Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - September 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (5/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/7)-(5/1/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/7)-(5/1/4/7)-(5/1/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/4/7)-(7/8/2/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/7)-(7/8/2/9)-(2/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PID-2   WIN (7/8/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/9)-(7/8/2/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/9)-(7/8/2/9)-(7/8/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/2/9)-(2/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/2/9)-(2/6)-(3/7/6/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PID-3   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/6)-(3/7/6/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(3/7/6/2)-(2/6/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-4   WIN (3/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/2)-(2/6/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/2)-(2/6/8)-(9/4/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-5   WIN (2/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/8)-(2/6/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/8)-(2/6/8)-(2/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/8)-(9/4/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8)-(9/4/7/2)-(4/8/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-6   WIN (9/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/7/2)-(9/4/7/6/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (9/4/7/2)-(9/4/7/6/2)-(9/4/7/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/4/7/2)-(4/8/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/4/7/2)-(4/8/9)-(8/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-7   WIN (4/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/9)-(4/8/9) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/9)-(4/8/9)-(4/8/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/8/9)-(8/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
PID-8   WIN (8/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/5)-(8/6/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (8/6/5)-(8/6/5/1)-(8/6/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMFREEFALLIN Aug23 Jul31       (sharp j)ROJAS MARTINA 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  NOMOREBILLLS Aug23         (spanabel r)WALES GARY 120 6.00    
3  BABY BLUE Aug29 Aug15 Jul17 Jul04 Jun19 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 124 8.00    
4  IT'S A FOX         (russell randall)RIQUELME J 124 12.00 7% 13.70    
5  CASTLE BORN Aug18 Aug11 Jul16 Jul01 Jun17 (duffy se)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
6  ORPHAN EXCHANGE Aug23 Aug10 Jul31 Jun26 Jun12 (russell )MARTINEZ A 120 3.50    
7  ALHAAN Sep04 Aug27 Aug02 Jun21 Jun07 (bernardini jay )LEON A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  AFTER NOON KISSES Aug15 Jul17 Jul04 Jun06 May23 (spanabel kell)DELGADO DAVID 120 10.00    
 
PID-2   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST WATCH ME NOW Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 Jul11 Jun20 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 10.00    
2  SAMURAI LEGACY Aug30 Aug16 Aug08 Jul12 Jun27 (markgraf davi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 8.00 5% 17.40    
SCR  BOURBON AND ICE Aug06 Jul22 May28 May20 Apr16 (magee kieron)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
4  CHEROKEE CHATTER Sep12 Aug16 Aug02 Jul26 Jul04 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 119 15.00    
5  MILITARY DRILL Sep05 Aug23 Aug10 Jul24 Jun21 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.00    
6  SUMMERFEST Sep05 Aug17 Jul31 Jul05 Jun13 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 5.00    
7  STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON Sep05 Aug10 Jul24 Jun05 Oct20 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 124 4.50 48% 1.10    
8  HAIG POINT Sep12 Aug26 Jul22 Jun25 May30 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50 17% 4.80    
9  WAPITI WAY Aug30 Aug22 Aug08 Jul26 Jun27 (amaya joan)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-3   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOMATO BILL Jul19 Jun26 Jun07 Nov15 Nov03 (winters michel)HOUGHTON D 122 15.00    
2  ENJOY THE MUSIC Jun26 Jun05 May15 Feb23 Feb09 (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 122 0.80 66% 0.50    
SCR  RIVZONAROLL Sep06 Jul26 Jul09 Jun25 Dec10 (rivelli larr)AYALA J 118 8.00    
4  GRAINGER COUNTY Aug28 Aug09 Jul19 Jun26 Jun05 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 6.00    
5  BANYAN BREEZE Sep05 Aug09 Jul10 Jun19 Nov28 (tasso ma)GALLARDO A 122 4.00    
6  SAN COSTANTINO Sep01 Aug10 Jun26 Apr22 Apr01 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 3.50 12% 7.60    
 
PID-4   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITY TRIPPER Sep04 Aug22 Aug07 Jul25 Jul05 (barron ror)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 4.50    
2  INNUENDO (IRE) Sep12 Aug24 Aug08 Jul19 Jun29 (antus lawrence)ALLEN M 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  RUNAWAY STAR Aug15 Aug01 Oct20 Sep21 Aug31 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50 49% 1.00    
4  LEGIO Sep11 Aug15 Jul26 Jul11 Jun19 (skawinski car)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00    
5  HINDENBURG Aug15 Aug02 Jul25 Jul05 Jun06 (brooks gerald)WALKER M 122 8.00    
6  T C GREELEY Sep04 Aug15 Jul26 Jul04 Jun21 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 117 5.00 8% 11.70    
7  CROWLEY'S WAR Sep11 Aug17 Jul18 Apr02 Mar18 (wismer )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 2.50 15% 5.50    
8  TURNS Sep05 Aug14 Jul24 Jul10 Jun21 (boyer jr)FOX CHRIS 122 10.00    
 
