Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Wednesday - October 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (5/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/2)-(5/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/2)-(5/4/6/2)-(5/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/6/2)-(3/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/2)-(3/7)-(6/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-2   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/7)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(6/5/4)-(8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-3   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(8/4)-(4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-4   WIN (8/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/4)-(8/4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (8/4)-(8/4/6)-(8/4/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (8/4)-(4/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (8/4)-(4/9)-(3/8/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRX-5   WIN (4/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/9)-(4/9) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/9)-(3/8/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/9)-(3/8/6/1)-(6/10/4/2/7) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
PRX-6   WIN (3/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/6/1)-(3/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/6/1)-(3/8/6/1)-(3/8/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/6/1)-(6/10/4/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/6/1)-(6/10/4/2/7)-(10/3/11) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-7   WIN (6/10/4/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/4/2/7)-(6/10/4/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/4/2/7)-(6/10/4/2/7)-(6/10/4/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/10/4/2/7)-(10/3/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/10/4/2/7)-(10/3/11)-(7/6) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PRX-8   WIN (10/3/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/3/11)-(10/3/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/3/11)-(10/3/11)-(10/3/11) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (10/3/11)-(7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (10/3/11)-(7/6)-(8/5/11/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-9   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/6)-(8/5/11/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PRX-10   WIN (8/5/11/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/11/2)-(8/5/11/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/11/2)-(8/5/11/2)-(8/5/11/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   10/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOCTOR MAGIC Sep19 Sep04 Aug23 Aug12 Jul26 (whylie o)BOWMAN ADAM 120 15.00    
2  SOCIAL JOE Sep14 Aug26 Jul07 Jun22 Mar16 (polachek janet)CORREA JULIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MCMAGIC Mar10 Jan21 Oct28 Oct07   (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.50    
4  MILAGROSO Aug14 Jul31 Jul10 Jul01 Jun18 (englehart chr)SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
5  CURTEIS Sep19 Sep09 Aug30 Aug18 May24 (dunham bernard)ADORNO ABNER 124 4.00 41% 1.40    
6  MERGING TRAFFIC Jul11 Jun28 Jun14 Jun21 Jun07 (montoya mary)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 10.00 7% 14.10    
7  CAPT COMPLICATED Sep18 Sep01 Aug09 Jul21 Jul11 (servis)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 115 5.00    
8  MAJESTIC LION Sep18 Sep04 Jun13 Jun05 May22 (brown howard )IORIO MELISSA 113 20.00    
9  FLORIANOPOLIS Sep19 Sep04 Jul11 Jun21 May29 (mosco robert)MOYA F 120 3.00    
 
PRX-2   10/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  W. P. CADET Sep19 Sep11 Sep01 May12 Apr21 (padilla o)BOWMAN ADAM 121 8.00    
SCR  MR. TUTTLE Sep05 Aug04 Jul19 Jun12 May30 (pattershall)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 12.00    
3  URMIZZENTHEPOINT Aug28 Aug18 Jun14 May22 Nov22 (servis john )LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 2.00 32% 2.20    
4  RERALLY Sep02 Aug06 Jul23 Jun23 Jun03 (brown howard )IORIO MELISSA 115 4.00    
SCR  WISPERING SPRINGS Aug29 Aug02 Jul17 May30 May10 (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 122 8.00    
6  WEGOTTAGUY Sep06 Aug23 Jul26 Jul10 Jun27 (tapsas elias)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 8.00    
7  KABOD Aug25 Jul21 Mar26 Feb27   (pin)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
PRX-3   10/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISCHIEVOUS JONES Sep25 Sep07 Aug25 Jul05 Jun20 (farro patri)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 5.00    
2  RACK GIN Sep25 Sep05 Aug28 Aug17 Aug05 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 4.00    
3  GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS Sep27 Sep06 Aug23 Jul24 Jul11 (perez ruper)RAMOS C 122 4.50    
4  DANGNABBIT Sep25 Aug28 Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 (guerrero me)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  WE B SHACKIN Sep02 Aug12 Jul21 Jun15 May13 (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 117 6.00 14% 5.90    
6  STEELY DANZA Jul18 Jun27 Jun10 May14 May04 (aristone)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 1.20 47% 1.10    
SCR  LUCKY AS A SEVEN Sep25 Aug28 Aug20 Aug05 Jul19 (diaz jorge)OCASIO M 122 15.00    
 
