Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Wednesday - July 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-1   WIN (6/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/1/3)-(4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1/3)-(4/2)-(6/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SAR-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(6/4/5)-(6/1/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SAR-3   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(6/1/3)-(7/2/3/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-4   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(7/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(7/2/3/8)-(9/10/1/3/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SAR-5   WIN (7/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/8)-(7/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/8)-(7/2/3/8)-(7/2/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/3/8)-(9/10/1/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/8)-(9/10/1/3/5)-(1/7/6/4/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
SAR-6   WIN (9/10/1/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/1/3/5)-(9/10/1/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/1/3/5)-(9/10/1/3/5)-(9/10/1/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/10/1/3/5)-(1/7/6/4/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/10/1/3/5)-(1/7/6/4/2)-(5/2/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
SAR-7   WIN (1/7/6/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/4/2)-(1/7/6/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/4/2)-(1/7/6/4/2)-(1/7/6/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/6/4/2)-(5/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6/4/2)-(5/2/7)-(2/8/7/9/4) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
SAR-8   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/7)-(2/8/7/9/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
SAR-9   WIN (2/8/7/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/9/4)-(2/8/7/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/9/4)-(2/8/7/9/4)-(2/8/7/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   07/30/2025 12540ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLEY MOLEY Jun15 Nov01 Oct11 Sep20 Jan05 (foley barr)KORRELL VIRGINIA 151 6.00 ★    
1A  ST JAMES THE GREAT Jun22 Aug22 Jul27 Jul08 May25 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 147 6.00 13% 6.70    
2  BRIE'S MISSION Jul02 Mar21 Feb29 Feb04 Jan12 (neilson kat)GALLIGAN GERARD 147 6.00    
3  AWESOME STRIKE Jun15 Nov01 Oct11 Sep21 Sep08 (beecher mark)NEVIN DAN 150 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SA'AD (FR) Jun15 Sep10 Aug24 Aug08 Jul18 (wyatt j)DWAN EVAN 156 10.00    
5  HIDDEN PATH Jul04 Oct19 Sep19 Aug28 Mar30 (hendriks rich)TIERNEY CONOR 148 3.00 28% 2.60    
6  ST. JOHN'S Jun07 Nov02 Oct13 Sep05 Jul28 (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 153 2.00 29% 2.40    
7  MEMENTO (FR) Oct19 Sep05 Mar30     (kingsley ar)PROCTER FREDDIE 156 4.00    
 
SAR-2   07/30/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STONE SMUGGLER Dec14 Nov17 Sep23 Aug22   (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 118 1.40    
2  MITOLE'S GIRL Jun29 Apr26 Mar02 Jan28   (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 12% 7.30    
3  TRUE EMPRESS Jun25 May19 Apr05 Mar14 Feb09 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 8.00    
4  EMBRACEABLE GAL Jun26 Jun06 May16 Apr26 Mar23 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  ARMY GAL Jul11 Jun06 Apr27 Mar08 Mar02 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50    
6  RACING COLORS Jun26 Jun04 May16 Apr18 Mar15 (follett )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00    
 
SAR-3   07/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONTRACT LAW Jun21 Apr12 Dec29 Nov01 Oct03 (bartkows)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
2  LAUGHING LADY Jul20 Jun15 Aug15 Jul21 Jun21 (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 119 2.50    
3  CHOCOLATECHOCOLATE Jul03 May17 Apr12 Mar16   (green amelia )ORTIZ JR 124 2.50    
4  STIRRED UP Jul03 Jun21 May16 Apr11 Dec30 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.50 14% 6.10    
5  TIZALLMINE Jul13 May26 Oct25 Sep21 Aug24 (metivier )HARTSMAR CORNELIA 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  SUNSET SIZZLE May30         (schultz lindsa)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  SNIDE Jun21         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
 
