Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - November 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/5)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-2   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(2/6/5)-(4/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(4/3/1)-(1/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-4   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(10/5/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (10/5/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/1/9)-(10/5/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/5/1/9)-(10/5/1/9)-(10/5/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/5/1/9)-(7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/5/1/9)-(7/6/4)-(6/8/9/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-7   WIN (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/4)-(7/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/4)-(7/6/4)-(7/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/4)-(6/8/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-8   WIN (6/8/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/9/4)-(6/8/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/9/4)-(6/8/9/4)-(6/8/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   11/06/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEMO'S FORTUNE Oct17 Sep18 Aug22 Jul24 Jun28 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 4.50 ★    
2  RILEY BEE Oct24 Oct10 Sep26 Sep12 Aug29 (lopez ar)DAVIS A 121 10.00    
3  DESTIN HOOFMAN Sep26 Aug30 Aug07 Jul24 Jun28 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 15.00    
4  TRITON'S CREED Oct23 Oct02 Sep13 Aug07 Jul10 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.50    
5  SHE SPEAKS WELL Oct23 Oct10 Oct02 Sep18 Sep06 (maver eduardo)ROHENA JR 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  COLOR COMMISH Oct10 Sep18 Aug15 Jul25 Jun28 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 1.00 68% 0.50    
 
FL-2   11/06/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELLA SPEED Oct20 Aug15       (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 2.50 8% 11.40    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of DEAREST ELLA by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  IDA DE NILE Oct16 Sep27 Aug28     (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 121 8.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of NILE RISING by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
3  NICOLENA P. Oct16 Sep27       (sells ra)DAVIS A 121 8.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of BLINDSIDEHIT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
4  JAYCE AND LIAM Oct16 Sep20 Aug01     (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by UNION RAGS out of NICKEL by NICHOLAS)
5  JOYFUL SOUL Oct16 Oct03 Sep11 Aug15   (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 6.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of CAUSEWAY GHOST by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  EQUINAMOUS Oct18 Sep27 Aug28 Jun12   (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 121 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by CONNECT out of STORMY PERON by HARD SPUN)
 
FL-3   11/06/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CENTRAL LOVE Oct24 Oct09 Sep25 Sep13 Aug22 (oyola david)DAVILA A 119 4.00    
2  K P ALL SYSTEMS GO Oct13 Sep02 Jun22 May28 Nov11 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
3  CRYPTO CAUSEWAY Oct25 Oct09 Sep12 Aug28 Aug02 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.50    
4  BERT BERT BERT Oct10 Sep22 Aug24 Aug03 Jul03 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 118 8.00    
5  COLTEN GOES Oct25 Sep26 Sep12 Aug22 Aug09 (smith julie)FRET STEVEN 121 10.00 11% 8.40    
6  GINNSU WARRIOR Oct24 Oct09 Sep18 Sep06 Aug22 (d'aless)NAVARRO J 124 2.50 19% 4.40    
 
FL-4   11/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Shesastonecoldfox Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORLD BANK         (sells rachel)SONE Y 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DONYA by ANABAA)
2  TOMAKI Oct16 Sep27       (progno michael)COA J 118 3.50    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of ANTE UP MY FRIEND by FRIEND OR FOE)
3  SHE SHE'S SHADOW Aug30         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 114 5.00 15% 5.50    
  (by BUCCHERO out of ELUDING by KRIS S.)
4  SWEET BROWN SUGAR Oct18         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 118 1.60 55% 0.80    
  (by COLLECTED out of RACHEL'S BLUE MOON by BODEMEISTER)
5  UNBRIDLED SISTER         (huertas)NAVARRO J 114 10.00    
  (by STEPHANOATSEE out of BEAUTIFUL HELEN by PRIME TIMBER)
6  MAGGY'S PALACE Sep25 Aug15       (grusmark)DAVIS A 118 2.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SISTER MARGARET by PULPIT)
 
