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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Tuesday - April 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4/7/8)-(6/3/4/7/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(10/11/5/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(10/11/5/2/6)-(1/6/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRX-2   WIN (10/11/5/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/11/5/2/6)-(10/11/5/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/11/5/2/6)-(10/11/5/2/6)-(10/11/5/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/11/5/2/6)-(1/6/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/11/5/2/6)-(1/6/5)-(2/10/4/9/6) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PRX-3   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(2/10/4/9/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(2/10/4/9/6)-(9/4/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRX-4   WIN (2/10/4/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/4/9/6)-(2/10/4/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/4/9/6)-(2/10/4/9/6)-(2/10/4/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/10/4/9/6)-(9/4/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/10/4/9/6)-(9/4/1)-(7/2/1/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-5   WIN (9/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/1)-(9/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/4/1)-(9/4/1)-(9/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/4/1)-(7/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/4/1)-(7/2/1/3)-(2/4/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-6   WIN (7/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/1/3)-(2/4/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/3)-(2/4/7/6)-(1/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-7   WIN (2/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6/1)-(2/4/7/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/7/6)-(1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7/6)-(1/4/5)-(6/11/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-8   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5/9)-(1/4/5/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(6/11/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(6/11/8)-(2/10/5/4/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRX-9   WIN (6/11/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/11/8)-(6/11/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/11/8)-(6/11/8)-(6/11/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/11/8)-(2/10/5/4/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PRX-10   WIN (2/10/5/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/5/4/7)-(2/10/5/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/5/4/7)-(2/10/5/4/7)-(2/10/5/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   04/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRODY'S WAR Mar01 Jan25 Nov18 Sep10   (lucas bonnie)TORRES A 111 4.50    
2  TRIPLE AMERICANO Feb13 Jan31 Jan17 Aug26 Jul27 (penaloza migu)RIVERA D 123 6.00    
3  JOVIAL Mar14 Feb13 Jan23 Jan10 Dec19 (lake a)OCASIO M 123 3.50 19% 4.10    
4  THE COLORA KID Feb20 Jan20 Dec17 Oct29 Oct02 (ness jamie)TORRES JOMAR 118 6.00 7% 13.00    
5  HEATED BATTLE Jan16 Dec19 Nov29 Nov14 Aug29 (aro michael)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 118 20.00    
6  BIG BROWN SHOES Mar14 Jan23 Dec13 Nov23 Jun07 (simon linda)NUNEZ Y 123 4.00 47% 1.10    
7  MISS YOU AJAX Mar19 Feb19 Jan22 Jan01   (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 111 3.00 ★    
8  CLASSY UNION Mar15 Feb15 Aug26 Aug13 Jul29 (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 10.00 ★    
9  PRIMORDIAL FEAR Mar01 Feb13 Jan23 Nov18 Oct23 (flores-coba f)MILAN GERARDO 123 8.00    
10  FIELD OFFICER Mar15 Feb20 Jan25 Nov07 Oct12 (wilson brenda)BOWMAN ADAM 123 15.00    
11  DUCK DUCKY GOOSE Mar01 Feb13 Jan31 Jan04 Dec14 (allen randy)RAMOS C 118 10.00    
 
PRX-2   04/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SNAPPY RIDE Mar07 Feb17 Jan26 Jan04 Dec20 (aristone ph)DE KEMICH 116 6.00    
2  CRAZY SERENA Feb28 Feb13 Feb01 Jan16 May23 (farro patri)OCASIO JONATHAN 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  MANUELA Mar22 Aug12 Jul26 Jul11 May19 (taylor josep)TORRES A 116 15.00    
4  MOVING IN STEREO Mar22 Feb08 Dec28 Nov30 Oct10 (diaz j)GONZALEZ JR 126 8.00    
5  PEYTON'S COLLEGE Mar06 Jan30 Jan04 Dec14 Nov20 (aristone p)SANCHEZ J 123 3.00 6% 16.50    
6  GOD STILL LOVES ME Mar07 Feb28 Jan16 Nov28 Nov02 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
7  PURRFECT MISTRESS Mar22 Feb28 Feb08 Jan30 Jan06 (perez ruperto)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00    
8  SHETALKSTOMUCH Mar06 Feb01 Jan10 Dec19 Dec05 (guerrero g)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 3.50    
9  BELLA MARIA Mar27 Feb27 Feb14 Jan16 Jan04 (hogan j)RUIZ ELISEO 113 12.00    
10  JOHNNYSLITTLEGIRL Mar15 Feb01 Jan04 Dec05 Nov24 (soto c)HERNANDEZ ANDY 126 6.00 32% 2.10    
11  XENATOWN Mar07 Feb08 Feb01 Jan10 Dec14 (farr)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 4.50 25% 3.00    
 
