Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Monday - May 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (5/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/6/1)-(1/2/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/1)-(1/2/5/3)-(4/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/5/3)-(4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5/3)-(4/1/3)-(1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TDN-3   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(1/5)-(3/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-4   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(3/6/1)-(4/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(4/2/1)-(5/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-6   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(5/3/2)-(5/6/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-7   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(5/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   05/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUGINE Apr08 Mar19 Mar01 Jan29 Jan09 (casalinova tina)PEREZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
CREDIT RIVER Mar01 Jan29 Jan09 Nov13 Oct23 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 15.00    
MR. THUNDERSTRUCK Mar28 Feb24 Feb08 Jan26 Jan03 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 3.00    
WASHINGTON'S UNION Mar24 Mar12 Feb27 Feb11 Jan29 (radosevich just)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50 32% 2.10    
RICHIESGOTGAME Apr21 Apr01 Feb26 Feb13 Jan15 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 123 2.00 45% 1.20    
STAR ENTERTAINER Apr08 Mar19 Dec19 Oct23 Oct08 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
DARK BARON Mar01 Jan23 Jan06 Jun13 Apr29 (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 123 6.00    
 
TDN-2   05/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMANTIC COWBOY Mar06 Jan23 Dec05 Oct03 Sep12 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.00 19% 4.30    
CONDEMNATION Apr21 Apr03 Feb04 Jan23 Jan13 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 18% 4.70    
FLAG RAISER Apr03 Mar22 Mar12 Jan27 Dec17 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 119 12.00 7% 12.70    
OAKEN Apr10 Mar25 Mar11 Jan16 Dec19 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50    
GOLDEN MONEY Apr03 Mar19 Mar06 Feb26 Feb12 (higham nicole)DIAZ I 119 8.00 18% 4.70    
YIPPEE KI YAY Sep26 Aug30 Aug20 Jul16 May28 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
VENTURE ON Apr21 Apr10 Jul29 Jun22 Jun05 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 119 6.00    
 
TDN-3   05/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THRU THE VINE Mar26 Mar05 Jan08 Dec19 Dec02 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 8.00 23% 3.40    
TANTRUM Nov25 Oct26 Aug10 Jul15 Jun27 (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 123 2.00    
RAVEN MOON Mar13 Oct26 Sep10 Aug20 Aug10 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SPELLCAST Oct03 Sep03 Jul29 Jun22 Jun07 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.00 49% 1.00    
NEED TO KNOW BASIS Apr07 Feb05 Jan23 Jan13 Dec18 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50    
 
TDN-4   05/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLEW CROWN Feb12 Jan12 Sep09 Aug14 Jul23 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  FRENCH BENEFITS (FR) Apr02 Feb16 Jan04 Aug14   (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 1.60    
GRAN ROXY Apr23 Mar31 Mar06 Feb05 Jan16 (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 123 2.00    
FREEDOM PRINCESS Mar31 Mar17 Feb27 Feb13 Dec26 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
MISS LITTLE BIT Apr23 Apr12 Mar30 Mar03 Feb13 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PRINCESS OPAL Mar18 Mar03 Feb05 Jan16 Dec26 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 123 12.00    
 
TDN-5   05/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
P H FACTOR Apr22 Mar29 Mar13 Feb28 Feb15 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
TATANKA Apr11 Mar14 Feb26 Feb08 Jan24 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 6.00    
MOREAU Mar13 Feb28 Jan23 Nov19 Nov05 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 1.80 38% 1.60    
TIMESATAPPIN Apr05 Mar05 Feb08 Dec09 Nov04 (loudin-smith )TOLEDO S 119 10.00    
POWERFUL Apr11 Mar16 Dec22 Nov15 Sep11 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.00    
EDDIE M Apr05 Mar24 Mar04 Feb11 Jan16 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 121 3.50 38% 1.60    
 
TDN-6   05/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE KID'S PRAYER Oct07 Sep11 Aug22 Jul24 Jul04 (rettele rich)TAVARES JAVIER 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
QUICK RENDEZVOUS Apr09 Mar30 Mar18 Jan08 Dec02 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 24% 3.20    
IMA MOM Apr02 Mar18 Dec19 Oct28 Sep18 (vazquez ivan)PEREZ A 119 1.80    
MOBIL MEMORY Mar30 Feb27 Feb06 Jan07 May07 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 1.60 35% 1.80    
KISS VALENTINA Apr02 Mar11 Mar01 Feb06 Jan07 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.50    
NICEASAKITTENSEYES Apr09 Mar22 Sep11 Aug01 Jul17 (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 15.00    
 
TDN-7   05/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAY MAYS CASTLE Apr23 Apr12 Mar22 Mar11 Oct15 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00    
GIRL BYE Mar31 Mar12 Feb12 Jan25 Dec12 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 8.00 8% 12.10    
SASSY CHARLEE Apr02 Mar19 Feb28 Feb21 Dec28 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 2.00 22% 3.60    
CEVICHE Mar19 Feb26 Jan28 Jan08 Dec27 (casalinova tina)PEREZ A 123 4.50    
TIZZY JOJO Apr22 Mar27 Mar08 Feb05 Jan15 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  FIONA Sep05 Aug15 Jul10 Jun22 Jun03 (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 4.00    
SCR  KANTBACKOFF Apr22 Apr12 Mar31 Mar22 Mar10 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 123 15.00    
THEODOROPOULOS Apr23 Oct21 Sep19 Aug29 Aug10 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00    
 
TDN-8   05/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BAD LITTLE BEAST Apr21 Mar30 Mar03 Feb11 Jan28 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 6.00    
SCR  DAVID'S GEM Jan29 Dec16 Nov26 Oct27 Sep17 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 2.50    
MON CAMO Nov18 Sep24 Sep09 Aug13 Jul23 (shanyfelt v)NUNEZ Y 119 4.50    
UNCLEJACKOMO Apr08 Mar20 Mar06 Feb08 Jan15 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 20.00    
LUCKY ANDY Nov11 Oct14 Oct01 Sep12 Aug26 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 28% 2.60    
FIRST CITIZEN Apr21 Mar30 Mar13 Mar03 Feb11 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 119 6.00 26% 2.80    
LITTLE VAQUERO Apr22 Apr10 Mar26 Mar12 Feb26 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MARKHAMIAN Apr24 Apr12 Mar26 Mar03 Feb08 (castillo jabdiel)PEREZ A 119 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.