Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - November 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(1/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(1/5/2)-(7/1/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(7/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(7/1/4/2)-(4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/2)-(7/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/2)-(7/1/4/2)-(7/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/4/2)-(4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4/2)-(4/2)-(1/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/2)-(1/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(1/6/7)-(4/10/3/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/7)-(4/10/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/10/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/3/8)-(4/10/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/10/3/8)-(4/10/3/8)-(4/10/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/03/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD BUZZ Oct12 Sep22       (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of SPIN AGAIN by HARD SPUN)
2  RACING HOT LINE Oct14 Sep16 Sep01 Aug11   (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 27% 2.60    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of RANSOM PAST DUE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
3  BRADLEY DO RIGHT Oct20 Oct12 Sep16 Jul21 Jun30 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00    
  (by STORMY'S MAJESTY out of STAR OF TAURUS by ALDEBARAN)
4  VALHALLA'S PALACE Oct13 Sep16       (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of RANSOM DUE by CATIENUS)
5  TWO BRONZE STARS Sep29 Aug31 Aug05 Jul14   (brion )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.20 48% 1.10    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MOUNTAINEER CAT by EVEN THE SCORE)
6  CATCH THE HUMOR         (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50    
  (by GIRVIN out of SOURCE OF HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
CT-2   11/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARROWWOOD Aug19 Aug12 Jul22 May25 Apr28 (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 117 4.00 20% 3.90    
2  CONSTITUTIONALRAGE Oct17 Sep26 Sep11 Aug28 Aug04 (bryant donal)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 5.00    
3  RIDE THE RAPIDS Oct21 Sep30 Sep16 Sep09 Aug25 (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 118 3.50 16% 5.20    
4  MISSAWLET Oct14 Sep30 Aug03 Jun17 May28 (milosevic mila)ARAUJO DENIS 122 4.50    
5  TIZBIT Sep30 Sep14 Aug26 Aug05 Jul20 (gillespie a)CULLUM W 124 15.00    
6  LADRO DI FICHI Oct21 Sep26 Aug19 Jul22 Jul06 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.40 40% 1.50    
 
CT-3   11/03/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOOT THE BREEZE         (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
  (by JUBA out of BREEZIE WEEZIE by NOT FOR LOVE)
2  RIDE THE BRAND         (grams tim)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 4.50    
  (by SUPER NINETY NINE out of SWEETEST MEMORY by OUTFLANKER)
3  MARSHALL PEANUT         (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GANDHI out of CROOKED AGAIN by TASTE OF PARADISE)
4  SEABROOK ISLAND Oct13         (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of MIRACLE PRINCESS by MASTER RICK)
5  DANTE'S INFERNO         (johnson r)CULLUM W 122 5.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of HOT SAUCE by PRIZED)
6  ROBBIELIKESHIM Oct13         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 57% 0.70    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of HARBIN ICE by FIRST DUDE)
7  ESTRELLA FUGAZ Oct13 Sep22       (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 122 8.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of SUYAI by FIBER SONDE)
 
CT-4   11/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRAVEL SMART Oct18 Jun16 May20 Apr28 Jul02 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
2  BOUNDTOBEOK Oct18 Sep30 Feb09 Jan14 Dec08 (sigler g)LARROSA G 124 3.00 15% 5.50    
3  HERETODAYGONMANANA Oct18 Sep16 Aug19 Jul28 Jul20 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50    
4  SUPERSNAKE Oct18 Sep30 Sep17 Sep08 Aug18 (murtaugh andr)BATISTA C 122 6.00    
5  BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD Oct14 Sep02 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 122 2.50 16% 5.40    
6  WINDSOR'S PLAY Oct18 Oct13 Sep15 Aug12 Jul22 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00    
 
