Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - September 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(4/2)-(5/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(5/4/6)-(2/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-4   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(2/1/3)-(4/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-5   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(4/5/6)-(7/1/8/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-6   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(7/1/8/2)-(2/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-7   WIN (7/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/2)-(7/1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/2)-(7/1/8/2)-(7/1/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/8/2)-(2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/14/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STUBBORNKINDAFELLA Jul20 Jun24 Feb11 Jan14 Dec17 (corrigan )CORREA L 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  PITCH DARK Aug27 Aug02 Jun21 Aug12 Jul07 (bright derrick)COLON H 120 3.50    
3  DAY IN THE COUNTRY Aug23 Aug09 Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 (meredith char)CANUTO THIAGO 120 6.00    
4  FINGERS Jul27 Jun30 May19 Feb22   (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 117 4.50 20% 4.00    
5  EL GAVILAN Aug23 Dec28 Nov14 Nov02 Sep08 (fernandez ke)MARCANO Y 112 8.00    
6  UNCAPTURED DREAM Aug31 Aug13 Jul30 Jul13 Jun25 (watkins m)REYES FRANK 122 5.00 7% 13.50    
7  THING Aug09 Feb23 Feb02 Dec01 Nov14 (howard d)REYES R 120 10.00    
 
BTP-2   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPORB Aug29 Aug15 Aug02 Jul12 Jun29 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 117 3.50    
2  QUIET DAWN Aug11 Aug01 Jun07 May25 May11 (grubbs jami)JIMENEZ J 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
3  FLAT OUT FAY Aug30 Jul13 Jun08 May16 May04 (blevins bil)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 8.00    
4  MABEE LUCKYNWILD Aug15 Jul30 Jun30 Jun09 May19 (danner kelsey)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  FIRST KITTEN Sep03 Aug17 Jul26 Jul12 Jun11 (meraz antonio)FELIX E 122 2.00    
6  SEAWARD Aug16 Aug05 Jul26 Jun22 Jun11 (hernandez javie)REYES FRANK 120 4.50    
 
BTP-3   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FACTUM'S STAR Aug18 Aug11 Jul27 Jul13 Jun29 (kerr n)CANUTO THIAGO 119 5.00    
2  JIM'S RIVER RUNNER Sep01 Aug11 Aug01 Jun24 Jun14 (gorostieta )LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 3.50    
3  PEDAL TO DA KETTLE Aug11 Jul05 Jun14 Mar29 Mar06 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 119 6.00    
4  CAT CORN Sep01 Aug19 Aug09 Jul22 Oct10 (thomas mark)MCKEE J 121 2.50 36% 1.80    
5  DASH OF FIRE Sep01 Aug18 Aug11 Nov30 Nov15 (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
6  PETTY THIEF Sep01 Aug26 Jul27 Jul13 Jun09 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-4   09/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACKSMITH STRONG Aug26 Aug09 Jul26 Jun24 Jun03 (green troy)OUZTS W 120 3.00    
2  SUPREME SONG Aug23 Aug03 Jul14 Jun16 May20 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 3.50 37% 1.70    
3  MONKEY ZONE Aug12 Jul19 Jul07 Jun24 May27 (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 115 8.00    
4  FATHER PATRICK Aug17 Aug03 Jul19 Jul05 Jun17 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 115 8.00    
5  OFFICIAL BUSINESS Jul13 Dec07 Nov10 Oct16 Sep01 (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
6  CINDY'S STORM Aug23 Aug01 Jul12 Jul01 Jun16 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  MAQAMAT Aug09 Mar30 Mar15 Feb18 Feb11 (douglass deva)PANAIJO JORGE 120 5.00    
 
