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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Tuesday - April 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (3/2/5/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/10/4)-(3/2/5/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/10/4)-(3/2/5/10/4)-(3/2/5/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/5/10/4)-(1/3/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5/10/4)-(1/3/2)-(6/4/1/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-2   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(6/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(6/4/1/3)-(2/7/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-3   WIN (6/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/3)-(6/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/3)-(6/4/1/3)-(6/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/1/3)-(2/7/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1/3)-(2/7/1/6)-(1/10/9/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PRX-4   WIN (2/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/6)-(2/7/1/6)-(2/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/1/6)-(1/10/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1/6)-(1/10/9/8)-(1/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-5   WIN (1/10/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/10/9/8)-(1/10/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/10/9/8)-(1/10/9/8)-(1/10/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/10/9/8)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/10/9/8)-(1/2/5)-(2/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-6   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(2/5/4)-(7/2/4/8/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRX-7   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/7/4)-(2/5/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(7/2/4/8/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(7/2/4/8/3)-(1/3/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRX-8   WIN (7/2/4/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/8/3)-(7/2/4/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/8/3)-(7/2/4/8/3)-(7/2/4/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/4/8/3)-(1/3/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4/8/3)-(1/3/7)-(7/1/4/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-9   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/7)-(7/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7)-(7/1/4/8)-(11/8/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-10   WIN (7/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/8)-(7/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/8)-(7/1/4/8)-(7/1/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/4/8)-(11/8/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRX-11   WIN (11/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/8/5/7)-(11/8/5/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/8/5/7)-(11/8/5/7/9)-(11/8/5/7/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   04/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I AM THAT I AM Mar26 Mar08 Feb05 Jan08 Dec26 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 122 10.00    
2  JARLIAN Mar18 Feb20 Feb05 Jan10 Dec11 (ness jamie)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
3  SCREEN SAVER Mar26 Mar11 Feb21 Jan29 Jan03 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 125 3.00 31% 2.20    
4  CORKMAN Mar25 Feb20 Jan29 Dec13 Nov06 (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  WE BE THERE Mar27 Feb29 Feb05 Dec11 Nov14 (caban ca)RODRIGUEZ L 112 6.00 11% 8.20    
6  SUPER JOHN Jan29 Jan03 Sep07 Jul03 Jun13 (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00    
7  SILVER EDGE Mar12 Feb20 Dec26 Nov20 Sep23 (pollara )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 4.50    
SCR  SAMARONTI Mar11 Jan29 Jan02 Dec20 Dec06 (solis jacint)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 6.00    
9  FORECLOSURE Feb21 Jan26 Oct06 Sep22 Aug31 (moreno tito)RAMOS C 122 15.00    
10  LAKE NAKURU Mar15 Feb21 Jan18 Dec29 Nov01 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 6% 15.20    
11  SECRET PATH Mar26 Mar11 Feb12 Jan29 Jan02 (lake scott )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 10.00    
 
PRX-2   04/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMAN EMPIRE Mar26 Dec13 Oct18 Oct04 Jul15 (guerrero c)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
2  IMAGINE THIS Mar25 Feb20 Jan09 Dec19 Dec06 (pollara fra)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ESOR Dec19 Dec04 Sep07 Aug24 Jul04 (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 117 3.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  LONG LIVE NOW Mar26 Mar10 Feb17 Jan27 Jan06 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
5  TEQUILAMADEMEDOIT Mar26 Mar13 Feb26 Feb12 Jan24 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 10.00    
6  DISTURBED Mar12 Feb27 Feb14 Feb05 Dec19 (bravo-estra)RAMOS C 122 8.00    
7  MAJOR CAM Mar10 Feb17 Jan27 Jan06 Oct23 (soto- mart)SANCHEZ J 122 3.00    
 
PRX-3   04/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY DUDE Feb27 Jan01 Dec06 Nov20 Oct19 (krebs steven)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.50 16% 5.30    
2  LONG LEGGED BOY Mar12 Feb20 Jan10 Jan01 Dec19 (betancourt el)RANGEL JOEZER 122 10.00    
3  BOOM BOOM KABOOM Mar27 Mar13 Feb27 Feb14 Jan30 (gallimore trevor)CASTILLO A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  TOUGH WORKOUT Mar27 Mar11 Feb28 Feb19 Feb06 (wilson brenda)BOWMAN ADAM 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
5  THREEPETE Feb19 Oct24 Sep06 Aug03 Jun27 (castillo miche)ADORNO ABNER 122 6.00    
6  HOMETOWN HERO Mar25 Mar12 Feb20 Jan30 Jan09 (bravo-estra)RAMOS C 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
7  TROPHY ROOM Apr06 Mar01 Feb20 Dec18 Nov20 (iannotti t)SANCHEZ J 122 3.00    
 
