Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - May 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(3/4/9/6/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(3/4/9/6/7)-(7/3/2/6/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-2   WIN (3/4/9/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/9/6/7)-(3/4/9/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/9/6/7)-(3/4/9/6/7)-(3/4/9/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/9/6/7)-(7/3/2/6/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/4/9/6/7)-(7/3/2/6/8)-(2/4/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-3   WIN (7/3/2/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/6/8)-(7/3/2/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/6/8)-(7/3/2/6/8)-(7/3/2/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/2/6/8)-(2/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2/6/8)-(2/4/3)-(9/2/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-4   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(9/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(9/2/5/1)-(9/8/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-5   WIN (9/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/5/1)-(9/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/5/1)-(9/2/5/1)-(9/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/5/1)-(9/8/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/2/5/1)-(9/8/6/2)-(5/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-6   WIN (9/8/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/6/2)-(9/8/6/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/8/6/2)-(9/8/6/3/2)-(9/8/6/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/8/6/2)-(5/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/8/6/2)-(5/6/9)-(4/3/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-7   WIN (5/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/9)-(5/6/9/3/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/9)-(5/6/9/3/11)-(5/6/9/3/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/6/9)-(4/3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/9)-(4/3/1/8)-(6/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-8   WIN (4/3/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/8)-(4/3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/8)-(4/3/1/8)-(4/3/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/1/8)-(6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1/8)-(6/1/2)-(5/4/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-9   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(5/4/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-10   WIN (5/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/8/1)-(5/4/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/8/1)-(5/4/8/1)-(5/4/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   05/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  XCELLENT MEN Apr11 Mar24 Mar09 Feb09 Jan07 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 126 1.40    
PERSPICACIOUS BOY Apr21 Mar08 Sep14 Jul01 May13 (corrale)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 10.00 10% 8.90    
DANCE FOR GREEN Apr13 Mar16 Feb24 Jan07 Dec09 (robb j)TORREALBA JG 113 2.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  BOX N BEN Apr21 Apr06 Mar08 Feb04 Dec31 (mckenzie dan)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 8.00    
OPEN THE BOOKS Apr13 Feb10 Jan28 Jan08 Dec30 (mckenzie )HERNANDEZ F 126 8.00    
HAP'S VICTORY Feb04 Jan13 Nov20 Apr28 Feb10 (bryant donald )HIRALDO JOHN 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
BOLD HONOR Mar17 Mar03 Feb16 Jan12 Dec22 (eubanks annet)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 4.50    
STORMY FIRE Mar21 Mar06 Jan25 Dec15 Nov23 (rawlings am)HAMILTON WESTON 122 30.00    
 
LRL-2   05/03/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT-12:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FASHIONISTA Feb23 Feb08 Jan13 Dec22 Oct27 (allen ferris)MENA E 126 15.00    
SCR  PATRIA Feb25 Feb08 Jan21 Dec09 Oct21 (salazar marco)LOPEZ ANTONIO 126 20.00    
PINOTSLILGIRL Mar30 Mar01 Feb21 Jan26 Dec23 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
YOOOU KNOW Mar13 Feb14 Nov19 Oct15 Sep09 (cibelli ja)SANCHEZ J 126 3.50 17% 5.10    
MISS FOXANN Apr14 Mar28 Mar09 Dec06 Nov08 (farrior ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 8.00    
MELIPONINI BEE Nov17 Oct07 Sep06 Aug13 Aug03 (cooney )BRICENO GREGOR 126 5.00 7% 13.90    
LA TACHE Mar16 Mar22 Feb24 Feb08 Jan11 (sillaman richa)BOYCE FOREST 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCESS PALMER Oct26 Aug18 Aug04 Jun23 Jun09 (elamri hassan)CRUZ ANGEL 126 15.00    
TAK E LADY Nov10 Oct26 Sep30 Sep15 Sep01 (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 122 4.50 8% 11.70    
10  GIRLS HOUSE Apr20 Jan13 Dec02 Oct21 Oct01 (jones m)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 15.00    
SCR  CHUBLIN Mar15 Jan14 Dec17 Nov22 Oct28 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 118 20.00    
 
