Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Saturday - March 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (2/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/4)-(2/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/4)-(2/6/3/4)-(2/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4)-(1/6/2/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-3   WIN (1/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/2/7)-(8/6/10/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-4   WIN (1/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7/9)-(1/6/2/7/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/2/7)-(8/6/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/7)-(8/6/10/7)-(12/10/6/7/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-5   WIN (8/6/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/10/7)-(8/6/10/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/6/10/7)-(8/6/10/7/1)-(8/6/10/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/6/10/7)-(12/10/6/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/6/10/7)-(12/10/6/7/4)-(4/10/6/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-6   WIN (12/10/6/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/10/6/7/4)-(12/10/6/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/10/6/7/4)-(12/10/6/7/4)-(12/10/6/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (12/10/6/7/4)-(4/10/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (12/10/6/7/4)-(4/10/6/2)-(5/10/1/7/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-7   WIN (4/10/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/6/2)-(4/10/6/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/10/6/2)-(4/10/6/2/5)-(4/10/6/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/10/6/2)-(5/10/1/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/10/6/2)-(5/10/1/7/4)-(8/4/2/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-8   WIN (5/10/1/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/10/1/7/4)-(5/10/1/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/10/1/7/4)-(5/10/1/7/4)-(5/10/1/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/10/1/7/4)-(8/4/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HOU-9   WIN (8/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/2/3)-(8/4/2/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/2/3)-(8/4/2/3/7)-(8/4/2/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   03/30/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAZIL NUT Mar22 Feb18 Jan19 Jan06 Jun16 (kotara ronal)ALVAREZ L 123 6.00    
2  BOUGIE JOE Mar09 Feb02 Jan19 Dec02 Oct11 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 1.60 29% 2.40    
3  LITTLE FRAPPUCINO Mar02 Dec15 Jul19 May20 Apr28 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 8.00 14% 6.20    
4  BALI ROLLING TIDE Mar10 Oct05 Sep20 Sep08 Aug25 (werneth a)DIEGO V 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  KENTUCKY ICE Mar15 Jan28 Dec08 Nov17 Oct07 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00    
6  SOLDIERS SACRIFICE Mar09 Nov24 Oct07 Sep14 Oct21 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 123 4.00 20% 3.90    
7  KLIMTOMANIAC Feb18 Jan28 Jan19 May28 May12 (govea cesar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 3.00    
 
HOU-3   03/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 35 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET ME LOVE YOU Mar15 Dec13 Nov30 Nov13 Oct28 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.00 56% 0.80    
2  TAKE POINT Sep13 Jun23       (cravens ii)DIEGO V 119 20.00    
SCR  YOU'RE FIRED         (silv)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00 5% 17.40    
SCR  GIVE HIM TIME Feb25 Dec29 Oct08     (range)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  MAJESTIC CRAKEN Jan12 Dec22       (silva miguel)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 3.50    
6  SKI CAT Mar22 Mar01 Feb04 Jan07 Nov04 (cravens ii)DIAZ RENE 119 3.00 12% 7.10    
7  VICKIE'S GOLD Mar15 Apr02 Mar18 Feb03   (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 30.00    
8  CAJUN WARRIOR Feb09         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 4.00    
 
HOU-4   03/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARP LIKENESS Feb24 Sep16 Jun23 May20   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
2  SHINING EXAMPLE Mar08 Feb16 Feb02 Dec08 Jul01 (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  SWEET SLEW Jun18 May11 Apr30 Apr23 Mar03 (govea cesar)DIEGO V 121 15.00    
4  SHEZA HUNK Feb25 Jan20 Jan05 Jul03 Jun12 (ascencio j)MORALES X 121 30.00    
5  BOSSADUSU Mar02 Jan28 Nov24 Oct06 Aug18 (ashford trist)JARA FERNANDO 123 10.00    
6  MY LUCKY BREAK Mar15 Feb09 Jan04 Dec15   (youn)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 6.00 35% 1.90    
7  GO GO GO Feb16 Jan13 Dec15 Nov29 Oct25 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  POETIC UNION Mar24 Mar16 Feb09 Feb03 Jan13 (c)DE CRUZ 121 8.00    
9  BIDOFHONEY Feb02 Dec08 Nov10 Oct11 Sep14 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 4.00 ★    
10  CRIMSON LADY Feb25 Feb09 Jan28 Dec11 Nov13 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 15.00    
 
