Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Friday - July 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(6/1)-(3/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-2   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(3/2/1)-(4/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-3   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(4/2/5)-(8/7/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-4   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(8/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(8/7/3)-(3/1/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-5   WIN (8/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/3)-(8/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/7/3)-(8/7/3)-(8/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/7/3)-(3/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/3)-(3/1/6/5)-(1/3/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-6   WIN (3/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/6/5)-(1/3/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EMD-7   WIN (1/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/7)-(1/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/7)-(1/3/4/7)-(1/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   07/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREESTONE Jun16 May29 Apr03 Mar08 Feb13 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 125 10.00    
2  MAMACALLMEBOO Jun16 Jun09 May29 May14 Sep17 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.00 15% 5.50    
3  TWO PRINCES Jun10 Feb20 Feb08 Jan31 Jan04 (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 125 3.50    
4  ARTHUR SPOONER Jun24 Jun10 Jun03 May13 Apr11 (silva-marti)ORTIZ A 125 6.00    
5  BEL RAGAZZO Jun17 May28 Apr26 Apr03 Mar07 (nunnally jenni)ANAYA V 125 3.50 40% 1.50    
6  PLAYOFF BOUND Jun17 Apr17 Mar28 Mar12 Feb26 (toye joe)RADKE K 125 2.00 20% 4.00    
 
EMD-2   07/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARRY BEACH Jun16 Jun03 May14 Aug19 Aug07 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 2.50 16% 5.40    
SCR  CAPE UNION         (belvoir howard)ENRIQUEZ D 125 3.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  MALICE TOWARD NONE Jun24         (troiani niccol)ANAYA V 121 12.00    
4  CHROME'S BEST COPY Jun24 Jun02 Apr16 Mar25 Sep17 (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 121 4.00    
5  ANOTHER TEN May29 Apr04 Mar05 Feb01 Jan10 (troiani nicco)VALDES ALEXIS 121 8.00    
6  SAILING IN Jun16 May29 Jun19 Jun04   (cooper kay)OROZCO E 125 1.80 27% 2.70    
 
EMD-3   07/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CIELO DIAMANTE May28 May20 Apr15 Mar25 Mar05 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 125 4.50 14% 6.00    
2  MISS AGGIE BLING May13 Mar29 Mar04 Feb19 Feb08 (rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 125 3.50 15% 5.70    
3  YOUONLYLIVETWICE Jun24 Jun18 May06 Apr12 Mar29 (silva-martinez )NEGRON LUIS 125 4.00 32% 2.10    
4  PRESKITT May27 Mar31 Mar05 Feb12 Jan22 (cryderman candi)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.40    
5  MEAN SHARON Jun18 Jun04 May14 Feb27 Feb19 (toye joe)RADKE K 125 8.00    
SCR  STAR FINALITY Jun24 Jun10 May28 May13 Mar27 (cruz pe)ANAYA V 121 20.00    
 
EMD-4   07/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONTFORGETHESUGAR Jun16 Jun03 May13 Sep10 Aug28 (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 125 3.50    
2  HEAD START Jun04 Apr15 Feb20 Jan20 Nov26 (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 125 12.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  PATRICIA L Jun18 May28 Sep09 Aug12 Jul17 (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 123 2.50    
4  SPANISH CHANNEL May28 Apr16 Apr01 Mar12 Jan20 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 1.80 28% 2.60    
5  RODEO ROSE Jun10 May28 Mar18 Feb28 Feb07 (nunnally jennif)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00 12% 7.50    
6  MY MOONDANCER Jun04 May13 Apr01 Mar20 Mar11 (rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 125 4.50    
 
EMD-5   07/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISS RIDE GOODBYE Feb10 Jan28 Jan15 Dec02 Nov12 (wenzel tom)VALDES ALEXIS 123 8.00    
2  MISCHIEF MAMA Jun11 Jun04 Apr29 Apr18 Mar29 (alvarez ser)ORTIZ A 123 12.00    
3  YELLEN Jun24 May13 Apr24 Mar25 Feb25 (toye joe)ANAYA V 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLD ROSE Jun24 Sep11 Sep03 Feb28 Jan25 (pirone e)ZUNINO L 123 15.00    
SCR  ROLINGA Jun18 Apr29 Apr03 Mar05 Feb19 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 125 2.50 19% 4.20    
6  COCOA CENTS Jun11 Mar18 Feb26 Feb17 Jan21 (mccanna tim)RADKE K 123 4.50    
7  HEAT SEEKING LETA Jun23 May28 Feb26 Feb10 Jan21 (dronen sam)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.00 14% 6.10    
8  LOW DOSE Jun18 Jun10 May27 May14 Apr01 (bullene )AMADOR RUIZ 125 3.50 39% 1.60    
 
EMD-6   07/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMDEN HIGH Jun16 May29 May13 Apr01 Mar13 (martinez david )CRUZ M 125 3.00 24% 3.20    
2  TED'S CANDY GIRL May29 May21 May06 Mar15 Feb16 (nunnally)AMADOR RUIZ 125 10.00    
3  LA POPIS Jun16 May29 Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 (troiani niccol)ANAYA V 125 1.60 45% 1.20    
4  EASY DOES IT Jun16 Apr25 Apr01 Feb20 Feb01 (koler steve)OROZCO E 125 15.00    
5  G G RULES Jun17 Jun10 May27 May06 Mar04 (bean a)RADKE K 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  GUNNHILD Jun16 May29 May13 Sep17 Aug19 (crowe shelly)NEGRON LUIS 121 8.00 6% 16.50    
7  MUNNINGS TALE Jun16 May13 Mar20 Feb14 Jan31 (wright blaine)VALDES ALEXIS 125 4.50    
 
EMD-7   07/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-12:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE GOLDEN EGG Jun23 May27 Apr03 Mar18 Feb26 (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 2.00 48% 1.10    
2  SUPER CREATIVE Jun23 Jun09 Apr26 Apr05 Mar13 (johnston kimbe)ANAYA V 125 6.00    
3  FOREVER AMBER May20 Sep17 Sep02 Jul31   (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 116 20.00 6% 15.10    
4  CASH'S CAT Jun24 May28 May05 Apr16   (silva-martinez )NEGRON LUIS 121 8.00 6% 15.10    
SCR  STREET MOGUL Jun09 May19 Feb17 Feb04 Dec31 (soranno jill)RADKE K 121 2.50    
6  EXIT STAGE LEFT Jun16 Sep10 Aug13 Jul17   (bullock steve)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.00    
7  GOOD DANNY Jun24 Aug05 Jul16 Jun17 May28 (baze robert)MONTALVO C 119 15.00 6% 15.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.