PRX-4   10/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA LA LUCY Sep11 Aug29 Jul24 Jul12 Jun28 (mann farrel)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 15.00    
2  NOW ACT SURPRISED Aug29 Jul05 Jun10 May30 May10 (coletti ed)RIVERA R 113 10.00    
3  QUEEN LUCKY Sep18 Jul18 Jul04 Jun18 Jun07 (wyner harold)CORREA JULIO 122 4.50    
4  KEFALIANI Aug22         (nicholson jun)RIVERA D 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  DIVINE TWIST Jul04 Jun18 Jun07 Apr18 Mar29 (santaella-cal)OCASIO M 122 12.00    
6  INCOMPARABLE Sep18 Jul12 Jun28 Jun18 Jun05 (whylie o)BOWMAN ADAM 122 3.00 ★    
SCR  ANACARAVA (IRE) Aug29 Jul17 Jun10 Apr21 Mar12 (linder jr)RUIZ ELISEO 113 4.00    
8  TAKE IT TO THE MAX Jul11 Jun26 Jun05 Feb08 Jan17 (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 118 2.50 74% 0.30    
 
PRX-5   10/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUSTIN UP Jun06 May23 Apr12 Mar24 Mar03 (romero rafael)RUIZ ELISEO 117 5.00    
SCR  DRAMATIZED Sep02 Jul27 Jul07 Jun20 May22 (polachek janet)CORREA JULIO 122 20.00    
3  THE ANGRY MAN Sep02 Aug23 Jul12 Jul03 Jun21 (gallimore tre)RIVERA D 122 20.00    
4  SHANE'S JEWEL Sep26 Sep13 Aug23 Aug02 Jul05 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00 34% 2.00    
5  KINGSVILLE Sep12 Aug23 Jun28 Sep21 Aug30 (padilla-)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 10.00    
SCR  RESTORED ORDER Aug04 Jul08 May29 Apr30 Mar26 (breen kell)SANCHEZ J 122 2.50    
SCR  MY BOY COLTON Aug20 Jul30 Jul13 Jun28 Jun01 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00    
SCR  BARLEEWON Sep07 Aug11 Jul22 Jun24 Oct23 (delgado jos)VASQUEZ WILFRED 125 6.00    
9  MONTAUK SUMMER Aug26 Aug06 Jul07 May27 Dec30 (breen j)BOWMAN ADAM 122 8.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  TIZ A PRINCE Sep18 Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 Jul01 (russo victor)MOYA F 122 6.00    
SCR  CASTAGNO Sep02 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun15 (hayford jennif)PENNINGTON F 122 3.50    
12  MR. EINSTEIN Sep18 Aug30 Aug10 Aug02 Jul10 (linder j)RENDON JAIRO 122 6.00    
 
PRX-6   10/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PONTIFFANY Aug28 Aug11 Jun26 Jun10 May02 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
2  ISABELLA SMILE Sep26 Aug29 Jul28 Jun18 May29 (tapsas elia)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 8.00    
3  MISS CASEY Aug19 Jul16 Jun24 Jun02 May18 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.00 44% 1.20    
4  BRODY SLAM Aug22 May31 May09 Apr03 Mar13 (wilson brenda)OCASIO M 122 20.00    
5  LULINDA'S HEART Jul17 Jun20 May08 Apr19 Mar28 (st uriah)ADORNO ABNER 122 15.00    
6  CLASSY SADIE Sep20 Aug28 Aug02 Jan24 Jan10 (guerrero j )WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 4.50 13% 7.00    
7  SNAPPY RIDE Sep06 Jul27 Jun10 May29 Apr24 (aristone phil)SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00    
8  QUEEN CADENCE Sep09 Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 Feb12 (pantal)GONZALEZ JR 122 4.00 14% 6.40    
 
PRX-7   10/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTABLE EXCEPTION Jun27 May24 Jul03 Jun12 May21 (gue)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 3.50    
2  SHPILKES Sep11 Jun10 May22 Apr03 Feb27 (preciado g)SANCHEZ J 122 8.00 5% 17.90    
3  HIT ME I'M LUCKY Sep09 Aug27 Aug04 Jul23 Jun16 (huston k)MOYA F 122 15.00    
4  PREDOMINATE Sep04 Aug18 Jul19 Jun28 May22 (krebs st)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 6.00 7% 12.40    
5  ROMAN EMPIRE Jul15 Apr30 Mar26 Feb13 Jan20 (guerre)GONZALEZ JR 122 4.50    
6  LAYTOWN Sep26 Sep04 Jul25 Jul11 Jun21 (solis jacint)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
7  THTWASTHENTHISISNW Jul08 Jun28 May05 Apr16 Mar24 (smith everton)OCASIO M 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  BIG BEEMSTER Sep26 Aug28 Jun17 May18 Mar12 (solis jacinto)ADORNO ABNER 118 5.00    
9  LOUIE'S LAW Aug30 Jul24 Jun21 May22 May01 (polachek janet)CORREA JULIO 122 20.00    
10  DREAM BIG DREAMS Jan14 Dec17 Nov14 Oct06 Sep09 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 30% 2.40    
 
