Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - February 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7/4)-(3/1/2/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/2/7)-(6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/7)-(6/3/2)-(7/5/4/6/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-2   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2/7)-(6/3/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(7/5/4/6/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(7/5/4/6/2)-(3/2) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TAM-3   WIN (7/5/4/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/6/2)-(7/5/4/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/6/2)-(7/5/4/6/2)-(7/5/4/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/4/6/2)-(3/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4/6/2)-(3/2)-(5/1/2/6) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TAM-4   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/4/8/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/4/8/6)-(3/2/4/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2)-(5/1/2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(5/1/2/6)-(10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-5   WIN (5/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6/3)-(5/1/2/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/2/6)-(10/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/6)-(10/7)-(7/2/8/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-6   WIN (10/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/7)-(10/7/9/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (10/7)-(10/7/9/4/3)-(10/7/9/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/7)-(7/2/8/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (10/7)-(7/2/8/4)-(4/1/6/3/5) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TAM-7   WIN (7/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/8/4)-(7/2/8/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/8/4)-(7/2/8/4/6)-(7/2/8/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/8/4)-(4/1/6/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/8/4)-(4/1/6/3/5)-(10/7/4/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (4/1/6/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/3/5)-(4/1/6/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/3/5)-(4/1/6/3/5)-(4/1/6/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/6/3/5)-(10/7/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (10/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/4/6)-(10/7/4/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/7/4/6)-(10/7/4/6/8)-(10/7/4/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT-12:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BATON ROUGE Dec30 Dec17 Dec07 Aug30 Aug16 (ramos o)BRACHO A 120 3.50 17% 5.00    
2  SORTARIA Feb17 Jan29 Jan13 Jan01 Dec15 (minguet ra)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 2.50 12% 7.10    
3  DA JOURNEYGIRL Jan20 Jan01 Oct09 Jul17 Jun24 (minguet ramon)IORIO MELISSA 110 4.00 36% 1.80    
4  LUVISANAKI Jan13 Nov04       (barboza vict)BATISTA A 120 3.00 ★    
5  WIFEY MATERIAL Feb03 Jan20       (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 8.00    
SCR  ROMANCE PELUSA Dec15 Oct27       (romero rafae)MENESES MARCOS 120 12.00    
7  THE MONEY MACHINE Jan29 Dec28 Dec14 Oct14 Sep23 (hunt donald)BUSH V 120 10.00 11% 8.50    
 
TAM-2   02/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT-12:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YEGUITA QUEEN Jan27 Dec23 Nov25 Oct21 Oct08 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 122 5.00 10% 9.20    
2  BARBARA Jan28 Jan18 Jan01 Dec07 Oct05 (guciardo kath)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 8% 11.20    
3  I'M A CUTIE Feb12 Dec24 Dec07 Nov26 Sep17 (davis scooter)FERRER C 120 4.50 13% 6.50    
4  LADY MISTRESS Aug31 Jul27 Jun21 May25 Apr19 (mazza joseph )JIMENEZ MANNY 118 30.00    
5  BID ONCE Jan20 Dec31 Nov11 Nov03 Oct09 (wright michael)MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00    
6  PONY GIRL Feb12 Jan15 Aug27 Jul29 Jun19 (bennett gera)MENESES MARCOS 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
7  LIKING IT TWISTED Feb04 Jan18 Jul07 Mar25 Feb05 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.50 ★    
 
TAM-3   02/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THAT'S MY BOI TOY Feb04 Jan15 Jan07 Dec22 Oct12 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 118 2.00    
2  LUIS TWO GUNS Sep15 Aug30 Aug10 Jul21 Jul01 (lorito mario)WALES GARY 118 8.00 9% 10.70    
3  PUNX Feb04 Oct19 Oct06 Sep21 Aug24 (bowersock maria)ALLEN M 118 10.00    
4  ASSERT DOMINANCE Feb11 May21 May06 Apr22 Apr01 (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
5  FELIX THE FOX Jan21 Dec17 Nov25 Oct01 Aug31 (werneth ro)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 118 6.00 16% 5.10    
6  DON H Jan20         (cascallares n)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 15.00 10% 8.60    
7  TIZ TRIUMPHANT Feb04 Sep17 Apr30 Apr09 Mar04 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
TAM-4   02/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($18.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S JUST QUALITY Jan22 Mar06 Feb12 Jan14   (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 4.50    
2  INVESTMENT INCOME Feb01 Jan04 Dec10 Nov08 Oct11 (kintz matthe)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50 33% 2.00    
3  SINGALONG KAYLA Jan29 Jun25 May29 Apr02   (king clarence)FUENTES MARIO 123 2.50 38% 1.70    
4  ROUNDABOUT Feb01 Jan04 Dec07 Sep17 Jul28 (terranova p)FERRER C 119 3.50 ★    
5  ALEXA'S DREAM Jan25 Jan15 Dec21 Nov23 Oct16 (bennett gera)MENESES MARCOS 119 10.00    
6  HAPPY RIDE Jan25 May08 Apr22 Apr03   (mccarthy b)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 15.00 ★    
SCR  MYSTIC DREAMS Feb08 Jan18 Jan07 Dec10 Dec02 (mazza w)MARIN SAMUEL 119 12.00    
8  I'M NERVOUS NOW Feb01 Jan04 Nov27 Nov17 Oct27 (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 119 8.00 ★    
 
