Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Sunday - May 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(6/8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LS-2   WIN (6/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/3)-(6/8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/3)-(6/8/5/3)-(6/8/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/5/3)-(5/3/4)-(6/9/7/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-3   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(6/9/7/10/11)-(5/1) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LS-4   WIN (6/9/7/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/7/10/11)-(6/9/7/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/7/10/11)-(6/9/7/10/11)-(6/9/7/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (6/9/7/10/11)-(5/1)-(3/7/9/1) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
LS-5   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/3/2)-(5/1/3/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(3/7/9/1)-(4/9/2/10/6) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
LS-6   WIN (3/7/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/9/1)-(3/7/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/9/1)-(3/7/9/1)-(3/7/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-7   WIN (4/9/2/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/2/10/6)-(4/9/2/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/2/10/6)-(4/9/2/10/6)-(4/9/2/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-8   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4/1/8)-(3/6/4/1/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(7/8/10)-(8/12/9) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LS-9   WIN (7/8/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/10)-(7/8/10/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/10)-(7/8/10/5/1)-(7/8/10/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/8/10)-(8/12/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LS-10   WIN (8/12/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/12/9)-(8/12/9/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/12/9)-(8/12/9/6)-(8/12/9/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   05/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GUNNER PAUL Apr25 Apr03 Mar21 Mar13 Feb25 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 4.00    
2  DAAHERS BULLY Apr27 Apr15 Apr02 Mar19 Jan21 (b)DE CRUZ 124 4.50 35% 1.90    
3  TEXAS TITAN Apr14 Feb10 Jan14 Aug29 Aug14 (payne w)DIEGO V 124 15.00    
4  LOUIS LE GRANDE Apr29 Apr14 Mar18 Mar04 Jan20 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
5  SHANGHAI'S DREAM Apr27 Apr14 Mar19 Sep05 Jul03 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 6.00 20% 3.90    
6  ONOMATOPOEIA Apr14 Apr05 Mar07 Jan22 Dec12 (williams f)JUDE JOHN 124 8.00    
SCR  DELIRIUM Apr21 Apr14 Mar31 Mar24 Feb25 (torr)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.50    
 
LS-2   05/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTY FLIRT Apr01 Mar05 Feb04 Jan16 Jan07 (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 122 8.00    
2  TAY TAY'S BABY Apr07 Mar10 Feb19 Jan18 Dec10 (cravens ii)DIAZ RENE 122 10.00    
3  TIZ HOPPIN Apr07 Mar12 Feb17 Nov11 Oct09 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 122 15.00 11% 7.70    
4  SHACKLELACKALACKA Apr07 Mar18 Mar10 Feb19 Feb11 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 6.00    
5  TOTAL MALICE Apr15 Apr01 Mar23 Mar08 Feb09 (g)DE CRUZ 122 3.50 14% 6.30    
6  CARPE HORSESHOE Mar05 Feb24 Jan06 Nov19 Oct07 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 2.50 34% 2.00    
7  THETRUTHISTHETRUTH Apr10 Mar21 Mar06 Jan20 Nov18 (cogburn orr)WETHEY JR 124 4.00    
8  GIRONA Mar28 Jan31 Jan08 Dec20 Oct31 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 120 5.00 17% 4.90    
 
LS-3   05/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE AND READY         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 3.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of MORE THAT LILY by MORE THAN READY)
2  HE'S CHARMING         (gelner jayd)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 4.50    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of REALLY CHARMING by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  TOO INTIMIDATING         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 2.50 19% 4.20    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of CLEVER INTIMIDATOR by INTIMIDATOR)
4  OZZIES WINGS Y G         (mendoza e)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 20.00 6% 17.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of BRIGHTLY by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  TOO MUCH DREAMING         (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 116 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of FORMAL FLYER by EARLY FLYER)
SCR  BAYOU BOY         (c)DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of DALLAS BLONDE by CITY ZIP)
7  SPECIAL MEMORY         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 8.00    
  (by SPECIAL RATE out of JULIE'S MEMORY by ETESAAL)
 
