Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - April 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/6)-(5/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/6)-(5/3/4/6)-(5/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/4/6)-(4/1/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/6)-(4/1/6/7)-(4/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/7)-(4/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/7)-(4/1/6/7)-(4/1/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/7)-(4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/7)-(4/5/3)-(5/4/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(5/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(5/4/2/1)-(5/2/3/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/2/1)-(5/2/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/1)-(5/2/3/8)-(3/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/8)-(5/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/8)-(5/2/3/8)-(5/2/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/3/8)-(3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3/8)-(3/5)-(1/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/5)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(1/6/2)-(6/4/2/5/8) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2/8/9)-(1/6/2/8/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(6/4/2/5/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-8   WIN (6/4/2/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/5/8)-(6/4/2/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/5/8)-(6/4/2/5/8)-(6/4/2/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   04/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTY THE BULL Apr14 Feb16 Jun24 May19 May07 (jackson angel)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
2  BOCCHERINI         (stidham michael)ACOSTA D 118 4.00    
3  BASHDAFLASH Mar25 Mar11 Jan07 Sep23 Jul15 (scott a)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
4  GLASTONBURY Mar23 Mar11 Feb02 Nov25 Nov04 (roadca)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.50 15% 5.70    
5  STORM TRAPPE Jun24 May20 Apr29     (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.00 26% 2.90    
6  MY SLICK NICK Apr14 Mar11 Feb16 Jan27 Nov22 (stahlin)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 8.00 7% 12.70    
7  MONEY MAC Apr08         (cruz jaime)WOODSON H 118 20.00    
 
CT-2   04/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APPEALING ROAD Mar24 Mar04 Jan21 Jan06 Dec02 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 2.00 20% 4.00    
2  QUINCYS WAY Dec03 Sep10 Mar16 Feb12 Jan13 (barber c)MAYHEW W 122 20.00    
SCR  A BLONDE THING Apr07 Mar18 Feb16 Jan18 Dec16 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00    
4  ALLI BOBBY Mar04 Jan20 Dec09 Nov18 Oct06 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
5  WAGER WORTHY Mar24 Feb24 Jan18 Dec01 Nov16 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00    
6  I SHALLBE RELEASED Apr07 Mar18 Mar04 Feb24 Jan20 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
7  DEREKA'S BLUFF Apr07 Nov11 Oct26 May25 May11 (venham d)CECIL Y 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   04/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASTLE TOY Mar25 Mar11 Feb22 Dec17 Dec02 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 118 5.00    
2  LEMONSONDESURPRISE Mar25 Jan14 Dec07 Nov11 Oct26 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 12.00 ★    
3  TIMETOGETUP Mar25 Mar10 Feb08 Jan14 Dec14 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 2.00 7% 14.30    
4  CHEROKEE CASTLE Apr15 Apr01 Mar11 Jan11 Jul02 (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
5  WINDSOR'S PLAY Mar25 Feb08 Jan14 Dec14 Nov30 (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 120 3.50 31% 2.30    
6  GLOBAL EMPRESS Jan19 Nov26 Nov10 Sep30 Sep15 (couchenou)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
7  SIENTE LA BRISA Mar25 Feb18 Jan11 Dec07 Nov11 (stehr j)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 8.00    
 
CT-4   04/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEARLY GHOST Mar10 Feb08 Jan20 Oct07 Sep16 (viands)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 15.00 7% 13.70    
2  TENNIS TAP Feb08 Jan06 Nov24 May04 Apr15 (runco jeff)RIVERA R 113 6.00 11% 8.50    
3  MAY MAYS CASTLE Mar24 Mar04 Jan20 Nov24 Oct27 (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 10.00    
4  NO DENYING DENIS Apr08 Mar17 Feb24 Jan18 Dec15 (sigler g)BOCACHICA O 120 3.50 17% 4.90    
5  BARBERS POINT Mar18 Jan18       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 0.80 43% 1.30    
6  EX RATED Apr13 Mar10 Feb08 Feb01 Jan06 (jackson angel)SIMPSON JASON 120 30.00    
7  DIXIE YODELER Mar25 Feb25 Jan20 Jan06 Nov30 (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00    
8  ELIANAGRACE Mar18 Feb08 Jan19 Nov30 Nov09 (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
 
