Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - February 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(5/1/4)-(7/4/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(7/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(7/4/2/6)-(3/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (7/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/6)-(7/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/6)-(7/4/2/6)-(7/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/2/6)-(3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2/6)-(3/5/6)-(7/3/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(7/3/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(7/3/9)-(7/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-5   WIN (7/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/9)-(7/3/5/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/9)-(7/3/5/9)-(7/3/5/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/9)-(7/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/9)-(7/5/1)-(8/7/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/6/5/1)-(7/6/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/1)-(8/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1)-(8/7/5/2)-(9/8/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (8/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/2)-(8/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/2)-(8/7/5/2)-(8/7/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/5/2)-(9/8/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (9/8/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/6/5)-(9/8/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/6/5)-(9/8/6/5)-(9/8/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALMARY Jan25 Dec26 May22 Apr27 Apr11 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
2  YEHAWMEMAW Jan15 Dec27 Dec09 Nov11 Oct22 (short thomas)STOKES J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  KANTBACKOFF Jan15 Nov29 Nov16 Nov01 Oct11 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
4  GOTHAM GRAY Jan09 Dec27 Dec09 Nov10 Oct15 (ccamaque)FERNANDEZ R 126 8.00    
5  GRACE AND GLORY Jan09 Dec18 Dec03 Oct28 Sep18 (urieta joh)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 2.50    
6  CASTLE MAGIC Jan15 Dec03 Nov20 Oct21 Sep11 (gorham m)PEREZ E 124 1.00 48% 1.10    
 
MVR-2   02/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORETHANREADYEDDIE Dec11 Nov20 Oct22 Oct07 Sep19 (w)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 6.00 27% 2.70    
2  GAME BOY BENNY Dec16 Nov26 Nov06 Oct28 Oct19 (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 2.00    
3  STELLARS IN CHARGE Dec12 Nov07 Oct02 Sep01 Aug02 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50    
4  LUCKY NINETEEN Jan23 Dec04 Oct27 Oct06 Sep05 (loudin-smith)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  HOLY SAINT Jan16 Dec30 Nov18 Oct23 Mar20 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 124 4.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  MAKING ME CRAZY Jan16 Dec28 Dec11 Nov26 Oct19 (mahan p)DIAZ I 124 3.00    
 
MVR-3   02/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEER TIME         (sh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of CHEESECAKE by NELSON (IRE))
2  RED IN FRONT Jan16 Dec07 Nov17 Oct13 Sep01 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 126 6.00 8% 11.20    
  (by SIGNATURE RED out of SWEEPING FRONT by WAR FRONT)
3  BREEZE THE BAYOU Dec11 Nov29 Nov08 Oct13 Jun21 (skerrett jeffrey)STOKES J 126 4.00    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of ARISSA by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
4  DOCS LEGEND Jan16         (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.50 16% 5.30    
  (by LORD NELSON out of CREATE A LEGEND by MEADOWLAKE)
5  GAISGEACH Jan16 Nov18 Nov05 Sep24 Sep26 (loudin-smith )TOLEDO S 126 30.00    
  (by HERO OF ORDER out of MADE OF FIRE by MONARCHOS)
6  GREAT REVELATION Jan16 Dec05 Jul14 Jun29   (bailey ri)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of SENSATIONAL CHARGE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
7  MIDNIGHT COUNCIL Jan16 Dec11 Nov14 Oct28 Sep24 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 126 1.20 55% 0.80    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SMOOTH PERFORMER by BENCHMARK)
8  HE'S A WILD CHILD Dec04 Nov26 Nov05 Oct09 Sep18 (lopez )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 15.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of COMMAND PERFECTION by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
 