HOU-5   03/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 35 M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUCH ALOHA Mar16 Feb24 Jan07 Dec13 Nov29 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 8.00 ★    
2  EXPECT LAVENDER Mar22 Feb24 Feb11 Feb03 Jun23 (kotara ronald)BURGOS SAMUEL 123 15.00    
3  MEGAN'S MISS Mar16 Feb24 Oct12 Sep14   (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.50    
4  CHARMINGLY WITT Mar02 Feb18 Feb04     (davidson sar)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 12.00    
5  CREAM PUFF REAPER Feb19 Feb04 Jan07 Oct13 Sep13 (silva miguel)JARA FERNANDO 119 30.00    
SCR  GOLDEN SLEW Feb24 Feb03 Aug19 Jun03 May12 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 6.00 25% 3.10    
7  MS NIGHTINGALE         (kotara ro)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 30.00 6% 16.70    
8  ANGEL IN THE AIR         (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
9  TERE'SDRAMAQUEEN Feb11 Jan26 Jul01 Jun23 Jun15 (pish danny)ALVAREZ L 123 12.00    
10  DOC'S BUD Mar16 Jun23 May06 Apr15   (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 4.50 7% 12.70    
11  FREE DROP GYPSY Mar22 Feb24 Jan26 Jul01 Jun15 (govea cesar)BRACHO A 123 20.00    
 
HOU-6   03/30/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 35 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP DANCE TANGO Nov17         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 6.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of TOP HAT TANGO by GRAYDAR)
SCR  VINO TEXAS JESS         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 10.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SILK ROAD by FALSTAFF (IRE))
3  GWYNETH'S MALIBU Mar03 Jan20 May06 Mar11   (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 8.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MYSTIC MIRACLE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  BRILLIANT SPIN Mar10 Jan13 Dec01 Oct26   (gelner j)DIAZ RENE 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of THE TEA CUPS by HARD SPUN)
SCR  SUNNY SASSICAIA Feb18 Jul28 Jun17     (t)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 6.00    
  (by SASSICAIA out of FORTYSUNFLOWERS by FORTY WON)
6  BABY OF THE FAMILY Mar10         (martin james )CABRERA DAVID 123 10.00 11% 7.90    
  (by MIRACULOUSMO out of GOLDEN LEGS by GOULDINGS GREEN)
7  RICH MOUNTAIN         (sauceda je)MORALES X 119 20.00 7% 12.40    
  (by FLAT OUT out of ALL AMERICAN BELLE by AMERICAN CHAMP)
SCR  TOO MUCH LONG LEGS Mar17 Mar01 Feb19 Feb03 Jan05 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 30.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of TO MUCH CHITCHAT by FROST GIANT)
9  MR SNERDLY Sep24 Sep09       (pearson m)BRACHO A 123 50.00    
  (by SING BABY SING out of JIAS CURLS by CURLIN)
10  TRAVIS Mar10 Jan20 Dec02 Nov18 Oct07 (willis mindy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 4.50 16% 5.20    
  (by EXCAPER out of FOREVER SINCE by SUPREME CAT)
11  TIZ FABULOUS Mar10 Jan20 Dec01 Nov04   (jacks e)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 6.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of MEDAGLIA D'ARGENTO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
12  CARRY THE FLAG Mar15 Jan20 Nov24     (swift )HERNANDEZ A 114 5.00 42% 1.40    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of FLAGSTAFF by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
HOU-7   03/30/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMPLY SPEAKING Jul16 Jul17       (ascenc)HERNANDEZ A 116 50.00    
2  WEIRD YEAR Mar17 Feb18 Jan26 Jan05 Nov15 (rossi j)JARA FERNANDO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  BIG ROJO Mar16 Feb25 Feb09 Jan27 Dec14 (govea cesar)BRACHO A 121 12.00    
4  COLONEL KLINK Feb25 Jan06 Dec11 Nov14 Oct14 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 8.00 50% 1.00    
5  REQUISITION Mar17 Feb25 Feb09 Aug14 Jun19 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 121 10.00 ★    
6  STANS HOME RUN Feb25 Feb03 Jan12 Dec07 Oct28 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.00 9% 9.70    
7  BIG POWER RED Feb19 Feb03 Jan19 Jan07 Dec16 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 6.00    
8  HIT ONE OUT Nov10 Oct18 Oct04 Sep13 Sep01 (p)DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
9  BREW CREW Mar03 Dec29 Dec15 Nov21 Nov03 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 121 12.00    
10  ABSAROKA Mar01 Jan27 Dec09 Nov20 Oct20 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 121 4.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  GET WITT GONE Mar02 Jan26 Nov08 Oct21 Sep09 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 10.00    
12  FOREVAMO Jan19 Dec14 Dec02 Sep28 Aug21 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 15.00    
13  TEXAS TITAN Mar17 Feb19 Feb03 Jan12 Nov22 (payne dan)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 12.00    
14  TACTICIAN Mar08 Jan14 Feb23 Feb11   (ascencio j)MORALES X 121 30.00    
 
