Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Monday - August 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (7/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/5)-(7/1/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/5)-(7/1/6/5)-(7/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/6/5)-(4/6/3/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6/5)-(4/6/3/8)-(2/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PID-2   WIN (4/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/8)-(4/6/3/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/8)-(4/6/3/8)-(4/6/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/3/8)-(2/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3/8)-(2/3)-(4/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-3   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(4/7/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(4/7/5)-(2/7/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-4   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/5)-(2/7/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5)-(2/7/4/5)-(1/4/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-5   WIN (2/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/5)-(1/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/5)-(1/4/8)-(6/5/2/7/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-6   WIN (1/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/8)-(1/4/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/8)-(1/4/8)-(1/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/8)-(6/5/2/7/10) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (1/4/8)-(6/5/2/7/10)-(2/7/11/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-7   WIN (6/5/2/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/7/10)-(6/5/2/7/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/7/10)-(6/5/2/7/10)-(6/5/2/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/2/7/10)-(2/7/11/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
PID-8   WIN (2/7/11/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/11/5)-(2/7/11/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/7/11/5)-(2/7/11/5)-(2/7/11/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   08/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROUND OF APPLAUSE Jul25 Jun07 May29 Feb22 Jan28 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 20% 3.90    
HUNTIN' THE RUT Jul25 Jul17 Jul05 Oct25 Oct19 (carr-rozantz )ROJAS MARTINA 115 6.00    
PREGAME Jul10 Oct25 Aug14 Jul11 Jun24 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.50    
DUDEWITHTHEDIAMOND Jul31 Jul17 Jul03 Jun12   (rice kevin)AYALA J 117 8.00    
CITY TRIPPER Jul25 Jul05 Jun19 May30 May15 (barron ror)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
MAGIC WIZARD Jul31 Jul03 Jun19 Jun12 May24 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
TIZ TACT TOE Jul13 Jun24 Jun03 Mar03 Feb11 (rice ada)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50 54% 0.80    
 
PID-2   08/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COSMIC CONNECTION         (schaber debbi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 10.00    
  (by EASTWOOD out of STREET SHINER by INDYGO SHINER)
GRUIT Jul18         (mckinley r)FOX CHRIS 124 15.00    
  (by EQUALITY out of MYSTERY DATE by DEHERE)
OVERTIME CHARLIE         (depasquale kimb)STANLEY O 119 4.00 12% 7.10    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of OVERTIME GOAL by CITY PLACE)
CALL ME NOW         (girten tim)AYALA J 119 3.50 31% 2.30    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of CALL ME SWIFT by BERNARDINI)
SCR  BAD AS JOHN Jul03 Jun05 May15     (morrell justi)ROJAS MARTINA 112 10.00    
  (by GOT THE LAST LAUGH out of TURKOCRAFT by CRAFTY FRIEND)
KOTYLOS Jul18 Jul03 Jun05 May15 Oct18 (russell )MARTINEZ A 119 1.80 14% 6.30    
  (by KANTHAROS out of CAMBIATA by CONCERTO)
CHIEF CRAZY MOON Jul18 Jul03       (russell randall)ALLEN M 119 5.00    
  (by ELUSIVE HOUR out of SEPTEMBERSHALFMOON by MISNOMER)
HUMBLE JOE         (white f)RIQUELME J 119 8.00 12% 7.60    
  (by AMIRA'S PRINCE out of ROYALLY SWEET by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
 
PID-3   08/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALLER         (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of GLAMOUR MANOR by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
METRONOME         (harty eo)GALLARDO A 120 4.00 16% 5.10    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of WIDGET by STREET CRY)
NINJA STAR         (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 120 8.00 10% 8.90    
  (by GARY D out of SAMANTHA SAMURAI by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR  WHY NOT ME Jul03         (hamm timothy)ASHTON GAVIN 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of HIGHEST QUALITY by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  BLOODHOUND         (potts g)FOX CHRIS 120 4.50 10% 8.90    
  (by MASTERY out of GEM SLEUTH by OFFICER)
EXPRESS STAR         (pappada mi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 10.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of STARSHIP ESPRESSO by TALE OF EKATI)
SO CLOSE SO FAR Jul18         (girten tim)MARTINEZ W 120 3.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of ONE FAST CHICK by FIRST DEFENCE)
 
