Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - January 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(4/5/6)-(3/7/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-4   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(3/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(3/7/2/6)-(6/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-5   WIN (3/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/2/6)-(6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2/6)-(6/4/3)-(5/8/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-6   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(5/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(5/8/6/1)-(9/11/7/12/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-7   WIN (5/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/1)-(5/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/1)-(5/8/6/1)-(5/8/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/6/1)-(9/11/7/12/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-8   WIN (9/11/7/12/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/11/7/12/2)-(9/11/7/12/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/11/7/12/2)-(9/11/7/12/2)-(9/11/7/12/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   01/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEWEL AZUL Aug12 Jul19 Jul08 Jun24 May27 (woolley ben)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 5.00 16% 5.10    
2  LUNAR UNIT Jan04 Oct01 Sep06 Aug02 Jun13 (vitali j)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  CAIRO MOON Dec20 Nov25 Oct28 Oct14 Sep27 (cappellucci dick)VALDEZ S 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
4  ROPERS N WRANGLERS Jan01 Dec17 Dec01 Nov12 Nov02 (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 1.60    
5  WILLOWMYGIRL Oct14 Sep02 Aug06 Jul16 Jun18 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00    
 
TUP-4   01/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITHOUT EQUAL Jan07 Dec23 Nov24 Nov13 Oct21 (lund va)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 6.00    
2  CLASSICAL Dec17 Nov18 Oct27 Oct01 May04 (evans justin)CRUZ M 124 4.00    
3  SOUTH COAST ROUTE Oct27 Sep23 Sep04 Aug26 Oct23 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 3.00    
4  BARON'S SONG Dec05 Oct18 Sep15 May06 Apr18 (zimmerman jon)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
5  ADMIRAL HALSEY Aug26 Apr02 Feb20 May08 Mar20 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00 34% 2.00    
6  ICE STORM Aug11 Jul22 Jun09 May19 Mar11 (moreno carlos)PENA BRYAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-5   01/31/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'D RATHER DANCE Sep12 Aug15 Jul31 Jul11 Jun26 (vitali j)PENA BRYAN 124 4.50    
2  SHILSHOLE BAY Oct08 Sep18 Sep10 Aug26 Aug11 (lawrence )VALENZUELA A 118 5.00 6% 16.50    
3  KAMIKAZE BLUE Dec17 Nov08 Oct19 Oct05 Aug30 (lund valori)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 1.60 57% 0.80    
4  SNOOZY SUZY Jan05 Nov14 Oct20 Sep30 Sep14 (torres-casa)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00    
5  HAUGHTY KITTY Dec06 Nov19 Nov13 Oct22 Oct08 (simpson sh)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00    
6  ADORABLE WISH         (homer jason)LULL E 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  FEEL FREE Dec04         (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 4.00 12% 7.20    
 
TUP-6   01/31/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EAST RAND Nov21 Oct29 Oct21 Oct06 Sep07 (valerio r)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
2  PUSH THROUGH Dec20 Oct25 Aug03 Jul26 Jul09 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50    
3  OUR VALLEY Dec11 Oct29 Oct15 Sep13 Sep04 (gleason ti)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  HOLY EMPEROR Jan11 Nov21 Oct14 Sep30 Sep15 (dennison d)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
5  MAD LUTHER Oct28 Oct07 Sep01 Jul29 Jul15 (matt l)CORBETT W 122 5.00 ★    
6  SIGNOFTHECROSS Dec09 Nov19 Oct21 Sep13 Aug26 (ferguson curt)VALDES ALEXIS 122 1.20 46% 1.20    
7  SMOOTH PAPA Dec04 Nov07 Oct31 Oct22 Oct16 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 20.00    
 
TUP-7   01/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BITCOIN BURGLAR Nov14 Sep19       (zi)DA FAUSTO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  DADS DIVA Dec05 Oct13       (alvarez se)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 12.00    
3  RUBY RAY Nov25 Mar12 Feb20 Jan29   (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 4.00    
4  ENGLISH MEADOW Oct01 Aug19 Jul03 May29   (person a)MAWING A 124 6.00    
5  DUKE GIRLS Dec05 Sep24 Jul29 Jun30 May13 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
6  STARDUST DREAMS Apr01 Mar12       (guerra jacque)CORBETT W 124 5.00 16% 5.10    
7  FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Apr19 Mar27 Mar12 Feb03 Jan13 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
8  GODDESS OF WAR Dec31 Apr01       (lund valori)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
TUP-8   01/31/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST AS FAST CAN B Sep28 Sep18 Jul27 Jul06 Apr25 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00    
2  OUR HY ROLLER Oct08 Sep17 Sep04 Aug19 Aug06 (baze robert)PENA BRYAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HERMISTON Jan12 Mar26 Feb26 Feb13 Jan24 (lavanway da)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 15.00    
SCR  PAINTED SMOKE Dec12 Nov07 Oct22 Oct06 Sep17 (diaz luis)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00    
5  IMPASSIONED CLAIM Oct13 Aug26 Jul31 Jul02 Jun19 (whitehouse wilt)CORBETT W 124 15.00    
6  WESTERN CHARM Dec05 Nov21 Oct14 Sep10 Aug27 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 124 20.00    
7  JOHN GREY Oct14 Jul22 Jun26 Jun08   (fales mat)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  HARBOR THUNDER Aug12 Jun10 May05 Apr04 Mar06 (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.00    
9  FULL BORE Jan11 Dec12 Oct28 Oct01 Sep15 (woolley ben)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 6.00 31% 2.20    
10  PIRATE MISCHIEF Dec12 Dec05 Oct28 Oct13 Sep16 (leon alexis)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
11  THIRSTY Dec06 Nov22 Oct30 Oct18 Sep17 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
12  YOU'RE MY BOY KAT Jan11 Dec05 Nov21 Oct13 Jul30 (nelson am)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.