Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Friday - April 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/2)-(2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
OP-2   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/5/4)-(2/6/5/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/6)-(1/6/3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(1/6/3/4)-(5/6) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
OP-3   WIN (1/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/3/4)-(5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/4)-(5/6)-(10/11/3/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
OP-4   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/6)-(10/11/3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(10/11/3/2)-(1/5/3/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
OP-5   WIN (10/11/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/11/3/2)-(10/11/3/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/11/3/2)-(10/11/3/2/8)-(10/11/3/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/11/3/2)-(1/5/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/11/3/2)-(1/5/3/7)-(6/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-6   WIN (1/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/7)-(1/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/7)-(1/5/3/7)-(1/5/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/3/7)-(6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3/7)-(6/4/7)-(1/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
OP-7   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/7/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/7/9/5)-(6/4/7/9/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/4/7)-(1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7)-(1/3/2)-(9/6/4/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
OP-8   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2/6/8)-(1/3/2/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(9/6/4/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
OP-9   WIN (9/6/4/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/4/11)-(9/6/4/11/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/6/4/11)-(9/6/4/11/8)-(9/6/4/11/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   04/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPENSIVE LIAISON Feb12 Jan21 Nov11 Oct21 Sep23 (broberg karl)ZIMMERMAN R 119 12.00    
2  ABBY THE BULL DAWG Mar30 Feb26 Feb05 Dec30 Oct26 (hornsby t)DE CRUZ 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  AUTOSTRADA (CHI) Sep05 Aug08 Jul21 Jul03 Jun11 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 15.00 ★    
4  ALITA Mar31 Feb19 Feb05 Jan21 Jan13 (hollendorf)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 5.00    
5  LANDSLID Feb26 Feb12 Dec30 Dec18 Nov11 (becker sc)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 1.60 57% 0.80    
6  SANTANGELO Mar30 Mar05 Feb12 Jan15 Nov02 (compton g)TORRES A 119 4.50    
7  WINDY BAY Mar16 Feb17 Jan27 Dec31 Dec01 (contreras cipr)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 2.00 7% 13.10    
 
OP-2   04/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE COWGIRL Mar30 Mar05 Feb24 Feb05 Dec16 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 20.00    
2  SWEET N SALTY Mar16         (souza felipe)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 1.40 40% 1.50    
SCR  BE BO Mar16 Feb25 Jan28     (moquett r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 116 12.00 9% 10.10    
4  TAPICITA Mar18         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 4.50 ★    
5  SHESTHEBIGGAME Mar30 Sep01 Aug19     (dixon tim)HARR KELSI 121 8.00 ★    
6  LUNCH LADY Mar30 Mar02 Jan21 Jun29 May29 (deatherage core)TORRES HUGO 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
7  MY MOONLIGHT LADY Mar09 Jan28       (martin wi)DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
8  CANARY NATION Mar16 Feb24 Feb05 Jan13 Nov10 (anderson doug)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 12.00    
9  COURT COSTS Mar25         (wilson mel)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 20.00    
 
OP-3   04/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE MORE LAUGH Feb11 Jan16 Dec22 Oct18 Sep26 (silva miguel)JORDAN R 125 2.00 31% 2.20    
2  STAR POSE Mar11 Feb20 Jan27 Jan13 Oct26 (villafranco m)CABRERA DAVID 119 10.00    
3  MIDSUMMER SOIREE Mar23 Jan20 Nov20 Oct30   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 5.00 10% 9.20    
4  SHIP IT Feb12 Jan01 Nov25 Nov11 Jan14 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 10.00 7% 13.30    
5  BIDOFHONEY Mar25 Feb24 Nov20 Oct01   (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 12.00    
6  BIOGENIC BABE Mar25 Mar02 Feb10 Jan15 Dec14 (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 3.50 28% 2.50    
7  CANDY CARAMEL Mar11 Feb10 Jan14 Dec03 Nov13 (miller peter)JUAREZ NIK 121 3.00    
8  DESERT GLOW Sep04 Aug04 Jul13 Jun18 Jun05 (rengstorf ton)BAILEY CHEL-C 123 20.00    
 
