Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - August 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (8/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/5)-(8/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/5)-(8/1/7/5)-(8/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/7/5)-(1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-2   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/3)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3)-(4/1/5)-(9/4/2/8/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
FL-3   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(9/4/2/8/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(9/4/2/8/7)-(6/10/8/2/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
FL-4   WIN (9/4/2/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/2/8/7)-(9/4/2/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/2/8/7)-(9/4/2/8/7)-(9/4/2/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/2/8/7)-(6/10/8/2/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/4/2/8/7)-(6/10/8/2/7)-(5/1/9/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
FL-5   WIN (6/10/8/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/8/2/7)-(6/10/8/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/8/2/7)-(6/10/8/2/7)-(6/10/8/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/10/8/2/7)-(5/1/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-6   WIN (5/1/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/9/3)-(5/1/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/9/3)-(5/1/9/3)-(5/1/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/9/3)-(10/7/3/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-7   WIN (10/7/3/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/3/1/8)-(10/7/3/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/3/1/8)-(10/7/3/1/8)-(10/7/3/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/7/3/1/8)-(8/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/7/3/1/8)-(8/4/3)-(5/9/1/2/11) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
FL-8   WIN (8/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/3)-(8/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4/3)-(8/4/3)-(8/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/4/3)-(5/9/1/2/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FL-9   WIN (5/9/1/2/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/1/2/11)-(5/9/1/2/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/1/2/11)-(5/9/1/2/11)-(5/9/1/2/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   08/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEANUTBUTTERTOAST Jul10 Jun26       (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 6.00 13% 6.80    
2  CASHEL KITTEN Jul10 Jun12 Oct19 Oct04 Sep21 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 120 12.00    
3  DARK MARKET Jul10 Jun19       (englehar)DAVIS A 120 10.00    
4  KHALI BULLET Jul10 Jun12 May23 Nov15   (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 6.00    
5  TRITON'S CREED Jul10         (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.00 9% 10.40    
6  HONOR MR. BABY Jul17 Jun28       (bartlett william )BAEZ JOSE 120 8.00    
7  MACLYRICAL Jun28 Jun05 Nov09 Oct17 Sep27 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 4.00 12% 7.70    
8  POT OF GOLD Apr16         (englehart j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 39% 1.50    
 
FL-2   08/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR LITTLE TIGER Jul11 Jun21 May17 May28 Apr08 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.00 44% 1.30    
2  GOING GOING GONE Jul25 Jul11 Jul03 May31 May17 (lecesse )DAVIS A 124 2.50    
3  GRAPHITE DUTCHESS Jul24 Jul10 Jun19 Nov16 Nov07 (miller-saul beth)BAEZ JOSE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  A MAIZE ZING DOTIE Jul12 Jun19 May09 Apr25 Dec11 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 3.50    
SCR  WAIT A MINUTE Apr29 Apr15 Jan27 Jan13   (gutterson k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00    
6  IN TRAFFIC Jul24 Jul05 Jun20 May24 May16 (rivera m)CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00    
7  CROSSTALK Jul24 Jul10 Jun19 May22 Apr24 (sells rachel)COA J 122 8.00 20% 4.00    
 
FL-3   08/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOING HOME NOW Jul17 Nov22 Oct24     (turetsky e)PEREZ E 124 2.50 12% 7.40    
  (by TEXAS RED out of MISS DRAGON LADY by VICTORY GALLOP)
2  THREE CUPS FULL Jul03 May27       (sharp joe)DAVILA R 120 6.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of FLIPCUP by MILWAUKEE BREW)
3  SWEET DESANTIS Jul17 Jul05 Feb08 Jan07 Dec23 (ferraro anth)COA J 120 3.00    
  (by DESERT PARTY out of SWEET REPENT by REPENT)
4  SHOOPTHEREITIS Jul17 Jun13 May16     (englehart j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.00 62% 0.60    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of SHOOP by UNCLE MO)
5  VARSITY DOLL Jul05         (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of MODERN GIRL by NEWFOUNDLAND (IRE))
6  GUY'S LOVE Nov22         (goodwin )DAVIS A 124 6.00    
  (by VANCOUVER (GB) out of OMMADON'S FRENZY by OMMADON)
 
