Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - February 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/6/3/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/6/3/1/5)-(2/6/3/1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2)-(6/4/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2)-(6/4/3)-(7/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-2   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(7/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(7/6/3/2)-(1/6/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (7/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/1/2)-(7/6/3/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/3/2)-(1/6/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/2)-(1/6/4/7)-(6/1/3/5/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (1/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/5/7)-(1/6/4/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/4/7)-(6/1/3/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4/7)-(6/1/3/5/4)-(9/8/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6/1/3/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/5/4)-(6/1/3/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/5/4)-(6/1/3/5/4)-(6/1/3/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/3/5/4)-(9/8/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/5/4)-(9/8/1)-(2/4/8/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-6   WIN (9/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/1)-(9/8/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/1)-(9/8/1/5/2)-(9/8/1/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/8/1)-(2/4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/8/1)-(2/4/8/3)-(2/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-7   WIN (2/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/3)-(2/4/8/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/3)-(2/4/8/3/5)-(2/4/8/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/8/3)-(2/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4/8/3)-(2/8)-(2/4/3/7/9) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TAM-8   WIN (2/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/8)-(2/8/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/8)-(2/8/3)-(2/8/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/8)-(2/4/3/7/9) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/8)-(2/4/3/7/9)-(9/4/7) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TAM-9   WIN (2/4/3/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/7/9)-(2/4/3/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/7/9)-(2/4/3/7/9)-(2/4/3/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/4/3/7/9)-(9/4/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-10   WIN (9/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/7)-(9/4/7/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/4/7)-(9/4/7/10)-(9/4/7/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT-12:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONIQUES DAREDEVIL Feb08 Jan22 Jan08 Jan01 Dec24 (machado anto)ARROYO S 118 8.00 ★    
2  LETS TAKE IT IZZY Feb03 Dec24 Sep30 Sep04 Jan15 (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 1.40 67% 0.50    
3  WHISKARITA Feb03 Jan20 Dec31 Nov05 Oct29 (smith r)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 3.50 ★    
4  CSILLA Jan28 Jan08 Dec10 Dec02 Oct15 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 111 15.00    
5  DIXIELAND DANCER Feb03 Jan15 Dec22 Dec02 Nov26 (machado an)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 118 10.00 ★    
6  WOODS HOLE Feb10 Jan20 Dec10 Nov25 Oct15 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 ★    
 
TAM-2   02/19/2023 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOWERING GAZE Dec02 Nov04 Oct26 Oct01 Sep17 (carmichael mikha)FERRER C 119 12.00 ★    
2  PURE ELEGANCE Jan28 Jan11 Dec16 Dec02 Oct24 (torres r)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00    
3  EXPECT TO BE READY Jan27 Dec31 Dec07 Oct14 Sep22 (wilson tony)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  PRETTY RACHEL Feb05 Jan13 Dec23 Nov25 Nov01 (crooks jeffrey)MBATHA LUCKY 109 6.00 8% 11.70    
5  LIZZ A BEE Feb08 Jan21 Jan06 Dec14 Oct23 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00 ★    
6  TIZ HERSELF Jan27 Dec31 Dec07 Oct26 Oct01 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 123 0.80 58% 0.70    
 
TAM-3   02/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLONIST Oct15 Aug29 Aug09 Jul26 Jun25 (escobar aliso)ALICEA JEREMY 115 4.00 ★    
2  SHAKEM N BREAKEM Jan06 Dec09 Nov23 Apr15 Mar16 (dominguez luis)MENDEZ KEVIN 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  LOUD N PROUD Feb04 Aug13 Jul24 Jul15 Jun26 (gatis chri)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 8.00 8% 11.10    
4  LUCKY LOVER BOY Feb10 Jan06 Dec22 Dec09 Oct21 (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 5.00    
5  CATCHING FISH Jan25 Jan06 Dec16 Nov11 Oct29 (garcia rodolf)SOSA LAUREANO 115 3.50    
6  CALL BROS Feb04 Jan06 Dec14 Sep30 Aug13 (mccarthy b)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 10.00 30% 2.40    
7  ASK FOR BODE Feb04 Jan14 Jan04 Dec07 Oct28 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.40 35% 1.90    
 
