Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Saturday - June 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(5/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LS-2   WIN (5/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/3)-(1/7/4)-(8/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-3   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/4)-(1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4)-(8/6/1)-(3/7/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-4   WIN (8/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/1)-(8/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/1)-(8/6/1)-(8/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1)-(3/7/4/1)-(6/7/9/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-5   WIN (3/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/1)-(3/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/1)-(3/7/4/1)-(3/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4/1)-(6/7/9/1/3)-(4/6/1/7/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LS-6   WIN (6/7/9/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/9/1/3)-(6/7/9/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/9/1/3)-(6/7/9/1/3)-(6/7/9/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-7   WIN (4/6/1/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/7/3)-(4/6/1/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/7/3)-(4/6/1/7/3)-(4/6/1/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-8   WIN (8/10/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/10/1)-(8/10/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/10/1)-(8/10/1)-(8/10/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (8/10/1)-(7/5/9/10/3)-(7/1/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-9   WIN (7/5/9/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/9/10/3)-(7/5/9/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/9/10/3)-(7/5/9/10/3)-(7/5/9/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/9/10/3)-(7/1/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LS-10   WIN (7/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUNCH EM May27 Mar27 Mar13 Nov21 Nov02 (ashford)GONCALVES R 121 10.00    
2  SWEET RIVER BAINES May18 Mar12 Jan31 Jan01 Nov22 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 8.00    
3  GOOD SCOUT May18 Apr30 Mar18 Feb24 Jan16 (cravens ron)WETHEY JR 121 3.00 11% 7.80    
4  IMA BLING CAT May18 May06 Nov02 Oct15 Sep22 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 2.00 42% 1.40    
5  PALATIAL TIMES Jun04 May06 Apr13 Apr01 Mar22 (bryant george)CABRERA DAVID 123 3.50    
6  BOOTSIE'S GALAXY May12 May06 Apr21 Apr13 Mar19 (b)DE CRUZ 121 2.50 22% 3.60    
 
LS-2   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. VALENTINO Jun04 May11 Apr15 Mar31 Mar17 (keen dallas)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 2.50    
2  SHAMEFUL ALLIANCE         (northrop )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 15.00 8% 10.90    
3  LEVY BILL         (northrop deb)PIVARAL GERBER 119 20.00 8% 10.90    
4  PANDEMIC CAT Dec16 Nov19 Nov03 Oct20 Oct06 (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 119 5.00 19% 4.40    
5  GOLD BARON Jun09 Apr15 Mar04 Feb10   (asmussen stev)CABRERA DAVID 124 1.20 19% 4.30    
6  RAH ORPHANA         (bravo franci)ALVAREZ L 124 12.00    
7  OFF TO THE RACES May21 Mar12 Mar04 Nov14 Oct31 (montano w)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 4.00    
 
LS-3   06/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARBON STRYKER May21 Apr27 Apr01 Feb21 Jan20 (broberg ka)ERAMIA E 123 1.80 38% 1.70    
SCR  LUCKY PROMISE Jun10 Apr29 Apr14 Mar17 Jan21 (b)DE CRUZ 123 12.00    
3  RECKLESS RED May27 Apr21 Mar10 Feb12 Jan14 (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 118 4.00    
4  JR'S PACIFICO Jun02 May21 May05 Apr16 Mar19 (cravens ii)DIAZ RENE 123 15.00 7% 14.00    
5  QUARTERBACK DAK May27 May13 Apr13 Mar25 Feb18 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 4.50    
6  WINGS FOR ENO Jun08 May27 May07 Apr22 Mar17 (payne dan)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 10.00    
7  DARYLSLITTLEDIABLO May13 Mar31 Mar18 Feb25 Feb05 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
LS-4   06/17/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMIEIS BLUE May07 Feb24 Jan22 Oct21 Sep29 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PRINCESS PHONE Apr21 Sep27 Sep11 Jul16 Jun24 (roubion steve)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.00    
3  MAINLINE Apr30 Apr02 Mar18 Feb03 Nov07 (davis h)DIAZ RENE 120 4.50    
SCR  HOT TUB HOTTIE Jun02 May11 Apr13 Mar05 Feb11 (b)DE CRUZ 120 2.50    
5  MY GOLDEN BLING Jun02 May07 Apr23 Apr08 Mar18 (chacaltan)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 120 3.00    
6  BENDELENE Apr23 Apr02 Mar14 Feb11 Jan22 (padilla a)DIEGO V 120 10.00 17% 4.70    
7  LA MORENA May20 Apr29 Mar24 Mar05 Feb26 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 6.00    
8  RANEEM Apr02 Dec20 Nov22 Oct31 Oct04 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 120 12.00 50% 1.00    
 
