Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Saturday - June 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (7/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/6/1)-(6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6/1)-(6/1/4)-(10/1/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-2   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(10/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(10/1/8/4)-(3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-3   WIN (10/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/1/8/4)-(10/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/1/8/4)-(10/1/8/4)-(10/1/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/1/8/4)-(3/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (10/1/8/4)-(3/7)-(6/8/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-4   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/7)-(6/8/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(6/8/11)-(6/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-5   WIN (6/8/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/11)-(6/8/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8/11)-(6/8/11)-(6/8/11) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/8/11)-(6/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/11)-(6/7/1/4)-(5/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-6   WIN (6/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/4)-(6/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/4)-(6/7/1/4)-(6/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/1/4)-(5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/4)-(5/6/3)-(3/1/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-7   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(3/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DEL-8   WIN (3/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   06/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWIST OF FAITH Jul10 Jun22 Apr13     (hendriks rich)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
ALBOROTO         (lopez r)ALICEA JEREMY 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
STONECOLDWARRIOR Mar17 Dec15 Nov27     (siculietano d)PANAIJO JORGE 125 12.00    
CITY HUMOR Jun09 May25 Apr30 Apr12 Mar11 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 8.00    
RESPIRATOR Nov29 Nov07 Oct12 Sep24 Aug22 (lake scott)SANCHEZ J 120 2.00    
SHELLBACK         (gorham michael )CENTENO E 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
TAKE A HINT Aug31 Aug06       (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 1.60 65% 0.50    
BEN'S HERO Jun01 Apr09 Jan26     (klesaris steve)CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00    
 
DEL-2   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST PLAIN ORNERY Apr28 Mar31 Mar17 May04 Mar13 (arriagada juan)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
MISSION KEY May31 Oct01 Sep01 Aug17 Jul28 (aguayo ramon)MENA E 125 6.00    
SCR  SHACKINTHEBOX Apr15 Apr02 Jan23 Dec17 Nov04 (dilodovico da)SILVERA RUBEN 118 8.00    
MY LAST MISSION May20 May02 Dec11 Nov27 Oct27 (pecoraro ant)ARROYO S 123 8.00 14% 6.30    
SPEARGUN May13 Jan05 Nov11 Oct22 Sep09 (alvarado diane)CEDENO CAROL 123 3.50    
ARISTOCRATIC May05 Apr20 Mar25 Mar04 Jan20 (allen ferris)CENTENO E 123 1.80 34% 1.90    
 
DEL-3   06/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PINK SUNSET Jun03 Sep23       (pham van)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 15.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  AMOR SALVAJE May13 Apr23 Mar26 Feb24 Jan27 (ochoa gera)SANCHEZ J 119 8.00    
CANDY COOP Apr22 Mar26       (compton greg)MENA E 119 10.00    
BRING THE MAGIC May24 May04 Feb10 Jan16 Nov27 (woolley tim)ARROYO S 119 5.00 8% 11.20    
SCR  LOOKIN AT KISSES Jun03 Apr15 Mar01 Feb08 Feb01 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 122 20.00    
SCR  BRIGHT MOON Dec30 Dec04       (russell britta)CEDENO CAROL 117 6.00    
SCR  EXOTIC CAT May14 Aug20 Jul23 Jul03 Jun10 (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 124 6.00    
CHEZ SOLEIL May24 May04 May25     (lawrence james )CENTENO E 124 8.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  KOBE'S SMILE May27 May12 Jul20     (boniface kev)TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 10.00    
10  SADDLE UP JESSIE Jan21 Dec31 Nov25 Oct30   (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
11  NOTHINGMAKESENSE May27 Nov02 Oct14 Sep23 Sep15 (aguayo ramon)BLANCO ANDRY 122 10.00    
 
DEL-4   06/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FAMILY GAL May25 May05       (gonzalez claudi)CENTENO E 118 8.00    
  (by BIBLICAL out of RUNS IN THE FAMILY by CEE'S TIZZY)
DANCING DIANA         (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 118 4.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of OH SCATTY OH by SCAT DADDY)
TINA TINA TINA May25         (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 2.00 51% 0.90    
  (by CONNECT out of COUSIN NEWYORK FAY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
LOU'S IRISH LADY         (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 118 8.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of SEEKINGVINDICATION by VINDICATION)
SCR  SHE'S FANTASTIC May25 May05       (gonzalez claud)CEDENO CAROL 118 10.00    
  (by BIBLICAL out of MILA JANE by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
SCR  REMEMBER ME         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 118 6.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of OUTWITHBIGDADDY by OUTFLANKER)
URSULINE         (stidham mich)ARROYO S 118 3.00 20% 3.90    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of URSULA (VEN) by PHONE TRICK)
 