PRX-4   04/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET TEMPTATION Apr02 Mar26 Mar12 Feb20 Feb07 (perez ton)CASTILLO A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  MOTITO Mar11 Oct24 Sep28 Sep15 Sep07 (lake scott )NUNEZ Y 122 3.50 54% 0.80    
3  WINE GODDESS Apr02 Mar11 Feb26 Jan30 Jan08 (hamilton)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 4.00    
4  INCONTROVERTIBLE Apr02 Mar13 Feb16 Jan11 Dec01 (meister willi)ROJAS MARTINA 117 2.00    
5  CASH ON FIRST Feb28 Feb07 Jan09 Dec13 Nov14 (aro c)RUIZ ELISEO 117 15.00    
6  ONLY GIRL Apr09 Mar26 Mar12 Feb14 Jan29 (hogan w)GONZALEZ LUIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  MAKE A SPLASH Mar26 Mar13 Feb16 Feb08 Jan11 (lucas bonnie)ADORNO ABNER 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
 
PRX-5   04/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE OF THE ONES Mar27 Mar04 Jan30 Dec19 Oct23 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
2  WINBORI Mar26 Mar13 Feb06     (whylie h)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 15.00    
3  MOLLY MALONE Mar26 Mar05 Feb28 Feb06 Jan30 (tapsas ilia)VASQUEZ WILFRED 118 10.00    
4  DROWNINGNCHOCOLATE Mar27 Mar04 Feb19 Jan03 Dec19 (krebs stev)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 8.00    
5  XERCES Apr02 Mar13 Feb27     (lake sc)GONZALEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
SCR  MABEE A MIRACLE Feb15         (ness jamie)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 3.00    
SCR  NEZY'S GIRL Apr01 Feb27 Feb06     (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 5.00    
8  MUMMALICIOUS Mar13 Jan30 Dec20 Nov08   (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  INTUITIONISTCLAIRE         (brown ho)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 12.00 9% 10.10    
10  WARRIOR ON THE RUN Apr03 Jan11 Dec13 Nov15 Oct25 (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 118 6.00 27% 2.70    
 
PRX-6   04/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHELL BELLE Mar18 Mar04 Feb20 Jan31 Dec18 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 1.80 39% 1.60    
2  SIRENETTA Apr02 Mar11 Feb21 Feb07 Jan02 (gallimore tr)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 2.00 21% 3.70    
3  CINNAMON DREAM Mar27 Mar11 Feb07 Nov28 Nov13 (penaloza)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 12.00    
4  APPEALINGTOTHE EYE Mar30 Mar04 Feb20 Feb07 Jan31 (rodriguez)VARGAS A 122 3.50    
5  ANGELIC GAL Apr02 Feb28 Feb02 Jan24 Jan12 (flores-coba f)RIVERA D 122 8.00 8% 10.80    
6  LULI'S DANCER Mar11 Feb26 Feb14 Jan02 Dec12 (pollara frank )MOYA F 122 4.00    
 
PRX-7   04/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSTIN DOWN DOORS Feb29 Feb08 Dec22 Dec08 Nov09 (moore mich)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 5.00    
2  DECOUPAGE Apr02 Feb26 Feb19 Jan10 Dec19 (wyner )RODRIGUEZ A 112 3.50 46% 1.20    
3  CATALON Mar20 Mar13 Aug30 Jul17 Jul02 (moore michael)OCASIO M 122 5.00    
4  PEACELOVENKARMA Mar19 Mar04 Feb26 Feb06 Jan29 (tapsas ilias)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  POWWA OF LOVE Mar20 Mar04 Feb20 Jan03 Dec19 (caban carlo)VASQUEZ WILFRED 125 2.50 21% 3.80    
6  BROAD JUMPER Mar20 Feb28 Jan29 Jan01 Dec12 (carango )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 20.00    
7  CAUSE I SAID Apr02 Mar25 Feb26 Jan29 Dec19 (lake a)AGUILAR JEAN 118 3.00 ★    
 