PRX-3   04/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACK TO D' FUTURE Mar10 Feb08 Jan17 Nov07 Oct11 (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
2  BIONIC KAT Mar07 Feb21       (padilla hugo )MILAN GERARDO 121 4.50    
3  UPTOWN CHARLOTTE Mar21         (cole)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 5.00 ★    
4  BAHAMIAN SKY Feb15 Jan08       (soto- martine)PEREZ M 121 6.00    
5  LUNA T Mar20 Jan10 Nov14 Oct24 Sep29 (lake a)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 4.00 8% 11.20    
6  AZTEC QUEEN Mar07 Feb21 Jan16     (padilla-prec)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 6.00 18% 4.50    
7  BLANCHIMENT Mar21 Jan28 Jan12 Dec02 Nov04 (lake a)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00    
 
PRX-4   04/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MRS. CREWS Mar07 Feb01 Jan16 Jan09 Dec21 (smith evert)OCASIO JONATHAN 123 20.00    
2  WORLD GONE WILD Mar15 Mar07 Feb01 Jan18 Jan03 (ramirez silv)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 3.50 29% 2.40    
3  SOUTHERN CENTS Feb07 Jan25 Jan09 Dec12 Nov16 (king clarence )LOPEZ DERECK 113 8.00    
4  AFLEET DIVA Mar07 Feb07 Jan09 Dec08 Nov05 (soto- marti)RAMOS C 118 8.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  LADY BERNADETTE Mar15 Mar01 Feb13 Feb01 Dec16 (diaz jorge)ROLDAN FELISHA 116 15.00    
6  SMOOTH AS GLASS Mar13 Feb28 Feb14 Jan30 Jun27 (flores-coba )TORRES A 116 5.00 7% 13.30    
7  ANGINETTI Feb14 Feb01 Jan09 Dec12 Nov14 (lee r)CASTILLO A 123 10.00    
8  SIZZLING ROMA Mar15 Feb22 Feb01 Jan24 Jan02 (maymo al)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 10.00    
9  BOCA ROYALTY Mar28 Mar01 Feb07 Jan30 Jan11 (diaz jorge)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 4.50 10% 9.10    
10  AWESOME PAL Mar07 Feb22 Jan24 Jan17 Nov15 (solis jacin)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 118 2.50 18% 4.60    
 
PRX-5   04/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHOOSELOV         (o'callahan ca)ROJAS MARTINA 113 8.00 5% 17.80    
2  MYTHREEBUTTERFLIES Feb20 Jan24 Dec20 Nov02 Sep27 (linder louis)TORRES A 119 6.00    
SCR  KEEP IT SWEET         (carango antho)TREJOS JOSEPH 126 8.00 5% 17.80    
4  CLOUDY TIMES Mar22 Jan31       (padilla-prec)LAPRIDA JEREMY 129 4.00 11% 7.90    
5  THENDARA'S LOST Mar15 Feb21 Feb08 Jan04 Dec20 (soto c)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 15.00    
6  WAHINE MEANIE         (hendriks mclan)CEDENO CAROL 123 6.00    
SCR  DOCTOR TEE         (solis jacinto)ADORNO ABNER 123 8.00    
SCR  LONDON LADY Feb24 Feb01 Apr14 Mar25 Mar10 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 126 3.00 19% 4.30    
9  NEECIE MARIE         (reid)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 5.00 24% 3.10    
10  METANOIA Feb20 Jan24 Jun14     (krebs steve)RAMOS C 121 8.00    
11  GETAWAY PALACE Mar22 Feb22 Feb07 Dec14 Nov02 (perez a)CASTILLO A 124 12.00    
12  IRISH COCO         (hendriks )HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00    
 
PRX-6   04/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH VELOCITY Mar15 Feb27 Feb13 Jan09 Nov30 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 123 6.00 7% 13.60    
2  FAST BOB Mar15 Feb13 Jan17 Dec18 Nov23 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 4.00 12% 7.50    
3  CAJUN LOVER Mar07 Feb14 Jan23 Dec19 Dec05 (velazquez da)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 6.00 7% 13.80    
4  FLOAT ON Mar08 Feb20 Jan30 Jan17 Jan03 (kirby john)SANCHEZ J 126 6.00    
5  HONORARY DEGREE Jan18 Nov27 Nov12 Oct13 Sep23 (guerrero c)TORRES A 116 6.00    
SCR  MONEY MIKE Mar24 Jan15 Dec01 Nov24 Nov17 (summers chad)OLVER MADISON 116 5.00    
7  FLAT LUCKY Nov05 Oct04 Sep20 Aug29 Aug02 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 123 3.00 51% 1.00    
8  TANKINATOR Feb28 Jan23 Jan10 Dec19 Nov16 (brown ho)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 12.00    
 