PRX-8   10/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DUBBY DUBBIE Aug19 Jul22 Mar12 Jan21 Nov12 (breen j)PENNINGTON F 122 5.00    
SCR  MT SURIBACHI Sep18 Sep02 Aug17 Jul07 May28 (smylie timot)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 3.50    
3  BEE BY THE SEA Sep23 Aug26 Aug06 Jul28 Jun10 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 122 10.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  RECONVENE Sep21 Aug19 Aug04 Jul29 Jul15 (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 125 6.00    
5  MORE THAN A DANCE Sep20 Aug10 Jul19 Jul03 Jun06 (linder louis )OCASIO M 125 6.00    
SCR  ULTIMATE IRONY Sep22 Aug26 Jun24 Jun04 Apr29 (rodriguez dar)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00    
7  CUPID'S DART Sep19 Apr08 Mar29 Mar09 Feb26 (preciado guada)ADORNO ABNER 122 8.00    
8  CELTIC TREASURE Sep26 Sep12 Aug23 Aug02 Jul18 (guerrero mele)RIVERA D 122 20.00    
SCR  BEACH WARRIOR Aug26 Aug03 Jul20 Jun09 May10 (farro )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00    
10  HARD STING Sep24 Apr19 Mar28 Feb18 Jan30 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 122 3.00 67% 0.50    
11  BOOM BOOM KABOOM Sep16 Sep10 Sep02 Jul15 Jul07 (gallimore tre)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  ET'S MAGIC MAN Sep22 Aug23 Jul25 Jul10 Jun20 (chacon gusta)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 12.00    
 
PRX-9   10/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MR. ROUNDTREE Sep23 Aug22 Jul26 Jun28 Jun19 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 122 3.50    
SCR  KING CAIRO Sep09 Aug10 Jul27 Jun23 Jun09 (alvarado d)SANCHEZ J 122 2.00    
3  GENGHIS Sep23 Sep06 Aug23 Jul25 Jul17 (polachek janet)CORREA JULIO 122 12.00    
4  BRETT'S WORLD Sep26 Aug29 Aug16 Jul25 Jun09 (bravo-estrad)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 15.00    
5  WE READY Sep20 Aug28 Aug18 Jul24 Jul04 (perez ruperto)RIVERA D 122 20.00    
6  STRUGAR Sep06 Jul27 Jun15 May09 Apr17 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 122 4.00 35% 1.90    
7  MALIBU STAR Jun13 May24 Mar07 Feb01 Jan02 (padilla-)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
PRX-10   10/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DON'T BLAME FREDDY Sep15 Aug28 Aug05 Jul04 Jun06 (velazquez a)PAREDES JHOVANY 111 12.00    
2  LIBERTY RUNNER Sep11 Sep06 Aug23 Jul17 Jul10 (leung carlos)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THREEPETE Sep06 Aug03 Jun27 Jun10 May20 (pin)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 2.00    
4  AYE Sep26 Sep06 Aug29 Jul26 Oct05 (nicholson j)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 10.00    
5  REX KWON DO Sep18 Aug13 Jul25 Jul12 Jun27 (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 122 5.00 24% 3.20    
6  CONNECTING Sep26 Jun20 Jun10 Apr10 Mar08 (castillo michel)BOWMAN ADAM 122 20.00    
7  GOLDEN TALENT Aug26 Aug06 Jun24 Jun09 May29 (russo victor)TORRES JOMAR 118 12.00    
8  SAILOR'S RETURN Sep09 Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 Jul08 (gomez pompey)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 6.00 36% 1.80    
9  HOLY CITY Sep18 Jun24 Jun18 Jun04 May29 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00    
10  OMERTA CODE Sep27 Sep06 Aug31 Aug09 Jul19 (arce josue)CORREA JULIO 122 15.00    
11  WARRIOR'S VENDETTA Sep27 Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jul21 (troxell kristi)PENNINGTON F 118 4.00 15% 5.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.