PRX-8   04/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PREDOMINATE Feb27 Jan29 Dec26 Dec06 Nov02 (aro michael )SAEZ SEBASTIAN 122 12.00    
2  BATON Mar26 Feb27 Jul03 May27 Apr13 (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 6.00 9% 9.80    
3  WYNN GIANT Mar12 Dec31 Nov14 Oct25 Oct09 (tapsas ilias)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  DREAM BIG DREAMS Mar18 Feb14 Feb05 Dec19 Nov20 (servis j )VARGAS A 125 5.00 9% 10.20    
5  DESANTIS Mar27 Mar11 Feb16 Jan09 Dec26 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 125 6.00    
6  SAL N LOUIE Mar25 Mar12 Feb20 Feb05 Jan09 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 122 12.00    
7  IT'S GAME TIME Mar20 Feb21 Jan29 Jan08 Nov20 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 125 4.00 49% 1.00    
8  MEGA CHARLIE Mar25 Feb20 Jan31 Jan08 Dec11 (soto- marti)RAMOS C 122 4.50 8% 11.50    
SCR  LORD WINSALOT Mar21 Feb22 Feb02 Jan19 Jan19 (kulp l)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00    
10  HEY PORTER Mar11 Feb12 Jan29 Jan09 Jan02 (castillo )RODRIGUEZ R 122 10.00    
 
PRX-9   04/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JW'STRICKYMISCHIEF Jul26 Jun09 May10 Mar28 Mar08 (guerrero guad)RUIZ ELISEO 117 6.00 36% 1.80    
2  FATIH Mar27 Feb07 Jan30 Nov27 Nov01 (catalano l)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.00    
3  CAPT. CANDY Mar27 Feb21 Jan31 Dec17 Nov20 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 3.50 25% 3.10    
SCR  KATE'S GOLDEN DUDE Mar26 Jul05 Jun06 May13 Apr26 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 3.00    
5  WOOD BE WILD Feb19 Feb07 Jan01 Dec01 Nov12 (linder loui)NUNEZ Y 122 6.00    
SCR  DATHOSS Mar18 Feb07 Jan30 Dec18 Dec06 (abrams jack)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 5.00    
7  PARDSY Apr01 Dec11 Nov08 Oct17 Oct02 (soto c)RAMOS C 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-10   04/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTERSPY Mar20 Mar04 Feb07 Jan30 Apr12 (mosco robe)SANCHEZ J 125 3.00 23% 3.40    
2  ELOQUIST Mar20 Dec20 Nov06 Oct17 Sep26 (crook-demasi ka)RUIZ ELISEO 120 6.00    
3  WILL E SUTTON Feb02 Nov22 Sep30 Aug18 Jul26 (moreno tito)RAMOS C 122 15.00    
4  WINDSOR GOLD Mar08 Jan31 Dec13 Nov15 Oct17 (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 6.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  MARTINI MARTIN Mar17 Feb17 Jan27 Jan01 Dec10 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00    
6  SCARAMOUCHE Mar18 Feb24 Jan20 Dec23 Nov17 (preciado)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 10.00    
7  RIDIN WITH BIDEN Sep23 Aug22 Jul08 Jun18 Jan28 (reid e)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.00 26% 2.90    
8  YODEL E. A. WHO Mar17 Feb17 Jan27 Dec20 Nov06 (ness jamie)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-11   04/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARLY HUSTLE Mar27 Mar12 Feb26 Feb07 Jan02 (wyner harold)AGUILAR JEAN 115 15.00    
2  A BIT BAD N BOUJEE Mar27 Mar12 Feb28 Jan30 Jan10 (brown ho)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 10.00    
3  BRODY SLAM Mar27 Mar12 Feb28 Feb07 Dec04 (wilson brenda)BOWMAN ADAM 122 15.00    
SCR  RISQUE'S JEWEL Mar12 Feb22 Feb06 Dec22 Dec11 (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 6.00    
5  SHE'S GOT GAME Nov13 Oct30 Oct04 Sep19 Aug30 (mccaslin john)PENNINGTON F 122 3.50 10% 9.30    
6  CANOOCHEE Mar12 Feb07 Jan10 Dec15 Nov29 (ramire)RODRIGUEZ A 112 12.00    
7  CLASSY MISS Mar27 Feb28 Feb06 Jan09 Dec20 (flores-cob)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  MELODIA Mar22 Jan31 Jan18 Dec22 Jul05 (zalalas m)RODRIGUEZ R 125 4.00 20% 4.10    
9  MISS LOYALTY Mar22 Feb28 Jan09 Jan02 Dec04 (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 10.00 ★    
10  LONDONDERRY Mar27 Feb07 Jan31 Jan10 Dec27 (caban ca)RODRIGUEZ L 112 15.00    
11  ERIN'S ENTHUSIASM Mar11 Feb28 Feb14 Jan29 Jan01 (aristone ph)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 5.00 47% 1.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.