Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - April 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/7)-(4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/7)-(2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/7)-(2/3)-(3/6/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
HAW-2   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/3)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(3/6/2)-(1/4/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-3   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(1/4/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(1/4/8/5)-(8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
HAW-4   WIN (1/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/8/5)-(1/4/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/8/5)-(1/4/8/5)-(1/4/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/8/5)-(8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/4/8/5)-(8)-(10/6) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
HAW-5   WIN (8) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (8)-(8/6) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (8)-(10/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (8)-(10/6)-(7/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
HAW-6   WIN (10/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/6)-(10/6/11/3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (10/6)-(10/6/11/3/4)-(10/6/11/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/6)-(7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (10/6)-(7/6/2)-(3/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
HAW-7   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2)-(3/4)-(4/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-8   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/4)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
HAW-9   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2/8)-(4/6/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   04/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVIE JEAN Mar19 Mar05 Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 (ryan a)LOPEZ A 124 6.00 ★    
2  STRONGENOUGHSTORM Mar05 Aug15 Aug02 Jul12   (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 124 10.00    
SCR  SCRAPE Dec14 May24 May04     (klopp randy)MOJICA O 124 3.00 ★    
4  SHORT STRAW         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 2.00 49% 1.00    
5  YOU'RE A DANDY Jan01 Dec07 Nov06 May27 May20 (ramos fra)ULLOA JOAN 118 20.00    
6  BUMPER GIRL Mar19 Mar05 Dec02 Jul01 Jun07 (retana ga)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 4.50    
7  HURRYUPANDBYE         (witthauer jo)GILES EMMANUEL 111 10.00 29% 2.40    
8  PRINCESS TONI Mar19 Mar09 Feb14 Jan11 Dec11 (hernandez j)ORTEGA O 118 12.00    
 
HAW-2   04/06/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRIKE PRICE Mar17 Feb04 Jan21 Jan06 Dec22 (shephard john)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00    
2  STORM'S REFLECTION Mar19 Dec18 Dec09 Nov20 Nov06 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 115 4.00 51% 1.00    
3  AWESOME WILLY Mar16 Dec31 Nov19 Oct28 Aug30 (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
4  KEEP ATTACKING Mar12 Dec16 Nov20 Nov04 Oct14 (childers )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00    
5  DREAM ISLAND Dec30         (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
6  WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR Jan27 Jan15 Dec17 Nov27 Aug05 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 2.00 ★    
 
HAW-3   04/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEDWAY QUEEN Feb28 Feb03 Jan13 Dec08 Nov10 (silva carlo)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00    
2  SAMARITA Dec31 Dec11 Nov25 Oct30 Oct14 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 115 5.00 10% 8.90    
3  GO STORMIN GIRL Mar05 Dec31 Dec09 Nov11 Oct22 (cook brian)MOJICA O 122 3.50 41% 1.40    
4  RANK AND FILE Mar30 Mar12 Dec31 Nov20 Nov13 (hughes w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 4.50    
5  BIRDIE BE GONE Nov11 Oct22 Sep03 Jul28 Jun19 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 3.00    
6  PALACE MAGIC Mar19 Mar05 Dec17 Dec10 Nov18 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
 
HAW-4   04/06/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEN RESPONSE Feb11 Dec17 Dec04 Nov18 Nov04 (hernandez a)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
2  DARE GOES DA DEVIL Mar05 Dec30 Dec18 Dec04 Nov20 (perez manny)ORTEGA O 122 30.00    
3  DASTARDLY DEEDS Mar23 Dec29 Nov26 Nov06 Oct14 (candelas )ULLOA JOAN 122 20.00    
4  BRODY'S FLY Feb24 Jan26 Dec29 Nov19 Apr13 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 1.80 19% 4.30    
5  RIP IT RYAN Mar19 Feb04 Dec18 Dec04 Nov20 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
6  WHERE'S LUCKY Mar19 Mar05 Feb04 Jan11 Jun25 (perez manny)FELIX E 122 8.00    
7  TEA AFTER BALLET Mar23 Mar05 Dec30 Dec18 Dec04 (zawitz joel)GILES EMMANUEL 115 10.00    
8  OPTION Nov18 Oct22 Oct07 Sep17 Aug21 (berndt joel)COLON H 122 4.00 18% 4.40    
 
HAW-5   04/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLIMB TO GLORY Mar02 Feb11       (dizeo dino)MOJICA O 118 8.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MAHVELOUS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  JOYZELLA Mar12 Dec30 Dec03 Nov12 Oct14 (spagnola ida)HERNANDEZ K 118 10.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of TIZ TERESA by TIZNOW)
3  POSITIONDUMONI Mar16 Oct23 Oct01 Sep08   (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of WINDUMONI by DUMAANI)
4  BLAZE BEAUTY Mar16 Nov12 Sep24     (bentler don)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 10.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of BRIDAL ARCH by ARCHARCHARCH)
SCR  VISIONISTA Mar25 Mar09 Feb05 Jan21 Jan05 (rodriguez ed)GILES EMMANUEL 111 6.00 ★    
  (by COURT VISION out of MISS PITTY PAT by DATA LINK)
6  FIT AND FAMOUS         (tracy tanner)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 6.00 ★    
  (by SOCK HOP out of FIT PERFORMER by FIT TO FIGHT)
SCR  SLEEPY CAT         (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 5.00 7% 13.70    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of HOUSE CAT by TACTICAL CAT)
8  OLIVE'S CANDY Mar18 Feb11       (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 118 2.50 54% 0.90    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of EILEEN'S SONG by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  MAGIC BEAUTY Mar16 Aug10 Aug02 Jul16 Jun09 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 118 4.50 16% 5.20    
  (by CURLIN out of MAGIC BELLE by GOLD CASE)
 