HOU-8   03/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLING ON THE LIGHT Mar08 Feb16 Jan20 Dec05 Oct04 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 3.50 9% 10.50    
2  PHUNK Mar15 Feb16 Jan19 Jul01 Jun16 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00    
3  DULCE AMANECER YG Mar03 Feb17 Feb04 Jan21 Jan07 (mendoza edgar )MORA GERARDO 119 30.00    
4  LIBBIES BABY Feb24 Feb03 Jul23 Jun03 Apr30 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SUCCESSFULPATH Jan27 Jan06 Nov21 Jul02   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 117 8.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  BLUEGRASS DIXIE Mar08 Aug27 Aug12 Jul16 Jul03 (ascencio j)MORALES X 121 30.00    
7  CAJUN DOLL Feb18 Jan27 Jan05 Nov30 Nov09 (dupuy allen)WETHEY JR 119 15.00 5% 18.40    
8  BLUE HEAVENLY Mar20 Mar03 Feb10 Jan27 Jan07 (govea c)GONCALVES R 119 15.00    
SCR  BLING DANCER Jul01 Jun16       (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 112 10.00    
10  RUBIANA Feb16 Mar10 Jan01 Nov27   (h)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 6.00 20% 4.00    
11  THE NEXT BIG BLING Mar08 Feb16 Jan26 Jan05 Aug28 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 4.00    
12  CROSS CLAIM Feb16 Jul01 Jun23 May12   (hebert matt)JARA FERNANDO 123 10.00    
13  SALTAMONTES DIVA Mar08 Feb16 Jan26 Jan05 Jul01 (padilla carl)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 20.00    
14  SING IT BESSIE Mar10 Jan20 Jun25 May05 Apr02 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 121 30.00    
 
HOU-9   03/30/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 35 M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ A KNOCKOUT Mar03 Feb16 Feb03 Jan07 Jun08 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 123 4.50    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TIZ CHAMP by TIZNOW)
2  MADE AN OFFER Mar01 Jan27       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 10.00 14% 6.40    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UNCONTROLLED by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  WHAT A RIDE         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ATLANTIC VOYAGE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
4  SKYVIEW DRIVE Mar03 Feb16 Nov08 Oct16 Sep28 (hebert matt)JARA FERNANDO 123 3.00 31% 2.30    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LA CLOCHE by GHOSTZAPPER)
5  PALACSINTA Mar03 Oct12 Sep09 Aug26 Aug03 (davis)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 20.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of WHOOPI by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  CLIMB TO GLORY Mar17 Sep30 Sep15 Sep02 Aug13 (pearson m)BRACHO A 123 30.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MAHVELOUS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  KARA         (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 119 15.00 ★    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of SHEBA'S SECRET by KINGMAMBO)
8  UTSIRA Mar03 Feb16 Feb03 Dec13 Feb19 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00 32% 2.10    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of FLOUNCE by MAJESTIC LIGHT)
9  CHARMING LEAH Feb16 Jan21 Nov10 Sep12 Aug24 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 123 20.00    
  (by LEA out of SPECIAL CHARM by DANSILI)
10  LEONE Mar03 Feb19 Feb11 Jul31 Jul03 (willis mindy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 15.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of TERRIFEE by MENIFEE)
11  FICKLE MISTRESS         (gustafson austin)DIEGO V 119 10.00    
  (by ENTICED out of MIGHTY FERRARI by SPECIAL RATE)
12  RESOURCE Jun24         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 12.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of REMIT by HUCKSTER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.