FL-5   11/06/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITH KNOW NAME Oct21 Aug10 Oct30 Sep22 Aug26 (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 121 2.00 51% 1.00    
2  REUNION TOUR Oct23 Sep26 Aug29 Jul19 Jun25 (d'aless)NAVARRO J 124 3.50    
3  EIGHT SUNSET DRIVE Oct24 Sep26 Sep13 Jul19 Jun28 (cook w)FRET STEVEN 121 12.00    
4  STORMANDY Oct10 Sep12 Aug21 Aug09 Jul10 (ferraro michae)COA J 121 3.00 15% 5.80    
5  LORENZEN Oct23 Oct10 Sep26 Sep12 Aug21 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 6.00 8% 11.10    
6  SMART STORM Oct24 Oct10 Sep12 Aug29 Aug01 (gutterson ka)HARKIE K 124 10.00    
7  MAGIC PRO Oct23 Oct10 Sep20 Sep12 Aug29 (lopez arcadio)ROHENA JR 124 8.00    
 
FL-6   11/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITT DASHING SPEED         (progno michael )ROHENA JR 121 8.00 15% 5.70    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of SHE'S GOT THEFEVER by GOLD FEVER)
SCR  WITT LASTING SPEED Oct24 Oct10 Sep26 Sep12 Aug29 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 121 8.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of SMART EYES by MIDAS EYES)
SCR  GOLDDIGGERS PALACE Oct16 Sep25       (buckley)NAVARRO J 121 8.00    
  (by PALACE out of DANCER DIANNE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  FATHER OF LIES May14 Apr21 Mar10     (dixon k)ALVARADO R 121 5.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of OLD TIME RELIGION by BUDDHA)
4  GOTTA CONNECT Oct16 Sep18 Aug07 Jul10 May15 (barrow paul)ROHENA M 121 6.00    
  (by CONNECT out of ARISIA by DECLARATION OF WAR)
5  THE CATILLAC KID Oct18 Sep18 Aug21 Jul24 Jun05 (barrow pau)DE EMANUEL 121 3.50 28% 2.50    
  (by REDESDALE out of BLUE CATILLAC by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  TROJAN MULE         (huertas )DAVIS A 121 15.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of BEAUTIFUL HELEN by PRIME TIMBER)
7  UNCLE KENDRIC Oct16         (breed jr)CRUZ JOEL 124 12.00    
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of GONNA BE LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
8  TATER AND TOT Jan07 Dec17 Oct21 Sep29 Sep04 (englehart je)HARKIE K 121 6.00    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of CHIC STREET by STREET SENSE)
9  SINALOA Oct21 Sep18 Sep04 Aug03 Jul21 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of CHATILLON by GHOSTZAPPER)
10  RIPE FOR MISCHIEF Sep04 Aug03 Jun11 Apr07 Dec15 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ELUSIVE RUMOUR by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
FL-7   11/06/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASETA Oct23 Oct09 Sep27 Sep18 Sep04 (murphy timot)HARKIE K 124 8.00    
2  LUCKY MANNY Sep26 Sep04 Aug01 Jul19 Jun28 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 124 2.50    
3  EASY SHOT Oct10 Sep13 Aug23 Aug07 Jul17 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 5.00    
4  MATTY'S EXPRESS Oct25 Oct09 Sep25 Sep11 Aug28 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00 20% 4.00    
5  FLAT BILL Oct23 Oct10 Sep27 Sep11 Aug28 (gutterson katlynn)CRUZ JOEL 122 15.00    
6  PARADE FIELD Oct23 Oct11 Sep11 Aug28 Jul31 (lecesse michae)COA J 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
7  RUNABOUT Oct25 Sep26 Aug02 Jul11 Jun01 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 124 2.00 26% 2.90    
 
FL-8   11/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DEVIOUS MO Oct09 Sep19 Aug22 Aug01 Jun14 (shaffer ri)DE EMANUEL 120 5.00    
2  DROSEL DIEM Oct25 Oct09 Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 122 12.00    
3  QUAD PARTY Oct17 Oct03 Sep12 Aug28 Aug14 (murphy timot)HARKIE K 124 15.00    
4  CAPE COD GEM Oct18 Nov22 Nov09 Oct18 Oct04 (miller-saul be)COA J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  BOWING SNOWMAN Oct17 Oct09 Sep12 Aug29 Aug08 (muller thom)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 8.00    
6  MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI) Oct13 Jan19 Oct17 Sep20 Aug19 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 1.60 58% 0.70    
7  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE Oct18 Oct04 Sep21 Sep12 Aug14 (breed ro)DAVIS A 124 8.00    
8  NUTSIE Oct25 Oct11 Sep25 Sep05 Aug28 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 124 6.00 16% 5.40    
9  CAN'T BEAT ME Oct09 Sep11 Jul26 Jul03 Jun13 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.