Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - March 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7)-(6/7/1/2)-(6/7/1/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/7)-(1/3/7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/7)-(1/3/7/2)-(4/1/9/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/7/2)-(4/1/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7/2)-(4/1/9/6)-(2/3/1/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/1/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/9/6)-(4/1/9/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/9/6)-(4/1/9/8/6)-(4/1/9/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/9/6)-(2/3/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/9/6)-(2/3/1/4)-(7/5/6/10/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (2/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/1/4)-(7/5/6/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/4)-(7/5/6/10/9)-(2/4/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-5   WIN (7/5/6/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/10/9)-(7/5/6/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/10/9)-(7/5/6/10/9)-(7/5/6/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/6/10/9)-(2/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6/10/9)-(2/4/5)-(5/3/4/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-6   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(5/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(5/3/4/7)-(7/4/12/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-7   WIN (5/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/7)-(5/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/7)-(5/3/4/7)-(5/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/4/7)-(7/4/12/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/7)-(7/4/12/6)-(9/8/1/2/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (7/4/12/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/12/6)-(7/4/12/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/12/6)-(7/4/12/6)-(7/4/12/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/12/6)-(9/8/1/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (9/8/1/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/1/2/3)-(9/8/1/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/1/2/3)-(9/8/1/2/3)-(9/8/1/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/01/2024 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEMINOLE AUSTIN Feb09 Oct31 Sep11 Jul20 Jun24 (fisher david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 8.00 ★    
2  DUKE OF DOOLY Feb17 Feb02 Jan17 Dec29 Dec20 (sepulveda ca)BATISTA A 123 2.50 ★    
3  GOOD BUMP Feb16 Oct22 Sep29 Sep08 Jul07 (minguet r)MALDONADO GABRIEL 121 10.00    
SCR  HIGHJUMP CHARLIE Jan17 Dec20 Aug10 Jul21 Jun30 (werneth rober)IORIO MELISSA 114 20.00    
5  OUR DARK COURAGE Feb17 Feb09 Jan17 Dec20 Dec08 (wasiluk p)HERRERA R 123 30.00    
6  SIR GOOSA Feb22 Jan24 Jan01 Sep22 Sep03 (orseno joseph )CEDENO CAROL 121 1.40 71% 0.40    
7  SIR DANIEL Feb16 Feb02 Dec30 Dec09 Nov12 (wasiluk pete)MORELOS E 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
8  HEZMORETHANREADY Feb21 Jan27 Jan07 Dec20 Nov01 (house gary)MENESES MARCOS 121 12.00    
 
TAM-2   03/01/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR LUMPALOT Feb16 Jan19 Jan05 Dec13 Nov24 (ness jam)GALLARDO A 118 1.80 41% 1.40    
2  ALBOROTO Feb16 Feb03 Jan06 Dec27 Oct18 (lopez r)IORIO MELISSA 111 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  FAST PAYDAY Feb07 Dec24 Nov25 Aug26 Aug19 (manning dennis)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50 25% 3.00    
4  HELLO SUCKER Feb09 Jan21 Dec27 Dec13 Nov24 (mcgoey monica)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00    
5  PLEASANT VALIANT Feb16 Feb02 Jan19 Dec20 Aug20 (o'connell ka)BATISTA A 118 3.50    
6  MY WAY OR NO WAY Jan19 Dec27 Dec01 Dec07 Nov05 (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 118 15.00    
7  B G LEE Jan26 Jan10 Dec27 Sep12 Sep04 (philipp kary)MENESES MARCOS 120 5.00 8% 12.30    
8  BLACK LIMO Feb02 Dec20 Oct15 Aug26 Aug03 (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 118 20.00    
 
TAM-3   03/01/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A FANCY SOLUTION Feb02 Dec09 Oct28 Sep30   (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 115 4.50 11% 7.80    
2  MANCHU SHOE Feb04         (carrascojr vic)MARIN SAMUEL 120 15.00    
SCR  DASH TO FINISH Feb16 Jan31 Jan19 Dec29 Dec20 (dobber arnoud)FUENTES MARIO 120 30.00    
4  MY GREAT ILLUSION Feb04 Jan07 Dec10 Oct07 Sep16 (crichton roh)ARROYO S 120 3.00 50% 1.00    
5  BRUSH RUSH Feb18         (smith robert )IORIO MELISSA 113 8.00    
6  INSPIRING HONOR Jan28 Jan10 Nov24 Oct21   (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MAGNUS EFFECT Jan28         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 8.00    
8  LAST RUN Feb23 Feb03 Jan19 Jan07 Dec17 (james gerald)FERRER C 120 6.00 ★    
9  CHASENTHEONE Feb16 Jan31 Dec29 Nov22 Oct20 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 3.50 10% 9.30    
10  FORTINBRAS Jan24         (rodriguez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 15.00    
SCR  SMOOTH AN EASY Nov22 Oct27 Oct15     (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00    
 