OP-4   04/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOULDABOUGHTDABAR Apr08 Jul17       (murphy swan)NOLL S 121 20.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of GALLERY GIRL by GIO PONTI)
2  PATTON'S WAR Mar18         (cox brad )TORRES A 121 4.50 ★    
  (by WEST COAST out of SPRING STORM by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  MORE THAN EASY         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 15.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BET TO WIN by PULPIT)
4  MACHO STRIKER         (westermann)GALLARDO EDUARDO 120 30.00    
  (by MACHO ROCKET out of LIL MS RAZORBACK by PRIMARY SUSPECT)
5  HEY EUGENE Mar25         (maker mi)SANTANA JR 121 3.00 18% 4.70    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SWEET MARGI by MARGIE'S WILDCAT)
6  SPEAKINOFTHEDEVIL Apr01 Nov24 Oct23     (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.50 12% 7.50    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of WAR FLOWER by WAR FRONT)
SCR  RUNAWAY JACK Apr01 Mar03 Feb10 Dec31   (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 1.60 49% 1.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MELODY GIRL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
8  MY UNCLE LEON Mar25 Mar04 Oct07     (lukas wayne)CABRERA DAVID 121 10.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of MORSE CODE MAMA by MACHO UNO)
 
OP-5   04/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ADELE'S BLING Mar10 Nov19 Aug27 Jul08 Jun05 (durham danele)CABRERA DAVID 117 50.00    
2  MAJOR CONTENDER Mar25 Mar09 Feb17 Dec29 Jun08 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  AFRAIDOFTHEBUNNY Apr07 Mar12 Feb03 Dec31 Nov21 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 118 5.00 15% 5.60    
4  AL'S ROMEO Apr02 Mar24       (stuart sh)DE CRUZ 116 12.00    
5  HARMON KILLER BREW Nov04 Oct22 Sep17 Aug25 Jul27 (rengstorf ton)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 20.00    
6  COMMANDER CARL Mar23 Mar05 Feb04 Dec11 Nov05 (ortiz ale)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 20.00    
7  SMOOTH SCAT Mar31 Mar12 Feb03 Dec31 Sep25 (rosin cot)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
8  EE YAH Mar23 Mar05 Jan20 Jan06 Dec10 (broberg k)TORRES A 118 12.00 ★    
9  PISTOL OR SHOTGUN Mar23 Feb17 Jan15 Dec18 Nov04 (smith p)HARR KELSI 122 10.00    
10  VICTORY MARCH Mar10 Feb11 Jan13 Dec18 Nov27 (mcknight norman)JUAREZ NIK 122 1.60 31% 2.20    
11  OTTOMAN EMPIRE Mar12 Feb17 Dec17 May16 Apr15 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
 
OP-6   04/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLATOUT WINNER Mar16 Mar03 Jan27 Jan13 Dec17 (litfin nevada)CABRERA DAVID 126 3.00 39% 1.60    
2  COLOSI Mar16 Feb11 Jan27 Jan13 Dec17 (petalino joe)JUAREZ NIK 122 12.00    
3  GOLD BUCKLE Apr08 Feb19 Feb11 Jan07 Dec11 (haran joh)TORRES A 118 12.00 10% 9.20    
4  POLTERER Mar26 Mar02 Jan21 Dec30 Nov02 (compton g)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 126 2.00    
5  FORT PECK Mar03 Feb05 Jan08 Apr22 Mar26 (becker scott)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 2.50 10% 9.10    
6  DRIVEN ONE Feb25 Feb05 Jan08 Dec17 Oct11 (mason ingrid)WALES T 118 8.00    
7  MULBERRY STREET Mar18 Feb19 Jan08 Nov19 Nov06 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 7% 13.00    
8  CHAPEL BARN Apr08 Mar26 Mar09 Feb20 Feb05 (altamira)SANTANA JR 122 10.00    
 