LS-4   05/07/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALE'S ANGEL Apr22 Mar12 Feb19 Jan22 Jan06 (villafranco)WETHEY JR 124 8.00    
2  MY GOLDEN BLING Apr23 Apr08 Mar18 Mar12 Feb20 (chacaltana doming)DIEGO V 124 4.00    
3  MY BABYS GONE Apr16 Apr01 Mar12 Feb20 Jan21 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 120 4.50    
4  STORMIEIS BLUE Feb24 Jan22 Oct21 Sep29 Sep03 (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 120 5.00    
5  STAN'S GOLDEN PATH Apr21 Apr08 Mar18 Jan14 Dec03 (c)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
6  THINKITASADONATION Apr29 Apr02 Feb22 Feb03 Dec15 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 8.00 31% 2.20    
7  FOR FUN Apr23 Mar28 Mar19 Feb05 Jan24 (green greg)ALVAREZ L 124 8.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  STILL OF THE NIGHT Apr22 Apr02 Feb04 Nov04 Oct14 (cravens ii)DIAZ RENE 120 20.00    
9  WOO HOO Mar10 Feb26 Jan13 Jan08 Dec16 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 6.00 23% 3.30    
10  IGNIS Apr22 Mar18 Jul03 Jun04 Apr01 (crumley jevo)FUENTES A 120 20.00 7% 12.50    
11  PAISLEY CROSS Apr22 Dec30 Nov19 Mar05 Jan20 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  SUMMER CAT Apr15 Mar18 Feb11 Jan14 Dec15 (eoff )MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 12.00    
SCR  SOUL SET FREE Apr22 Apr07 Feb11 Jan06 Dec15 (tuley rhonda)SANCHEZ M 122 20.00    
 
LS-5   05/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIONEER TOWN Apr16 Mar31 Sep22 Sep03 Jul31 (ashford)GONCALVES R 118 15.00 26% 2.80    
2  CLASSIC RUNNER Mar24 Mar15 Feb25 Dec02 Nov18 (g)DE CRUZ 124 15.00 ★    
3  SOMEBODY IN TEXAS Apr07         (castellanos jaime)DIAZ RENE 124 4.00 ★    
4  DISCOVERY PEAK Apr16 Mar04 Feb12 Jan15 Jul24 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 2.00    
5  LOOPY DUDE Apr16 Apr02 Mar12 Feb18 Feb04 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 3.00 49% 1.00    
6  IMMA BLINGY LAD Apr16 Apr02 Mar12 Feb24 Feb11 (tuley rhonda)SANCHEZ M 118 20.00    
7  PERFECT TOM Mar18 Feb20 Feb04 Jun05 May15 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 2.50    
 
LS-6   05/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATURAL HIGH         (echeverri)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 30.00 7% 13.00    
2  ASTA LAVISTA HONEY Apr23 Mar24 Mar12 Feb25 Feb19 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 124 2.50    
3  LOST GOLD Apr23 Mar13 Feb19 Jan13 Mar26 (gelner j)ELLIOTT S 124 1.80 42% 1.40    
4  SPARRA Mar19 Mar05 Jan28     (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 118 5.00    
SCR  HYPERION NORTH Apr15 Mar17 Mar05 Feb26 Jan28 (t)DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
SCR  HAKEEM'S DREAM         (swift a)JUDE JOHN 124 30.00    
7  SAMSPLAYERSLOUNGE Apr16 Mar19 Mar11 Feb20 Jan14 (meji)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 4.50 16% 5.10    
8  GOLD CAPO Apr29 Apr13 Apr07 Feb17 Jan13 (echeverria )BARANDELA SOFIA 119 20.00    
9  TEXAN FARMER Mar19         (torrez jeren)ALVAREZ L 118 8.00 10% 8.90    
 
LS-7   05/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRAZY RIDGE Mar19 Feb19 Sep25 Sep10 Aug09 (kota)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00    
2  BIG WAVE JAMES Apr15 Mar04 Feb17 Sep01 Jul23 (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 4.50 17% 4.70    
3  STRICTLY CONFIDENT Mar17 Feb18 Jan21 Nov25 Oct28 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 119 15.00    
4  EVIE'S PRINCE Feb26 Jun04 May19 Mar10 Feb25 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 3.50 31% 2.30    
5  SUMMER LOVER Mar31 Mar18 Mar01 Feb20 Jan29 (govea cesar)DIEGO V 123 5.00    
6  ACCRUAL Jan20 Oct21 Sep03 Aug16   (pish )CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 114 30.00 6% 15.80    
7  SEEKING SPLENDOR Mar18 Feb24 Jan13 Dec22 Aug03 (silva miguel)ALVAREZ L 123 20.00    
8  WITT AMERICA Apr14 Mar31 Mar11 Feb25 Feb17 (davidson s)ERAMIA E 123 20.00    
9  WOHLGEMUTH (ITY) Mar24 Mar04       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 18% 4.70    
10  MAYAN Mar31 Mar04 Jan15 Dec09 Nov09 (ashford)GONCALVES R 123 8.00 7% 12.70    
11  SUPREME CAPO Apr14 Mar11 Mar03 Jan22 May29 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 30.00    
 