SAR-4   07/30/2025 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OTELLO May31 Apr03 Jan31 Dec29 Jun15 (clement miguel)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00 21% 3.80    
2  FUERTEVENTURA Jul20 May10 Feb05 Dec27 Nov17 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00    
3  BOURBON DAY Jun28 May23 Feb15 Jan25 Dec28 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SUMMER CAUSE Jun28 Apr11 Feb07 Dec12 Nov07 (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 125 8.00    
SCR  HUSH OF A STORM Jun04 May08 Mar22 Feb15 Dec14 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 3.00    
6  CORRUPTION Jun08 May10 Mar29 Mar02 Jan26 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 125 1.40 50% 1.00    
7  MASTER PIECE (CHI) Jun19 May03 Nov09 Sep28 Aug31 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 123 5.00    
 
SAR-5   07/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAREER RISK         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50    
2  NOGUCHI Jun20         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 20% 4.00    
3  V CRUIZER         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  FLEETING FREE May04         (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 12.00    
SCR  WHITE WHALE Jun06 Apr25 Mar09 Jan11 Dec01 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00    
6  FIDDLING FELIX Jul17 Jun27 Oct06 Aug29 Jul27 (abreu fernando)ORTIZ L 119 2.50    
7  DISCOTHEQUE Jun20 May15 Apr06 Feb22 Jan25 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 53% 0.90    
8  RED SEA (GB) Nov10         (dutrow anthony)LUZZI J 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-6   07/30/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SANTINA         (ward a)ESPINOZA V 119 4.00 6% 15.40    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SANTA GUAPA by EMPIRE MAKER)
2  MACKINAC         (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
  (by GERI out of GRIDDLE (ARG) by OFF SHORE GAMBLE)
3  BLANCHETT         (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of KNIT ONE PURR TOO by TALE OF THE CAT)
4  SNOW FACE PRINCESS May23         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CRUSIN ALONE by HONOR CODE)
5  ACTIS         (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MISS RELENTLESS by MR. GREELEY)
6  PISCES MOON         (seyler dougl)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 30.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of NANCY DOLL by CONCERTO)
7  PIE PHI         (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SORORITY ROW by THE FACTOR)
8  LIMA LIMA         (proctor thomas)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of FAMILY MEETING by SKY MESA)
9  STREET SUE Jun20 May23       (gidding)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 6.00 40% 1.50    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of LOVISA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  SHARP MINDSET         (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 33% 2.10    
  (by STREET SENSE out of STUDENT BODY by COLONEL JOHN)
SCR  KETO DRINK Jul10         (mcgaughey c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of WONDER BREW by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  BET THE GRAY         (amoss m)RIDER TBA 119 4.00    
  (by SPREADTHEALARM out of LETTERSFROMTHEWEST by FULL CHOKE)
SCR  WHATAREWEDOING Jul02 May23       (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
  (by CODE OF HONOR out of SHE'S ALL SKEET by TRAPPE SHOT)
 
SAR-7   07/30/2025 7260ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIGADE COMMANDER Jul06 May17 Apr26 Nov30 Nov02 (handal raymon)FRANCO MANUEL 125 2.50 36% 1.80    
2  SALTED CARMEL Jul03 Jun06 May02 Mar12 Feb09 (brion keri)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  OUTTAWATERBURY Jul20 May25 May17 Apr26 Nov09 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 125 8.00    
4  KIGALI Jul20 Jun25 Jun06 Feb22 Feb07 (de h)SANTANA JR 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  THE PADDOCK PASTOR Jul13 Jun04 Apr27 Feb14 Jan17 (green j)ORTIZ L 125 4.50    
6  COGNOSCENTI Jul06 May11 Mar09 Jan24 Dec14 (clement migue)ORTIZ JR 125 4.00 18% 4.50    
7  WAR OFFICER Jun21 May24 Apr24 Mar26 Feb19 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 125 3.50 20% 3.90    
8  DILLINGER Jun27 May03 Apr19 Nov24 Nov01 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 125 15.00    
9  ARCTIC OUTBREAK Jul02 Jun14 May28 Apr25 Nov09 (lawrence james )DAVIS DYLAN 120 30.00    
SCR  SWAGGISH Jul03 Feb28 Feb01 Jan04 Nov14 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 125 2.50    
SCR  HERO'S MEDAL Jul05 Jun26 May10 Mar22 May04 (kantarmaci ilka)DAVIS DYLAN 125 2.00    
SCR  GOLDEN PURCHASE Jul11 Jun12 May16 May01 Apr06 (levine b)SANTANA JR 125 3.50    
SCR  ERIC FROM MIAMI Jul11 Jun12 Apr11 Mar15 Feb13 (potts wayne)RIDER TBA 125 8.00    
 