TAM-4   02/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GALLEY HEAD Jan29 Jan15 Sep03 Aug12 Jul20 (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 1.60 48% 1.10    
2  GILDED CHARMROSE         (posadas ped)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 15.00    
3  MISS INEZ Feb04 Jan11 Apr09 Mar20 Feb12 (cascallares n)ALICEA JEREMY 113 20.00    
4  SILVER SPRINTER Jan29 Jan04 Dec10 Nov25 Oct22 (mazza joseph )JIMENEZ MANNY 122 3.50 8% 11.50    
5  GINGER SPARKLE Feb05 Dec21 Aug14 Jul30 May20 (crooks jeffrey)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.50 ★    
6  CASTLE BORN Dec09 May08 Apr14     (crooks s)FERRER C 122 3.50 14% 5.90    
7  EXAGGERATED HUMOR Feb04 Jan21 Jan05 Jun19   (russo anth)ALONSO LUIS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NO MORE FIRE Nov06 Sep17 Jul21 Jun29 Jun17 (carmichael mik)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 10.00    
 
TAM-5   02/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOT EM THINKING Feb10 Jan29 Jan11 Dec28   (ward dennis)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.40 24% 3.10    
2  RUN LEA RUN Oct25 Sep08 Aug29 Aug08 Aug02 (correa maxine)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 12.00    
3  UNIQUE PATH Mar26 Feb06 Jan23 Jan07   (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 108 10.00 9% 9.90    
4  GUNMAN Feb01 Jan15 Jan06 Dec21 Dec02 (manchan bertr)SOSA LAUREANO 111 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  ABE HONESTLY Oct03 Aug16 Aug02 Jul18 May30 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 8.00 8% 12.30    
6  CONFIDENT N ELITE Jan28 Jan20 Dec31 Nov26 Nov11 (robillard julie)FERRER C 118 2.50 29% 2.40    
7  MISTER FERNANDO Feb11 Jan28 Jan22 Dec31 Dec23 (nunn douglas)MARIN SAMUEL 122 6.00    
8  MARCEL (CHI) Nov05 Oct26 Oct08 Aug27 Aug03 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 118 10.00    
 
TAM-6   02/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3 ALL PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OH CHIC Jan28 Dec17 Oct18 Sep21   (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 4.50 14% 6.10    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BERNINGBRIGHTLY by BERNARDINI)
2  DREAMING OF TOGA         (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 12.00 ★    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of GOLD ANKLET by LEMON DROP KID)
3  STORM BRAVE Jan28         (barboza vict)BATISTA A 120 8.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of FIGURE OF BEAUTY by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  MICROFIBER Jan07 Oct23       (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 10.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of STEAMY WINDOWS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  ANTONOV Feb03 Jan21 Jan07 Oct28 Sep30 (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 10.00 ★    
  (by ACCELERATE out of LOVELY DAUGHTER by BIG BROWN)
6  MO TOWN BLUES         (cascallares n)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of TRUFFLES by DON B.)
7  AWESOME HONOR Jan27 Jan14 Oct15     (cordero antoni)MARIN SAMUEL 120 20.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of HONOR AND TRUST by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
8  LIFE AT SEA Oct16 Sep05       (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 18% 4.70    
  (by WEST COAST out of IRISH JASPER by FIRST DEFENCE)
9  SILVER PEAK Nov13         (carroll )GALLARDO A 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of DREAMOLOGIST by TAPIT)
10  FANCY DRESS Jan04         (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 108 12.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of PIN UP by TAPIT)
 
TAM-7   02/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR AGGRAVATOR Jan22 Jan04 Dec21 Nov20 Sep24 (delgado jose)BATISTA A 118 4.00    
2  KITCHEN FIRE Jan14 Dec08 Oct24 Sep26 May28 (raven kerri)CASTANON L 118 8.00 34% 1.90    
3  TUFF ATTACK Jan20 Nov06 Oct22 Oct07 Jun03 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00 8% 12.10    
4  TRUSTYOURINSTINCT Feb03 Jan19 Dec14 Nov24 Nov02 (lopez ro)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50 16% 5.40    
5  FLIPPING FISH Feb08 Jan22 Jan04 Dec09 Oct22 (feliciano ben)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 3.00 ★    
6  SCHOCHOH Feb05 Nov13 Sep09 Jun30 Apr20 (richards ren)ARROYO S 118 8.00    
7  TAPSOLUTION Feb08 Jan13 Dec22 Dec09 Oct25 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 6.00    
8  IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Feb08 Jan27 Jan07 Dec21 Dec07 (torres pablo )ALICEA JEREMY 111 5.00 11% 7.90    
 