LS-8   05/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.5K) 3 ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUNCTUALITY Apr13         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 3.50 ★    
  (by UNION RAGS out of ETIQUETTE by TAPIT)
2  LOOK SHARP Apr13 Feb04       (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 3.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of EXTRA SHARP by CHEROKEE RUN)
3  SHOTSHELL         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TAPALITE by TAPIT)
4  PASS IT AROUND Apr02 Mar19 Feb28 Feb07 Dec14 (green greg)FUENTES A 122 20.00 14% 6.20    
  (by ALTERNATION out of HAUNTING by KRIS S.)
5  OLE CRAZY BONE Mar23         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 5.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SOUTHERN GEM by SMART STRIKE)
6  JOHNNY APPLESEED Apr13 Mar31       (willis mind)WETHEY JR 122 8.00 17% 4.90    
  (by GORMLEY out of APPEALING APPLE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
7  HUMOR ME PLEASE Apr15 Mar31 Mar22 Mar09 Jan20 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 20.00    
  (by LEA out of UNDISTORTED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  I AM GRODD Apr13 Mar31 Mar18 Feb24 Feb03 (williams stev)CABRERA DAVID 122 10.00 ★    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of BALTIC NATIONS by SEATTLE SLEW)
9  LONG COOL         (clary jay)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 15.00    
  (by EAGLE out of RED DRESS by TOO MUCH BLING)
 
LS-9   05/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXAS HOLDEM Apr22 Mar24 Mar12 Feb25 Feb03 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 120 12.00 ★    
2  POPEYES HEART Feb02 Dec22 Nov19 Oct15 Sep18 (winslow jan)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 20.00    
3  PICKINGUPSTRANGERS Apr16 Apr07 Mar19 Feb25 Feb19 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 124 5.00    
SCR  EUROROCKSTAR Mar17 Mar03 Feb11 Jan15 Feb12 (rossi lee )ERAMIA E 120 4.50    
5  WINGS FOR ENO Apr22 Mar17 Jan27 Sep27 Sep06 (payne dan)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 120 8.00 ★    
6  GOLIATH RIDGE Mar31 Mar04 Feb19 Feb03 Jan06 (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 15.00    
7  NOISE COMPLAINT Apr15 Mar26 Feb26 Jan07 Nov25 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 118 3.50 43% 1.30    
8  FARM DOG Apr08 Mar17 Jul23 Jun05 May15 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 118 4.00 20% 3.90    
9  SILVER AND GOLD Mar18 Feb20 Feb11 Jul24 Jul02 (jacks e)DIEGO V 120 15.00    
10  FEARLESS PRINCE Apr14 Mar18 Mar10 Feb19 Feb03 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00 12% 7.60    
11  MOROLICIOUS Apr22 Mar31 Mar12 Feb25 Feb19 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 8.00    
 
LS-10   05/07/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAHITIAN BREEZE Mar25 Mar12 Feb18 Feb11 Jan13 (hurle)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 115 4.00    
SCR  EMPTY NET Sep30 Sep10 Sep06 Aug08 Jul16 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  VEILAZIG Apr14 Apr01 Mar10 Feb04 Jan16 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 120 30.00    
4  LADY GOT MOVES Apr01 Feb11 Jul10 May19 Apr28 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 120 12.00    
SCR  LITTLE MISS BELLE Sep10 Mar22 Feb11 Jan18   (cappellucci )FUENTES A 120 5.00    
6  GLITTERARY Apr01 Jul21 Jul08 Jun25 Jun16 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00 ★    
7  MINNESOTA NICE Apr08 Feb20 Jan13 Dec10 Nov11 (young scott)WETHEY JR 120 20.00    
8  TUDELA Apr16 Mar25 Mar12 Feb18 Jan13 (castell)GONCALVES R 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
9  WILBURNSCLASSYLADY Mar26 Feb26 Feb18 Jan27 Jul09 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 124 15.00 9% 10.00    
10  SUPER EMPIRE Mar03 Feb03 Dec14 Nov18 Oct14 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 120 30.00    
11  MORO LINGERIE Apr01 Feb26 Jan27 Nov19 Oct26 (williams f)DIAZ RENE 124 10.00    
12  GET SERIOUS Apr01 Feb20 Jan13 Oct19 Apr24 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 8.00 22% 3.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.