LS-5   06/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST TRAFFIC May12 Apr16 Mar19 Feb07 Aug19 (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  ONTHESTAGE May27 Mar23 Feb25 Jan07   (asmussen ste)FUENTES A 122 6.00    
3  MANO DURA Jun10 May28 Apr08 Mar26 Mar04 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
4  CABALLO FELIZ May29 Apr13 Mar25 Feb18 Jan22 (dodson clifford)DIAZ RENE 122 3.00 6% 15.60    
5  GAMETIME GLADIATOR May13 Mar18 Feb18 Jan21 Dec26 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 4.00    
6  EXCAPING THE BLUES Nov08 Oct20 Jul24 Jul08   (bravo fran)ERAMIA E 122 20.00    
7  OLE CRAZY BONE May07 Mar23       (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 122 3.50 35% 1.90    
 
LS-6   06/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASINO MO         (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of CLEVER THIRTEEN by VICTORY GALLOP)
2  GLORY OF THE CROSS         (whitton mark)JUDE JOHN 119 20.00    
  (by CONGAREE out of TACTICAL TRAIL by TACTICAL CAT)
3  TIME BEAN         (whitton mar)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CROSSTIME out of SHE'S A RIVERHAWK by KITALPHA)
SCR  DARYLS TRUMP CARD Jun04         (castellanos jaime)DIAZ RENE 119 12.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of BEL AIR KID by LEMON DROP KID)
5  TIGER MAN MCKOOL         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 4.00    
  (by TEXAS CHROME out of LADY GIACAMO by GIACOMO)
6  MY BUDDY MEL Jun04         (pish danny)ERAMIA E 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by TONALIST out of TILDE by SWISS YODELER)
7  SPRINKLE TAP         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 3.00 20% 3.90    
  (by TAPITURE out of SPRINKLE TIME by SHACKLEFORD)
8  UBSINGINTHEBLUES         (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 119 15.00    
  (by MR. BESILU out of ONESONGSALLITTAKES by SONGANDAPRAYER)
9  OZZIES WINGS Y G Jun03 May07       (mendoza e)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 4.50 11% 8.10    
  (by BRADESTER out of BRIGHTLY by KITTEN'S JOY)
10  BUBBA'S RECKLESS Jun03         (gelner jayde)FUENTES A 119 10.00    
  (by KEEP UP out of L T RECKLESS by HENNY HUGHES)
 
LS-7   06/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VA VOOM Jun08 May18 Apr30 Apr07 Oct22 (scholl kevi)WETHEY JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  KAUSE I'M DEVINE Jun09 May18 Apr21 Mar26 Mar12 (saavedra mary)BENAVIDES D 124 15.00    
3  RIOBELLA May29 Jan27 Jan08 Nov21 Oct28 (ashford)GONCALVES R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  BASKET CASE May18 Apr07 Feb18 Jan14   (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 2.50 67% 0.50    
5  CAPETOWN CANDY May20 Mar26 Mar03 Feb11 Nov09 (montano w)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 3.00    
6  DRENCHED May29 Mar18 Feb12 Jan27 Jan15 (clary rena)DIEGO V 119 3.50 8% 10.80    
7  EXPENSIVE LIAISON May08 Apr21 Feb12 Jan21 Nov11 (broberg ka)ERAMIA E 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  ELMO'S SECRET May29 Apr28 Mar30 Mar09 Jan14 (pish danny)CABRERA DAVID 119 15.00    
9  GUITAR GROUPIE Jun03 May06 Apr21 Apr01 Sep09 (hjort donna)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 30.00    
SCR  SANTANGELO Apr21 Mar30 Mar05 Feb12 Jan15 (b)DE CRUZ 119 12.00    
 