FL-4   08/07/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM ALFEET Jul12 Jun20 May17 May02 Oct31 (huertas nirka)ROHENA JR 122 20.00    
1A  MACHO REAL Jul03 Mar31 Feb24 Feb10 Jan21 (huertas nirk)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
2  BIJEMINI SLEW Jul12 Jun28 May17 Aug24 Aug15 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 122 4.00 9% 9.90    
3  ROBIN'S EMPIRE Jul12 May31 May09 Apr10 Mar05 (smith tr)DAVIS A 122 6.00    
4  MO DANCIN Jul12 Jun20 May24 May15 Nov14 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00 12% 7.30    
5  NAVY PIER Jul05 Jun26 Jun13 Mar25 Feb28 (chamberlin tina)FRATES D 122 15.00    
SCR  EIGHT WEEKS LONG Jul12 Apr22 Mar31 Mar17 Feb19 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 3.00    
7  HARDLY WORKING Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 May23 Apr25 (lopez rober)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  TAKE THE EDGE Jul12 Jun26 Jun13 May24 Nov14 (babcock edwa)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  TRISAETUM Jul12 Jun20 May24 Nov21 Nov01 (acquila)NAVARRO J 122 3.50 56% 0.80    
 
FL-5   08/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIVE DESTINATIONS Jul24 Jul10 Jun19 Jun05   (acquilano jame)COA J 120 8.00    
  (by DESTIN out of CINCO by PANCHO VILLA)
2  UNION NAVY Jul24         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 10.00 7% 13.90    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of NAVY NURSE by SERVICE STRIPE)
3  STORM THE EMPIRE Oct09 Aug11       (gutterson kat)DAVILA R 120 6.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WHICHWAYDIDSHEGO by STORM CAT)
SCR  TYRANNOSAURUS REX Jun19 May23 May02 Apr24 Feb26 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 12.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of ROCK STAR ROYALTY by FIVE STAR DAY)
5  LOZ Nov09 Oct26 Sep25 Aug18 Jun30 (bartlett william )BAEZ JOSE 124 15.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of HEART OF NEW YORK by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  GOD BLESS AMERICA Jul24 Jul10 Jun28 Jun12 Oct17 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of DRAMATIC MOMENTS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7  OLLIE CAN DANCE Jan28         (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of TOKEN BAY by GOLD TOKEN)
8  RHUM PRESSURE Jun28 May30 Apr23 Mar10   (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 3.00 11% 8.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of AUNTGRACE by LION HEART)
9  SUPPORT THE CAT Jul17 Jun28 Jun19 Jun05 May15 (sells ra)DAVIS A 124 15.00    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of SUPPORTER by HOOK AND LADDER)
10  GOTTA CONNECT Jul10 May15 Mar04 Jan28   (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
  (by CONNECT out of ARISIA by DECLARATION OF WAR)
 
FL-6   08/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANYTHING PAZIBLE Jul11 Jul03 Jun20 May29 May17 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 5.00 22% 3.50    
1A  HARRISON KNOWS Jul11 Jun27 Jun13 May30 May17 (gutierrez l)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 5.00    
2  SMOOTH TALES Jul11 Jun20 Nov14 Oct17 Oct04 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00    
3  FUTILE Jul03 Jun19 May29 May15 Apr07 (sells rachel)CRUZ JOEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GANONDAGAN Jul11 Jun20 Jun05 May16 May02 (sells ra)DAVIS A 122 20.00    
5  PREFERRED OUTCOME Jul11 Jun05 May23 May09 Apr19 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 3.00 54% 0.90    
SCR  SPECIAL STORY Jun27 Jun13 May23 Oct25 Oct05 (torelli stacy)FRET STEVEN 124 4.00    
SCR  DR. LLOYD Jul03 Jun20 Jun05 May17 May02 (dominguez car)DAVILA A 124 8.00    
8  DOUBLE VISION Jul18 Jul05 Jun27 Jun05 May23 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 124 10.00    
9  BEACHSIDE Jul05 Jun19 May30 May15 Nov08 (schudlick mich)COA J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FLAT BILL Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 May23 May02 (gutters)NAVARRO J 122 20.00    
 
