Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Friday - December 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (2/10/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/10/4)-(2/10/9/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/10/4)-(2/10/9/4)-(2/10/9/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/10/4)-(3/9/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/10/4)-(3/9/6/7)-(6/3/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-2   WIN (3/9/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/6/7)-(3/9/6/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/9/6/7)-(3/9/6/7/5)-(3/9/6/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/9/6/7)-(6/3/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/9/6/7)-(6/3/1/5)-(8/2/10/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-3   WIN (6/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/5)-(8/2/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/5)-(8/2/10/7)-(7/9/3/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-4   WIN (8/2/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/10/7)-(8/2/10/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/2/10/7)-(8/2/10/9/7)-(8/2/10/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/2/10/7)-(7/9/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/10/7)-(7/9/3/6)-(8/2/4/9/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-5   WIN (7/9/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/3/6)-(7/9/3/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/9/3/6)-(7/9/3/6/5)-(7/9/3/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/9/3/6)-(8/2/4/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/9/3/6)-(8/2/4/9/6)-(11/6/10/8/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LRL-6   WIN (8/2/4/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/4/9/6)-(8/2/4/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/4/9/6)-(8/2/4/9/6)-(8/2/4/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/4/9/6)-(11/6/10/8/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/2/4/9/6)-(11/6/10/8/2)-(7/2/5/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LRL-7   WIN (11/6/10/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/6/10/8/2)-(11/6/10/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/6/10/8/2)-(11/6/10/8/2)-(11/6/10/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/6/10/8/2)-(7/2/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/6/10/8/2)-(7/2/5/9)-(7/4/6/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-8   WIN (7/2/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/9)-(7/2/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/9)-(7/2/5/9)-(7/2/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/9)-(7/4/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LRL-9   WIN (7/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/8)-(7/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/8)-(7/4/6/8)-(7/4/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   12/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CRAZY ODDS Nov23 Oct22 Oct05 Sep06 Aug18 (bentley fennek)BOYCE FOREST 122 30.00    
2  GREAT DAYS AHEAD Dec16 Jul15 Jun23 May14 Apr20 (parram derric)CHAVEZ ANDRES 118 5.00 61% 0.60    
3  ENTRUST Oct28 Oct19 Aug12 Jul12 Jun30 (gorham michael )MENA E 125 6.00    
4  STRONG FINISH Dec01 Nov12 Oct22 Oct05 Apr15 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  VICTORS VALIANT Dec10 Nov06 Oct21 Oct10 Sep11 (gaudet lace)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 4.50    
6  GREAT CALL Dec09 Nov10 Oct07 Sep09 Sep01 (meyers )ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 6.00    
7  O T C WIZ Dec01 Nov04 Oct13 Jun02 Feb18 (demario charl)ROJAS MARTINA 116 30.00    
SCR  TWICE GOLD Dec09 Dec01 Jul07 Jun10 May05 (voss katharin)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 4.00    
9  JOLLY BY GOLLY Dec10 Nov26 Oct21 Oct07 Sep02 (smith ham)CARRASCO R 125 6.00 ★    
10  RENNIE Nov26 Nov02 Oct13 Sep01 Aug19 (bailes r)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 12.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  BORUFF Dec01 May05 Apr16 Mar05 Jan27 (braccia)BRICENO GREGOR 125 20.00    
 
LRL-2   12/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEETMEATTHEBEACH Dec14 Dec02 Nov17 Nov09 Oct15 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 118 30.00    
2  ALAS AND ALACK Dec09 Dec01 Nov24 Jan08 Dec11 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 121 15.00    
3  MISS STONES Nov13 Sep12 Aug08 Jul09 May21 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
4  SWEET HEIDELBERG Dec09 Oct26 Oct11 Aug31 Jul04 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 123 6.00    
5  JACKSON'S DIXIE Dec15 Nov24 Nov04 Oct27 Oct01 (howard david )ROJAS MARTINA 120 3.50 ★    
6  GRACE AND CHARM Dec08 Nov15 Sep22 Sep04 Aug10 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 5.00 6% 15.10    
7  O SHAUGHESEY Dec09 Nov02 Sep30 Sep02 Jul22 (patterson ke)BARBOSA JEIRON 125 10.00 5% 18.70    
8  LADY SERENITY Dec01 Nov10 Oct26 Oct21 Oct08 (salzman john )CHAVEZ ANDRES 118 8.00    
9  LOVELY LIZA Dec03 Nov17 Oct29 Oct05 Sep04 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.50 21% 3.70    
 