CT-5   04/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCIN IN DUBAI Apr14 Mar08 Feb23 Feb10 Jan26 (brown kelto)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
2  CAJUN FUN Apr01 Mar11 Feb20 Feb10   (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 118 4.00 16% 5.40    
3  BIGZ'S CABANA BOY Apr01 Feb15 Nov25 Nov20 Oct13 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 3.50 7% 12.60    
4  DOC ELM Mar10 Feb18 Feb02 Nov16 Oct20 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 6.00    
5  PRIMETIME JET Apr01 Mar10 Jan27 Dec16 Nov25 (patter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
6  SCOOTSCOOT Mar25 Mar05 Jan13 Dec02 Nov09 (brown keith)RAMGEET R 118 8.00    
7  HE IS BONAFIDE Nov23 Nov09 Oct12 Aug17 Aug02 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 8.00    
8  THE ILLUSIONIST Mar10 Feb02 Jul14     (brown ronn)RIVERA R 117 4.50 7% 14.20    
 
CT-6   04/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($30.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAXIMUM IMPACT Jan20 Jan14 Jan05 Dec20 Nov25 (cash l)CULLUM W 120 5.00    
2  WELLING Apr08 Jan08 Dec04 Nov24 Nov05 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
3  LATE NIGHT LARRY Mar18 Feb12 Jan14 Nov24 Sep24 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 2.50 20% 4.10    
4  HOBE SOUND (IRE) Mar09 Feb17 Jan20 Dec08 Oct19 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.50 ★    
5  KING THEO Mar05 Jan19 Dec29 Dec07 Nov12 (lauro evan)RIVERA R 113 8.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  RAISE A SPEIGHTS Apr08 Mar01 Feb18 Feb01 Jan11 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
7  RRACE DAY WARRIOR Mar09 Jan20 Dec08 Nov12 Oct22 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
 
CT-7   04/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEAN THE HAMMER Mar01 Feb15 Jan25 Dec17 Dec09 (runco jeff)RIVERA R 113 3.50 46% 1.20    
2  MIMS HAT TRICK Mar01 Nov25       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00 7% 12.50    
3  MALIBU ROCK STAR Apr01 Mar17 Feb18 Feb08 Jan13 (viands r)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
4  URBAN BANDIT Apr06 Feb17 Feb08 Jan13 Dec08 (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 8.00    
5  BRISTOL CHANNEL Apr01 Feb17 Feb01 Nov13 Oct13 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 116 12.00    
6  PER DIEM Apr06 Feb24 Feb05 Jan25 Jan07 (cash norman)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 2.50 23% 3.30    
7  COLLECTORATE Mar17 Feb08 Dec30 Dec11 Nov19 (jackson l)CULLUM W 118 4.00    
8  MIGHTY MINION Apr07 Feb25 Feb10 Jan13 Dec02 (graci kimb)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 6.00 ★    
9  CHERRYS CROSS Mar23 Mar03 Feb09 Jan19 Jan04 (huet k)BAEZ M 113 30.00 ★    
 
CT-8   04/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSHIP TAXI Mar09 Feb07 Jan11 Dec27 Dec08 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 6.00    
2  MACY'S BOY Feb17 Feb02 Dec17 Sep25 May14 (campbell jerry )PELTROCHE F 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
3  BELIEVEINROCKNROLL Mar25 Mar05 Jan27 Nov26 Nov06 (frock char)RIVERA R 117 8.00    
4  FU MAN SUE Mar16 Feb08 Jan06 Sep28 Sep07 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
5  STEVETHEVANDRIVER Mar30 Jan21 Dec16 Nov25 Nov04 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MOSS BOSS Mar30 Mar09 Jan25 Dec17 Nov30 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
7  BIG DADDY D R Mar30 Dec16 Nov17 Oct27 Oct05 (utterback b)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 12.00    
8  MOJAC KAT Apr07 Mar25 Mar05 Feb08 Jan27 (walters henry)ARAUJO DENIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  MI GUSTO ES Mar30 Mar17 Feb23 Feb04 Jan21 (sandoval michae)BOCACHICA O 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.