LS-8   06/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IZEADISTORTEDLADY Nov18 Nov08 Oct22 Oct01 Sep14 (castellanos)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  RUN FOR MRS RIGGS May12 Apr29       (padilla c)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 10.00    
3  IT'S STORMY Nov19 Sep30 Jul21 Jul04 Jun05 (herreros stephani)JUDE JOHN 118 30.00    
SCR  LUCKY AND DARING         (cappellucci )FUENTES A 118 12.00    
SCR  SAYED IN A DREAM May08         (ashford ray)DIEGO V 118 4.00 19% 4.20    
6  DAPHNE'S FIRE Jun02 May21 Apr22 Mar18 Feb25 (villafranco f)CABRERA DAVID 118 1.60    
7  MAYWON Jan25 Jan14 Dec21 Dec08 Nov17 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 124 30.00    
8  POWER TO PLAY May18 Apr22 Dec10 Oct26 Jul10 (ashford)GONCALVES R 124 5.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  NELLY LARKIN Apr28 Apr14 Mar10 Feb05 Sep24 (villafranco)WETHEY JR 118 15.00    
10  HELLO MARYLOU Feb28 Feb09 Jan20     (bryant geo)PEREZ ANGEL 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-9   06/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOW BOUT ME May11 Feb18 Jan27 Jan08 Dec14 (gelner j)DIEGO V 116 20.00    
2  LEARNING TO WIN May28 Apr16 Apr02 Feb25 Jan20 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 121 10.00    
3  EKATI'S HIT May10 Dec17 Dec02 Nov03 Oct05 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  WENDY'S SONG May28 May13 Apr23 Feb19 Jan15 (voorhees i)JUDE JOHN 121 20.00    
5  FAITH ALONE Dec17 Oct28 Oct12 Sep14   (offolter j)ERAMIA E 116 6.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  HOT SPRINGS BLING May17 Apr25 Mar17 Mar04 Feb03 (donaldson j)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 20.00    
7  DOWNTOWN ABBY May11 Apr15 Mar18 Jul01 Jun12 (calhoun wil)WETHEY JR 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
8  PALACEIN Mar23 Feb04 Dec14 Nov21 Oct22 (foster joseph )MORA GERARDO 121 3.00    
9  REDEFINITION Apr23 Apr02 Feb24 Feb04 Oct28 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 4.00 9% 9.50    
10  OUTLINING Apr23 Mar18 Feb11 Jan20 Oct02 (asmussen stev)CABRERA DAVID 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-10   06/17/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPTOWNEAGLESLANDED May21 Apr14 Mar11 Sep16 Jul17 (padilla c)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  CLEAT May12 Apr15 Apr01 Mar10 Feb15 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 4.00 11% 8.00    
3  RIBBONS AND MEDALS May27 Apr07 Jan15 Dec18 Sep29 (diodoro robe)FUENTES A 122 12.00    
4  MORE LIKE IT Jun09 May27 May05 Mar19 Jan22 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SIDETOWN Jun02 May18 Apr30 Apr07 Mar09 (hewitt micha)ALVAREZ L 124 30.00    
6  PUTMAN May27 Mar31 Feb22 Jan29 Nov26 (padilla a)DIEGO V 122 10.00    
7  MISTER CHAIRMAN May27 May05 Mar19 Oct30 Sep03 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 4.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  SR. BI BI Jun09 May13 Apr27 Mar31 Mar11 (chacaltan)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 30.00    
9  OCELOT Jun09 Apr22 Mar18 Feb24 Feb03 (b)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
10  ATRAS Jun09 May12 Apr28 Apr14 Mar19 (hewitt michae)CABRERA DAVID 124 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.