Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Friday - May 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/7)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7)-(5/4/1)-(2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
EVD-2   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(2/3)-(1/3/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EVD-3   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/3)-(1/3/2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(1/3/2/6)-(5/10/4/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
EVD-4   WIN (1/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/2/6)-(5/10/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2/6)-(5/10/4/3)-(6/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-5   WIN (5/10/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/10/4/3)-(5/10/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/10/4/3)-(5/10/4/3)-(5/10/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/10/4/3)-(6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/10/4/3)-(6/5/2)-(1/8/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-6   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(1/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(1/8/4/2)-(5/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-7   WIN (1/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/4/2)-(1/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/4/2)-(1/8/4/2)-(1/8/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/4/2)-(5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/4/2)-(5/7/4)-(2/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-8   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/4/3)-(5/7/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/4)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
EVD-9   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/7/5)-(2/1/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   05/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL ACTION Apr19 Jan28 Nov30 Feb25 Jan21 (briley lonnie)STOKES J 115 12.00    
2  KAJUN KARMA Apr18 Mar22 Feb17 Jul15 Jun03 (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 115 5.00    
3  MOTAWAAFEQ Apr19 Dec16 Oct26 Oct06 Sep09 (escobar alis)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 3.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  JIMMIE'S HALO May07 Apr24 Apr10 Mar06 Dec31 (mojica edit)SANTIAGO EDWARD 110 15.00    
5  CAJUN AMI Apr19 Feb10 Jan18 Dec09 Nov18 (landry r)THORNTON G 115 2.00 41% 1.40    
6  THROWIN' SHADE Apr19 Apr05 Mar22 Feb24 Feb03 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 2.50    
7  RIVER RAFT Apr05 Feb21 Aug13 Jun10 Mar25 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-2   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3 F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C C LLAM Apr05 Mar08 Feb24 Feb10 Jan11 (mojica edit)SANTIAGO EDWARD 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  RAGAZZA May04 Jan21 Jan04     (escobar alis)QUILES ANTONIO 120 2.50    
3  MICHELINE GAIL Apr13         (ladner )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 8.00    
4  GOOD BY FAITH May04 Jan18 Dec13 Nov25 Nov10 (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 120 1.80 13% 6.40    
5  COAL DANCER May01 Mar24 Jan04 Dec18 Nov22 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 117 3.50 59% 0.70    
6  MAGICAL DEAL May04 Feb23       (segura kearney)STOKES J 117 4.50    
 
EVD-3   05/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL OF GLORY Apr24 Feb01 Jan06 Nov24 Nov04 (west henry)DEONAUTH P 123 12.00    
2  MARTINIZED Apr19 May20 Apr21 Mar03 Feb02 (david b)VARGAS P 120 8.00 60% 0.70    
3  MAGIC MONDAY May04 Apr11 Mar15 Feb18 Jan28 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 123 6.00 7% 14.20    
4  PLAY MASTER Mar06 Feb16 Jan20 Dec21 Nov25 (mojica edit)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 3.50    
5  CHARLIE'S CREED Apr19 Mar08 Feb18 Jan28 Jan05 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 1.80 ★    
6  DEEP STATE Apr21 Apr04 Mar08 Feb16 Jan28 (cangemi dani)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 2.00    
 
EVD-4   05/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A WISH FOR MADELYN Apr19 Feb25 Feb09 Dec29 Nov18 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 115 3.00 29% 2.40    
2  SAY WHAT Feb08 Jan26 Dec28 Nov04 Aug06 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 115 4.50 13% 6.90    
3  LADY HOPPER May11 Apr12 Mar26 Feb17 Feb04 (ludwig b)MCMAHON J 115 3.50 26% 2.80    
4  SHELLBY Apr13 Feb16 Jan05 Dec02 Oct17 (knudsen kent)THORNTON G 118 2.50    
5  VALTESSE Apr13 Feb21 Jan19 Dec30 Nov29 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 115 10.00    
6  DEBBIES PASSAGE Feb22 Feb08 Jan05 Dec13 Nov11 (larrosa jua)SANTIAGO EDWARD 110 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  LUNCH LADY Feb09 Jan13 Dec28 Nov16 Oct18 (zeno benjamin)LOZADA CARLOS 118 8.00    
8  BRAVE CITY GIRL Jan26 Jan13 Dec15 Oct26 Aug11 (zenon shelto)QUILES ANTONIO 115 20.00    
 
