Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - April 29, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (5/7/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/9/6)-(5/7/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/9/6)-(5/7/9/6)-(5/7/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/9/6)-(3/5/2/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/9/6)-(3/5/2/7/6)-(4/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/5/2/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/7/6)-(3/5/2/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/7/6)-(3/5/2/7/6)-(3/5/2/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/2/7/6)-(4/6/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2/7/6)-(4/6/1)-(2/6/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TDN-3   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(2/6/5)-(5) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
TDN-4   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(5)-(4/5/3/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TDN-5   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/4) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5)-(4/5/3/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5)-(4/5/3/7)-(8/3/1/7) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/3/7)-(8/3/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/7)-(8/3/1/7)-(4/10/6/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TDN-7   WIN (8/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/1/7)-(8/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/1/7)-(8/3/1/7)-(8/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/1/7)-(4/10/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/10/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/6/7)-(4/10/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/10/6/7)-(4/10/6/7)-(4/10/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   04/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAHM TEQUILA Mar15 Feb14 Jan31 Jan17 Dec27 (lopez jr)VIGIL NOEL 123 12.00    
2  GILLIGAN Mar17 Feb27 Jan28 Dec02 Nov12 (mahan p)PEREZ A 123 20.00    
3  SEEING RED Apr08 Feb27 Jan29 Dec26 Dec02 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 5.00    
4  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Oct09 Sep12 Aug29 Jul25 Jul08 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 4.00    
5  CANDY CRUSHEM Mar25 Mar06 Feb08 Jul29 Jul09 (sweazey sco)NUNEZ Y 123 4.50 47% 1.10    
6  SMALL SAILOR Apr10 Mar26 Mar11 Mar03 Feb08 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  MONTEREY PENINSULA Mar31 Mar17 Mar03 Jan28 Dec17 (poole m)AVILES YAN 123 2.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  O ROMEO Oct28 Oct09 Aug29 Aug05 Jul09 (genovese ric)TAVARES JAVIER 123 3.50    
9  SIR Mar17 Jan23 Nov02 Oct07 Sep24 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 15.00 6% 14.50    
 
TDN-2   04/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. GEORGE Aug26         (fadlovich m)NUNEZ Y 119 5.00    
  (by MOBIL out of MY MANCITA by MR. GREELEY)
2  AROUNDTHERIVERBEND         (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 15.00 6% 16.50    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of SURELY DIMPLE by COLONEL JOHN)
3  LAST MINUTE MIKEY Mar26         (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of ANNISQUAM by FORESTRY)
4  EL MEXICANO Mar26         (faulkner c)PEREZ A 119 30.00    
  (by DA BIG HOSS out of FLASHY PEARL by FLASHY BULL)
5  BUMPER STICKER Apr10 Mar12       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 18% 4.60    
  (by BIONDETTI out of OPIE by KOKAND)
6  REMIX FROM PHOENIX Apr10 Mar26 Mar12 Feb08 Dec28 (langley joshua)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of HEATHERFROMPHOENIX by SAN PABLO)
7  DRILLING DEEP         (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 6% 16.50    
  (by DRILL out of CAROLYN by BURNING ROMA)
8  AQUAVIT Jul22 Jul03       (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 20.00    
  (by BIRDRUN out of OAK BAY BEAUTY by STREET SENSE)
9  RED CHIPS Mar26 Mar12       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 4.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of STILL SHEA TO ME by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  HIDDEN HEART Apr10 Mar26 Mar12 Feb11 Jan28 (skerrett j)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 20.00    
  (by ANIMO DE VALEROSO out of PRECOCIOUS by EXPLOIT)
 
TDN-3   04/29/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEARLINTHEROUGH Apr07 Feb28 Feb12 Jan24 Dec03 (genovese rich)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  HALCYON DAYS Apr09 Mar25 Feb21 Jan30 Jan02 (sh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50    
3  CALENDULA Apr06 Mar12 Feb15 Feb05 Jan22 (lopez enrique )GONZALEZ A 119 4.50    
4  BATTLE TESTED Apr12 Mar10 Feb28 Jan24 Jan06 (genovese rich)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  LIVING IN STYLE Apr12 Mar31 Mar19 Mar05 Jan27 (morales saul )BRACHO A 119 6.00    
6  ARMY KITTEN Apr08 Feb08 Jan24 Jan06 Nov14 (crumley je)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 1.80 33% 2.10    
 