FL-7   08/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REMEMBER NORMANDY Jul24 Jul10 Jun19 Jun05 May15 (d'alessandr)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 15.00 5% 17.50    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of DRAMA MAMA by KODIACK)
2  GOLD TEMPLAR Jul16 Jun28 Jun12 May23 May02 (falk jacqueli)DAVILA A 120 6.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TRUSS by FRIENDS LAKE)
3  PENTANGELI Jul17 Jun28 Jun05 May08   (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 120 5.00 7% 13.90    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of BRINGYOUROWNBOTTLE by STAY THIRSTY)
4  MOBOT Jul24 Jul10 Jun28 Jun04 May16 (loaiza )NAVARRO J 120 10.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of GINGER MO by UNCLE MO)
5  SHE SPEAKS WELL Jul24 Jul10 Jun05 May23 May09 (maver eduardo)ROHENA JR 124 20.00    
  (by PRODUCER out of GEORGIANA by SMARTY JONES)
6  DR. DARBY Jul24 Sep27 Sep13 Aug08   (huertas )DAVIS A 124 12.00    
  (by ZIVO out of PROVIDED FOR by SIGNAL TAP)
7  JACKSON BAY Jul24 Jul10 Jun19 Sep13 Aug22 (shaffer ri)DE EMANUEL 124 4.00 10% 9.30    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of MALIBU CITI by MALIBU MOON)
8  THE LAST SHEEK Jul17 Jun28       (progno chris)HARKIE K 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of SATIN SHEEKS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
9  STREET COP OFFICER Jun30 Jun03 May06 Apr14 Mar31 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 8.00    
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of BLINDSIDEHIT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
10  UNCLE TACO Jul10 Jun19 May19     (englehart jer)DAVILA R 120 3.00 56% 0.80    
  (by TIZNOW out of SWEETIE DARLING by BERNARDINI)
11  PALACE BEE Jul24 Jun28 Jun12 Nov15 Nov02 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 10.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of LADY JESSICA by ATREIDES)
12  DESTIN HOOFMAN Jul24 Jun28 May30 May15 Oct22 (bireta donna)FRET STEVEN 120 20.00    
  (by DESTIN out of SADIE'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
FL-8   08/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SUPERB SURPRISE Jun21 May24 Apr24 Mar17   (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 5.00    
SCR  FLOWING RIVER Jul10 Jun09 Apr16 Mar19 Feb26 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 5.00    
2  POP COYER Jul10 May15 Apr27 Apr07 Mar04 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 6.00    
3  TACONY ROAD Jul17 Jun28       (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 120 10.00 7% 12.70    
4  JAK N BURNY Jul24         (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 120 5.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  GOLD IN THEM HILLS Feb20 Jan15 Nov02 Oct17 Sep26 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 120 10.00    
6  THIRTY OYSTERS Jul05 Jun04 May14 Mar10   (d'alessa)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
SCR  WAR SMOKE Jul17         (englehart j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.50    
8  WARRIOR NATION Jun05 Jun10       (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  PREDICTED May26 May05 Apr02 Mar03 Feb02 (gutterson ka)HARKIE K 124 6.00    
SCR  LIEUTENANT SAM Jul10 Jun21 May02 Apr24 Feb11 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 10.00    
 
FL-9   08/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO LIME Jul17 May15 Apr25 Oct26 Oct12 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 124 6.00 6% 14.90    
SCR  BUSTIN THE RULES Jul05 Jun20 Feb05 Jan14 Jan05 (gutierrez l)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 6.00    
2  WHO IS JARETT Jul18 Jun20 Jun05 Sep19 Aug30 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  LOVER'S LEAP Jul11 Jun20 May23 May09 Nov14 (babcock)NAVARRO J 124 5.00    
4  DREMAS BOY Jul18 Nov15 Nov02 Oct18 Aug30 (bartlett)DAVIS A 124 20.00    
5  EASY SHOT Jul17 Jun14 May29 Aug22 Aug03 (gutterson katlynn)PEREZ E 124 3.00 60% 0.70    
6  INALIENABLE RIGHTS Nov14 Oct31 Oct12 Sep14 Aug24 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 6.00    
7  MANDATORY PAYOUT Jul17 Jun19 Nov15 Oct31 Oct19 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00    
SCR  MOUNTAIN TREE Jul03 Jun19 May29 May15 May02 (clarke dylan)FRET STEVEN 124 15.00    
9  PREPARE FOR GLORY Jul12 Jun26 May30 Nov07 Oct05 (lecesse michae)COA J 124 8.00 6% 14.50    
10  ALONGCAMETHEPRINCE Jul18 Jun27 Jun13 May16 May02 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 20.00    
11  SOLAR ZEN Jul05 Jun27 Jun19 Jun05 May23 (huertas nirka)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOWING SNOWMAN Jul18 Jul05 Jun27 Jun05 May23 (muller thom)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.