LRL-3   05/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST THE THING Apr05 Feb24 Feb03 Nov12 Oct26 (corrale)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 114 4.50    
FLAG SONG FLYIN Mar29 Mar08 Feb10 Dec29 Oct01 (gonzalez claud)TORREALBA JG 119 3.50 13% 6.70    
CHAMPAGNE DANCE Apr12 Mar24 Mar15 Feb23 Feb03 (wilson gregory)BOYCE FOREST 124 6.00 26% 2.90    
CHELLS GIRL Mar27         (jones e)CRUZ ANGEL 124 8.00    
VALLEY STAR Apr12 Mar02 Feb10 Jan07 Nov17 (salazar marco)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
NEVER MORE VALOR         (lawrence james)HIRALDO JOHN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
MIA'S ANGEL Mar23 Mar03       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 1.80 32% 2.10    
SHIRLEY KNOT Mar24 Mar14 Feb22     (allen ferris)MENA E 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
BUCKIN' LUCKY Apr26 Apr12 Mar29 Mar16 Mar02 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 6.00    
 
LRL-4   05/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HAPPY UNION Mar30 Mar22 Mar02 Dec30 Dec16 (machado a)CARRASCO R 123 1.80    
KEEN CONTENDER Feb22 Jan18 Nov18 Nov02 Oct16 (farrior ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.60 59% 0.70    
GOLD TIME VIXEN Apr13 Mar03 Feb11 Jan26 Dec30 (kee wil)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
LUCKY LORRAINE Mar23 Mar03 Feb11 Dec30 Nov25 (eppler e)ROJAS MARTINA 118 8.00 9% 9.90    
SWEET HEIDELBERG Apr13 Mar22 Jan07 Dec29 Dec09 (corrales jos)BATISTA A 123 20.00    
MYSISTERNANCY Mar30 Feb23 Feb02 Dec16 Nov24 (salzman e)TORREALBA JG 118 2.00    
 
LRL-5   05/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANY FOOLS GOLD Apr12 Mar29 Nov09 Oct16 Sep24 (haughto)BRICENO GREGOR 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
CONFLUENCE LASSIE Apr12 Mar02 Feb03 Jan14 Oct21 (keefe timot)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 124 3.50 16% 5.10    
PUT A ROCK ON IT Apr07 Mar23 Mar16 Feb24   (serey )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
TIA MAYIN Apr14 Mar29 Mar03     (salazar marco)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00    
LIFE AT BOTH ENDS Apr04 Mar15 Feb22 Jan31 Dec22 (mcmahon hugh)BATISTA A 124 10.00 7% 12.90    
SIPPIN' TIME Apr12 Dec03 Nov09 Oct22 Oct05 (smith d)TORREALBA JG 119 12.00    
FAITH AND LIBERTY Apr12         (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 124 12.00    
SCR  BYTHENUMBERS Mar23 Mar03       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 1.40    
SKIP THRU DA FIRE Apr12 Dec03 Nov17 Oct21 Sep22 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 5.00 38% 1.60    
 
LRL-6   05/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECTRIER Oct06 Sep20 Sep07 Aug19 Aug05 (sanchez-salomo)ROSADO JOHAN 123 20.00    
DISPUTED NOTION Apr14 Mar24 Feb17 Feb03 Jan12 (tapscot)BRICENO GREGOR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
WORKIN ON A DREAM Mar22 Mar08 Feb10 Jan27 Dec31 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 4.00    
PORCH SWING Apr19 Apr07 Mar22 Mar09 Feb24 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 123 3.00    
KRUG Apr12 Mar17 Feb10 Dec08 Nov04 (maldonado j)CARRASCO CARLOS 123 12.00    
ALBERTANO Apr07 Aug26 Jul27 Jun24 Jun04 (magee kiero)ROBLES O 116 15.00 17% 5.00    
ROCKY DICE Apr28 Mar30 Mar09 Feb03 Dec16 (horn elizab)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 30.00    
IRISH RIVIERA Mar27 Mar08 Feb10 Jan05 Nov23 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 5.00 21% 3.70    
HANALEI'S HOUDINI Apr13 Mar08 Feb08 Dec27 Nov29 (mcmahon i)TORREALBA JG 118 1.80 38% 1.60    
 