TAM-4   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINAHASPECSHOES Jan31 Jan17 Jan06 Nov09 Oct19 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 5.00 12% 7.40    
2  LA CHICA LATERAL Jan06 Dec06 Aug27 Jul15 Jul02 (barboza v)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 1.60 47% 1.10    
3  COUNTRYGIRL PRIDE Jan21 Dec29 Dec09 Nov24 Oct19 (smith g)CEDENO CAROL 118 2.50 16% 5.20    
4  CALENDULA Feb18 Jan24 Jan07 Dec06 Nov13 (mendieta alej)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  RUBYSA Feb18 Jan12 Dec30 Dec20 Nov25 (rodriguez an)BATISTA A 122 6.00    
6  KENYA SUN Aug02 Jun29 Jun03 Mar17 Feb12 (tsirigotis jam)ALLEN D 118 12.00    
7  PERFORMANCEANXIETY Jan31 Dec15 Dec06 Nov03 Oct25 (stormfelt ju)ARROYO S 118 12.00    
8  MAMBO DANCER (CHI) Feb18 Jan12 Dec20 Nov25 Oct13 (bowersock maria)FELICIANO R 118 20.00    
 
TAM-5   03/01/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ERUDITE (FR) Feb24 Jan26 Dec13 Jun30 May03 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 119 30.00    
2  HERE COMES BILLY Feb07 Jan21 Jan05 Dec01 Oct28 (nunn douglas)IORIO MELISSA 112 12.00    
SCR  ARUBA (IRE) Jan28 Dec23 Oct06 Jul28 Jul08 (abreu r)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.60    
4  DON'T BLAME FREDDY Jan06 Oct11 Sep15 Aug28 Aug05 (wilson tony)MENDEZ KEVIN 119 30.00    
5  TORO FORWARD Feb14 Jan05 Dec13 Oct11 Sep24 (aguayo r)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 6.00 24% 3.20    
6  PRALINE'S CAT Feb14 Jan24 Jan05 Nov24 Nov04 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 119 4.50 6% 15.20    
7  IT'S GRAVY Feb14 Jul16 Apr01     (breen j)CENTENO E 119 4.00 43% 1.40    
8  TIGERITO Oct06 Jun15 May19 Feb22 Jan05 (smith r)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 15.00    
9  LAS OLAS Jan21 Dec31 Dec06 Oct08 Sep17 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  STORMY VICTORY Feb14 Dec31 Oct20 Aug24 Aug03 (crichton roh)ARROYO S 119 12.00 6% 16.50    
SCR  HALLANVAARA Oct19 Sep30 Sep03 Aug20 Jul09 (holder tedst)NICHOLLS KEVEH 114 30.00    
12  LORD OF THE NILE Feb16 Jan06 Nov24 Oct06 Jul01 (dobber ar)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 20.00    
 
TAM-6   03/01/2024 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOMINEERING Feb04 Dec30 Dec16 Nov29 Sep22 (perkinson cc)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50    
2  TIZ HERSELF Jan28 Jan10 Dec16 Oct21 Sep14 (rigattier)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 2.00 39% 1.60    
3  CAPTURE MY DREAMS Feb18 Jan17 Dec30 Dec09 Oct06 (rarick lynn)IORIO MELISSA 111 20.00    
4  CHEM MAJOR Feb04 Jan03 Dec16 Nov25 Oct26 (hayford jenn)ARROYO S 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
5  A RING THING Feb16 Feb08 Jan11 Nov11 Oct13 (romero rafael)CEDENO CAROL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISTY GALE Jan28 Jan06 Dec20 Oct31 Sep20 (falk jacquelin)MBATHA LUCKY 111 20.00    
7  AFERDITA Feb11 Jan17 Jan03 Dec16 Nov29 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 3.00    
 
