Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Saturday - January 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (7/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/2)-(7/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/2)-(7/4/1/2)-(7/4/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/1/2)-(2/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/2)-(2/6/8)-(6/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (2/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/8)-(2/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/8)-(2/6/8)-(2/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/8)-(6/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8)-(6/2/7)-(11/2/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-3   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/7)-(6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/7)-(11/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7)-(11/2/1/4)-(2/3/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-4   WIN (11/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/2/1/4)-(11/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/2/1/4)-(11/2/1/4)-(11/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (11/2/1/4)-(2/3/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (11/2/1/4)-(2/3/1/5)-(1/5/4/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-5   WIN (2/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/1/5)-(1/5/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/5)-(1/5/4/2)-(5/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FG-6   WIN (1/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/2)-(5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/2)-(5/4)-(5/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-7   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(5/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(5/8/7)-(2/10/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-8   WIN (5/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/7)-(5/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8/7)-(5/8/7)-(5/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/8/7)-(2/10/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FG-9   WIN (2/10/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/10/7/3)-(2/10/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/10/7/3)-(2/10/7/3)-(2/10/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/11/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($30K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUSTIN THE DIAMOND Dec28 Nov30 Oct29 Jul18 Jun20 (delany sa)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 14% 6.20    
2  IMPECCABILITY Dec27 Jul19 Jun29 Jun09 May27 (duke steven)RIQUELME J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  RUNNIN MUNNIN Nov28 Sep14 Aug15 Jul26 Jun25 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.00    
4  TIGER MOON Dec07 Oct18 Sep27 Aug09 Jul20 (schultz lind)TORRES A 121 3.00 23% 3.30    
5  JOSAN Jan02 Aug02 Jul12 Jun28 May30 (morrell cynthi)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 20.00    
6  CASCADE CRUISER Dec07 Aug24 Jul06 May19 Apr13 (simpson da)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 2.50    
7  JUST JIMMY Nov27 Nov03 Sep22 Sep07 Jul27 (forster grant)MORALES EDGAR 121 5.00 35% 1.80    
 
FG-2   01/11/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAMBERT Dec16 Sep01 Aug11 Jul28 Jul21 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50    
2  SWEET TEMPERAMENT Dec16 Aug15 Jul12 Jun06 Feb13 (bourgeois)HERNANDEZ J 121 1.40 58% 0.70    
3  GOING THE DISTANCE Jan12 Dec17 Nov01 Sep15 Aug25 (hartman chris)CANNON DECLAN 121 6.00    
SCR  CHROME ATTACK Dec16 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 (childers v)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50    
5  RUMPUS Dec16 Sep05 Aug10 Jul12 Jun21 (govea cesar)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00    
6  JAYDENSQUEENOHARTS Dec16 Dec06 Sep28 Aug23 Jul28 (guillory hen)TORRES A 121 5.00 12% 7.10    
7  FIT AND FAMOUS Dec16 Sep28 Sep08 Jan06 Sep30 (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 121 12.00    
8  A RUNNIN AFLEET Dec15 Nov24 Aug23 Jun29 May22 (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 6.00 6% 17.20    
 
FG-3   01/11/2025 5610ft DIRT RC2 GOOD Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DATE THE PRINCE Dec29 Oct27 Sep23     (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 6.00    
2  DIAMOND EYED JACK Dec07         (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 120 6.00 30% 2.30    
3  RAGNOW Dec19 Sep20       (desormeaux)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.50    
SCR  FIRST DIVISION         (mcpeek kennet)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
5  HIGH CEILING Oct27 Oct04       (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 3.00    
6  LURED AWAY Dec15 Nov20 Nov09 Oct18   (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.80 30% 2.30    
7  SOMEKINDA MISCHIEF Dec07 Nov03 Sep26     (flint steve)MCMAHON J 120 12.00 10% 8.80    
 
FG-4   01/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($59K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN DOLLARS Nov02 Sep14 Aug20 Jul23 Jun25 (foster jos)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ICE'M UP BOYS Dec08 Jun25       (felks r)ORTIZ L 121 4.00 24% 3.30    
3  HOUSE BOURBON Jan01 Dec14 Dec05 Oct19 Sep25 (landry ray)CURTIS BEN 121 3.50    
4  STAR BYFAR Dec14 Nov23 Sep14 Aug13 Jul16 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  PETITFOR Dec21 Nov28 Sep04     (meaux h)RIQUELME J 121 30.00    
SCR  PASSING JUDGMENT Dec14 Nov23 Jun06 Apr17 Feb24 (foley gre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00    
7  WISE VERDICT Dec27 Nov23 Oct11 Aug31 Aug10 (landry allen)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00    
SCR  REAL CITY SPEED Dec05 Sep23 Apr13 Mar14 Jan13 (larrosa ju)MARQUEZ L 121 6.00    
SCR  SENATOR CON Dec06 Sep23 Aug13 Jul23 Jul03 (balderas alf)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 20.00    
SCR  UNIFIED REPORT Sep25 Aug01 Jul11 Jun11 May04 (wilson sha)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.50    
11  ALVARADO CAT Dec21 Nov28 Oct16 Jun20 May23 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 121 6.00 43% 1.30    
 
