Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - November 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(2/3/4)-(6/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(6/1/3)-(1/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(1/2/6)-(8/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(8/3)-(9/1/4/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/3)-(8/7/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (8/3)-(8/7/3)-(8/7/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (8/3)-(9/1/4/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/3)-(9/1/4/8)-(1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-6   WIN (9/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/4/8)-(9/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/4/8)-(9/1/4/8)-(9/1/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/1/4/8)-(1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (9/1/4/8)-(1/4)-(2/8/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(2/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/3)-(2/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/3)-(2/8/3)-(2/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVANESCO Nov16 Nov26 Nov09 Oct20 Sep29 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50 12% 7.10    
2  DR RENDEZVOUS Jul15 Jul01 Jun03 May11 Apr20 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
3  WINDSOR'S STAR Nov16 Oct27 Oct05 Sep07 Aug03 (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 119 6.00 11% 7.80    
4  LASTWALKTOFREEDOM Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug05 May12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50    
5  J. WICK Nov08 Oct19 Sep28 Jul13 Jun23 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00    
6  MISSIONARY Oct28 Oct07 Mar30 Feb16 Jan06 (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.00    
 
CT-2   11/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIS ROYAL G Oct22 Sep22 Sep01 Aug05 Jul26 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 124 8.00    
2  RAISE A SPEIGHTS Nov17 Oct18 Oct06 Sep14 Jun24 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 1.40 32% 2.10    
3  HAPPY CHARLIE Nov04 Sep27 Sep01 Jul21 Jul01 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 124 3.50 26% 2.80    
4  ROYAL THUNDER Oct18 Sep04 Aug27 Aug05 Jun24 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 16% 5.40    
5  ROCKY DICE Nov04 Oct06 Sep29 Sep01 Aug11 (murdock stephen)PELTROCHE F 124 6.00    
6  SUPER QUALITY Nov04 Oct07 Aug03 Jun18 Apr28 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 2.50    
 
CT-3   11/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMBERLY Nov16 Nov08 Oct26 Oct13 Sep28 (ramos ago)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
2  HERETODAYGONMANANA Nov03 Oct18 Sep16 Aug19 Jul28 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50    
3  BEST VIRGINIA Oct18 Aug12 Jul22 Jul06 May05 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 1.80 16% 5.40    
4  WINDSOR'S PLAY Nov03 Oct18 Oct13 Sep15 Aug12 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00    
5  BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD Nov03 Oct14 Sep02 Jul22 Jul01 (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 124 8.00    
6  SKY BUY Oct27 Oct05 Sep15 Aug03 Jun25 (perri gina)ALVELO C 120 4.00 31% 2.30    
 
CT-4   11/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMPIN JACK BRASS Oct13 Sep23 Sep02 Aug12 Jul14 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 37% 1.70    
2  XANTHE Nov10 Oct18 Jun02 May12 Apr15 (moschonas geras)RODRIGUEZ V 118 3.50 33% 2.00    
3  MARINA GRANDE Oct14 Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Jun30 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 2.50    
4  POLISH THE DIAMOND Oct14 Sep23 Sep09 Aug25 Jul15 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 4.50    
5  LONG LEGS LOUISE Aug19 Jul28 Nov30 Nov02 Oct13 (lewis r)MAWING A 120 20.00    
6  DIXIE YODELER Nov10 Oct21 Sep07 Aug05 Jul06 (davis e)HO WESLEY 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   11/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIMETOGETUP Nov08 Oct25 Oct05 Sep07 Jul01 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 15.00    
SCR  JUBA'S PARADE Nov04 Oct14 Sep30 Sep09 Aug12 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50    
3  WHATTA NOTION Oct25 Oct26       (cruz jesus)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  NO DENYING DENIS Nov11 Oct14 Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00    
SCR  GOOD ACCELEBRATE Oct18 Sep21 Sep09 Aug26 Aug02 (williams )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00    
6  AIM'S JUBILEE Nov04 Oct14 Sep14 Sep02 Aug12 (reggetts stephe)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00    
7  BARBERS POINT Nov04 Oct14 Sep08 Aug15 Jul29 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00 ★    
8  MAGGIE'S GIRL Nov04 Oct14 Sep02 Aug25 Jul28 (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 122 1.00 68% 0.50    
 
CT-6   11/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DULCIMER DAME Nov09 Jun10 May09 Mar30 Mar23 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00 16% 5.20    
2  BABA Oct26 Oct06 Sep08 Aug25 Aug03 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00    
SCR  AFANDI Nov04 Oct13 Jul27 Jun25 Jun02 (dunham berna)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 12.00    
4  SMOOCHINWITHCINDY Oct14 Aug26 Aug11     (robb j)HO WESLEY 120 10.00 9% 9.80    
5  COMPLETE SURPRISE Nov09 Oct26 Sep20 Aug12 Jul08 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
6  KALENJIN Nov04 Oct13 May27 May06 Apr15 (cornwel)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00    
7  DRY WELL Nov04 Oct15 Sep17 Aug19 Jul27 (walter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00    
8  LACE REVOLUTION Nov09 Oct26 Aug12 Jul22 Jun10 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00 9% 10.50    
9  SIDESWIPED Nov09 Oct26 Oct05 Sep18 Aug18 (stites w)MONTANO JOSE 122 1.80 39% 1.60    
 
CT-7   11/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST West Virginia Futurity Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUBAWITHATWIST Oct14 Sep29 Sep02 Aug05 Jun30 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 0.60 52% 0.90    
  (by JUBA out of ROMANTIC CORK by DENIS OF CORK)
2  GOLD CREATIONS Oct13 Sep22       (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ACCESSORIZE by ECSTATIC PRIDE)
3  CANDY FOR JUBA Oct12 Sep16 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
  (by JUBA out of CANDY MAN'S GIRL by CHARITABLE MAN)
4  KING KONTIE Oct14 Sep29 Sep09 Aug05 Jul14 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 1.40 25% 3.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of JUMELLE SPRINGS by MORE THAN READY)
5  MAKANI Nov04 Oct14 Oct06 Sep15 Aug31 (figgins o)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 117 20.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of NASHI by E DUBAI)
 
CT-8   11/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRADLEY DO RIGHT Nov03 Oct20 Oct12 Sep16 Jul21 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 6.00    
  (by STORMY'S MAJESTY out of STAR OF TAURUS by ALDEBARAN)
2  ROBBIELIKESHIM Nov03 Oct13       (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.00 28% 2.50    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of HARBIN ICE by FIRST DUDE)
3  WHALE OF A RUN         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00 14% 6.10    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of FOLLOW THE WHALES by CIVILISATION)
4  ESTRELLA FUGAZ Nov03 Oct13 Sep22     (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of SUYAI by FIBER SONDE)
5  GOOD BUZZ Nov03 Oct12 Sep22     (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of SPIN AGAIN by HARD SPUN)
6  SEATTLE PRINCE         (craig lew)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
  (by LORD OF GREATNESS out of MUGU by BELLAMY ROAD)
SCR  CATCH THE HUMOR Nov03         (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50    
  (by GIRVIN out of SOURCE OF HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  OUTLAW BILLY         (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 26% 2.90    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of TOP TIARA by ARCHARCHARCH)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.