Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Tuesday - June 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (4/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/6)-(4/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/6)-(4/5/2/6)-(4/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/2/6)-(8/4/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-2   WIN (8/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/6/7)-(8/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/6/7)-(8/4/6/7)-(8/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/6/7)-(2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/6/7)-(2/4/1)-(5/2/1/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-3   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(5/2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(5/2/1/7)-(5/7/4/3/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
FL-4   WIN (5/2/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/7)-(5/2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1/7)-(5/2/1/7)-(5/2/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/1/7)-(5/7/4/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-5   WIN (5/7/4/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/3/1)-(5/7/4/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/3/1)-(5/7/4/3/1)-(5/7/4/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/4/3/1)-(3/5/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-6   WIN (3/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/6/4)-(8/5/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6/4)-(8/5/1/6)-(1/4/9/5/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
FL-7   WIN (8/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/6)-(8/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/6)-(8/5/1/6)-(8/5/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/1/6)-(1/4/9/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-8   WIN (1/4/9/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/9/5/2)-(1/4/9/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/9/5/2)-(1/4/9/5/2)-(1/4/9/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   06/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO CRAZY BLUES May30 May17 May02 Oct19 Sep21 (lopez arcadi)HARKIE K 122 5.00    
NAVY PIER Mar25 Feb28 Feb11 Aug10 Jul25 (chamberl)DAVIS A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
STORMY NEW YORK May30 May17 May02 Nov02 Oct19 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 4.00    
JOEY LOOSE LIPS Mar26 Mar11 Feb12 Jan14 Dec29 (thompson ma)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 2.00 65% 0.50    
SCORPION DYNASTY May24 May08 Aug02 Jul17 Jun30 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 2.50 13% 6.70    
OLIVER WITHA TWIST May24 Nov02 Oct19 Oct03 Sep12 (clarke dylan)DAVILA A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
TAKE THE EDGE May24 Nov14 Oct25 Oct11 Oct03 (babcock ed)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00    
 
FL-2   06/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEAK'N POOK Aug22 Aug03 Jul05 Jun15 May30 (murphy timothy )DIAZ J 115 15.00    
SPECIAL STORY May23 Oct25 Oct05 Sep27 Sep06 (torelli stacy)ALVARADO R 122 8.00    
ALONGCAMETHEPRINCE May16 May02 Nov14 Nov02 Sep21 (clarke dylan)HARKIE K 122 15.00    
HERO TIGER May30 May17 Apr06 Feb13 Jan19 (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 122 2.00 27% 2.70    
HOLY COWBOY May23 May09 Apr25 Nov16 Oct31 (breed debra)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 12.00    
WAR OF THRONES May23 Nov14 Oct04 Sep21 Aug16 (acquilano jam)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 3.50 17% 5.00    
HARRISON KNOWS May30 May17 Apr25 Nov15 Oct31 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 122 6.00 6% 15.90    
MASSEY HALL May30 May16 Nov08 Oct31 Oct19 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
 
FL-3   06/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLATTERY'S MUSIC May22 May08 Apr25 Nov23 Nov01 (sabine t)GOMEZ O 122 1.60 13% 6.90    
AKELA May22 May08 Apr25 Mar30 Jan18 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 119 3.50 37% 1.70    
DOYOUKNOWWHOIAM Nov16 Nov02 Aug29 Aug10 Jul06 (bartlett will)DAVILA A 122 6.00    
TASTY WAVE May22 Oct05 Sep13 Aug14 Jul16 (ashley jul)DE EMANUEL 122 2.00 22% 3.60    
ROZ May08 Apr25 Nov23 Nov01 Oct11 (schudlic)DAVIS A 118 5.00    
 
FL-4   06/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LABAN M MO May22 May09 Dec09 Nov01 Sep28 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
HONORABLE AVENUE May17 Nov15 Oct24 Oct05 Sep07 (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 121 4.00 13% 6.60    
DROSEL DIEM May22 May09 Apr24 Nov22 Nov14 (sabine mic)DE EMANUEL 121 10.00    
DATESFREEDOM May27 May05 Apr14 Mar25 Mar10 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 8.00    
BOLD VICTORY Apr12 Feb26 Jan29 Jan05 Dec02 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.50 60% 0.70    
CHOWDA May20 May14 Apr20 Jan21 Dec04 (sciacca gary)COA J 121 15.00    
ALBIE Apr29 Apr08 Mar10 Feb25 Jan04 (ferraro an)BARBOSA CARLOS 111 10.00 5% 19.00    
CAN'T BEAT ME May09 Apr01 Mar11 Feb19 Feb09 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 3.00    
SCR  HORSE BE WITH YOU Apr05 Mar22 Mar06 Feb21 Jan23 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 6.00    
 