FG-5   01/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Bob Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANAMA GOLD Nov22 Sep21 Jul20 Jun06   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 10% 9.20    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of CHARGED COTTON by DEHERE)
2  SIX STRING Dec14 Nov22 Oct11 Aug31 Jul12 (landry ray)CURTIS BEN 124 3.00 41% 1.40    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of OH WHATA HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  FREEBURN Dec14 Nov22 May03 Apr12 Mar13 (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by MITOLE out of FIREFOOT by TAPIZAR)
4  CLASSY JUDY G Nov30 Oct16 Sep03     (west patr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SHE ROLLS by FRIESAN FIRE)
5  LUYV Jan03 Dec14 Oct29 Aug31 Jul27 (goins garland)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of SOUTHPINE by LAABITY)
6  HOPEITSMYLUCKYDAY Dec27 Dec06 Jun11 May22 Mar10 (munoz yovan)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SILVER SPRING by SEATTLE SLEET)
7  ROYAL O'HAIGAIN Dec15 May03 Apr10 Mar14 Feb10 (terre davi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of DREAMING OF SUSIE by COWTOWN CAT)
 
FG-6   01/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($59K) 3 ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAY JUDE Dec14 Nov22 Oct25     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 116 3.50 51% 1.00    
2  THRILLA Dec21 Nov30 Oct19 Sep07 Aug16 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  INDIAN CAT Dec21 Nov23 Oct10 Aug24   (gelner ja)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 10.00    
4  BIG RASEE Dec29 Dec13 Nov02 Aug31 Aug03 (ramirez-rodrigu)MCMAHON J 119 4.00 10% 9.50    
5  LIL MUGGS Nov30 Oct27 Sep28     (foley greg)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 19% 4.20    
6  COMPLEX MUSIC Dec13 Oct22 Oct03 Sep01 Jul06 (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00    
7  FACE THE FUTURE Dec07 Jun23       (simpson da)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 4.50    
8  NORMANDY COAST Jul27 Jun27       (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 119 6.00    
 
FG-7   01/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CALICOCO Dec14 Aug02 Jul06 Mar23 Mar02 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00    
SCR  SMOKEY MANDATE Dec26 Nov28 Oct07 Dec23 Nov26 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00    
SCR  TAKE ME TO CHURCH (IRE) Oct31 Oct03 Aug30     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50    
4  ROCK'N A HALO Nov29 Oct06 Aug11 Jun01 May11 (amoss thomas )CANNON DECLAN 120 5.00 10% 9.10    
5  STEADY ON Nov28 Sep21 Sep01 Jul20 Jun23 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 68% 0.50    
6  KING OF THE PALACE Nov28 Sep26 Sep05 Aug03 Jul10 (tracy tanner)CURTIS BEN 120 20.00    
SCR  GRAY'S FABLE Nov23 Nov01 Oct03 Jul06 Jun19 (stidham mic)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.50    
SCR  EFF THIRTY FIVE Nov28 Nov02 Oct14 Sep25 Aug28 (russell t)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
SCR  TRES SOLES Jul30 Jun22 Sep30 Aug27 Jul02 (atras rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00    
10  UNIFIED DREAMS Dec26 Dec07 Sep21 Aug25 Jun22 (scherer gary)MURRAY M 120 8.00    
 
FG-8   01/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Gary Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAURI'S WISH Dec28 Nov23 Nov08 Oct11 Jul18 (thomas lee)RIQUELME J 118 12.00    
  (by CATALINA RED out of LAURIGOLIGHTLY by ARCHARCHARCH)
2  RANCH BADGE Nov30 Nov08 Sep29 Sep05 Jul04 (hebert matt)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00    
  (by PROUDINSKY out of MS ALDEBARAN by ALDEBARAN)
3  GEAUX SUGAR Dec14 Nov23 Nov08 Oct10 Jun21 (bourgeois )MURRILL MITCHELL 124 1.80    
  (by HALF OURS out of FIFOLET by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  MANGUM Dec14 Nov23 Oct25 Oct11 Aug31 (delhomme )HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
  (by MO TOM out of BOVELL ROAD by GRAEME HALL)
5  EL DINERO Dec14 Nov23 Oct11 Aug31 Aug03 (devereux j)GRAHAM J 124 4.50 32% 2.10    
  (by EL DEAL out of MONEY FOR MAKEUP by FORESTRY)
SCR  JACK HAMMER Dec14 Mar02 Feb04 Jan01 Nov18 (calhoun willia)ORTIZ L 124 2.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of LIPSTICK JUNKY by FLATTER)
7  TDZSHININLUCKYSTAR Dec14 Nov23 Nov08 Oct11 Sep14 (eschete nason)ROSIER R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of TDZ MANDYCORRIENDA by EL CORREDOR)
8  NOT ON HERB Dec14 Nov23 Oct11 Aug31 Jul11 (terre davi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 8.00 22% 3.50    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of TOAST TO ASHLEY by FIRST DEFENCE)
 
FG-9   01/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($61K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVED BY GRACE Dec27 Nov23 Nov01 Jun29 Jun08 (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 10.00    
2  CLEARLY A TEST Dec14 Nov23 Aug31 Aug02 Jun01 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 1.80 38% 1.60    
3  ACCOMMODATE EVA Dec14 Nov23 Jul27 Jun01 May03 (ducoing stur)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VALE MALE Nov23 Mar24 Mar02 Feb03 Dec09 (claire alexis)GRAHAM J 121 20.00    
5  DIXIE FARMER Dec14 Nov23 Aug31 Jul06 Jun06 (munoz yovan)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.50    
SCR  BOX OF PICTURES Jul29 Jun01 May21 Apr26 Mar03 (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00    
7  JET ROCKET Dec27 Nov24 Oct18 Aug02 Jun29 (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 121 4.50 13% 6.70    
8  OLIVIA G Dec27 Nov23 Nov01 Oct11 Aug31 (west patrici)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 20.00    
9  ANITA'S VISION Aug19 Feb29 Feb08 Jan07 Sep03 (savoie sh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 15.00    
10  CERTIFIED GEM Dec19 Sep17 Aug31 Aug19 Jul29 (terre david)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.50 24% 3.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.