LRL-7   05/03/2024 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($41K) 35 M/F PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTRO Apr03 Aug23 Aug05 Feb17 Jan11 (moreno tito)CEDENO CAROL 126 30.00    
ARROGATES DREAM Mar30 Mar02 Mar05 Feb18 Jan16 (milosevic mila)BOYCE FOREST 122 50.00    
COMPASS RISES Nov05 Oct07 Sep22 Sep07 Aug09 (lawrence james )GOMEZ KEVIN 126 6.00    
LOVE SAGA Apr06 May29       (mcdermott sean)TORREALBA JG 121 15.00    
DARK POOL Feb21 Nov05 Oct05 Sep03 Aug05 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 126 2.00 55% 0.80    
QUEEN OF THE DANCE Mar30 Mar16 Feb03 Jul09 Jun12 (stidham mic)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 6.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  MISCHIEF MOTION Mar10 Feb09 Apr14 Mar24 Jan22 (tessore)BRICENO GREGOR 126 2.50    
COACH CALEY (IRE)         (russell britta)RENDON JAIRO 118 6.00    
KAKE'S TAP DANCER Sep22 Aug09 Jul08 Jun15 May24 (matz michael)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 3.50 5% 19.00    
10  IMAGINETHEODDS Apr07 Oct13 Sep30 Jul22 Jul02 (voss m)CRUZ ANGEL 126 10.00    
11  ACTIVE Mar09 Feb10 Jan07 Oct20 Sep21 (motion g)SANCHEZ J 118 8.00    
 
LRL-8   05/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($41K) 3 F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MATTIE         (white alexandra)DELGADO A 124 12.00 10% 9.00    
MISS AMAZING Nov04 Sep02       (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 124 12.00    
KILO ROAD Mar23         (mcmahon h)CARRASCO R 124 3.50 14% 6.00    
SPIRIT AND TRUTH         (capuano philli)TORREALBA JG 119 2.00 41% 1.40    
LADY LEMONCELLO         (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 124 5.00    
GETTOTHSTORYIMDONE Mar23         (russell britta)RENDON JAIRO 124 3.00    
SCR  ENKINDLE Apr13 Apr14       (bailes robe)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 20.00    
LEGEND OF LIGHT Mar29 Mar17       (cooney )BRICENO GREGOR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-9   05/03/2024 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SISTER SUPREAM Apr12 Mar09 Feb04 Dec31 Dec10 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  SIX O'CLOCK SARAH Mar24 Feb28 Jan28 Dec31 Nov26 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00    
OUR STRONG VOWS Oct29 Oct08 Sep08 Aug26 Aug12 (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
BOUND BY DESTINY Apr14 Mar24 Feb25 Dec15 Nov10 (mcmahon thom)ROSADO JOHAN 123 20.00    
DULCE KIARA Apr19 Oct14 Sep09 Aug10 Jul21 (demario char)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 12.00    
ISABELLA'S GLORY Nov17 Oct29 Sep22 Aug19 Jul21 (corrales )CARRASCO R 123 15.00    
PRINCESS JAVONCIA Jan20 Dec30 Nov17 Aug16 May11 (merryman eliz)KARAMANOS A 123 3.00 57% 0.80    
SCR  TRUE BLUE PEARL Apr19 Mar20 Feb25 Jan25 Dec31 (mcmahon hugh )ROJAS MARTINA 118 4.00    
SCR  MEETMEATTHEBEACH Apr25 Feb21 Feb07 Dec29 Dec14 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 123 20.00    
SCR  A NEW PEACE Mar30 Feb09 Jan19 Jan12 Nov26 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 123 2.00    
SCR  REMEMBER ME Apr14 Mar17 Mar10 Dec17 Nov25 (robb j)TORREALBA JG 113 20.00    
 
LRL-10   05/03/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 35 ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RETURN FIRE Apr06 Mar17 Mar01 Feb03 Jan13 (sanchez-salomon)MENA E 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
COMMON PROSPERITY Apr12 Mar02 Feb09 Dec30 Apr08 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 2.00    
RUDY RUDY RUDY Apr06 Mar30 Feb25 Feb02 Dec10 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 118 30.00    
CAVENDISH Mar23 Mar03 Feb14 Dec26 Apr08 (russell britta)RENDON JAIRO 126 2.50 27% 2.70    
SELASSIE Mar17 Feb17 Jan18 Oct26   (matz michael)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 3.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  BRIDGE TO SUCCESS Apr12 Mar08 Feb16 Dec09 Nov10 (geralis emanu)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 20.00    
GENERAL J R Apr12 Mar29 Mar02 Feb16 Dec29 (robb j)TORREALBA JG 121 12.00    
CORONATION TIME Apr06 Mar22 Mar09 Feb03 Jan12 (smith ham)CARRASCO R 114 5.00 6% 14.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.