Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - February 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (6/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4/1)-(6/5/2/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/2/4)-(1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2/4)-(1/7/3)-(6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/3)-(6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3)-(6/3)-(7/8/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-3   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/5/7)-(6/3/5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/3)-(7/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(7/8/5)-(5/6/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-4   WIN (7/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/5)-(7/8/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/5)-(7/8/5/1)-(7/8/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/8/5)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/8/5)-(5/6/4)-(5/3/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-5   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4/2/3)-(5/6/4/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(5/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(5/3/4/7)-(10/9/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-6   WIN (5/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/7)-(5/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/7)-(5/3/4/7)-(5/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/4/7)-(10/9/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/7)-(10/9/2/7)-(5/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-7   WIN (10/9/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/2/7)-(10/9/2/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/9/2/7)-(10/9/2/7/4)-(10/9/2/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/9/2/7)-(5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (10/9/2/7)-(5/7)-(10/9/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-8   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/7)-(10/9/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TAM-9   WIN (10/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/9/8)-(10/9/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/9/8)-(10/9/8)-(10/9/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN TONE Jan13 Dec22 Nov22 Jun17 May21 (ryan s)FERRER C 118 5.00 ★    
2  TRUSTYOURINSTINCT Jan19 Dec14 Nov24 Nov02 Oct22 (lopez ro)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50 13% 6.50    
3  LUCA DREW THE ACE Jan21 Jan06 Aug15 Jul11 May08 (hardesty leslielyn)BUSH V 118 12.00    
4  CUZ Jan21 Dec28 Dec07 Oct25 Sep29 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00 12% 7.50    
5  HIDE THE DEMON Jan11 Dec16 Nov26 Nov06 Oct08 (campbell)GALLARDO A 118 1.80 22% 3.60    
6  TONY SMALL May22 May04 Feb09 Jan21 Jan14 (ward dennis)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 32% 2.20    
 
TAM-2   02/03/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLITTER BAY Jan07 Jan01 Dec07     (robillard jul)SOSA LAUREANO 113 8.00 26% 2.90    
2  TIZ LOTTIE Jan18 Dec21 Dec10 Jun30 Jun21 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 15.00 ★    
3  BELLSWILLBERINGING Jan28 Jan18 Dec21 Dec10 Nov05 (lopez r)IORIO MELISSA 110 15.00 5% 17.90    
4  TIMELESS GLORY Jan18 Dec22 Nov15 Oct26 Oct06 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 120 2.00    
5  ASPROPODIA Jan18 Jan08 Apr24 Apr16 Apr03 (roque elis)ALICEA JEREMY 113 20.00    
SCR  PONY GIRL Jan15 Aug27 Jul29 Jun19 May29 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.00 27% 2.80    
7  TAMI ANN Nov09 Oct26 Oct06 Sep22 Sep09 (barrett grantl)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
 
TAM-3   02/03/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROWDY JESS Jan27 Jan13 Dec23 Sep23 Sep10 (fennessy john)MBATHA LUCKY 110 6.00    
SCR  SWIFT KID Jan13 Dec28 Dec09 Aug24 Aug01 (machado antoni)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00 19% 4.40    
3  HAD RIGHT Jan27 Jan08 Dec02 Sep23 Aug23 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 3.50 10% 9.20    
4  BRAVE HILARIO Jan27 Dec31 Dec23 Nov29 Oct31 (escobar alison)SUAREZ JESUS 120 20.00    
5  EL POLICIA Jan28 Jan08 Dec28 Dec14 Nov30 (sacco d)FERRER C 120 2.50 ★    
6  GRAND PLAYER Jan13 Dec23 Oct13 Sep03 Jun30 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 120 4.50 48% 1.10    
7  CEDAR BEACH Dec28 Apr20 Mar25 Mar02 Feb09 (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 8.00 ★    
 
TAM-4   02/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAYMAN QUEEN Jan21 Dec16 Oct30 Oct09 Aug21 (orseno jo)CAMACHO JR 120 10.00 ★    
2  WICKLOW GAL Jan13 Dec14 Dec03 Nov11 Oct09 (miller rory )MENESES MARCOS 120 15.00    
3  WIFEY MATERIAL Jan20         (bowersock mar)WALKER M 120 20.00    
SCR  WINE WITH A ROSE Jan21 Dec16 Nov25 Oct13 Aug30 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 6.00 ★    
5  DUDEFOOLINGDARLING Dec30         (deaton william)BRACHO A 120 12.00 13% 7.00    
6  BANK BUSTER Jan29 Dec11 Nov27 Sep16 Sep05 (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 12.00    
7  MARVELOUS LADY Dec08 Oct01 Aug05 Jul08   (lopez bernardo)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
8  VALIANT MISTRESS         (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
9  GENERAL ROBINSON Jan21 Dec16 Nov30 Nov06   (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 120 2.50    
 
TAM-5   02/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE ATKA Jan13 Jan06 Dec23 Sep22 Sep05 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 15.00    
2  SPANISH DELIGHT Jan06 Nov20 Oct19 Oct05 Sep22 (lorito mario)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 3.00 ★    
3  MURUMBI Jan06 Dec11 Oct26 Oct06 Aug07 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 ★    
4  GIRLS IN CHARGE Jan08 Dec16 Nov25 Sep18 Aug28 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00 19% 4.10    
5  UPTOWN QUEEN Jan06 Oct14 Sep04 Jul04 Jun11 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 122 1.50 31% 2.30    
6  PRINCESS LIVIA Aug27 Aug04 Jul10 Jun19 May28 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 6.00 26% 2.80    
 