SAR-8   07/30/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Johnstone Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAJESTIC RETURN Jul10 Jun07 May09 Apr25 Mar22 (kantarma)SANTANA JR 122 30.00    
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of MAJESTIC MIST by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
2  DOLOMITE Jun26 May17 Apr05 Feb27 Jan17 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 14% 6.20    
  (by UNIFIED out of SUNSET RIDGE by ALGORITHMS)
SCR  CARA'S TIME Jun29 Jun04 May11 Mar22 Jan25 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 122 30.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ZINDRA by MACHO UNO)
4  CALDWELL LUVS GOLD May30 May01 Apr06 Feb23 Jan25 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 122 10.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SNOW by QUALITY ROAD)
5  MY MANE SQUEEZE Jun21 May10 Apr08 Oct19 Sep21 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 126 3.00 51% 1.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of IN SPITE OF MAMA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  LANDED Apr23 Feb23 Oct23 Aug25 Jun09 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 126 8.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of GLORY GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  CUPID'S HEART Jun26 May01 Mar22 Jun30 Oct05 (levine bruce)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 10% 9.50    
  (by CUPID out of BEDSIDE POSSE by POSSE)
8  STERLING SILVER Jun04 May10 Apr06 Dec27 Oct27 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 2.50    
  (by CUPID out of SHEET HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  BERNIETAKESCHARGE Jun04 Apr06 Feb22 Jan11 Dec06 (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 10.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of BERNING ROSE by FREUD)
SCR  MAGGY'S PALACE Jun07 Apr19 Feb09 Jan10 Dec12 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SISTER MARGARET by PULPIT)
11  TRICKY TEMPER Jun26 Dec12 Oct27 Aug31 Aug16 (englehart jere)ORTIZ L 122 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WINTER BOOK by RIVA RIDGE)
 
SAR-9   07/30/2025 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IPSUS Jun26         (bond kevin)DAVIS KATIE 119 6.00    
SCR  GATTATIZ Jun19 Oct26 Sep20 Aug14   (bond ja)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
SCR  NITTARDI         (bond kevin)DAVIS KATIE 119 6.00    
2  KYLA'S KAUSE Oct10 Aug25       (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.60 48% 1.10    
3  MY GORGEOUS Jun26 Jun19 May26 Jan24 Dec13 (keithan )ELLINGWOOD A 124 50.00    
4  FROGHOLLOWSUMMER Jul06 Jun19 Oct10 Aug25   (martin carlos )LUZZI J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  FIFI LA FUME Jul06 Jun13 May17 Apr26 Mar29 (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
6  GRACIE GIRL Jul06 May08 Mar29 Mar08   (levine bru)RIVERA R 119 30.00    
7  MISS UPROAR Jul06 Jun04 May09 Mar23 Feb27 (abreu fe)SANTANA JR 124 5.00 7% 12.90    
8  GOOD MISSION Jun19 May17 Apr25 Mar23 Feb27 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 23% 3.40    
9  HATTIE CARROLL Jan23 Dec28 Nov16     (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RARE SOCIETY Feb22         (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.