HAW-6   04/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BALADINE Mar16 Dec30 Dec11 Nov19 Oct28 (poulos dee)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
2  BEEALEA Dec04 Nov13 Oct23 Oct01 Aug25 (boyce michele)COLON H 122 6.00    
3  ON K P Mar18 Feb11 Dec30 Nov25 Oct20 (rednour jr)MOJICA O 122 8.00 ★    
4  DUST DANCER (GB) Mar16 Dec30 Dec02 Nov06 Jun18 (bentler don)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 12.00 ★    
5  MAC PANDOWDY Nov13 Oct29 Oct09 Sep24 Sep10 (juarez bl)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
6  BASEBALL POLITICS Mar16 Jan27 Dec30 Dec10 Nov25 (manley steve)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 4.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  FORREST CITY Mar16 Feb03 Dec21 Dec08   (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 8.00    
8  FREDDY J Oct01 Aug01 Jul04 May15   (tracy tanner)FELIX E 122 20.00    
9  MUD ISLAND Dec31 Dec10 Nov26 Nov04 Sep24 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 122 20.00    
10  COMISKEY PARK Mar16 Dec30 Nov25 Nov13 Oct23 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
11  BLUE NORTHER Feb24 Jan25 Dec30 Dec16 Oct27 (wells duane)ORM CORY 122 15.00 ★    
12  CAN MAN DO Mar09 Jan12 Dec31 Aug16 Jul21 (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00    
13  OVER CALENDARED Feb04 Jan05 Dec22 Nov17 Sep09 (hernandez)ULLOA JOAN 122 20.00    
14  JUSTICE ONCE Oct07 Sep12 Aug27 Aug08 Jun25 (tracy tanner)FELIX E 122 15.00    
 
HAW-7   04/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KENNESAW Mar12 Feb23 Jan05 Oct30 Oct02 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00 ★    
2  TETSU Dec31 Dec11 Nov27 Nov06 Oct16 (manley steve)ORM CORY 122 8.00 9% 10.80    
3  HELA Dec30 Dec02 Nov06 Sep24 Aug30 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
4  BOCA BOY Mar04 Jan14 Dec03 Nov02 Sep22 (winebaugh c)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00    
5  BLAZEN ROAD Nov04 Oct14 Oct01 Sep10 Aug27 (manley st)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 15.00    
6  KHOZAN'S VALENTINE Mar12 Dec31 Dec11 Nov19 Sep24 (mosier haro)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 5.00 12% 7.30    
7  GOLDEN HORNET Mar12 Feb25 Jan06 Dec10 Nov21 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  HUEY ATTACK Nov27 Oct29 Oct08 Aug05 Jun22 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 115 10.00    
9  WILDWOOD SICILIAN Nov13 Sep06 Jul23 Jun24 Jun14 (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 6.00    
SCR  REINVESTMENT RISK Jul16 May07 Apr09 Feb26   (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 4.50 34% 1.90    
 
HAW-8   04/06/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE Mar15 Feb03 Dec14 Nov20 Nov13 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 5.00 ★    
2  PISTOL BOX Dec31 Dec11 Nov18 Nov06 Oct14 (kirby j)EMIGH A 122 8.00    
3  HIGH BROW Mar19 Jan15 Dec30 Dec02 Nov12 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 122 3.50 62% 0.60    
4  MOMENT Mar16 Feb25 Feb11 Jan11 Dec17 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.00 15% 5.60    
5  ASTI SKY Mar19 Dec30 Dec17 Dec09 Nov20 (cristel mark)GILES EMMANUEL 115 8.00 ★    
6  SUPER WISE Mar04 Feb21 Feb04 Jan08 Dec17 (scherer gary)FELIX E 122 6.00    
7  GLOBAL EMPIRE Mar16 Mar05 Dec10 Nov20 Oct28 (spagnola ida)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
8  SCAT SHACK Mar10 Jan25 Dec31 Dec18 Nov27 (ramos francisco)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 8.00    
 
HAW-9   04/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DEVIL'S RULE Mar19 Mar05 Dec30 Dec17 Dec03 (cook brian)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 20.00    
2  TAKE ME UP BRADY Nov20 Oct02 Sep18 Aug26 Jun26 (dizeo dino)MOJICA O 122 6.00 14% 6.10    
3  FIXICO Dec30 Dec09 Nov20 Oct16 Sep20 (martinez ralp)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00    
4  CHOPPER Mar16 Mar05 Dec30 Dec18 Dec03 (cook brian)REYES ANGEL 122 5.00 32% 2.10    
5  FORT RIDGE Dec09 Nov20 Sep27 Sep17 Sep05 (bahena fe)ULLOA JOAN 122 8.00    
6  D'ARCHER Mar05 Feb02 Jan11 Dec09 Nov18 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00 15% 5.50    
7  BOOM FIVE THOUSAND Mar19 Mar02 Feb22 Dec18 Nov18 (hughes ea)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
8  RISKY BOY Mar19 Mar05 Jan24 Jan14 Dec30 (shephard joh)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  EASTER MUSIC Dec18 Dec09 Nov18 Oct15 Sep24 (hernandez arma)COLON H 122 3.50 12% 7.40    
10  ONE WAY HOME Mar19 Oct21 Sep13 Sep06 Aug23 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.