TAM-6   02/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATIES A LADY Jan21 Dec31 Nov05 Sep24 May06 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 123 1.80    
SCR  STARRY HOPE Jan21 Nov26 Oct15 Sep21 Aug29 (mcgoey mo)CAMACHO JR 119 30.00    
3  MISS MIKAELA Jan11 Dec17 Oct26 Oct10 Sep29 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
4  COVENANT LADY Oct16 Sep22 Sep14 Aug29 Jul14 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 119 4.50 17% 4.90    
5  ALITTLELOVEANDLUCK Jul03 Jun03 May18 Apr24 Mar12 (dini mike)CENTENO E 119 3.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  DAKOTA DANCER Jan11 Dec31 Dec14 Oct30 Oct17 (rice kevin)ALLEN D 119 10.00 ★    
7  I'M BLUSHING Sep29 Sep01 Jul17 Jun19 May12 (collins john)MORALES PABLO 119 12.00 6% 15.10    
 
TAM-7   02/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($18.5K) 3 ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ADIOS JOE Jan07 Sep24       (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 120 30.00    
2  GRATIA PRINCE Dec30 Nov30 Sep18     (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 6.00 7% 12.40    
3  CLASSIC BOURBON Jan07 Dec03 Sep18 Aug27   (antonucci m)FERRER C 120 10.00    
4  ANTONOV Jan21 Jan07 Oct28 Sep30 Sep17 (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 6.00 ★    
5  TOES N THE SAND Dec30 Nov25       (stewart j)CAMACHO SAMY 120 12.00    
6  PAVONI Jan07 Nov20       (motion grah)MORALES PABLO 120 10.00    
7  WHISKEYMAC Dec22 Oct18 Sep27 Sep07   (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 4.50 7% 13.60    
8  THE BEARRISH ONE Dec02 Oct18 Sep18 Aug22   (dini mike)CENTENO E 120 20.00    
9  RED OCTOBER Jan11 Dec22 Dec07     (escobar alison)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
10  COPAZO Jan11 Dec03 Aug01     (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  BOLD MAJESTIC Dec03 Oct29 Oct15 Jul16   (dye steven)FUENTES MARIO 120 12.00    
SCR  MIZWARRIOR         (cascallares n)FLORES ADRIAN 120 20.00    
SCR  MO TOWN BLUES         (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00    
SCR  HELLO SUCKER Nov27 Nov05 Oct15 Sep11   (mcgoey mon)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 10.00    
 
TAM-8   02/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUBURN Jan20 Jan04 Dec02 Aug15 May06 (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 111 12.00 ★    
SCR  WOODS HOLE Jan20 Dec10 Nov25 Oct15 Sep04 (sacco d)FERRER C 120 4.00 ★    
3  MAMBO DANCER (CHI) Jan11 Dec28 Sep19 Aug30 Aug16 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 3.50    
4  WHISKARITA Jan20 Dec31 Nov05 Oct29 Oct08 (smith r)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 4.00 ★    
5  LETS TAKE IT IZZY Dec24 Sep30 Sep04 Jan15   (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 47% 1.10    
6  DIXIELAND DANCER Jan15 Dec22 Dec02 Nov26 Oct15 (machado antoni)MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00    
7  FLATOUTANDFOXY Jan22 Jan01 Dec22 Oct16 Sep30 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00 26% 2.80    
 
TAM-9   02/03/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLID TUNE Nov25 Oct22 Oct03 Sep08 Aug15 (beckman whit)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50    
2  PROPER MANNERS Jan04 Sep24 Aug13 Jul28 Jun15 (galvan b)GALLARDO A 118 10.00    
3  AMERICAN BASTET Dec22 Oct23 Mar25 Feb12   (heming)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 20.00    
4  JIM'S BRONZE STAR Jan14 Dec22 Jun21 May22 Apr27 (o'connor rober)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 20.00    
SCR  LADY IN HEELS Dec31 Nov25 Oct06 Sep14 Aug22 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 15.00    
6  TRACY ANN'S LEGACY Aug05 Jun12 May08 Apr09 Feb19 (orseno jo)CAMACHO JR 118 4.50    
7  BAND SWEETHEART Dec31 Oct08 Sep17 Jul30 Jul03 (pimental john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 8.00    
8  CURL TALK Jul13 Jun14 May23 May03   (bowersock ma)BATISTA A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  APRIL MIST Jan11 Nov07 Oct20 Sep16 Jul01 (stewart j)FERRER C 118 3.00 25% 3.10    
10  LINGUISTIC Oct06 Sep19 Aug29 Aug02 Jul20 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 3.50 34% 2.00    
SCR  PINK SHOELACES Jan14 Dec22 Jun18 Mar12 Jan16 (wilson tony)CENTENO E 118 3.50 12% 7.60    
SCR  TRIPLET Aug28 Jul01 May12 Mar23 Jan14 (lanum crystal)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 30.00    
SCR  MOANAS POWER Dec31 Feb25 Jan14     (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 118 8.00    
SCR  BABY'S DIALED IN Jan15 Dec14 May12 Apr21 Feb23 (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 118 10.00 7% 14.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.