Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - May 07, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(2/6/3)-(4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-2   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(4/2)-(5/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-3   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(5/4/2)-(1/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(1/3/5)-(1/6/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(1/6/3)-(1/2/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-6   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/6/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(1/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/5)-(1/6/4/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/5)-(1/6/4/3/5)-(1/6/4/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BISCUITS AND GRITS Apr21 Mar30 Mar12 Feb26 Feb10 (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 123 8.00    
2  RAISE THE PURSES Apr21 Mar19 Mar11 Feb26 Feb04 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 6% 15.70    
3  STUNT MAN Apr21 Mar11 Feb26 Feb04 Jan16 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00    
4  MIDNIGHT WARSHIP Mar03 Feb10 Dec11 Oct22 Sep26 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 41% 1.50    
SCR  MCGRAW Mar31 Jun22 May08 Apr01 Jan31 (fadlovich m)NUNEZ Y 119 5.00    
6  HEY EUGENE Apr19 Mar23 Mar08 Feb07 Jan03 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.50 19% 4.10    
 
TDN-2   05/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STOPTALKINGSARAH Apr21 Apr07       (crumley jevon)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00    
2  DAH FUH Apr21 Apr03 Mar20 Sep12 Aug22 (flores israel)DIAZ I 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
3  RED STRIDE Apr21         (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  DESTINY'S TOT Apr07 Mar24 Feb28 Feb10 Jan15 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
5  DRILLING Mar20 Feb28 Feb05 Jan08 Dec18 (faulkner rod)TAVARES JAVIER 123 15.00    
6  LOTS OF SASS Oct19 Oct02 Sep17 Feb19   (juarez-mendoz)CEDILLO MAURO 123 5.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  HEARTFELT CHERRIES Apr21 Mar20       (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 123 10.00    
 
TDN-3   05/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RELISH THE RIDE May04 Nov30 Sep28 Sep13 Aug26 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00    
2  ZAKARIA Mar31 Mar03 Feb10 Sep12 Aug20 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  OKLAHOMA JOE Apr12 Mar31 Mar04 Feb10 Jan29 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 5.00    
4  EXCITEMENT Jan09 Dec23 Dec04 Nov14 Oct26 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.50 74% 0.30    
5  OLLIE'S FOLLY Apr21 Mar19 Dec17 Nov14 Oct08 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 3.00    
 
TDN-4   05/07/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C MORE PRIDE Apr23 Apr07 Mar20 Mar03 Jan28 (faulkner rod)TAVARES JAVIER 119 8.00    
2  HERE COMES DOLLY Mar20 Mar03 Jan07 Dec23 Nov19 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  MARGARITA CINCO Apr23 Jan28 Jan08 Jul25 Nov09 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
4  SHE'S A SOLDIER Mar20 Mar03 Jan23 Jan08 Oct08 (romero oscar)RIVERA R 119 4.00 8% 11.30    
5  SALTMAKESHERSWEET Apr23 Apr07 Dec02 Nov06 Sep12 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 71% 0.40    
6  THELMA LUCILLE Apr07 Mar20 Feb06 Dec26 Nov20 (vazquez )FERNANDEZ R 119 3.00    
 
TDN-5   05/07/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS FUSSY PANTS Apr22 Apr05 Mar27 Mar13 Jan24 (rivera r)RIVERA R 123 1.60 35% 1.80    
2  CLOUD STORAGE Apr23 Mar26 Feb23 Jan15 Dec13 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.00    
3  FLOWER MOUND Apr22 Apr08 Mar17 Mar05 Jan25 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 21% 3.80    
4  SADIE THE GOAT Apr22 Apr05 Mar23 Mar08 Dec29 (rivera r)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00    
5  QUEEN DEYMAR Apr05 Mar15 Feb22 Feb01 Nov09 (higham nico)NUNEZ Y 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   05/07/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWERFUL PHIL Apr21 Mar22 Feb11 Jan25 Dec19 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.80 42% 1.40    
2  GIV'EM THE BIZ Apr10 Oct30 Oct08 Sep19 Aug12 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
3  LUNCHATTHELIZARD Apr21 Mar22 Mar11 Feb11 Jan23 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  EL MARRO Apr21 Apr02 Mar10 Feb11 Jan25 (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 121 3.00    
5  BABA LOOEY Apr10 Mar25 Mar11 Oct02 Sep10 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
6  MIDNIGHT MIKEY Apr21 Jun11 May27 May06 Jan31 (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 19% 4.20    
 
TDN-7   05/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE Apr21 Dec03 Nov18 Sep19 Jun22 (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
2  AUTHORITARIAN GIRL Oct29 Sep30 Jul31 Jun19 Oct12 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80 31% 2.30    
3  MOBIL CHIC Apr05 Mar10 Jan29 Dec19 Nov14 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  TWISTED JUSTICE Feb12 Jan18 Dec28 Nov14 Oct29 (wolochuk david)FELICIANO R 119 8.00    
5  KICHI KITSU Apr23 Mar30 Dec28 Dec11 Sep09 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 119 4.50    
SCR  LEMON MOUSSE Jun22 May04 Mar25 Aug01 Jul22 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 3.00    
 
TDN-8   05/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SO THAT'S THAT Feb11 Jan15 Nov27 Oct28   (poole m)AVILES YAN 115 5.00 54% 0.90    
2  JOHN FITZGERALD Mar13 Mar03 Feb11 Dec12 Nov27 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 8.00    
3  SWAYBACK MOBIL Mar18 Jan09 Dec27 Dec10 Nov11 (juarez-mendoza re)PEREZ A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  RIGHT ON THE MUNNY Apr03 Mar18 Mar03 Nov27 Oct10 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 4.50 ★    
5  JAC'S EMPIRE Apr02 Mar18 Mar03 Feb11 Jan27 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  DUSTY BILLY Apr10 Mar27 Mar13 Feb26 Jan15 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  OH LOVER BOY Apr10 Mar26 Mar03 Feb08   (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00    
8  TEMPERED DREAM Oct26 Oct11 Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 119 15.00    
9  DRILL'S BOY Apr23 Mar27 Mar13 Jan09 Dec19 (romero jose )TERRAZA GERMAN 117 12.00    
10  VECCHI Oct23 Oct09 Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.