TDN-4   04/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THE DEVIL'S DREAM Apr05 Mar18 Mar05 Dec03 Oct26 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50    
2  DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS Sep09 Jul25 Jun25 Jun11 May14 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 47% 1.10    
3  MISS SPRINGSTEEN Sep30 Sep04 Aug14 Jul25 Jun19 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
4  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Aug14 Jul17 Jul03 Jun18 Jun05 (romero oscar)TAVARES JAVIER 119 12.00    
5  SPICE ICE Apr09 Mar24 Mar05 Feb10 Jan08 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  MIZZEN THE POINT Mar18 Feb27 Jan28 Jan08 Dec02 (overholt)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 15% 5.50    
7  SHES A STORM Apr07 Mar18 Feb06 Jan08 Dec17 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.50    
 
TDN-5   04/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RADIO SILENT Apr03 Mar24 Mar04 Feb08 Dec03 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.00    
SCR  MARQUITOS M Nov26 Nov11 Oct26 Oct09 Sep19 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
3  GOTTOMAKEITHAPPEN Mar31 Jan27 Sep12 Aug19 Jul29 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.60    
4  OUR BUCKWHEAT Dec05 Nov11 Oct10 Jun10 Apr01 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.50 ★    
5  HITE Mar30 Nov12 Oct28 Oct10 Sep26 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  VENTURE ON Apr21 Apr10 Jul29 Jun22 Jun05 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 119 5.00    
 
TDN-6   04/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOR CRAFTY Apr05 Mar19 Feb08 Jan09 Oct23 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 123 2.50    
2  GOLDSTRIKER Apr08 Mar18 Mar04 Dec03 Nov21 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00    
3  IRONCLAD ALIBI Apr02 Mar18 Mar03 Jan30 Dec27 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 8.00 8% 11.50    
4  GRAY DAY Mar18 Mar03 Feb13 Dec12 Nov13 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.00 49% 1.00    
5  ROLLIN MY WAY Apr08 Mar24 Mar04 Feb08 Jan13 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 16% 5.40    
6  A PRAYER FOR KIDS Nov07 Oct08 Sep18 Aug28 Jul23 (rettele rich)TAVARES JAVIER 119 5.00    
7  TAMMY'S TOY Apr09 Mar19 Mar06 Feb12 Jan25 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-7   04/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KERLO'S CAUSE Mar19 Mar01 Feb08 Jan15 Nov07 (sh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 14% 6.10    
2  CHESS NOT CHECKERS Apr03 Mar19 Feb06 Dec27 Nov21 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 121 3.50    
3  DREAMING OF AUDREY Mar22 Mar06 Feb15 Feb06 Jan24 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 24% 3.10    
4  TAKING CHARGE DESI Mar22 Feb23 Jan29 Jan15 Dec19 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 121 10.00    
SCR  VARTON Mar26 Mar12 Jan25 Dec26 Dec04 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 6.00    
SCR  TIZZY JOJO Apr22 Mar27 Mar08 Feb05 Jan15 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00    
7  GRACE AND GLORY Apr12 Mar31 Mar12 Feb28 Feb03 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  REMEMBER ME Apr03 Mar22 Mar06 Feb04 Jan09 (crumley je)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00 41% 1.50    
9  CATABOUT Nov12 Oct07 Sep02 Aug07 Jul17 (rettele richard)PEREZ A 119 20.00    
 
TDN-8   04/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUPLE BEERS DEEP Nov13         (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
  (by QUICK CHANGE out of LATE LOVER by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
2  SILENT DRILL Mar26         (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
  (by DRILL out of ZARLANZ by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  DEW IT WITH CLASS         (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 119 6.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DEW IT RIGHT by FLOWER ALLEY)
4  SADIE'S GHOST Oct28         (rettele rich)TAVARES JAVIER 119 5.00 44% 1.30    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of SILVER SADIE by MEADOW PRAYER)
SCR  FLARING SONG Apr10 Mar26 Mar12 Feb08 Jan15 (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FLARING STAR by TAP DAY)
6  BLUE BLOOD COWBOY Apr10 Mar26 Mar04 Feb08 Jan28 (dacosta jason)PEREZ A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of COWBOY'S PRINCESS by COWBOY CAL)
7  JACOBI         (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of GRANDMA DOTTIE by ASTROLOGY)
8  SKUNK APE Apr10 Mar26 Mar12 Jan28 Dec10 (loudin-smith )TOLEDO S 123 20.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of QUEEN YELLENA by TOCCET)
9  MISTER ZAZU Mar26 Mar12 Jul22 Jul03   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00    
  (by MOBIL out of SURVIVING NEW YORK by SURVIVALIST)
10  TRUTH N SOUL Aug31 Jul27 Jul19 Jun14 May29 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by INDY WIND out of SAYITRIGHT KAT by SURF CAT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.