Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Monday - September 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (6/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/2)-(6/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/2)-(6/1/7/2)-(6/1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/7/2)-(2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7/2)-(2/5/4)-(3/1/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-2   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(3/1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(3/1/8/2)-(4/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-3   WIN (3/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/2)-(3/1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/2)-(3/1/8/2)-(3/1/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/8/2)-(4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/8/2)-(4/5/3)-(6/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-4   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(6/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(6/3/7)-(5/7/1/2/9) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
IND-5   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/8/7)-(6/3/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/7)-(5/7/1/2/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7)-(5/7/1/2/9)-(9/8/1/6/4) 75 $1.00 $37.50 
IND-6   WIN (5/7/1/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/2/9)-(5/7/1/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/2/9)-(5/7/1/2/9)-(5/7/1/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/1/2/9)-(9/8/1/6/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/2/9)-(9/8/1/6/4)-(7/4/8/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
IND-7   WIN (9/8/1/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/1/6/4)-(9/8/1/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/1/6/4)-(9/8/1/6/4)-(9/8/1/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/1/6/4)-(7/4/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
IND-8   WIN (7/4/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/8/2)-(7/4/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/8/2)-(7/4/8/2)-(7/4/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   09/09/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAGBARK Aug17 Jul09 Oct28 Oct04 Aug10 (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 8.00 20% 4.10    
MAGIC IN MOTION Aug26 Aug15 Jul31 Jul11 Jun08 (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
PABLO'S SUN Aug26 Nov17 Nov02 Sep20 Aug05 (rechy chaz)MORALES JOSHUA 122 20.00    
HADLEY'S MAX Aug08 Jul03 May22 May07 Apr17 (klopp randy)ROMAN A 118 1.00    
CHARLIESLITLDEVIL Aug08 Jul05 Jun24 May28   (herrell ro)VILLARREAL OSCAR 111 20.00    
BOLD SPIRIT Aug07 Jul09 Oct04 Sep06 Aug08 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 10.00 40% 1.50    
TAP TAP COMIN THRU Aug17 Aug05 Jul16 May22 May07 (douglass de)ROMERO M 115 6.00 9% 9.70    
BIG ANCHOR Aug17 Aug01 Jul18 Jul09 Jun19 (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 122 4.00    
 
IND-2   09/09/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND IN BAY Aug06 Jul10 Jun06 Nov30 Nov13 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 119 10.00    
VICTOR'S DEAL Aug15 Jul31 Jul13 Jun24 Jun17 (richard)DE CRUZ 122 1.80 28% 2.60    
GOLD BUCKLE Aug15 Jul09 Jun17 May28 Apr23 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 1.40    
JINGLE Aug08 Jul15 Mar07 Feb07 Jan12 (matthews )BERMUDEZ E 122 8.00 13% 6.90    
HOMERUNHAPPY Aug19 Aug03 Jul20 May21 Apr16 (mcgovern shannon)PRESCOTT R 122 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  BAREFOOTBOOTLEGGER Aug29 Aug04 Jul14 Jun22 Jun02 (haran john)ROMAN A 119 15.00    
 
IND-3   09/09/2024 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($40.8K) 2 ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAZLO Sep01         (thomas jonatha)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 23% 3.40    
FINANCIAL WHIZ Aug17 Jul27 Jun19 May09   (hamilton sarah)PARKER L 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
AMERICAN VISION Aug05         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
BAYTOWN FURY Aug25         (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 113 15.00    
DIABLO ROSSO Jul17         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 6.00    
CAPT'N PIKE Aug01 Jul06       (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 120 8.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN BEATLE Aug20 Aug10 Jul18 Apr21   (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 120 3.50    
WORTH THE CHANCE         (brisset rodo)MONCADA IRVING 113 10.00 13% 6.90    
 
IND-4   09/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UP THE ODDS Jun04 May14 Nov09 Sep28   (granitz ant)ROMERO M 110 15.00    
INSPIRED FIRE Jul29 Jul06 Jun04 May09 Apr16 (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 117 3.00    
COMP Aug06 Jul10 Jul03 Apr25 Apr17 (sanchez emma)FIGUEROA JOVAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
MUJER BONITA Aug14 Jul30       (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 117 4.50 37% 1.70    
COLOR ME FAST Aug14 Jul17 Jun25 Jun04 May09 (klopp randy)LEAHEY HANNAH 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
SHIELDMEWITHPRAYER Aug13 Aug01 Jul02 Jun12 May22 (gorham m)PEREZ E 114 6.00    
WHAT ABOUT NOW Aug14 Jun19 May23 Nov09 Oct16 (eggleston tim)MORALES EDGAR 117 3.50    
 