EVD-5   05/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRAWBERRY SUNDAE Apr20 Mar24 Feb29 Feb08 Jan25 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 3.50    
SCR  THAT IS AWESOME May01 Apr13 Mar09 Feb07 Dec18 (brinkman brett)ROSIER R 118 20.00    
3  COURTLY DOC Apr20 Feb24 Feb07 Dec29 Nov29 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  NEW DESTINY Apr26 Apr13 Feb15 Jan06 Nov25 (larrosa a)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 8.00 10% 9.50    
5  SIKARA SIKARA May02 Apr20 Mar01 Feb08 Jan15 (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  SKY HIGH SUSAN Apr20 Feb29 Dec30 Nov03 Jun29 (delany sarah)VARGAS P 118 12.00    
7  HART'S PRETTY GIRL Apr25 Apr06 Feb15 Dec27 Dec08 (landry ra)MCMAHON J 113 20.00    
8  APRIORITY CATCH Apr20 Feb23 Dec27 Dec09 Nov18 (thomas lee)MAGNON H 114 15.00    
9  BOSTON PAULETTE Dec15 Nov03 Sep11 Aug05 Jul15 (segura kearney)STOKES J 118 20.00    
10  FLAWLESS TAKEOVER Apr20 Dec20 Nov25 Nov08 Oct19 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 10.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  LOUISIANA LIBERTY Apr17 Mar13 Feb10 Jan11 Dec14 (castille carro)GREEN AUBRIE 118 5.00    
SCR  SWEET LITTLE ROSE Apr25 Mar16 Feb22 Dec10 Sep11 (mouton chadw)BARRERA J 118 15.00    
 
EVD-6   05/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 WET FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POP'S PEPPYSTEPER Apr10 Nov18 Nov03 Oct06 Jun17 (castille carro)THORNTON G 120 5.00    
2  SUMMERTIME PEPPERS Apr26 Apr10 Mar07 Feb16 Jan19 (knudsen kent)GREEN AUBRIE 117 8.00 7% 13.60    
SCR  TDZSHININLUCKYSTAR May04 Mar07 Feb03 Dec31 Dec09 (knudsen kent)ROSIER R 120 3.50    
4  PRODIGY PARADISE Apr26 Feb16 Jan19 Dec09 Nov18 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 3.00    
5  SOUNDS LIKE POWER Apr26 Apr10 Mar23 Mar07 Dec09 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
6  GARFISH Apr26 Apr06 Mar08 Feb08   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 4.00 44% 1.30    
 
EVD-7   05/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASTROLOGY GIRL Apr11 Feb29 Feb15 Jan19 Nov17 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 115 3.00 33% 2.10    
2  WARM FUZZIES Mar16 Feb12 Dec14 Nov16 Oct21 (knudse)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  CAUGHT MY HEART Jan25 Jan14 Dec10 Nov18 Jul18 (brinkman brett)STOKES J 123 8.00    
4  COUNTRY ANGEL Mar01         (woodley j)MCMAHON J 120 15.00 11% 8.10    
5  THISONEISFORYOU Mar21 Mar03 Feb17 Jun22 Apr28 (castille carro)THORNTON G 123 10.00    
SCR  A LIL PSYCHOTIC Apr27 Apr06 Feb25 Feb02 Jan11 (sanchez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 1.80    
7  HIDDEN LOVE Jan27 Dec28 Nov30 Nov02 Oct06 (gelner scott)FUSILIER C 123 5.00    
8  JILLY'S WEST Apr25 Apr06 Mar15 Feb16 Jan18 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 118 4.50 25% 3.00    
 
EVD-8   05/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIND FAITH Apr19 Feb18 Nov10 Oct18 Aug12 (brinkman bre)MAGNON H 118 10.00    
2  MAGAWILDTIME Apr19 Jan21 Dec08 Nov23 Apr21 (cormier winston)STOKES J 118 8.00    
3  GOTMY MO JO WORKIN Mar16 Dec30 Nov30 Nov04 Oct14 (charles keit)BARRERA J 118 4.50 ★    
4  SUNDAY BREEZE Apr19 Mar07 Jan27 Dec17 Oct24 (duhon paul)WADE LYNDIE 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  IRON IN THE FIRE Apr19 Mar21 Feb22 Dec21 Mar01 (landry r)THORNTON G 118 1.60 61% 0.60    
6  SAN JUAN HILL Dec30 Dec08 Oct27 Sep05 Aug12 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 118 15.00    
7  SONYA KNOWS BETTER May01 Apr12 Mar06 Feb16 Feb03 (fuselier jonah)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 8% 11.50    
 
EVD-9   05/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPHEROID May03 Apr17 Feb09 Jan27 Jan04 (alberto)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 2.00 18% 4.70    
2  HANKS May03 Feb24 Feb10 Jan06 Nov25 (wong jonatha)MAGNON H 118 3.50 52% 0.90    
3  TAKEN BACK Apr24 Apr12 Feb09 Dec14 Nov29 (segura kearney)STOKES J 115 15.00    
4  CALLINGINTHENIGHT May02 Apr17 Mar22 Mar06 Feb18 (ramirez eduard)SUAREZ ANGEL 115 12.00    
5  TURN ON THE MAGIC May03 Apr17 Mar08 Feb17 Nov23 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SMOKY TOPAZ May03 Apr17 Feb21 Feb09 Jan20 (richards coral)THORNTON G 118 5.00    
7  FLASHING ANGELBABY May03 Feb21 Nov10 Jul15 Jul06 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 115 2.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.