OP-7   04/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT SUMMER DREAM Oct02 Aug28       (murphy travi)JORDAN R 121 30.00    
2  SUPER CINDY Apr02 Oct02 Aug28 Aug14   (murphy swan)NOLL S 121 15.00    
3  GREEK HEIRESS Mar18 Sep14 Aug20     (milligan allen)ZIMMERMAN R 121 6.00    
4  VALIANT PRAISE Apr02 Mar05 Feb08 Jan13 Dec11 (mcpeek ke)TORRES A 121 4.50 10% 8.80    
5  HURRICANE FIRE         (martin wil)MICHEL MICKAELLE 125 12.00 ★    
6  BOOGIE WOOGIE GAL Mar05         (sharp joe)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 1.40 60% 0.70    
7  COLLECTED GLORY Mar18 Mar02 Feb10 Jan27 Dec31 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 121 8.00 7% 13.90    
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS ME Mar18         (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 20.00    
9  RATIFIED Mar26 Mar05 Jan29     (moquett r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.50 ★    
10  ACCELERATING BABE Mar26 Feb25 Jun25 Jun09   (pish danny)ASMUSSEN J 121 30.00    
 
OP-8   04/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($106K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCEDREAMCESS Mar16 Feb26 Jan01 Nov30 Nov02 (shirer m)SANTANA JR 125 2.00 28% 2.50    
2  AMERICAN LILY Mar31 Mar02 Jan22 Dec30 Nov27 (miller peter)GARCIA MARTIN 125 12.00 18% 4.40    
3  HYPERSPORT Apr01 Mar09 Jan21 Dec09 Oct29 (mason ingrid)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 3.50 28% 2.50    
4  DEALING JUSTICE Mar02 Jan14 Nov11 Sep16 Aug07 (mott riley)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 10.00    
5  ASENA Mar24 Mar04 Jun22 Jun08 May18 (lund valorie)BAZE C 125 6.00    
6  SPEEDOMETER Mar17 Aug07 Jul09 May13 Mar03 (asmussen )TORRES A 121 4.50 ★    
SCR  LET'S BE CLEAR Mar31 Dec15 Nov13 Sep22 Jul31 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00    
8  HEADLAND Mar02 Jan14 Oct26 Sep16 Apr30 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 12.00 ★    
9  I'M THE BOSS OF ME Mar31 Mar02 Jan21 Dec17 Oct28 (compton g)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 8.00    
 
OP-9   04/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORI'S EYES Apr14 Mar17 Mar03 Jan29 Dec30 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 123 15.00    
2  NAVAGATIONALBEACON Mar17 Feb26 Feb12 Jan22 Dec11 (wilson mel)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 20.00    
SCR  SMARTY'S ANGEL         (cates al)HARR KELSI 123 30.00    
4  BETTY JO Apr08 Feb12 Jan14     (moquett r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 6.00 10% 9.10    
5  JERI DAWN Mar18 Mar10 Feb12 Jan22 Jan06 (martin timot)JORDAN R 121 12.00    
6  K J'S PISTOL ANNIE Mar18 Mar10 Feb12 Jan22 Dec30 (quinonez nath)BAILEY CHEL-C 121 8.00 13% 6.90    
7  OOCHIE Apr01 Feb20 Sep18 Apr29 Mar27 (borel renay)BOREL H 123 30.00    
8  CHAI TEA Mar19 Mar04 Feb18 Jan27 Jan15 (fires wil)TORRES A 123 1.20 ★    
9  KITIARA Mar17         (witt ii)WALES T 119 5.00 45% 1.20    
10  SHE'S HAMAZING Mar18 Feb12 Feb05 Jan22 Dec11 (gonzalez jai)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 20.00    
11  MO SILVER Mar10 Feb24 Jan07 Dec15 Nov25 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SWEETNESS TO Mar31 Mar18 Feb12 Jan27 Dec11 (westermann r)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 30.00    
SCR  THURSDAY MORNING Feb28 Feb17 Jan20 Jan04 Dec01 (espinoza edga)FUENTES ERICK 113 20.00    
SCR  UNBEARABLE Apr08 Mar03       (morse l)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.