Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Thursday - March 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/6)-(7/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6)-(7/3/6/2)-(7/6/4/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-2   WIN (7/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/6/2)-(7/6/4/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6/2)-(7/6/4/1/8)-(8/6/7/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-3   WIN (7/6/4/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/1/8)-(7/6/4/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/1/8)-(7/6/4/1/8)-(7/6/4/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/6/4/1/8)-(8/6/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4/1/8)-(8/6/7/1)-(9/2/4/8/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-4   WIN (8/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/7/1)-(8/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/7/1)-(8/6/7/1)-(8/6/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/7/1)-(9/2/4/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/6/7/1)-(9/2/4/8/1)-(2/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-5   WIN (9/2/4/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/4/8/1)-(9/2/4/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/4/8/1)-(9/2/4/8/1)-(9/2/4/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/2/4/8/1)-(2/5/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/2/4/8/1)-(2/5/8)-(7/5/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-6   WIN (2/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/8)-(2/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/8)-(2/5/8)-(2/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/8)-(7/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8)-(7/5/4/2)-(10/7/5/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-7   WIN (7/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/2)-(7/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/2)-(7/5/4/2)-(7/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/4/2)-(10/7/5/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TP-8   WIN (10/7/5/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/5/6/8)-(10/7/5/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/5/6/8)-(10/7/5/6/8)-(10/7/5/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   03/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STRATOSPHERIC Feb28 Jan26 Dec07 Nov16 Aug31 (blair jordan)MONCADA IRVING 121 1.20    
OUR PRAYER Feb27 Jan17 Jan02 Nov07 Oct17 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 126 5.00    
MALICE MAMA Feb27 Feb15 Jan30 Jan17 Dec21 (pittman b)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 126 10.00    
MY FAVORITE GIRL Feb27 Feb14 Dec07 Nov09 Apr06 (esquivel jes)RAMOS D 126 3.00 52% 0.90    
BLUEGRASS GODDESS Feb27 Feb07 Sep28 Jul27   (kelley james)CONTRERAS LUIS 126 12.00    
HAND IT OVER Feb28 Dec28 Sep27 Jul28 May25 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
TURBO GAL Jan31 Jan17 Jan02 May08 Apr17 (west w)CEDILLO ABEL 126 8.00 16% 5.40    
 
TP-2   03/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYS PRACTICAL Mar04 Feb06 Dec19 Oct20 Sep07 (maker michael )CEDILLO ABEL 120 6.00    
BELLA VITTORIA Nov20 Oct30 Sep24 Sep08 Aug01 (vanden br)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
MEUCCI'S REVENGE Jan31 Jul21 Jun16 May27   (danner kelse)RAMOS D 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
BROOKLYN CAN DANCE Mar06 Jan31 Dec26     (foster eric)MONCADA IRVING 115 12.00    
MY BUDDY BROOKS Dec11 Oct15 Aug10 Jul23 Jul09 (watkins m)FELIX E 120 4.00    
SWEET BEBSI Feb26 Feb01 Nov15 Oct06 Sep23 (walsh d)BARBOSA CARLOS 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
WILL NOT BE SWAYED Oct06 Sep08 Aug07 Jul11   (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 120 1.00 52% 0.90    
 
TP-3   03/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUCCESSION GOLD Feb01 Jan17 Dec20 Oct03 Sep05 (orantes jo)HERNANDEZ N 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
CAPED CRUSADER Mar01 Feb14 Nov22 Sep22 Aug31 (kranz amara)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 5.00    
SHOSHA Feb26 Feb01 Jan17 Mar09 Feb22 (adams l)SANJUR SANTO 125 20.00    
KYKEON Mar08 Feb23 Nov14 Nov06 Feb23 (garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 127 3.50 7% 13.60    
SAN MARCO CITY Mar08 Feb05 Jan17 Dec07 Sep05 (estvanko richa)DOYLE SOPHIE 125 15.00    
TOM'S SPIRIT Mar08 Feb12 Jan17 Dec07 Sep19 (andrade hu)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
IRONSIDES Feb12 Jan24 Dec26 Dec01 Nov17 (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 2.50 50% 1.00    
ROYALLY FLUSHED Feb05 Jan13 Dec19 Dec04 Nov18 (short travis)MONCADA IRVING 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
CABALLO FELIZ Feb05 Jan17 Jan03 Nov04 Oct07 (radosevich jak)MACHADO LUAN 125 5.00    
 
TP-4   03/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD FRANC (IRE) Feb06 Jan29 Jan03 Dec11 Sep30 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
REDHILL Feb23 Jan23 Jan02 Dec06 Nov20 (pittman bo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 119 20.00    
DREAM TRAVELER Feb22 Feb01 Jan18 Dec11 Sep26 (wittek karyn)SANJUR SANTO 124 20.00    
SCR  BIG WALT Feb08 Dec28 Nov13 Oct10 Jan26 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 124 1.60    
SCR  MERLIN'S MAGIC Jan25 Oct29 Aug22 Aug14 Sep14 (nihei mich)CORRALES GERARDO 124 15.00    
GARDEN LEAVE Jan25 Jan02 Dec11 Nov08 Jun22 (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
BATTLE OF BRITAIN Jan03 Nov30 Nov09 Oct12 Sep27 (murphy conor)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00 8% 11.20    
THIRD DEGREE Jan25 Jan01 Dec11 Sep06 Aug15 (cline rob)CORREA L 124 3.50 39% 1.60    
LOVE ME ARCHIE Feb14 Jan17 Nov09 Oct12 Sep12 (schenk ellen )SOSA LAUREANO 124 20.00    
 