TAM-7   03/01/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($54.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGICAL MARRIAGE Jan27 Jan03 Dec09 Sep15 Jul21 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 122 20.00    
2  MOHS Feb03 Dec24 Apr16 Sep05 Aug14 (mcburney patri)CASTANON L 118 12.00    
3  WINFROMWITHIN Feb03 Dec23 Nov05 Sep21 Feb04 (morey william )CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 26% 2.90    
4  GOLDEN GLIDER Aug12 Jul16 Jul01 Dec26 Jul29 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 118 10.00 13% 6.70    
5  KUBRICK (IRE)         (brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 1.60 35% 1.90    
6  GIANT GAME Nov24 Nov04 Aug25 Aug05 Jul08 (romans dale)CENTENO E 118 4.00    
7  DREAMING OF KONA Jan27 Dec23 Nov11 Oct10 Sep23 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  APRIL FOOLS ANDY Feb03 Dec23 Dec09 Oct12 Sep28 (moysey chelsey)CEDENO CAROL 120 20.00    
 
TAM-8   03/01/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHROMED IMPULSE Jan26 Jan14 Dec27 Oct06 May30 (cahill steven)MORALES PABLO 118 15.00    
2  VOLTAMOUR Oct14 Sep07 Aug10 Jul15 Dec05 (mcgoey monic)MENESES MARCOS 118 30.00    
SCR  JOE'S HAD ENOUGH Feb16 Jan27 Dec15 Nov08 Jun06 (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
4  HIGH BROW Feb09 Jan20 Dec24 Dec16 Nov24 (posadas pedro)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 6.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  SMILE BRYAN Feb04 Jan19 Aug26 Aug18 Jul07 (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 111 8.00    
6  MR TITO'S Jan28 Apr20 Mar25 Feb25 Jan21 (vazquez m)TORRES R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  SHANE'S JEWEL Jan27 Jan07 Dec01 Nov01 Oct20 (ness jam)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 54% 0.80    
8  TWO BY TWO Feb10 Dec30 Sep14 Aug04 Jul09 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 118 6.00    
SCR  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Jan27 Jan10 Aug02 Jun25 May27 (rodriguez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 4.50    
SCR  STREET GLIDE Feb09 Jan27 Sep15 Aug04 Jun30 (manning dennis )CENTENO E 118 8.00    
11  DEEP FAITH Feb14 Jan27 Dec15 Oct20 Sep20 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00    
12  H C HOLIDAY Feb14 Jan27 Dec24 Nov18 Nov05 (wright michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 6.00 6% 15.60    
 
TAM-9   03/01/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  E MINOR Jan17 Dec23 Oct26 Sep18 Aug29 (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 119 6.00 10% 9.30    
2  BALLINDINE Feb14 Jan05 Dec13 Nov24 Oct06 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 112 5.00 7% 13.90    
3  RANSEUR Feb21 Feb07 Jan21 Oct19 Sep14 (carvajal )RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MUSIC GEM Feb14 Oct24 Sep13 Aug30 Aug18 (perkinson c)VILLASMIL EDGAR 119 30.00    
5  BAD HENRY Feb09 Jan26 Jan06 Dec09 Nov22 (wasiluk peter )CEDENO CAROL 119 30.00    
6  PHRASEOLOGISM Jan21 Jan06 Dec24     (lilly jam)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 30.00    
7  MORETHANICANHANDLE Feb14 Jan06 Dec01 Oct06 Sep09 (breen ke)GALLARDO A 119 3.50    
8  HUMBLE WARRIOR Feb14 Jan06 Nov16 Oct10 Sep13 (granitz anth)MENESES MARCOS 119 4.00 10% 9.20    
9  JEBY Jan25 Dec23 Oct27 Sep08 Aug11 (plesa j)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.00 46% 1.20    
10  COMMANDER BIZ Feb21 Feb11 Dec01 Sep29 Sep08 (agostini arth)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 15.00    
SCR  BOLD BLUE Feb21 Jan21 Dec27 Dec16 Mar15 (barron rory)ALLEN D 119 15.00    
SCR  ROCK CHALK Jun17 Mar19 Feb26 Feb05 Jan27 (smith ro)CASTANON L 119 20.00    
SCR  DIAL HIM UP Jan24 Jan06 Dec22 Dec06 Nov22 (mendieta ale)MORELOS E 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.