Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - March 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(1/2/4)-(5/1/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(5/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(5/1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (5/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(1/4/3)-(4/6/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(4/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(4/6/2/1)-(6/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (4/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/1)-(4/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/1)-(4/6/2/1)-(4/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/2/1)-(6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2/1)-(6/4/3)-(2/9/7/8/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-7   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(2/9/7/8/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
AQU-8   WIN (2/9/7/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/7/8/3)-(2/9/7/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/7/8/3)-(2/9/7/8/3)-(2/9/7/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/28/2025 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LAST MANGO Feb23         (englehart jerem)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.50    
2  LOOKING FOR GINNY Mar07 Feb13 Jan24 Dec15 Nov16 (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.00 12% 7.30    
3  LONCHURA Feb28 Nov22 Oct20 Jul05 Jun06 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 126 10.00    
4  FARM HOUSE Feb28 Jan30       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 0.60 65% 0.50    
5  SHERMAN'S MARLIN Mar09 Feb13 Jan24 Dec13 Nov09 (schettino domi)CEDENO CAROL 126 30.00    
6  GAME LIKE REYANA Feb23 Feb08 Dec12     (bhigroog chet)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-2   03/28/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSEIDON'S MIST Feb22 Feb01 Jan04 Nov21 Oct17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.00 32% 2.10    
1A  TRADE SECRET Feb15 Jan03 Nov22 Oct20 Aug16 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.00    
2  IRISH JACKSON Dec12 Nov09 Jun30 May24 Apr07 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 23% 3.30    
3  LADY ARWEN Feb27 Jan18 Dec27 Nov10 Oct22 (englehart jerem)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00    
4  LA GROTTE Feb27 Feb02 Jan18 Dec27 Nov20 (johnston rob)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 5% 17.70    
5  LAST GLORY Jan23 Jan10 Dec15 Nov10 Oct24 (arenas )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 15.00    
6  DASHING DELLA Mar07 Feb22 Feb01 Jan05 Dec08 (arenas mar)RIVERA R 123 8.00    
 
AQU-3   03/28/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SHEZANARCTICQUEEN Mar07 Feb15 Jan19 Dec15 Oct21 (johnston rob)OLVER MADISON 123 2.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  ECHO SEVEN Nov23 Nov02 Sep21 Aug08 Jul18 (johnston rob)HARKIE K 121 2.00    
2  BALENCIAGA BETTY Mar07 Jan03 Dec08 Nov17 Nov09 (potts wayne)SILVERA RUBEN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  JOLLY MISS JILL Feb22 Jan19 Jan05 Dec14 Nov08 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 12.00    
4  GHOSTLY GIRL Mar07 Jan12 Oct20 Oct10 Aug14 (toscano)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 12.00 6% 14.90    
5  GOLDCREST Feb21 Feb07 Aug29 Jul28 Jun29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.00 50% 1.00    
6  EVERLYS GIRL Mar14 Feb22 Jan31 Jan25 Jan12 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 12.00    
7  JACKIE THE JOKER Mar16 Feb15 Jan25 Jan03 Dec08 (chichakly amir)CEDENO CAROL 121 6.00    
 
AQU-4   03/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MURSAL Feb16 Jan14 Dec14 Oct26 Sep22 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
2  KARA PARA Jan30 Dec12 Mar03 Jan07 Oct19 (ryerson james )LUZZI J 123 10.00 5% 17.20    
3  WHISTLER'S STYLE Feb21 Jan30 Jan01 Dec02 Oct19 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.50    
4  LUNA MOTH Feb23 Jan25 Jan01 Nov10 Sep01 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00 17% 4.90    
5  TONED UP Mar02 Jan30 Jan12 Oct19 Aug01 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80    
6  LOOKS FIRST Mar15 Feb27 Feb15 Jan31 Jan16 (samsu)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 15.00    
 
AQU-5   03/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAXALUNA Feb23         (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  D'S A ROCK Mar02 Jan30 Dec14 Nov17 Oct06 (potts wayne)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.00    
3  HONORABLE BECKY Feb28 Feb01 Nov11 Sep24   (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  NOTMYSTEPPINGSTONE Jan17 Jan04 Nov23 Nov09   (levine bruce)LUZZI J 120 5.00 16% 5.10    
5  I AM RUE Jan13 Nov26 Oct30 Oct07 Sep21 (padilla o)ADORNO ABNER 120 10.00    
6  ROYAL EVENT Mar08 Feb01 Jan23 Nov30   (martin f)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00    
7  HELEN'S REVENGE Feb09 Jan04 Dec13 Oct18 Sep20 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00    
 
AQU-6   03/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TO BE LOVED BY YOU Mar09 Feb22 Dec28 Nov12 Oct01 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  THAT'STHEFACTJACK Mar07 Feb27 Jan24 Jan03 Dec13 (schettino domi)CEDENO CAROL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  TROUBLED LUCK Mar14 Feb27 Feb02 Jan16 Nov25 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00    
4  LUCKY AND GORGEOUS Feb13 Jan24 Jan01 Nov10 Oct13 (gidding)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 5.00 42% 1.40    
5  FOCUS POCUS Feb22 Jan12 Dec08 Nov09 Oct20 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50    
6  MIA NIPOTINA Mar14 Mar01 Feb07 Jan16 Dec29 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00 32% 2.20    
7  ACCELERINA Mar07 Feb02 Jan18 Nov29 Nov10 (rodriguez r)GONZALEZ MELVIS 116 10.00    
SCR  LEM ME DRINK Mar07 Jan18 Nov29 Oct31 Sep20 (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00    
9  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE Feb22 Jan01 Dec01 Jul05 May26 (miceli michael)DAVIS KATIE 123 6.00    
 
AQU-7   03/28/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($82K) 3 F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADYSIDE Jan01 Dec01 Sep28 Aug23   (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00    
SCR  ARMY GAL Mar08 Mar02 Jan23     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50    
3  BROADWAY LIGHTS Feb28 Dec01 Oct27 Oct02 Sep10 (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS KATIE 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  MOONLIT DRIVE Feb01 Jan10       (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 25% 3.10    
5  FORTUNA MIA Mar01 Dec07 Nov02 Aug18 Jun30 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50    
6  DELRAY Jan30 Jan01 Dec09 Nov03 Oct14 (servis tyler)PENNINGTON F 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
 
AQU-8   03/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GORZO Feb08         (duggan p)CEDENO CAROL 120 15.00    
2  RUNAMOR Jan26 Jan04 Nov30     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 0.80 55% 0.80    
3  CLASSIC MARTINI Mar01         (levine bruce)LUZZI J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  UNCLE BARRIE Jan05 Dec07 Nov17 Oct18 Oct06 (metivier)VILLA FAVINHO 120 30.00    
5  DANZIGER Jan26 Dec28 Nov03 Oct05   (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00    
6  SOLOMINI'S LEGACY Feb28 Feb08       (ferraro james)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
7  RAGTIME PRANKSTER Mar01 Jan11 Oct27 Sep29   (hennig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 6% 16.50    
8  DAMAGE Feb02 Jan10 Nov29 Oct27 Sep28 (miceli michael)COA J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  CAPT JAX PARROW Mar08 Jan25       (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 19% 4.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.