Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Thursday - September 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (3/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/7/2)-(8/4/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7/2)-(8/4/5/7)-(4/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-2   WIN (8/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/7)-(8/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/7)-(8/4/5/7)-(8/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/5/7)-(4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/5/7)-(4/6/2)-(5/1/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-3   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(5/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(5/1/8/3)-(9/8/10/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-4   WIN (5/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/8/3)-(5/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/8/3)-(5/1/8/3)-(5/1/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/8/3)-(9/8/10/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/8/3)-(9/8/10/11)-(8/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-5   WIN (9/8/10/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/10/11)-(9/8/10/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/10/11)-(9/8/10/11)-(9/8/10/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/10/11)-(8/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/8/10/11)-(8/9/7)-(4/2/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-6   WIN (8/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/9/7)-(8/9/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/9/7)-(8/9/7)-(8/9/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/9/7)-(4/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/9/7)-(4/2/1/6)-(6/7/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-7   WIN (4/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/6)-(4/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/6)-(4/2/1/6)-(4/2/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/1/6)-(6/7/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1/6)-(6/7/5/3)-(3/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-8   WIN (6/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/5/3)-(3/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
IND-9   WIN (3/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/8)-(3/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/8)-(3/7/8)-(3/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   09/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR DISCOUNT Aug26 Aug09       (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 120 4.50    
  (by UNIFIED out of LEAVINGISWINNING by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
UNION RUN         (simms mark )FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 12.00 9% 10.10    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CLICK YOUR HEELS by PULPIT)
LIGHTLINE         (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 1.80 48% 1.10    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of UPPERLINE by MARIA'S MON)
NEW BERN Aug26 Aug13       (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 6.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SUE'S GOOD NEWS by WOODMAN)
HONEST OPINION         (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 12% 7.40    
  (by WEST COAST out of SUPER SHARP by SUPER SAVER)
COMPANY YOU KEEP Aug18 Jul14       (maker michae)RAMOS D 120 12.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of WONDER STONE by SUPER SAVER)
INTOLERABLE Aug19         (ramo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 15.00 10% 8.80    
  (by TAPWRIT out of IT'S MO TIME by UNCLE MO)
MERLIN'S MAGIC Aug31         (nihei michelle)PRESCOTT R 120 4.00    
  (by FUSAICHI PEGASUS out of BLUE WHALE by CREATIVE CAUSE)
 
IND-2   09/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEVER TEMPLE Jul06 May24 Jun27 May18 Apr20 (paye jose)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 6.00    
LOOK AWAY Aug30 Aug15 Jul16 Jun25 May25 (jones s)MOJICA O 122 12.00    
WEEKEND IN COURT Jul19 May16 Apr25 Apr18 Mar27 (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 30.00    
UNDISMAYED Aug23 Jul05 May31 May04 Apr01 (leonard geor)RAMOS D 122 4.50 17% 4.80    
THAT KHENNY Aug23 May03 Apr25 Mar16 Feb17 (garcia gena)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 5.00 14% 5.90    
GOLD BUCKLE Sep03 Aug20 Aug09 Jun29 Jun01 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 6.00    
BLOOD MOON Aug30 Aug16 Jul05 Jun11 Jun04 (campbell joel)LEZCANO ABEL 122 10.00 9% 10.20    
JINGLE Sep05 Jun15 May16 Apr23 Apr14 (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 119 1.60 36% 1.80    
 
IND-3   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLOCKED Jul13 Jun10 Mar18 Aug26 Aug07 (caramori )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 8.00    
FIRST CROWNED Aug15 Jun15 May29 May08 Jan17 (sanchez e)BERMUDEZ E 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
MANTA REY Aug26 Aug03 Jul09 Jun18 May05 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 15.00    
PATTON'S WAR Aug05 Jun23 May13 Apr21 Mar18 (cox bra)DE CRUZ 118 1.40 40% 1.50    
MIDNIGHT WEST Aug28 Aug02 Jun14 May29 May08 (medina tomas)MOJICA O 120 6.00    
FIRE BABY Aug05 Jul13 Jun27 Jun06 May08 (ortiz ale)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
IND-4   09/14/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL JOKES ASIDE Aug26 Aug04 Jul13 May18 Apr27 (meah m)HEARD TYLER 118 5.00 12% 7.30    
INDIGO RICH Aug11 Jul15 Jun29 Jun20 Jun07 (riley donna)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 10.00    
ROCKET DOCKET Aug30 Aug11 Sep08 Aug17 Jul19 (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
VELOCIMO Jul18 May30 May21 Apr19 Mar17 (sharp j)RAMOS D 118 20.00    
GHENT Aug30 Aug11 Jun20 Mar09 Feb10 (hamilton sarah)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 2.50 54% 0.90    
LEO'S ROAR Aug16 Aug02 Jul03 Jun07 May24 (glyshaw tim)MOJICA O 119 15.00    
BINGE Jun20 May22 May03 Jun09 May04 (garcia )DE CRUZ 119 1.80    
BAILEYS RUN Aug28 Jul19 Sep07 Aug24 Aug02 (granitz anth)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 12.00 6% 15.00    
YOLO SANTIAGO Jul19 May30 May08 Apr19 Mar09 (fontenot daw)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
SCR  VINTAGE VINYL Aug11 Jul12 May24 May08 Apr27 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 4.50    
 