PID-4   08/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTNING ROUND Jul11 Jul04 Jun14 Jun07 Oct20 (valdez moi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 5.00    
SCR  RED PIXIE Jul17 Jul05 May22 Jan07 Dec22 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 122 3.00    
SCR  SIMPLE SOUVENIR Jun29 Jun16 May14 May06 Mar31 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00    
BREEZY CONNECTION Jul25 Jul04 Jun12 May22 May15 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 115 2.50 50% 1.00    
SOUTH HOUSE Jul25 Jul04 May22 May04 Mar31 (stites w)SPIETH S 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
CHARGINA Jul21 Jul02 Jun11 May28 May15 (kocijan boris)STANLEY O 122 15.00    
BATH AND TENNIS (IRE) Jul17 Jun27 Jun06 May06 Apr15 (amaya jo)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
PID-5   08/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHY DA RUNNER Jul24 Jun16 May26 May05 Mar28 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 10.00    
DAWGMENTALITY Jul24 Jun21 May30 May15 Apr15 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 120 1.60 28% 2.50    
JUSTICEOFTHEPEACE Jul13 May31 May09 Oct05 Apr29 (walden william)HEARD TYLER 124 3.50    
MCSTEAMY         (boucher )MARTINEZ A 122 12.00 12% 7.20    
EPIC LUCK Jul19 Jun21 Jun07 Nov22 Nov08 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00 10% 9.50    
COLONEL POPPY Jul10 Jun27 Jun05 May15 Mar31 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 118 5.00    
WILLIE WANDO Jul24 Jul10 Jun07 May17 Oct25 (pappada micha)WALKER M 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
PID-6   08/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANIPPE Jul11 Jun19 May29 Jul13 Jun14 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 117 2.50 39% 1.60    
PATH TO VICTORY Jul17 Jul11 Jun21 Mar04 Feb01 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 3.00    
WINE WITH A ROSE Jul17 May30 Apr23 Apr05 Mar19 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 117 10.00    
ITALIAN TWIN Jul10 Aug10 Jul28 Jul07 Apr03 (martin william )STANLEY O 122 4.50 18% 4.70    
SCR  SAINT FOXY Jul26 Jul04 Jun19 Jun06 May23 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 117 15.00    
STORMIN MELLY Jul26 Jun26 May29 May17   (pappada micha)WALKER M 117 5.00    
SCR  ZORA Jul17 Jun19 Jun06 May22 Oct24 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 117 10.00    
DOMINANT STRANGER Jul17 Jul10 Jun13 Aug24 Aug01 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 5.00 15% 5.50    
 
PID-7   08/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lady Erie Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TELL ME WHEN Jun11 May11 Apr14 Jan14 Nov26 (hamm timothy)ASHTON GAVIN 121 10.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of AURA ROSE by UNCLE MO)
LOON CRY Jul08 May27 May04 Apr08 Dec03 (clement chri)CARROLL DECLAN 119 3.50 12% 7.20    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of FINAL ESCROW by BERNARDINI)
STARS ON FIRE (IRE) Jul20 Jun08 Nov12 Sep01   (ward a)EMIGH A 117 8.00    
  (by ZOUSTAR out of OUT OF THE FLAMES (GB) by SHOWCASING (GB))
ZAPPLE May27 Mar10 Aug14 Jul17   (leitch daniel)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 20.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of MISS RED DELICIOUS by EMPIRE MAKER)
LADY RADLER Jun18 May13 Apr22 Dec03 Oct28 (campbell)GALLARDO A 119 5.00 24% 3.20    
  (by KANTHAROS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SIX SENSE Jun17 May19       (carroll josi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 119 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of QUALIA by SAARLAND)
JILL JITTERBUG Jul05 Apr29 Apr01 Mar04 Feb11 (walsh d)MORALES PABLO 121 4.50 11% 8.30    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SWEET NKOSI by A. P. WARRIOR)
HONEY HAULER Jul19 Jun19 May24 Jan18 Oct24 (wismer s)ALLEN D 117 15.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of HONEY TALK by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  BLIND SPOT Jul22 Jul01 Apr29 Mar04 Oct07 (joseph saffi)WALCOTT W 117 8.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of YOUR FLAME IN ME by BOUNDARY)
10  PROMISE OF HOPE Jun11 May19 Dec26 Dec04 Oct30 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of HUDSON RIVER GAL by DYNAFORMER)
 
PID-8   08/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAD'S LIL SPARK Jul11 Jul03 Jun12     (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 119 8.00    
FREDDY'S MUSIC Jul03 Jun12 Feb17 Jan07 Dec03 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  GEMINI MOON Jul24 Jul03 Jun14 May23 Jun03 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 124 4.50    
SCR  SHAKEN AND SHIMMY Jul25 Jun12 May24 May03   (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 15.00    
MR. YASUDA Jul25 Jul10 Jun14 Apr29 Jan26 (schaber debbi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
KVETCHING MAW Jul25 Jun10 Apr22     (connelly teresa)WALES GARY 119 12.00    
NATHANIEL'S HOPE Jul25 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 May30 (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  MIZWARRIOR Jul25 Jul07 Jun25 May26 Feb05 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 112 12.00    
FLAT BUSTED Jul25 Jun26 Jun12 May30 Mar01 (stites w)STANLEY O 124 8.00    
SCR  BLUE COSMO Jul24 Jun26 Jun12 Jun05 May24 (fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 119 6.00    
11  THREE O ONE May13 Mar25 Nov05 Oct22 Oct02 (boucher )MARTINEZ A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPY TOWN Jul10 Jun26 Jun04 May12 Apr29 (gotera car)LEON A 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.