PRX-7   04/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DECKOLOGY Feb28 Feb08 Jan31 Jan10 Jan03 (dominguez )SANCHEZ J 123 10.00 ★    
2  ANGELUS WARRIOR Mar21 Jan10 Dec13 Nov05 Oct19 (pattershall )LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 8.00 50% 1.00    
3  KITH Mar07 Feb20 Feb06 Jan18 Jan02 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 12.00    
4  HENRYTHETHIRD Feb22 Jan14 Dec07 Oct24 Sep12 (velazquez daniel)CASTILLO A 123 5.00 15% 5.60    
5  MY TRAIN Feb21 Dec20 Nov15 Oct25 Oct04 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00    
6  SOCIAL GROUP Mar15 Feb22 Feb13 Jan16 Dec21 (montoya mary)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  SPEIGHTSTER RED Mar21 Feb21 Feb02 Jan09 Dec20 (guerrero j )RAMOS C 118 8.00 5% 18.70    
8  LAVERY Mar07 Feb13 Jan31 Nov30 Sep30 (farr)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 6.00    
9  FRENCH TOAST Feb14 Jan16 Dec20 Nov30 Nov02 (catalano)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 3.00    
 
PRX-8   04/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONCHILD Mar15 Feb13 Jan17 Nov09 Oct04 (catalano m)SANCHEZ J 123 4.00 28% 2.60    
2  TIZ A SHARPIE Feb13 Jan17 Dec13 Oct11 Sep11 (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 8.00    
3  FRAME THIS Feb22 Feb08 Jan10 Dec19 Nov28 (velazquez dan)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 6.00    
4  R TENDERONI Mar13 Feb04 Dec17 Nov07 Oct26 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 123 3.00 20% 4.10    
5  BABY GUNDIN Feb27 Jan18 Dec21 Dec13 Nov16 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  BACI Mar21 Feb25 Feb02 Jan20 Dec16 (penaloza mi)DE KEMICH 116 8.00 6% 17.00    
SCR  MISS LOYALTY Mar15 Feb13 Jan18 Jan03 Dec21 (lott woodrow)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 6.00    
8  WONDER CITY Dec13 Nov23 Oct25 Sep21 Sep07 (noble james)OCASIO JONATHAN 123 8.00    
9  CAJUN COUSIN Mar21 Mar07 Feb22 Feb06 Jan03 (guerrero gu)RIVERA D 123 8.00 ★    
 
PRX-9   04/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HE'S INCREDIBLE Mar15 Feb27 Jan30 Jan11 Nov28 (velazquez al)TORRES A 119 5.00 8% 11.90    
2  HORN OF PLENTY Feb12 Jan21 Dec18 Nov24 Sep16 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.00    
3  CRAFTY DON Mar07 Feb14 Jan23 Jan11 Nov05 (perez rupe)SANCHEZ J 123 12.00    
4  NIMBLE BEAST Mar20 Feb27 Feb06 Jan09 Dec12 (velazquez al)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 8.00    
5  COMMISSIONER G Mar28 Feb20 Feb13 Jan30 Sep10 (smith everton)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 8.00    
6  GET THE W Mar07 Feb13 Jan30 Jan11 Jan03 (lee hale)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 5.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  DIESEL Feb27 Feb13 Jan25 Jan03 Nov29 (velazquez da)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 8.00 ★    
8  RILEYS DUDE Mar16 Nov15 Oct29 Oct19 Sep17 (lucas bon)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.00 10% 8.70    
9  NEIGH DUDE Feb06 Jan23 Dec06 Nov28 Nov07 (smith everton)CASTILLO A 123 15.00    
10  TEXAS BASIN Mar06 Feb06 Oct25 Aug23 Jul18 (vega richard)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 15.00    
11  STRUGAR Feb13 Jan30 Dec31 Dec02 Sep13 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 123 4.50 24% 3.20    
 
PRX-10   04/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONG BREEZE Feb27 Feb07 Jan04 Dec21 Nov28 (abrams ronald)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00    
2  PUTTHEGLASSDOWN Mar08 Feb13 Jan11 Dec14 Nov21 (moore mich)SANCHEZ J 123 6.00 35% 1.80    
3  CUNEO Feb21 Feb14 Dec19 Oct11 Sep14 (pino michae)OCASIO JONATHAN 123 6.00    
4  DRENA'S BULLET Mar27 Mar01 Feb20 Jan18 Jan09 (rodriguez m)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 4.50 7% 13.60    
5  JUPI'S LIGHTNING Mar20 Mar01 Jun14 May14 Apr27 (flores-coba )HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 5.00 8% 10.90    
6  SPLITZVILLE Mar21 Mar06 Feb21 Feb06 Jan23 (hogan william)PEREZ M 123 15.00    
7  READY AND RICH Mar23 Feb17 Jan11 Dec09 Nov18 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00 5% 19.00    
8  ONE SLICK START Mar27 Mar01 Feb06 Jan23 Dec19 (mercedes pe)NUNEZ Y 123 8.00    
9  REJECTED AGAIN Feb27 Feb13 Nov01 Oct11 Aug18 (soto c)RAMOS C 118 15.00    
10  LOVERBOY LOU Mar20 Feb14 Jan24 Jan09 Jul18 (abrams ronald)CASTILLO A 123 6.00 19% 4.30    
11  MANAHAWKIN Mar07 Feb14 Jan31 Jan11 Nov21 (brown ho)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 12.00    
SCR  NINE TOE JOHNNY Mar20 Feb22 Jan18 Jan02 Dec19 (hawthorne bobbi)BOWMAN ADAM 126 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.