TP-5   03/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAVORITE HAUNT Feb26 Jan29 Jan03 Aug30 Aug07 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
EGYPTIAN KING Feb23 Jan29 Dec04 Oct17 Sep30 (wittek karyn)SERPA ANGEL 124 10.00 21% 3.80    
URGENT FURY Mar01 Jan25 Dec11 Oct03 Feb29 (ortiz alex)ACHARD ALEX 124 2.50    
ROENICK Mar01 Feb06 Jan03 Oct23 Sep26 (corrigan )CORREA L 124 6.00 10% 9.20    
STRIKE PRICE Mar06 Feb23 Feb06 Jan18 Dec20 (schuette sheryl)FELIX E 124 15.00    
RIGHTEOUS STAR Feb23 Feb05 Nov22 Nov01 Oct19 (baker james)MACHADO LUAN 117 5.00    
UNUSUAL ACTIVITY Feb22 Feb06 Jan18 Dec11 Sep18 (townley ste)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 20.00    
BIG ELM Mar01 Feb03 Jan07 Dec06 Oct06 (donjuan sergio)PAULY SUMMER 114 8.00 7% 14.40    
SON OF A GRAY Mar06 Feb21 Jan31 Jan02 Dec11 (pittman b)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 127 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
TP-6   03/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYGALJUSTICE Feb27 Dec26 Nov06 Oct24 Oct14 (labra rogelio)SANJUR SANTO 125 30.00    
PSYCHEDELIC Mar08 Feb15 Jan29 Dec27 Oct15 (danner kelse)MONCADA IRVING 120 1.40 37% 1.70    
SONHO DE VERAO Feb13 Jan29 Dec26 Nov13 Oct04 (orantes jo)HERNANDEZ N 125 10.00    
SCOOP Mar05 Feb13 Jan29 Jan15 Dec18 (orantes yo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 3.50    
OLD FASHIONED GIRL Feb28 Feb07 Jan29 Dec05 Oct22 (mcentee paul)DOYLE SOPHIE 125 4.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  TEMPORARILYFOREVER Mar13 Feb27 Jan16 Dec06 Sep04 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 127 6.00    
SCR  ENTICING SUNSET Feb15 Jan26 Dec07 Nov13 Oct30 (wittek karyn)ACHARD ALEX 125 10.00    
SKIPPINJUSTICE Mar06 Feb13 Jan31 Dec19 Oct17 (gonzalez agust)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 8.00 7% 12.60    
 
TP-7   03/20/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($86K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURRY UP HANNAH Feb14 Jan24 May12 Mar23 Feb01 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00    
CURRENT CLIMATE Mar01 Feb12 Dec21 Nov14 Sep29 (fos)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
JILL JITTERBUG Feb12 Dec19 Nov14 Sep20 Aug29 (walsh d)CEDILLO ABEL 123 20.00    
MARMALADE SKYE Feb24 Feb12 Jan01 Nov29 Nov06 (jacobson dav)MONCADA IRVING 118 3.00 15% 5.80    
FANTASTICAL Feb14 Jan15 Dec27 Nov22 Nov03 (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 2.00 26% 2.80    
INDEPENDENCEAVENUE Oct04 Aug04 Jul07 May12 Jan06 (delacour )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 8.00    
B G WARRIOR Mar01 Jan25 Dec14 Oct24 Aug03 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 123 1.60 38% 1.60    
BELLA CRUELLA Feb13 Jan16 Dec27 Dec05 Oct05 (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 123 30.00    
 
TP-8   03/20/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WANDA SUSIE DOOZY Feb23 Oct30 Jan31 Dec19 Nov01 (reed r)TERRAZA GERMAN 124 15.00    
SASSY WALKER Feb15 Jan16 Oct16 Sep20 May02 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 4.00    
RED WINE LADY Feb27 Feb06 Jan16 Dec28 Oct17 (demeritte la)MONCADA IRVING 119 3.50    
SISSY'S MAY Feb27 Aug29 Aug14 Aug03 Jul25 (evans mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 30.00    
SMART WITH HEART Jan02 Dec13 Nov15 Oct16 Oct05 (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
WAFFLE HOUSE GANG Feb27 Jan31 Dec06     (kinmon keith)SANJUR SANTO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SO FAR SO GOOD Feb27 Dec28 Dec06 Nov13 Oct17 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 4.50 7% 13.60    
RYE SMILE Feb27 Jan24 Dec26 Nov02 Oct17 (orantes jo)HERNANDEZ N 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
LOTTA LISSA Feb26 Feb14 Dec12 Oct31   (bahena ismael)FELIX E 118 12.00    
10  SERENE WATERS Feb21 Feb06 Jan01 Dec07 Jul31 (hester haley)RAMOS D 124 2.50 67% 0.50    
11  RUNAWAY WILLIE Sep08 Jul27 Jul05 Jun07 Apr29 (ward dean)MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.