Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - October 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(3/6)-(4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/6)-(4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(4/1)-(5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/1)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(5/1/2)-(3/6/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(3/6/4)-(6/7/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(6/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(6/7/2)-(1/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/2)-(6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/2)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2)-(1/3/4)-(5/3/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(5/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/8)-(5/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/8)-(5/3/8)-(5/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/26/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DATS A SUPERSTAR Oct12 Aug27 Aug13 Jul27 Jul12 (robb j)HO WESLEY 124 4.00    
2  BAYLIS STREET Jul08 May20 Mar17 Feb20 Jan28 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.60 57% 0.80    
3  CURLIN'S DOVE Oct05 Sep14 Aug24 Jul29 Jul08 (pickett)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00    
4  DEVIN ON EARTH Oct05 Sep03 Aug24 Jul28 Jul07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.40 15% 5.60    
5  GREAT DEVOTION Oct05 Sep14 Aug24 Aug03 Jul14 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  FESSIN UP Oct05 Aug31 Aug18 Jul28 Jul17 (comi ralph)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 15.00    
 
CT-2   10/26/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SISTER JOANN Oct15 Oct02 Aug30 Aug21 Jul27 (hess g)BOCACHICA O 124 2.50    
2  MOIRAINE Oct12 Aug26 Aug12 May25 Apr28 (spriggs toschia)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.00 ★    
3  ULTRA DIVA Oct16 Oct02 Sep13 Aug30 Aug15 (ewell s)SIMPSON JASON 124 1.40 78% 0.30    
4  MOJO MATTERS Oct07 Sep07 Aug12 Jul22 Jul14 (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00    
5  C TWO Oct05 Sep02 May27 Mar04 Feb12 (atkins will)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00    
6  I'M A TOTAL DIVA Aug26 Jul14 Apr29 Jul01 Apr14 (mckee e)CECIL Y 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  RISKSRHIGHPAYISLOW Sep09 Aug26 Jul14 May12 Mar30 (atkins michael)CHILO MAXIMO 122 12.00    
 
CT-3   10/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACKYSINTHECASTLE Sep30 Sep16 Aug26 Jul13 Jun17 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  APPEALING ROAD Oct07 Sep16 Aug19 Jul13 Jun30 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00    
3  HOW IS SHE Oct07 Jul20 Jun23 May25 May05 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00    
4  STRONG WILLED Sep09 Jul28 Jun30 May25 Dec17 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 65% 0.50    
5  LOVE OF GRACE Sep30 Aug19 Jul28 Jul01 Jun10 (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.50 ★    
6  SMOKIN LADY Sep16 Aug26 Jul27 Jul01 Jun01 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00    
7  EX RATED Sep16 Sep09 Jul28 Jul01 Jun16 (jackson a)BOCACHICA J 113 8.00    
 
CT-4   10/26/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S A REAL HONOR Sep30 Sep07 Aug24 Aug11 Jun30 (joy kev)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 1.40 24% 3.30    
2  LIL BUNNY Aug29 Aug24 Jul20 May18 Mar31 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 4.00 13% 6.90    
3  POWER SONDE Sep30 Aug11 Jul07 May18 Apr07 (bourne j)LARROSA G 122 6.00    
4  WARRIORINTHEHOUSE Sep30 Aug11 Jun30 Apr15 Feb22 (aylor l)CECIL Y 120 15.00    
5  JUJU ON DA BEAT Sep30 Sep07 Aug24 Jul20 Jul08 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 36% 1.70    
6  LET'S DO THIS Sep30 Sep07 Jul20 Jul07 Jun17 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
 
CT-5   10/26/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOUGH ENOUGH Oct18 Sep30 Sep22 Sep02   (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 3.00    
2  EMBERLY Oct13 Sep28 Sep15 Sep07 Aug24 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 124 6.00    
3  RIVER REWARDS RVF Oct13 Sep15 Aug26 Jul27 Jul06 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.50 39% 1.50    
4  WITNESS THE ENERGY Jun02 May14 Apr29 Feb18 Feb04 (lucas ant)BOCACHICA J 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  DAPHNE'S FIRE Oct13 Sep01 Jul30 Jul02 Jun17 (comi w)HO WESLEY 120 4.00    
6  SKYLAR'S SISTER Sep01 Jul15 Jun25 Jun02 May14 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  IRISH VALENTINE Sep15 Aug18 Jul15 Jun02 Apr29 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 15.00    
 
CT-6   10/26/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURCHARGE Oct06 Sep16 Aug17 Aug02 Jul18 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
2  ZUPITA Oct07 Sep27 Aug22 Aug10 Jul03 (esquivel )CORREA L 120 6.00 12% 7.50    
3  COMIDA COMIDA Oct06 Sep21 Sep02 Aug03 Jul13 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 3.50    
SCR  SEEMS TO WHISPER Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 Jul07 Jun09 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00    
5  RED PRIESTESS Sep15 Aug19 Aug02 Jul13 May26 (nicholson junio)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
6  WATCH ME DISAPPEAR Oct05 Sep02 Jul14 Jun23 Jun10 (robb j)HO WESLEY 124 1.80 41% 1.40    
7  LIKELY CHOICE Oct06 Sep15 Aug30 Aug07 Jul11 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
 
CT-7   10/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN BELL Aug17 May12 Aug01 May15   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60 58% 0.70    
2  SHERIFF'S KID Oct06 Sep14 Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
3  ROCK ROSE Aug31 Jul29 Jul08 Jun11 Apr30 (farrior)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 2.00 11% 7.90    
4  COMPLETE SURPRISE Sep20 Aug12 Jul08 Jun10 May05 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 10% 9.30    
5  LACE REVOLUTION Aug12 Jul22 Jun10 May05 Mar02 (shanley mark)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
6  SIDESWIPED Oct05 Sep18 Aug18 Jul27 Jul05 (stites w)MONTANO JOSE 118 10.00    
7  BABA Oct06 Sep08 Aug25 Aug03 Jun10 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
 
CT-8   10/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS Oct09 Sep16 Aug19 May11 Apr20 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 10.00    
SCR  GOLDEN SALLY Sep30 Sep07 Aug19 Jul20 Jul13 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
3  SNEAKY LYNK Sep16 Aug24 Jul01 Jun10 May25 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 11% 8.50    
4  IMINCHARGENOW Sep30 Jul20 Jun17 May04 Apr13 (schottroffe e)ADAMS L 115 15.00    
5  I SHALLBE RELEASED Oct07 Aug24 Aug11 Jul13 Jun17 (walters d)BOCACHICA J 113 1.60 44% 1.30    
6  LAURA'S GRAND Oct19 Sep03 Aug25 Aug12 Jul24 (pyke joseph)CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00    
7  ODINA Sep16 Aug24 Jul13 Jun23 Jun01 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 2.50    
8  PRINCESS HALO Oct13 Sep16 Aug19 Jul28 Aug26 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.00 8% 11.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.