun03 Apr02 Feb05 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
6  FIGHTER IN THE WIN Jul22 Jun18       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
7  ORCHESTRATION Jul30         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
8  SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY Aug28 Jul30 Jul02 May06 Apr08 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 ★    
9  AIRMAN Jul30 Mar12       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00    
10  ANALOGY Aug17 Jul16 Jun18 Apr23 Mar12 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
SCR  SMALL HOPE Sep04 Aug07 Jul10 Jun08 Apr24 (sweezey kent)LEZCANO JOSE 124 12.00    
SCR  CRYO Aug28 Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 May30 (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 122 2.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  BOLD VICTORY Sep05 Aug28 Jul30 Jul02 Jun16 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
SCR  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Aug26 Jul28 Jun24 May30 May08 (schosberg ric)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 18% 4.60    
 
BAQ-8   09/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 2 F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SMALL PEBBLES Aug22         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 15.00    
2  SECURITY CODE Sep02 Aug10       (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  WARSAICHI Sep05 Aug22       (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  LADY MINE Aug26 Jul15 Jun25 Jun03   (chapman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 ★    
5  LES BON TEMPS Aug26 Jul04 May26     (maker michael )ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
6  GAMBLING GIRL Aug24 Jul27 Jun25     (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 ★    
7  MIRACLE Aug26 Jul27       (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00 22% 3.50    
 
BAQ-9   09/23/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER FIST Aug26 Jul22 Jun28 May28 Mar27 (lawrence ja)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
2  LISA'S VISION Aug26 Jul20 Jun04 Apr22   (abreu r)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 ★    
3  FLIP MY ID Jul29 Jun11 Apr14 Jan22   (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 20.00    
SCR  AUNT VIRGINIA Aug26 Jul20 Jun02     (rodriguez gusta)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
5  SILKEN DOLLAR Aug17 Jul29 Jun19 May30 May07 (schosberg richard)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
6  SARATOGA GAZE Jun26         (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
7  BUSTIN BULLET Aug28 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 May21 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
8  RIGBY Aug13 Jul14 Jun17 May14 Jan19 (serpe philip )FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
9  BLAME IT ON MARY Aug26 Jul29 Jun11 Apr30 Apr03 (barker r)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00    
10  BUSY MORNING Aug18 Jun25 May12     (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 18% 4.60    
11  SINFULLY SWEET Aug12 Jul23 May30 Apr22   (casse mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00    
SCR  MASTEROF THE TUNES Aug12 Jul17 Jun25 May14 Apr14 (lee joseph)ORTIZ L 123 10.00    
SCR  DUFRESNE Aug12 Jul20 Jul02 Jun11 May14 (trombetta micha)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
SCR  TIS A PITY Jul29 Jun12 May22     (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  GLITTERING PRIZE (FR) Aug03 May07 Mar25 Jan23   (bond james)RIDER TBA 118 12.00    
SCR  KANT HURRY LOVE Aug26         (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 120 2.00 12% 7.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.