TAM-8   02/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLEMSON TIGER Apr10 Jan07 Jan01     (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 15.00    
2  THE SKIPSTER Jan27 Jan06 Dec21 Nov25 Sep16 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 123 4.00 48% 1.10    
3  BIG RED ROCKS Jan29 Dec10 Oct21 Sep17 Sep02 (wilson)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 4.50 ★    
4  SKIPPERINI Jan29 Jan11 Dec09 Aug07 Jul09 (wasiluk jr)FERRER C 119 10.00    
SCR  MAJOR FRONTIER Jan11 Dec02 Nov06 Sep04 Aug20 (barbazoniii l)MORALES PABLO 119 4.00 ★    
6  SIMMS Jan29 Jan13 Dec31 Dec09 Dec02 (lopez ro)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 6.00    
SCR  MISTA DONZELLA Feb01 Jan21 Jan04 Dec09 Apr30 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 119 20.00    
8  KING OF CHAOS Feb01 Jan13 Dec30 Dec02 Jun24 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.00 29% 2.40    
9  EIGHT WEEKS LONG Jan29 Aug24 Aug08 May18 Apr10 (ferraro )GALLARDO A 119 12.00    
10  CROWLEY'S WAR Jan29 Dec21 Oct20 Oct04 Sep21 (wismer glenn )WALKER M 119 30.00    
SCR  CHINA BEACH Feb05 Dec21 Dec02 Sep07 Aug15 (brown dona)ALONSO LUIS 121 6.00    
SCR  BATTLE CREEK May13 Mar19 Feb25 Feb06   (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  AIDINGANDABETTING Jan29 Jan08 Dec31 Dec10 Nov23 (arriagada jua)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 15.00    
SCR  AWKWARD PAUSE Jan28 Jan15 Dec31 Jul30 Jul09 (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 20.00    
 
TAM-9   02/19/2023 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREYZER Jan25 Jan14 Dec24 Oct28 Oct12 (klesaris st)MARIN A 123 6.00    
2  TONY SMALL Feb03 May22 May04 Feb09 Jan21 (ward dennis)MORALES PABLO 119 5.00 25% 3.00    
3  SOMETHING NATURAL Jan25 Dec24 Nov16 Oct27 Sep29 (cahill s)GALLARDO A 121 3.00 11% 7.80    
4  FIERCE WARRIOR Jan21 Dec31 Dec21 Dec09 Nov25 (nunn douglas)ARROYO S 123 3.50 19% 4.30    
5  STRONG ENDING Feb08 Dec22 Sep13 Sep05 Aug23 (davis rich)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 10.00    
6  KING CAIRO Jan28 Jan06 Nov25 Oct22 Jul02 (rigattieri j)BATISTA A 119 10.00    
7  INDIAN BUZZ Jan28 Jan14 Dec23 Nov26 Sep24 (nobles reynal)JIMENEZ MANNY 121 6.00 11% 8.50    
8  GHOST STALKER Jan14 Dec24 Dec07 Oct28 Oct09 (padilla tim)CENTENO E 119 8.00    
9  CANDY COVE Jan25 Dec24 Aug28 Aug21 Jul30 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 12.00 7% 12.80    
 
TAM-10   02/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET MOOCHIE Feb05 Jan25 Nov26 Oct20 Oct10 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 119 20.00    
2  PACIFIC PRINCESS Jan25 Jan13 Dec11 Nov19 Jul01 (laurin roger)BATISTA A 121 6.00    
3  IRAZU Feb05 Jan21 Dec30 Dec02 Sep24 (cascallares n)SOSA LAUREANO 114 15.00    
4  LEA RO Feb05 Jan07 Dec14 Nov25 Oct14 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 15% 5.80    
5  TWISTED TREASURE Jun19 May30 Apr29 Apr20   (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 15.00    
6  UP HER SLEEVE Jan28 Dec30 Dec02 Oct22 Sep04 (delgado )GALLARDO A 123 5.00    
7  MAKE NO MISTAKE (IRE) Jan25 Nov26 Sep13 Aug23 Aug16 (davis scooter)FERRER C 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  COOL FRONT Jan25 Dec30 Dec22 Dec02 Sep04 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 123 10.00    
9  SLIME QUEEN Feb05 Jan21 Nov26 Sep07 Jul10 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 123 2.00 52% 0.90    
10  ANTALYA Feb05 Dec14 Nov26 Oct10 Sep22 (granitz anth)ARROYO S 119 12.00 ★    
SCR  THUNDER BUGGY Jan20 Jan08 Dec23 Apr29 Apr03 (machado antoni)CAMACHO SAMY 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TIMELESS GLORY Feb03 Jan18 Dec22 Nov15 Oct26 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 119 20.00    
SCR  CLASSY OF COURSE Feb05 Jan07 Dec22 Nov26 Oct14 (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.