CT-5   11/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BALBOA Oct20         (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 4.50 21% 3.80    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of ROCKABYE LADY by ROCK HARD TEN)
2  JUST MURPHY (IRE) Oct13 Sep22 Apr20 Apr08 Mar09 (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of REYKJAVIK by SCAT DADDY)
3  THEIRREGISTRDIMNOT Oct13 Sep29       (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 121 30.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of LIL LADY BIG PURSE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  ESPRESSO Oct13 Sep29 Sep08     (brown a)RODRIGUEZ V 121 5.00 7% 13.30    
  (by JUBA out of UP CLOSE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
5  PREPPYFIED         (curtis f)ARAUJO DENIS 121 8.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of PREPPY by CURLIN)
6  JUBA'S MOCHA Sep30 Sep09 Aug17 Jul21 Jul13 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 30.00    
  (by JUBA out of WHERE'S THE LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  JUST CALL ME AL Oct13 Sep22 Sep01 Aug10 Jul20 (cromer lesli)WHITACRE GRANT 121 1.80 46% 1.20    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of CALLER WHAT U WANT by CALLER I. D.)
8  GREATANDGOOD Oct13 Sep22       (jones e)BOCACHICA O 121 6.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SO STUNNING by JUMP START)
9  ALDARIGHTTRICKS Oct13 Sep22 Sep01 Aug10 Jul22 (lewis r)MAWING A 121 6.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of RETURN TRICK by PUT IT BACK)
 
CT-6   11/03/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TATOR MADE Oct13 Sep28 Sep07 Aug24 Jul07 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 6.00    
2  CALERA LOVE Sep22 Sep01 Jun15 May11 Apr29 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  CAROLINA SUN Oct15 Sep04 Aug03 Jul15 Jun25 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00 ★    
4  ONLY KIDDING Jul16 Jun15 Apr20 Mar30 Feb08 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 1.40 69% 0.40    
5  KILBRITTAIN'S RED Oct25 May27 May04 Apr20 Mar03 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 118 4.50    
6  ASUE Oct06 Sep07 Aug10 Jul19 Jun28 (stites w)MONTANO JOSE 120 5.00    
 
CT-7   11/03/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM BOARDER (CHI) Oct21 Sep21 Aug06 Jul13 Jun02 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 3.50 61% 0.60    
2  BRISTOL CHANNEL Oct28 Aug27 Aug17 Jul21 Jul01 (covello)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 20.00    
3  INSIDE RISK Oct21 Sep30 Sep21 Sep04 Mar11 (caison jody)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00    
4  MR TINGLES Oct20 Sep30 Sep21 Sep09 Jul28 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 113 10.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN FROSTY Oct21 Aug17 Jun11 Jan12 Dec05 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.60    
6  SHIP THE GOODS Sep24 Sep02 Jul14 Apr30 Mar10 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.00 10% 8.60    
7  GOLDEN G Oct20 Sep30 Sep16 Jul28 Jul13 (gillespie)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 8% 11.30    
 
CT-8   11/03/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEVETHEVANDRIVER Sep30 Sep03 Aug27 Aug10 Jul28 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50    
2  PRINCE OF FENTON Sep02 Aug10 Jul14 Jun22 Jun02 (laguna ho)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00    
3  SO COURAGEOUS Oct07 Jul02 Apr28 Apr07 Mar10 (patterson kev)RIVERA JAVIER 120 5.00 9% 9.70    
4  MONTAUK DADDY Oct20 Sep26 Sep14 Sep01 Jul28 (spriggs tos)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  HINK'S PALADIN Oct11 Sep30 Sep18 May27 May06 (johnston r)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00    
6  PROTA Oct13 Sep29 Aug31 Aug10 Jul27 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
SCR  CRIMSON ROCKET Oct20 Mar26 Feb24 Feb12 Jan21 (magee kieron)BATISTA A 122 8.00    
8  BIG HAMBONE Sep30 Aug31 Jun18 May13 Apr28 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  BIG DADDY D R Oct20 Sep29 Sep09 Aug31 Aug10 (utterback barr)REAP E 122 12.00    
10  HEY CONGRATS Oct20 Sep30 Sep01 Jul27 Jun22 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50 12% 7.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.