LRL-3   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GATE SONG         (allard edward )BOYCE FOREST 122 4.00 6% 15.80    
  (by ARROGATE out of SHANANIES SONG by ELTISH)
2  BLUE TRILLION Dec08 Nov12 Nov02     (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 122 10.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of MIDDLE JEWEL by MAGNA GRADUATE)
3  DESTINATION         (vera miguel)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CAUGHT DREAM'N by BLAME)
4  MADDIE TEN         (russell b)CARRASCO R 122 6.00    
  (by MITOLE out of BLUE UNION RAGS by UNION RAGS)
5  LA MACCHINA ROSSA         (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 8.00 6% 16.30    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of KATIE LANE by QUALITY ROAD)
6  HEART         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.60 36% 1.80    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ADORE by BIG BROWN)
7  KEEP IT SAFE Dec08         (samaniego jos)ROJAS MARTINA 117 30.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of SPUNKY SPARROW by ATTORNEY)
8  SHARED AUTHORITY         (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 15.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of ALGOWILD by ALGORITHMS)
 
LRL-4   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROWNEDCOUNTCRISTO Dec17 Dec08 Nov12 Oct22 Sep22 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 119 12.00    
2  FREE SQUARE Nov25 Nov11 Oct14 Oct06 Sep01 (farrior antho)ROJAS MARTINA 118 2.00 27% 2.60    
3  DIXIE GIANT Nov05 Oct27 Sep29 Sep10 Aug11 (sullivan ell)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 8.00    
SCR  BIG HAMBONE Nov24 Nov03 Sep30 Aug31 Jun18 (dove k)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 30.00    
5  HIS ROYAL G Dec09 Nov25 Oct22 Sep22 Sep01 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 122 30.00    
6  MOCEPHUS Dec09 Dec01 Nov16 Oct14 Oct06 (serey ma)RODRIGUEZ L 109 30.00    
7  REMEMBERING WILBUR Dec10 Dec01 Nov16 Nov03 Oct26 (sanchez-sal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  RAD PAISLEY Nov01 Oct11 Sep04 Aug11 Jun30 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
9  VELVET GHOST Dec09 Nov03 Sep08 Aug25 Aug12 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 123 4.00 ★    
10  HE HATE ME Nov26 Oct27 Oct10 Sep19 Aug28 (dove ke)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 6.00 11% 8.50    
 
LRL-5   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREAKING RULES Nov23         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 122 8.00    
2  TOHONORSTELLE Dec08         (kee j)DELGADO A 122 12.00    
3  MY CATHOLIC GIRL         (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 122 15.00 6% 14.60    
4  MISSY BOSS Nov23 Oct01 Aug24 Aug11   (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 20.00    
5  FLAG SONG FLYIN Oct01         (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 122 3.00 ★    
6  LORRAINE'S WAY         (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00 6% 14.60    
7  CHAMPAGNE DANCE Sep03         (wilson gregory)BOYCE FOREST 122 5.00 38% 1.70    
8  LISA'S PALACE Oct20 Sep29 Aug25 Jul19   (gonzalez claudi)MENA E 122 6.00    
9  REE NEE'S SIX Dec02 Oct18       (magee kieron)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.00 27% 2.70    
10  SHEHERHERS Dec02 Nov12 Oct13     (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 122 6.00    
 
LRL-6   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN THUNDER Dec10 Nov19 Nov03 Oct27 Oct12 (mohan d)BRICENO GREGOR 123 30.00    
2  ASSEMBLY POINT (BRZ) Nov26 Mar19 Feb26 Jan29 Jan08 (sullivan el)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 14% 6.00    
3  FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY Dec10 Nov19 Oct12 Sep16 Jul21 (allen ferri)ROJAS MARTINA 118 15.00    
4  LOOKIN FOR JUSTICE Nov26 Oct27 Sep02 Jul30 Jun24 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00 10% 8.60    
5  VIRGINIA FULLA Dec10 Oct20 Oct12 Sep24 Sep03 (mckenzie )HERNANDEZ F 123 1.00    
6  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Dec13 Nov18 Oct28 Aug13 Jul31 (kee willi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 30.00 10% 8.80    
7  PRINCE KHOZAN         (mccue eliz)ROWLAND MADELINE 123 15.00    
8  OXIDE Dec10 Nov03 Oct21 Oct12 Jun18 (gaudet lacey)CHAVEZ ANDRES 116 2.00 24% 3.20    
9  MY BOY COLTON Dec02 Nov18 Oct12 Aug20 Jul30 (serey ma)RODRIGUEZ L 113 30.00 10% 8.70    
10  PATRIOTIC PARTY Dec02 Nov10 Oct27 Oct14 Sep02 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 123 12.00    
11  POWER BACK Nov12 Oct27 Oct05 Sep08 Aug18 (graham robin)BATISTA A 123 10.00    
12  SCIENCE (IRE) Dec17 Nov25 Nov05 Oct21 Sep08 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 20.00    
SCR  NOTION TO TAPIT Nov29 Nov12 Nov04 Oct20 Oct06 (serey jr)DELGADO A 123 30.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN LAD Nov18 Oct28 Aug03 Jul07 Apr20 (leaf ro)BRICENO GREGOR 122 30.00    
SCR  CLOSER LOOK Sep07 Aug10 Jul21 Jun29 Jun04 (allen ferri)ROJAS MARTINA 118 20.00    
SCR  NEPOTISM Dec04 Nov22 Oct13 Sep25 Aug27 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00    
 