MVR-4   02/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE FASHION Jan03 Nov29 Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00    
2  HONEY BELLA Jan15 Dec27 Sep03 Aug18 Jul30 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.50    
3  UPSWELL Jan10 Jun28 Jun07 May09 Apr11 (farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.00 33% 2.00    
4  EPICUREAN Jan15 Dec27 Nov21 Nov12 Oct28 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 126 4.00    
5  BLUSHING BETTY Jan15 Dec10 Nov19 Nov06 Oct01 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 29% 2.40    
6  PRINCESSTAPITURE Jan15 Dec02 Nov16 Oct28 Oct14 (andrade hu)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-5   02/03/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAUDA SPEED Jan13 Nov19 Nov04 Oct02 Aug26 (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 15.00    
SCR  BOBBY'S GIFT Dec26 Dec10 Nov18 Nov05 Sep28 (smith larry)HOUGHTON D 126 3.50    
3  MONSTER HUNTER Jan25 Jan13 Dec26 Dec16 Nov27 (gonzalez dona)TOLEDO S 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  POLITICAL Jan13 Dec02 Nov19 Nov06 Sep02 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 126 12.00    
5  SIGHT UNSEEN Jan13 Dec26 Nov19 Nov05 Oct23 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00 ★    
6  KHOZANDO Jan13 Dec17 Nov17 Nov06 Oct22 (fletcher jeff)TAPARA LUIS 126 6.00    
7  DIGITAL FOOTPRINT Jan16 Dec23 Dec03 Nov14 Oct24 (huffman )MARTINEZ A 126 3.00 76% 0.30    
SCR  EUPHORIA STAR Jan13 Sep14 Aug11 Aug02 Jul14 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 126 30.00    
9  GOLD BUCKLE Jan13 Dec26 Oct26 Sep09 Aug15 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   02/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIRO KATE Jan25 Dec03 Nov10 Oct15 Sep23 (meeks karl)STOKES J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  BIG JAVA Jan24 Dec16 May27 Apr23 Apr09 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00    
3  C F V TU BRUTUS Jan15 Dec19 Oct24 Oct15 Sep30 (gonzalez)MARTINEZ A 124 4.50    
4  SWEET BELEN Jan25 Dec16 Nov20 Nov04 Oct02 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 6.00    
5  BLAZING ZENNA Jan15 Dec16 Nov20 Nov04 Sep11 (mahan josep)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  JEN'S BATTLE Jan15 Nov20 Sep30 Sep04 Aug21 (casalinova tina)VEGA L 124 4.00 ★    
7  SNELL FLICKA Jan15 Dec04 Nov14 Oct14 Oct01 (buttigieg kevi)DIAZ I 124 1.20 75% 0.30    
 
MVR-7   02/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TORREFACTOR Jan07 Dec19 Dec04 Nov12 Oct22 (musarro joseph)HOUGHTON D 124 4.50    
2  SWEET TRAVELS Jan25 Oct11 Sep21 Aug17 Jul18 (dacosta j)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 10.00 9% 10.30    
3  AVAILABILITY Jan25 Jan06 Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00    
4  EPIC KNIGHT Jan25 Dec28 Dec09 Nov04 Oct08 (garcia)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.00    
5  BIG ELM Jan07 Dec06 Oct06 Sep18 Sep03 (donjua)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 9% 10.20    
6  ROYAL DECADENCE Sep14 Sep05 Aug22 Jul24 Jul06 (short trav)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 10.00    
7  LT'S JACKNTHEBOX Jan25 Jan06 Dec19 Oct21 Oct08 (gonzalez d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 6.00 19% 4.10    
8  SAGE RUNNER Jan25 Jan06 Dec27 Dec10 Nov26 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
MVR-8   02/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL RICKYS JEWEL Jan27 Dec17 Nov21 Nov07 Oct23 (corriveau j)NUNEZ Y 124 15.00    
SCR  KNOCK WOOD Dec17 Dec02 Nov14 Oct26 Oct07 (tumblin andr)HALDAR J 124 8.00    
3  CLEVELAND POWER Jan16 Oct29 Oct01 Sep14 Aug30 (romero a)TAPARA LUIS 124 20.00    
4  PAINT THE TOWN Dec02 Nov14 Sep17 Aug21 Jun22 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 3.50    
5  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Dec05 Jul27 May22 Apr02 Mar14 (farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  K KID Jan16 Dec17 Dec02 Nov14 Oct07 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 6.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  BLUE NOMORE Dec17 Oct23 Oct03 Aug19 Jul15 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 12.00    
8  INTO GOLD Jan16 Dec17 Oct07 Sep03 Aug21 (rone penny)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 32% 2.20    
9  CRAFTED Jan16 Dec02 Aug16 Jul31 Jul06 (sh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.