IND-5   09/09/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDOCUMENTADO Aug21 Aug06 Jul16 Jun20 May29 (jura)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 3.50    
AIR MARSHAL Aug06 Jul11 Jun26 May14 May01 (davis j)DE CRUZ 122 15.00    
ICE EXPRESS Aug08 Jun12 May16 Apr25 Nov10 (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 5.00 6% 16.30    
TOUR THE MOON Aug06 Jul13 Jun26 Jun08 Nov15 (duran antonio)PARKER L 122 15.00    
SILENT SONATA Aug15 Jul11 Jun26 May30 May07 (granitz antho)MORALES EDGAR 124 8.00    
JAILHOUSE JUSTICE Aug06 Jul06 Jun08 Feb28 Dec22 (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 115 1.60 70% 0.40    
LOONY Aug17 Jul13 Jun10 May20 May01 (lauer mic)BERMUDEZ E 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
J'S NAUGHTY BOY Aug06 Jun10 Jan04 Nov30 Nov13 (elliott mic)ROMERO M 115 6.00    
 
IND-6   09/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELLIOTT MOON Aug19 Jun27 May30 May10 Mar30 (kerrick lac)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.00 10% 9.20    
PRISON BOUND Aug19 Jun26 May31     (meah m)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 6.00 9% 10.20    
ROYAL LILY Jul15         (greenhill j)ROMERO M 113 20.00    
SORORITY GIRL Jul09 Jun10 May23 Mar14   (west w)ACHARD ALEX 117 20.00    
TEARDROP TIARA Aug02 Jul07       (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 4.50 42% 1.40    
SWEET DAYDREAM Aug29 Jul15 Jun27 Jun04   (labra rog)BERMUDEZ E 124 8.00    
GALADINI Aug19 Jul16 Jun19 May31 Apr27 (shirer ma)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00 12% 7.70    
COLLECTED SUCCESS Aug15 Jul15 Jul02 Jun17 May28 (klopp randy)LEAHEY HANNAH 120 3.00    
ELEGANT MOVES Feb24 Jan27 Dec30 Nov29 Oct30 (pittman bonn)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
IND-7   09/09/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23.12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE LAST BID Aug19 Jul28 Jul04 Jun02 May12 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 8.00 13% 7.00    
GROOM LAKE Jul29 Jul02 Jun12 Mar27 Mar14 (vosler eu)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00    
NACHO CHROME Aug22 Jul28 May24 Apr19 Mar29 (medina tomas)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 30.00    
HUMBLE WARRIOR Aug22 Aug06 Jul11 Jun08 May22 (granitz a)BERMUDEZ E 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
RARE N READY Aug22 Jul29 May21 Mar27 Mar06 (greenhill j)ROMERO M 115 15.00    
MIDNIGHT CHANNEL Aug07 Jul29 Jun12 May21 Jan24 (meah anna)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 5.00 9% 9.70    
CELESTIAL JOY (GB) Aug12 Jul19 Jul02 Jun12 May21 (estvanko )CORREA L 118 4.50    
CODE OMAHA Aug19 Jul20 Dec07 Oct26 Sep25 (thomas jonatha)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 14% 6.20    
RANSOMWARE Aug26 Aug12 Jun20 May31 Apr21 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 122 1.60 44% 1.30    
10  CHEESESTEAK Jul31 Jul15 Apr25 Mar13 Feb09 (davis jose)VILLARREAL OSCAR 111 30.00    
11  CENTAURO Aug22 Jul15 Jun29 Jun13 May27 (torr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 20.00    
SCR  JUDO Aug22 Jul28 Jun27 Feb28 Jan24 (fosdick steve)ROMAN A 122 20.00    
 
IND-8   09/09/2024 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($35.36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROCK N ROLL BOLT Aug31 Jul28 Jul20 Jun30 May26 (camejo jose )MORALES JOSHUA 120 2.50    
ON TAP Aug06 Jun28 May30 Apr24   (sims ph)DE CRUZ 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MILLARD A MAVERICK Aug04 Jul03 May21 Mar13 Feb16 (dobbsjr e)MOJICA O 120 10.00    
DASHED Aug14 Aug06 Jun05 May29 Apr16 (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 5.00 28% 2.50    
CHASTE ONE Aug05 Jul23 Jun26 May29 Mar10 (sharp j)GRAHAM J 124 30.00    
VINO CALDO Aug06 Jul09 Jun26 Mar21 Feb23 (davis jose)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 8.00    
INSANITY IT SEEMS Jul20 Feb18 Jul15     (ward a)FLORES R 124 3.50 39% 1.60    
HERO WORSHIP Aug06 May30 Apr24 Mar13 Feb08 (west etha)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 15.00 12% 7.20    
LORD DIAMOND Aug04 Jul21 Jun16 May27   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 20.00    
SCR  PAPA ALDEN Mar07 Feb02 Jan06 Dec09 Nov04 (kerrick lac)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 20.00    
11  PUCKSTER Jun23 May18 Feb29 Oct29   (troiani niccol)ROMAN A 120 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.