LRL-7   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MR. ANTONELLI Sep22 Aug19       (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 122 12.00    
2  BYK Nov25 Oct05 Apr30 Apr07 Feb20 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00 5% 18.50    
3  GOODAFTERNOONOSCAR Nov09 Oct20 Sep08 Aug27 Aug05 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 122 20.00    
4  GREAT HEAVENS Dec03 Nov09 Aug04 Jul02 Jun10 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 122 8.00    
5  AMPERSAND Dec08 Oct28 Oct13 Sep15 Feb24 (mcmahon hugh )ROJAS MARTINA 118 8.00    
6  HEADS OR TAILS Dec08 Nov25 Nov03 Oct18 Sep20 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 5.00 26% 2.90    
7  FOLE'S NOTION Dec08 Nov09 Sep16 Aug24 Aug03 (perri gin)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 30.00    
8  BRILLIANT ICE Jun24 Jun11 May25 Mar31 Mar18 (eubanks an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 6.00 5% 18.20    
9  CLASS ACTOR Dec01 Nov12 Sep29 Aug03 Jun24 (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 30.00    
10  ASSUME NOTHING Nov26 Oct08 Aug05 Jul10 Jun13 (de hora)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 10.00 8% 11.70    
11  ROMINSKI Dec01 Nov03 Mar24 Mar04 Feb11 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 126 2.00 35% 1.90    
12  UNION FLEET Jun24 Jun03 May05 Mar31 Mar10 (magana j)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 20.00    
SCR  ELLE'SBIGSEACRET Dec13 Dec01 Nov02 Oct20 Aug05 (ginter raymo)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 20.00    
 
LRL-8   12/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MONDAY MORNING QB Dec08 Nov23 Nov12 Nov02 Aug26 (ginter raymond)BOYCE FOREST 123 20.00    
2  SWILL Oct14 Sep10 Jul20 Jun17   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 2.50 24% 3.10    
3  KARAN'S NOTION Dec02 Nov10 Apr29 Mar18 Feb26 (heil nancy )LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 20.00    
4  SPUN AND WON Dec15 Nov01 Sep24 Sep03 Jul14 (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00    
5  BROTHER CONWAY Nov23 Oct18 Oct05 Sep15 Sep01 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 126 6.00 16% 5.40    
6  DIVINE ARMOR Nov26 Nov11 Sep03 Jul30 Jun18 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.00    
7  JOHNYZ FROM ALBANY Dec02 Nov10 Oct14 Sep24 Sep02 (capuano phill)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.50 30% 2.30    
8  THREES OVER DEUCES Nov18 Nov01 Jul29 Jun14 May20 (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 15.00    
9  GOLDEN CANDY Dec11 Nov03 Oct18 Sep28 Aug17 (neilson w)CARRASCO R 126 20.00 8% 10.90    
 
LRL-9   12/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 35 ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT KOSTAS Nov26 Nov10 Sep15 Aug11 Jul22 (machado a)CARRASCO R 125 15.00    
2  MARVIN'S GRAY Dec09 Nov18       (walter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 30.00    
3  I WANNA ROCK Dec09 Nov19 Oct13 Aug30 Jun01 (aguirre an)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 4.00    
4  DANGEROUS MIND (IRE) Nov15 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 Aug31 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
5  TELECAST Nov18 Nov02 Jul01 Jun12 May06 (alvarado diane)ROSADO JOHAN 122 10.00    
6  GENERAL J R Dec09 Nov18 May11 May04 Apr06 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 125 15.00 14% 6.20    
7  MARYLAND MOON Dec09 Nov25 Nov04 Aug04 Jul08 (gaudet lacey)CHAVEZ ANDRES 118 1.00 32% 2.20    
8  WILLIAM'S CAUSE Dec06 Nov13 Oct30 Sep18 Sep05 (babcock rebecca)MENA E 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.