PID-5   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TALE OF THE DRAGON Sep05 Aug23 Aug09 Jul18   (ruberto loui)AYALA J 120 6.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of WESTSHORE ROAD by PHILANTHROPIST)
2  HECTOR Sep05 Aug09 Jul18     (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of AMY FARAH FOWLER by ASTROLOGY)
3  LOVE SHAQ         (brion keri)SPIETH S 120 4.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of MAJESTIC MELRESA by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SCR  WELL TIMED (GER) Sep10         (zook jef)MARTINEZ A 120 6.00    
  (by WELL SPELLED out of SAHARA MOMENT by SAHARA HEAT)
5  BENGAL CAT         (hendriks rich)ROJAS MARTINA 115 8.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of PAT'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  ROCK N REWARD         (girten t)GALLARDO A 117 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of LUST FOR DIAMONDS by STREET BOSS)
7  REBEL WARRIOR Aug25 Aug02       (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 12.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of HARBOUR NEWS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
8  SPOKEN VOW         (hendriks rich)MORALES PABLO 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of PRICING by AUSTRALIA (GB))
 
PID-6   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREET OUTLAW Sep06         (zook jef)MARTINEZ A 120 10.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of VAGABOND PRINCESS by PURE PRIZE)
2  BAYTOWN BRUISER         (wismer glenn)ALENCAR WALBER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of SHES TRICKEY by PROUD CITIZEN)
3  EXPRESS STAR Sep04 Aug07       (miller d)WALES GARY 120 10.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of STARSHIP ESPRESSO by TALE OF EKATI)
4  LOU THE BODY         (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 30% 2.40    
  (by VIOLENCE out of ONNA by FIRST SAMURAI)
5  RORY'S ORCHARD         (torelli st)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 10.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HOLIDAY WISHES by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  TAP THE SKY Aug23         (harty eoin)ALLEN D 120 6.00 ★    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of TAP IT OUT by PLEASANT TAP)
7  FORTUNE SELLER Sep10 Jul22       (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 3.00 9% 9.60    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of VIOLINIST by REGAL CLASSIC)
8  ABRAMS Sep04         (zook w)STANLEY O 120 15.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of PERILS OF PAULINE by STRAVINSKY)
9  STRAWBERRY KWIK Sep11 Aug12       (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 120 5.00 36% 1.80    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of BUTCH'S MANGO by GIANT GIZMO)
10  SO CLOSE SO FAR Sep04 Aug07 Jul18     (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 4.50    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of ONE FAST CHICK by FIRST DEFENCE)
 
PID-7   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FAIRY DREAMS Jan26 Jan02 Dec02 Nov08 Oct18 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 ★    
2  STRAIGHT MADNESS Aug30 Aug14 Jul24 Jun27 Jun06 (wilson ariane)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00    
3  LA REINA DEL NORTE Aug21 Oct18 Sep27 Sep08 Aug24 (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 122 15.00    
4  SHORTY MAC Aug30 Aug03 Jun16 Aug17   (rogers ronal)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
5  SAILOR'S SALUTE Aug30 Aug09 Aug01 Jul24 Jun20 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 10.00    
6  WARRIOR'S MISS Sep12 Aug29 Jul24 Jun22 May25 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 6.00    
7  RAINAS ROLLIN Aug29 Aug10 Aug01 Jul24 Jun27 (rogers ronald)ROJAS MARTINA 119 5.00    
8  I'M HEADING EAST Aug30 Aug08 Jul26 Jul18 Jun20 (rojas eduard)AYALA J 118 4.50 31% 2.20    
9  PHANCY PHILLY Aug29 Aug01 Jul24 Jul13 Jun15 (stites w)STANLEY O 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-8   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. YASUDA Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 Jul25 Jul10 (schaber debbi)MORALES PABLO 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  SHEP Sep06 Aug22       (markgraf david)WALES GARY 124 20.00    
SCR  CALL ME NOW Aug29 Aug07       (girten t)MARTINEZ A 120 15.00    
SCR  GIZMO'S MISSION Sep06 Aug11 Jul21 Jun02 May13 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 115 4.00    
5  THREE O ONE Sep04 Aug07 May13 Mar25 Nov05 (rice kevin)AYALA J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  YARDMAN Aug21 Aug08 Jul11 Jun26 May30 (musarro josep)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 3.50 24% 3.30    
7  ROUND ROBIN Sep06 Aug17 Jul10 Jun13 May30 (morrell justi)WALKER M 120 20.00    
8  GIANTSBANE Aug31 Aug10 Aug02 Jul09 Jun17 (nagle sa)GALLARDO A 124 3.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  SHARP PLAY BOY Sep06 Aug08 Jul26 Jun11 Apr08 (breed rona)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 10.00    
10  SHAKEN AND SHIMMY Aug21 Jul25 Jun12 May24 May03 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 20.00    
SCR  LOZ Aug23 Aug07 Nov09 Oct26 Sep25 (bartlett h)ALLEN M 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.