BTP-5   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSE RING Aug16 Jun15 May24 May02 Mar29 (zircher robert)BUSH V 122 3.50 13% 6.80    
2  CLEVER TALE Aug16 Jul26 Jun09 May13 Feb10 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 2.00 63% 0.60    
3  HIGH MEADOWS Aug26 Aug12 Aug03 Jul21 Jul05 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LUCKY TUESDAY Aug15 Aug02 Jul21 Nov30 Nov14 (zircher rob)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 5.00    
5  EIDA'S STORM Aug26 Aug10 Jul21 Jul08 Jun22 (aguirre juan )PANAIJO JORGE 122 8.00    
6  MY ROSIE Aug10 Jun14 May11 Apr27 Mar18 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 122 4.50    
7  GENERAL GINNY Aug26 Aug15 Jul21 Jul08 Jun15 (dillion jimmy)REYES R 122 6.00    
 
BTP-6   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEVENTEENSEVITYSIX Aug22 Aug01 Jul12 Jun27 Jun07 (jarvis ka)CORREA L 121 10.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of PINOT by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  MAMBA OUT Jul29 Jul08 Jun18 May02   (hill f)CANUTO THIAGO 121 2.50    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of INNYMINNIEMINEYMOE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  ECHOLITE Oct26 Oct01       (reed r)MCKEE J 124 8.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TAPALITE by TAPIT)
4  THERESASILVERLININ May05         (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 3.50 48% 1.10    
  (by STANFORD out of BLUES AND SILVERS by EUROSILVER)
5  MAGGIE E Aug30 Jul29 Jun27 Oct11 Sep26 (huffman pat)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 4.00 16% 5.10    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of PIECES OF SILVER by SILVER DEPUTY)
6  LA COPA         (macias adol)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 8.00 5% 18.20    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of BOJOUR by BOB AND JOHN)
7  PLEDGULATIONS Aug11 Jul12 Jun07     (rider m)OUZTS W 121 6.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of PLEDGE MOM by WILD RUSH)
 
BTP-7   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALY STONE Aug30 Aug15 Aug02 Jul13 Jul06 (holton rebecc)CANUTO THIAGO 124 4.50 12% 7.70    
2  PAPA D L Aug16 Aug03 May03 Mar24   (forster t)MCKEE J 121 8.00 10% 9.00    
3  BENITO Jul14 Jun23 Jun08 May27 May13 (dailey ronald)BUSH V 121 12.00    
4  HICKORY BILL Aug30 Aug16 Aug03 Jul22 Jul06 (rodak geraldi)LEBRON VICTOR 124 15.00    
5  WILDERZAR Aug30 Aug17 Jul31 Jun15 Jun06 (wilson david)MARCANO Y 116 2.50    
6  MR JOKE Aug31 Aug18 Aug02 Apr20   (ramos rafael)PANAIJO JORGE 121 6.00    
7  GUS GUS Aug30 Aug16 Aug04 Jul06 Jun23 (helmbrecht willia)OUZTS W 124 5.00 39% 1.60    
8  LIGHTNING CASHES Aug15 Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 May21 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 3.50 11% 8.10    
 
BTP-8   09/14/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIN N SIN Aug11 Jul05 May31 May14 Apr08 (faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 10.00    
2  SIS BOOM BOB Aug31 Aug12 Jun29 Jun14 May19 (esquivel )CORREA L 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  MENDHAM MILL Jul07 Jun14 Apr01 Feb03 Nov20 (reed r)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 10.00    
4  JUSTA SIMPLE GIRL Sep05 Mar23 Feb25 Feb02 Jan19 (claire alexis)OUZTS W 120 8.00 32% 2.10    
5  HOWIZEE Aug12 Jul26 Jul06 Jun21 Nov15 (zircher rober)LEBRON VICTOR 120 4.50    
6  JOLIE RULER Aug26 Aug15 Jul12 Jul05 Apr02 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  MERRY OF SOUL Aug29 Aug10 Mar09 Feb16 Jan26 (thomas mark)MCKEE J 120 3.50    
8  SOFIA STRONG Aug21 Jul26 Jul06 Jun21 May24 (cline robert )CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.