FL-5   06/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY MISS PENNY Sep27         (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
KITTY TIN TIN Nov01 Sep06 Aug23 Aug15 Jul10 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 15.00    
FRANKIE C May31 May16 May02 Nov21 Nov07 (bireta donna)BAEZ JOSE 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
BECAUSEOFTHEBRAVE May16 May02 Apr16 Mar17 Jan26 (clarke dylan)HARKIE K 124 6.00 14% 6.10    
SHOOPTHEREITIS May16         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 3.00 34% 2.00    
BETTING ON A STONE Jan20 Jan06       (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 119 10.00    
REGAL REBEL Oct15 Aug05 Jun25     (grabowski john)COA J 124 6.00 29% 2.50    
TINTAGEL May31 Nov01 Oct10 Sep26 Sep12 (smith ju)DAVIS A 124 3.50    
SLY SLOANE May31 May02 Dec18 Oct23 Sep01 (englehart jer)DAVILA R 119 4.00    
 
FL-6   06/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOO BA LA May24 May08 Oct11 Sep19 Aug22 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 15.00    
SUEBEE May30 May17 Apr25 Nov15 Nov01 (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 6.00    
DAD GOT SHORT LEGS Oct25 Oct12 Sep27     (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 3.50 41% 1.50    
STRONG ALPHA May02 Nov23 Oct25 Jun20 Jun01 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
EUDAIMONIA May23 May08 Nov22 Oct31 Oct11 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
MOOLAH ROUGE May30 May08 Nov21 Nov07 Oct25 (lecesse)NAVARRO J 119 3.00 10% 9.00    
EMPRESS PALPATINE Nov08 Oct17 Oct03 Aug23 Jul26 (henry n)DAVILA A 124 8.00    
SMOKIN ZIVA May23 May02 Nov08 Oct05 Sep27 (breed a)ROHENA JR 124 20.00    
SCR  ONE JOURNEY May30 May15 Nov08 Oct25 Oct03 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 20.00    
 
FL-7   06/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALMENDRO Apr24 Nov22 Nov07 Sep20 Aug24 (ubbink s)DAVIS A 122 10.00 13% 6.70    
BUSTIN SHOUT May14 Aug21 Jul28 Jul04 Apr21 (lev)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00    
NUEVA YORK May29 Nov17 Oct10 Sep20 Sep06 (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 122 15.00    
BETA Nov16 Oct24 Jun28 Jun13   (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 4.00    
FULL MOON FEVER May11 Apr14 Mar18 Feb20 Jan06 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 3.50 27% 2.60    
SAMAY (PER) May29 May15 Dec09 Nov22 Oct24 (loaiza )NAVARRO J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
TOMMY THE TORCH May16 Apr24 Feb17 Jan27 Jan11 (murphy timo)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 15.00    
FLYING EMPEROR May29 May15 Sep20 Sep06 Aug24 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 122 3.00 35% 1.80    
 
FL-8   06/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOCLIPS May23 Nov16 Nov01 Oct18 Sep10 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
AFTER ALPHA May30 May17 Aug08 Jul20 Jul05 (huertas nir)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
SUBTLE GIANT May31 May17 May02 Nov22 Nov09 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00    
WEATHER ADVISORY May30 May15 May02 Aug10 Jul26 (grusmark)DAVIS A 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
BETTYBOOM May15 May02 Nov23 Nov08 Oct11 (breed a)ROHENA JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
WINE TRAIL May23 Nov23 Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 (progno michael )DIAZ J 117 20.00    
ONE TICKED LADY May30 May15 Sep13 Aug30 Jul26 (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 15.00    
KEEN ON ME May30 May15 Jun20 May24 May02 (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 124 6.00    
ALBANY YATES May23 May08 Apr24 Nov09 Oct24 (sells rachel)COA J 124 4.00 7% 13.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.