TAM-5   02/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICKS DIG SCARS Jan13 Dec14 Nov06 Oct15 Sep26 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 118 1.80 21% 3.70    
2  GREAT KING (FR) Jan07 Dec16 Nov06 Oct09   (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 118 3.00 10% 9.40    
3  TOPPER T Jan13 Dec14 Sep29 Sep05 Jun25 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50 ★    
4  SIR OLLIE Jan15 Nov20 Oct16 Aug28 Jun25 (joseph saffi)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00    
5  THATSAFACTJACK Jan20 Dec03 Nov12 Oct28 Sep28 (cahill s)GALLARDO A 118 3.50 39% 1.60    
6  WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Feb01 Jan11 Dec17 Oct30 Sep18 (posadas pedro)MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00 8% 11.70    
 
TAM-6   02/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE POINT ROAD Feb12 Jan20       (mccarthy bre)BATISTA A 122 12.00    
2  SOUTHERN CIVILITY Jan11 Nov30 Oct08 Sep15 Aug31 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 122 8.00    
3  COLORS Jan22 Jan06 Jul10 Jun11 May08 (lusk brian)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 10.00 ★    
4  URBAN BEACH Jan29 Jan11 Dec16 Nov26 Sep10 (wilson tony)ALICEA JEREMY 115 8.00 ★    
5  LORD OF THE NILE Feb12 Jan29 Dec30 Dec14 Nov26 (dobber w)WALES GARY 122 12.00    
6  OZAH Dec14         (harris nancy)BUSH V 122 30.00    
7  CHEVAL DORE Jan22 Jan05 Nov05 Oct08 Jun10 (roque elis)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
8  TAKEOVER KASH Feb08 Jan18 Jan08 Mar19 Feb26 (cascallares n)SOSA LAUREANO 115 15.00    
9  SIDNEY'S BID Feb12 Jan06 Dec16 Dec02 Oct07 (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 8.00 ★    
10  GET EVEN Jan29 Jan21 Jan08 Dec24 Nov04 (smith r)MORALES PABLO 122 1.60 72% 0.40    
SCR  KALINBA Feb15 Jan20 Dec30 Dec16 Nov30 (cascallares n)LOZADA CARLOS 122 20.00    
 
TAM-7   02/22/2023 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECTANGLE Aug23 Aug10 Jul13 May19 May04 (lanum crystal)MARTIN MATTIE 115 20.00    
2  GENESIS ONE Jan18 Dec09 Nov10 Oct22 Sep30 (dutrow anthony)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 3.00 12% 7.40    
SCR  CAJUN CRACKER Jan11 Dec16 Dec02 Oct01 Aug20 (king b)BUSH V 122 20.00    
4  MY BIG DRAMA Feb12 Jan22 Jan11 Dec31 Dec10 (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 12.00 7% 12.90    
5  RAGING WHIRLWIND Feb12 Dec14 Nov26 Jul23 Jun30 (chain pearl)SUAREZ JESUS 122 6.00    
6  IT'S ME AGAIN Jan22 Jan18 Dec31     (santillana fra)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.00 ★    
7  STRONGER TOGETHER Jan20 Dec02 Oct22 Oct02 Aug21 (wright micha)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 3.50 49% 1.10    
8  TIMMINS Jan29 Jan11 Dec16 Oct10 Sep13 (davis rich)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 2.50 10% 8.50    
 
TAM-8   02/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT TEQUILA Feb01 Dec21 Nov21 Nov07 Oct15 (munoz carlos)MENESES MARCOS 119 3.50 19% 4.20    
2  AWKWARD PAUSE Jan28 Jan15 Dec31 Jul30 Jul09 (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 8.00    
3  AIDINGANDABETTING Jan29 Jan08 Dec31 Dec10 Nov23 (arriagada jua)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 10.00 6% 14.70    
4  BATTLE CREEK May13 Mar19 Feb25 Feb06   (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
5  IN HONOR OF ARTIE Feb01 Dec09 Sep30 Aug28 Aug05 (dominguez luis)MENDEZ KEVIN 119 30.00 6% 14.90    
6  CHINA BEACH Feb05 Dec21 Dec02 Sep07 Aug15 (brown dona)ALONSO LUIS 119 2.00 11% 7.90    
7  PUTMAN Jan29 Nov26 Oct07 Jul30 Jun17 (vazquez edu)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 12.00    
8  MISTA DONZELLA Feb01 Jan21 Jan04 Dec09 Apr30 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 119 8.00    
 
TAM-9   02/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREET COP OFFICER Feb01 Dec24       (philipp kary)MENESES MARCOS 120 8.00    
2  DAD'S ON A ROLL Jan27 Dec03       (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 8.00    
3  SICILIANO Feb05 Jan27 Dec03 Nov04   (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 4.50    
4  FISHERMAN OSCAR Jan27 Jan08 Nov25 Oct01 Sep10 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 4.50 5% 18.60    
5  PRALINE'S CAT Dec28 Dec07 Nov23 Sep22 Sep09 (posadas pedro)SOSA LAUREANO 113 30.00    
6  DENYING Feb10         (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  MY EAGLE SOARS Jan14 Dec23 Nov27 Sep03 Aug12 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
8  THIRD MOON Dec03 Oct28       (lerman)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 4.00 ★    
9  EL BURRITO Jan14 Dec17       (duffy sean)ARROYO S 120 15.00    
10  ROLLERCOASTER MAN Feb05 Jan18 Aug28 Jul31 Jul16 (raven kerri)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 6.00 49% 1.10    
SCR  ANDYLITHIC Feb02 Jan12 Dec22     (cazares laura)MORALES PABLO 120 15.00    
SCR  GO GO GREEN Jan27 Jan12 Dec24 Dec09   (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 120 30.00    
SCR  POP SOCKS Nov20 Oct27 Sep22     (martin w)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
SCR  UNXPECTED TIGER Feb05 Dec23 Dec04 Oct27 Oct07 (ochoa )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.