IND-5   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENCHANTED MELODY Aug22 Aug01 Jul05 Jun20 May31 (gorham m)PEREZ E 115 10.00    
ANGELSNDISGUISE Aug31 Aug11 Jul20 Jul11 May23 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 124 6.00    
MRSINATRAGLORYLADY Aug30 Jul03 Jun10 May23 May11 (mcbride barb)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 30.00    
SHINY SHOES Aug30 Aug20 Aug01 Jul16 Dec09 (jones s)MOJICA O 119 30.00    
SNUGGLER Aug28 Jul03 Jun13 May23 May02 (klopp randy)LEAHEY HANNAH 122 15.00    
C F V TU BRUTUS Aug28 Jul18 May15 Oct27 Oct10 (gonzalez li)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 20.00    
SCR  OUT OF PROMISES Aug28 Jun29 Jun10 May02   (langemeier j)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 12.00 17% 5.00    
MYGALJUSTICE Aug31 Aug22 Aug03 Jun22 Jun08 (sanch)ULLOA PATRICIO 119 8.00 15% 5.70    
CHIMES Sep05 Aug15 Aug02 Jul18 Jul08 (lauer mic)BERMUDEZ E 118 1.60 29% 2.40    
10  ALWAYS BLOSSOM Aug28 Jul20 Jul07 Jun21 May30 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 118 5.00 9% 9.80    
11  SURLEY Aug30 Nov23 Oct27 Oct13 May09 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
IND-6   09/14/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SINGLE HER Sep07 Aug22 Jun07 Nov11 Oct20 (caramori )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 1.80    
SCR  CLASSY DREAM Aug19 Jul18 Jun21 May18 Nov11 (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 120 15.00    
DASH OF SIMPLICITY Aug19 Jul13 Jun15 May22 May03 (glyshaw tim)MOJICA O 124 10.00    
STORMY WAGER Aug19 Jul21 Jun15 May22 Jan07 (maker m)DE CRUZ 122 3.50    
SWIFT TEMPLE Aug19 Jul21 May22 May09 Jan20 (wisner trace)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 30.00    
CHELSEA'S STRENGTH Aug05 Jun27 May22 May03 Nov21 (greenhill j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 12.00    
SKIPPINJUSTICE Aug26 Aug19 Jul21 Jun15 May22 (leonard geor)RAMOS D 119 8.00 6% 14.70    
BELGIAN BLUE Jul21 Sep07 Aug10     (walsh brendan )ELLIOTT JANE 118 6.00 40% 1.50    
SPOTTY SHOWERS Aug22 Jul20 Jul11 Jun01 May02 (lauer mic)BERMUDEZ E 120 4.50 21% 3.90    
 
IND-7   09/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILMISS SASSYPANTS Aug03 Jul07 Jun14 May25 May03 (fontenot da)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 6.00 11% 8.00    
BEREA Aug26 Jun20 May25 Jun20 May18 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 124 4.50 15% 5.80    
QUEEN D Aug10 Jul15 Jul05 May15 May03 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00    
SHANGHAI EXPRESS Aug29 Aug17 Jul15 Jun27 May25 (cluley de)BERMUDEZ E 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
TRIP CHARGE Jun27 Nov11 Oct17 Sep09 Sep01 (green darlene)BAYS BROOKE 112 5.00    
D' KITTEN Aug28 Aug03 Jul07 Jun22 May30 (leonard geo)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
AJIC JAY May29 May17 May02 Jun27 May24 (douglass dev)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 20.00    
QUITE WHIMSICAL Aug22 Jul05 Jun22 Jun14 May30 (holden )DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
 
IND-8   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A FEW TOO MANY Aug05 Jul06 Jun22 May29 May06 (elliott l)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
SCOTTY'S ON EDGE Aug03 Jun17 May22 Apr26 Sep14 (ortiz ale)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 20.00    
ORO AZTECA Aug17 Jul15 Jun20 May10 Apr18 (hammond kim)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00 11% 7.90    
SPOKE Aug03 Jun15 May25 Apr27 Apr18 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 20.00    
JOVA Aug17 Jul05 Jun01 May03 Nov22 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 1.80 15% 5.70    
D'ORO'S WISH Sep05 Jul19 Jul05 May29 May06 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
AZZARO STEEL Aug22 Aug09 Jul15 May22 Apr26 (contreras cipria)PRESCOTT R 122 3.50 18% 4.70    
BONNIE BILL Jul15 Jun24 May06 Apr18 Nov22 (elliott)DE CRUZ 122 15.00    
 
IND-9   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER CHRISTIE Aug08 Jun17 Jun11 May06 Apr15 (correas igna)RAMOS D 124 4.50    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of CHRISTIE VILLAGE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
KATERINA PETROVA         (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 124 12.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of JUMPIN JACQUELINE by MR. SINATRA)
SPELTERINI Aug18 Apr15 Mar17 Feb17 Jan07 (mott william)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 1.80 58% 0.70    
  (by BERNARDINI out of KEEPSHERCOOL by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  RUBY TAP Aug01 Jun29 May20     (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 2.50    
  (by TAPIT out of MAJESTIC JEWEL by CINDAGO)
ARMY GIRL May20         (wisner trac)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 20.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of SHEZA ROUNDER by STAR DABBLER)
LITTLE HOT MESS Jun14 May20 Apr23     (thompson erin)PEREZ E 120 10.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of FOREVER SUNSHINE by WHITNEY TOWER)
SWEET SASSY PANTS Aug08         (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 117 12.00 12% 7.40    
  (by SKYLORD out of SHE'S A PIONEER by PIONEERING)
SIMPLY COMPLICATED Aug28 Aug01 Jul18 Jul03 Jun08 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 8.00 8% 12.10    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of SASSY SADIE by COLOR BEARER)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.