Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(2/6/1)-(4/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CD-2   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(3/7/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-3   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(3/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(3/7/1/6)-(3/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-4   WIN (3/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/1/6)-(3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1/6)-(3/4/5)-(1/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-5   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(1/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(1/7/6)-(7/5/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-6   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(7/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(7/5/4/2)-(4/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-7   WIN (7/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/2)-(7/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/2)-(7/5/4/2)-(7/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/4/2)-(4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4/2)-(4/5/3)-(10/4/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-8   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(10/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CD-9   WIN (10/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/4/3/6)-(10/4/7/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/4/3/6)-(10/4/7/3/6)-(10/4/7/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   11/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARB Oct03 Sep01 Jul16 Jun28 May24 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 120 2.00    
2  TAP ME A SONG Oct22 Sep21 Aug22 Aug01 Jun06 (santamaria)ASMUSSEN J 120 10.00    
3  CRAZY DIAMOND Oct03 Sep13       (stewart d)TORRES A 120 5.00    
4  EMPIRE RANCH Sep25 Sep13 Aug09     (morse l)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  MATINEE IDOL Sep25 Aug22       (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 42% 1.40    
6  MORLOCK Oct03 Aug29 Feb15 Dec21 Nov22 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
CD-2   11/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENSING FLATTER Sep26 Aug18 Oct01 Sep03   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLATTER out of AVIE'S SENSE by STREET SENSE)
2  AMERICAN PEARL Oct12         (walden willi)TORRES A 120 2.00 53% 0.90    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ACQUA FRESH by ECCLESIASTIC)
3  PRONGHORN Feb15         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 12.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of DONNA VELOCE by UNCLE MO)
4  QUICK TO CHARM Oct04 Sep14 Aug16 Jul26 Nov24 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TROPHY GIRL by TALC)
5  WHITETHORN Sep26         (mccarthy micha)ORTIZ L 120 3.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of COGNITIVE by UNCLE MO)
6  SONHADOR Sep26 Aug08 Oct30 Sep29 Aug19 (murphy conor)LANERIE J 124 3.00 17% 4.70    
  (by UNION RAGS out of VUITTON by RED RANSOM)
 
CD-3   11/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($83K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEYANA Jan01 Nov28 Oct19 Sep26 May02 (leitch daniel)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 8% 12.30    
2  GIVE HER ANOTHER Oct10 Sep14 Jun27 Jun04 May03 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50    
3  ANTIQUE SILVER Oct10 Sep25 Aug09 Jul05 Jun15 (hartman chris)BACON W 120 15.00    
4  RISUKO Oct10 Aug31 Aug09 Jul19 Jun25 (david carlos )ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 43% 1.30    
5  UP THE CREEK Oct10 May15 Apr18 Mar07 Dec21 (williams matt)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00    
6  COMMANDED Oct12 Sep13 Aug11 Jul12 Jun20 (mckeever andr)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 18% 4.70    
 
CD-4   11/05/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($72K) 2 F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVER RISE Sep27         (walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50 11% 7.90    
2  I'M A LITTLE CRAZY Sep20 Sep04       (damato philip)ORTIZ L 119 4.00    
3  LADY UPSTART Sep20 Aug08       (blair jordan)TORRES A 119 4.50 47% 1.10    
4  BEAUTIFUL MCKINZIE Oct10         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
5  DREAMING OF JUNE Sep27         (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 8.00    
6  FIREBIRD SUITE Sep27         (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  HOT GOSSIP Oct18         (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 14% 6.00    
 
CD-5   11/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 2 ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINO SUBITO Oct03         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 119 3.00    
2  TWO SEVEN O Sep21         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 4.50    
3  WHISKEY BEE GONE         (reed r)MCKEE J 119 12.00 26% 2.90    
4  DR FENN Oct15 Sep21 Jul19 Jun19   (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
5  WAR MUNNY         (vance tho)BEALMEAR C 119 12.00 12% 7.20    
6  FREE CHOICE Oct03 Sep07 Aug10 Jul19 Jul03 (seglin e)MEZA JJ 119 3.50 ★    
SCR  I FORGOT TO ASK Sep21         (ennis john)SHEEHY DANNY 119 12.00    
8  DREAMOFYOU Oct18         (morse l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00    
 
CD-6   11/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS ARLINGTON Oct15 Aug03 Jun27 May26 Feb23 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  BOLT ON THE ROCKS Oct10 Jun27 Jun07 May23 Apr26 (hartman chris)BACON W 120 5.00    
SCR  ALWAYS ANGELS Sep25 Aug07 Jul10 Jun19 May30 (tomlinson mich)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
4  CURRENT CLIMATE Sep25 Aug17 Mar20 Mar01 Feb12 (foster er)TORRES A 120 3.50    
5  CANDY LOVER Sep25 Jul05 May30 May11 Mar01 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00    
6  LOVER GIRL Oct23 Jan03 Dec06 Oct13 Aug31 (williams matt)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00 9% 9.60    
7  BOURBON BREEZE Sep25 Aug22 Jul26 Jul04 Jun15 (moquett rona)TORRES A 120 8.00 15% 5.80    
8  PROMISES TO DANCE Sep17 Aug09 Jul05 May03 Apr19 (jacobson david)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50    
 
CD-7   11/05/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($72K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AU NATUREL Oct04 Sep07       (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
2  CRYPTO CORY Oct11 Sep18       (von donn)CEDILLO ABEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  WOLFCAMP Sep27 Aug10       (calhoun willia)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00    
4  ALGHERO Oct10 Aug16       (brown cha)TORRES A 119 6.00 11% 7.90    
5  MISTER PUNCH Sep04         (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 18% 4.60    
SCR  FLAMING RAINBOW Oct16         (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 3.50    
7  RECKLESS Sep26         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
8  MISKELL Sep27         (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
9  SCUFFLE Oct04 Sep10       (hiles jef)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
 
CD-8   11/05/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMARTH Jun22 May16 Apr07 Mar01 Dec21 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00    
2  CERVARO DELLA SALA (GB) Oct08 Sep14 Aug08 Jun25 Apr26 (meah m)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
3  BLUE SQUALL Aug03 Jun29 Jun05 Dec22 Nov28 (morse l)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  PRINCESS MADISON Sep21 Aug22 Jul23 Jul06 Sep15 (bauer a)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 56% 0.80    
5  HUSH IT HONEY Jan18 Nov27 Oct30 May03 Apr06 (morse l)MACHADO LUAN 120 2.50 20% 3.90    
6  FLASH WEAR Oct05 Sep20 Jul20 Jun21 May25 (vance d)LANERIE J 118 6.00    
 
CD-9   11/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALMADGE         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
2  ROCHESTER         (moquett rona)TORRES A 119 12.00    
3  FUOCO VIVO Sep27         (crichton g)CURTIS BEN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  ZUN DAY Oct06         (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
5  JANEY'S FLYIN         (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
6  VEKOMA VELOCITY         (weaver george)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  INTO BATTLE         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  SPIRIT OF A WALKON Oct12 Sep12 Aug08     (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 3.50    
9  BYE BYE BRADY Oct16         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00    
10  MAYWEATHER Aug30 Aug08 Jul04     (mccarthy michael )SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 41% 1.40    
11  BIG BOY THUNDER         (greenhill jeff)CEDILLO ABEL 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.