DEL-5   06/17/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($28K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IRISH LACE Jun04 May25 May07 Apr13 Apr06 (sanchez-salomon)CENTENO E 116 20.00    
SCR  SHE'S JUST QUALITY Apr05 Feb22 Jan22 Mar06 Feb12 (alvarado diane)CEDENO CAROL 121 4.00    
SCR  SEIVER Jun05 May01 Apr18 Mar02 Jan20 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.00    
LINAHASPECSHOES Jun01 May13 Nov02 Oct21 Oct05 (ashby lyn)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 116 20.00    
TITOSCHANGEDMYLUCK May25 Nov25 Aug31 Aug09 Jul09 (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 118 8.00    
THREE COINS Jun01 Apr19 Oct07 Sep29 Sep10 (galvan baltazar)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 6.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  BABY LUCK Apr19 Mar10 Aug10 Jul27 Feb19 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 123 8.00    
RITABOOK Jun02 May05 Apr19 Mar25 Mar12 (rigattieri john)MENA E 123 8.00 26% 2.80    
UNBRIDLED SASS Oct19 Sep28 Sep07 Aug26 Aug10 (nambo cesar)BLANCO ANDRY 118 8.00    
SCR  SACRED UNION Jul03 Jun10       (alcala cesar)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 12.00    
11  BLAME CATALAYA May31 May08 Oct21 Aug12   (pecoraro anthon)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  CONSTITUTIONALRAGE Aug13 Jul16 Jun17 Apr24   (bryant donald )HIRALDO JOHN 121 15.00    
SCR  EARLEY ROSE May06 Apr15 Feb11 Feb03 Jan22 (frock charl)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 20.00    
 
DEL-6   06/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELEONORTIZ Jun02 May20 May03 Jan08 Dec16 (machado anto)ARROYO S 125 4.00 11% 8.50    
REINA LA KELSY Jun01 Nov03 Oct12 Jul21   (ovando melvi)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 8.00    
RAISON THE GLASS Apr27 Feb11 Jan13 Dec14 Oct21 (kelly blake)HIRALDO JOHN 120 4.00    
CAGED PIXIE May26 Feb03 Dec04 Nov19 Nov05 (eppler e)CENTENO E 120 8.00 9% 10.00    
NURSE RACHETT May25 Nov03 Oct21 Sep28 Aug21 (cronk f)PANAS A 120 10.00    
MY BOSS LADY Feb17 Feb04 Jan20 Jan06 Dec29 (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 120 2.00 34% 1.90    
BLIND SIGHT Jun02 May12 Apr26 Dec21 Nov05 (salinas jose)CEDENO CAROL 122 6.00 24% 3.20    
 
DEL-7   06/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($38.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROTOMAGIC Apr27 Apr12 Mar24 Mar09 Feb15 (sullivan ellio)HIRALDO JOHN 122 12.00    
SCR  SHE'S A BIG DEAL May09 Sep06 Jul30 Jul07 Jun15 (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 122 3.00    
SUPER RENEE May13 Apr08 Feb19 Nov26 Oct23 (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 122 4.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  MUNDLE OF JOY May26 Sep24 Aug26 Jul15   (crook-demasi ka)CENTENO E 122 6.00    
PAPER MANSION Jul30 Jun28 Jun13 May23 May02 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
BLOWTHRUYELOWLITES Jun02 Apr28 Mar31 Mar12 Jan20 (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 1.50 14% 6.20    
SCR  BITTY BOSS Sep13 Aug19 Jun22 May14 Apr03 (woolley tim)ARROYO S 122 4.50    
TRULY AMBITIOUS May31 Mar10 Feb18 Aug27 Jul16 (husted rac)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 20.00    
SCR  PROPER GRAMMAR May12 Nov19 Oct07 Aug21 Jul30 (pregman jr)MENA E 122 12.00    
 
DEL-8   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALICE HARPER Apr06 Mar09 Jan19 Jan06 Nov20 (gonzalez claudi)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 2.50 9% 9.70    
SAPPHIRE BEAUTY May28 May07 Apr01 Mar11 Feb24 (frock l)CENTENO E 123 6.00    
NUCCI Apr20 Jan20 Jan12 Nov20 Sep09 (stidham michae)CEDENO CAROL 118 1.20 62% 0.60    
HIP HOP HOORAY Apr11 Mar29 Mar07 Dec20 Dec06 (padilla-preci)RANGEL JOEZER 116 15.00    
ICESTORMING Mar31 Mar03 Feb10 Jan21 Jan07 (smith jason)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 107 12.00    
CIRCLE OF COURAGE Dec28 Dec02 Nov18 Nov04 Oct06 (lawrence j)MENDOZA JHONATAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
LIZZIES RED VELVET Jun02 Mar09       (nazario pedro)ALICEA JEREMY 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
LUNITA Mar29 Mar17 Mar01 Feb10 Jan21 (lopez mario )TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.