Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Sunday - January 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/2/5/3)-(1/4/2/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(5/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(5/6/4/2)-(2/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (5/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/2)-(5/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/2)-(5/6/4/2)-(5/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/4/2)-(2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4/2)-(2/4/1)-(1/6/7/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-3   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1/5/3)-(2/4/1/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(1/6/7/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(1/6/7/2/3)-(1/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
FG-4   WIN (1/6/7/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/2/3)-(1/6/7/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/2/3)-(1/6/7/2/3)-(1/6/7/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/7/2/3)-(1/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/2/3)-(1/3)-(1/4/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
FG-5   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/4/3/5)-(1/4/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(1/4/3)-(3/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FG-6   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/8/5/3)-(1/4/8/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(3/4)-(3/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FG-7   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/7/6)-(3/4/7/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/4)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FG-8   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5/1)-(3/7/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SISTER RULER Aug03 May07 Mar25 Jan14   (claire alexis)PARKER L 121 1.40 38% 1.60    
PRINCESS STELLA (IRE) Dec16 Dec03 Oct16 Sep25 Jan01 (rodriguez edua)GREEN AUBRIE 121 3.00    
MARY JACK         (balderas alfonso)RIQUELME J 121 4.00    
QUEEN'S MISSION Jan06 Nov20 Nov12 Oct07 Sep29 (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.50 12% 7.30    
SUFFRAGETTE Jan06 Dec11 Nov09 Oct27 Oct06 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 8.00 11% 7.90    
 
FG-2   01/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHIEF KIMOSABI Jan08 Dec09 Oct28 Aug26 Aug03 (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.00 16% 5.40    
SNEAKY ALLIE KAT Jan01 Dec08 Jun30 Jun10 Feb28 (peterson j)ALBERT S 117 12.00 6% 15.40    
HALF A DOODLE Jan06 Dec16 Nov25 Sep24 Sep12 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00    
BLUE RIDGE RED Jan01 Dec01 Oct15 Jun30 Jun08 (jackson dar)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 6.00 11% 8.10    
DEMON HUNTER Jan01 Dec08 Nov26 Jul23 Jul03 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50 24% 3.30    
JUJU NINETEEN Jan01 Dec16 Nov25 Aug12 Jul22 (savoie sh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.00 15% 5.80    
 
FG-3   01/22/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OKUDAH Jan01 Dec11 Sep24 Aug15 Aug02 (savoie sh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.50 10% 9.10    
MINISTRY OF ART Dec18 Nov20 Oct09 Sep19 Sep05 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 38% 1.70    
MAX PANDOWDY Jan01 Dec11 Dec01 Oct08 Aug29 (hirdes john)MURRAY M 121 3.00    
ANICLUDE Jan12 Dec19 Sep24 Jul12 Jun20 (wilson shan)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 4.00 23% 3.30    
BLURT Jan01 Dec11 Nov25 Oct15 Oct05 (camejo jose )NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.00    
DA GOLD ROOM Jan01 Dec11 Dec01 May21 May08 (west g)PARKER L 121 5.00    
 
FG-4   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIEFWEAVE Jan06 Sep24 Sep05 Aug13 Jul25 (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 6.00 25% 3.10    
REVERENT Jan08 Dec16 Apr30 Apr08   (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 116 5.00 14% 6.00    
K T'S JILTED GROOM Jan01 Dec16 Aug25 Aug03 Jul13 (alonzo howar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROCK STAR ALEX Jan06 Dec16 Nov25 Sep24 Sep11 (dandridge courtn)MURRAY M 121 8.00    
HEARTTHROB HALO Jan06 Dec16 Nov25 Sep24 Aug28 (duke steve)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.00    
EDDIE'S HUMOR Jan07 Nov24 Mar05 Feb04 Jan20 (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 121 3.50 20% 3.90    
WAR TROLLEY Jan06 Nov27 Nov17 Oct22 Sep24 (west patr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.50 15% 5.70    
OURQUICKDRAWMCGRAW Dec16 Dec01 Sep24 Mar09 Jan30 (duhon joseph )MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00    
MAGNOLIA RIDGE Jan01 Dec16 Nov25 Oct15 Sep13 (schwandt e)ALBERT S 116 8.00    
 
FG-5   01/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($51K) 3 F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VARMLANDER Dec15         (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 119 1.40    
1A  TITLED LADY Dec19 Nov10       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 1.40 67% 0.50    
DESSERT FIRST Nov26 Oct13 Sep26 Sep14   (lopez elia)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 5.00    
PASTA SALAD RHONDA Oct15         (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 6.00 6% 16.10    
BEYOND DOUBT Dec02 Sep26       (cox h)LANERIE J 119 1.80    
HANG THE MOON Dec26 Oct08 Sep06     (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
SCR  STRIKINGLY SPUN Dec09 Nov04       (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 119 4.50    
 
FG-6   01/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPELLBINDING Dec11 Nov25 Sep10 Aug05 Jul14 (ducoing st)ALBERT S 115 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  MONEY WELL SPENT Nov25 Sep10 Jul20 Jun24 Mar20 (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 122 2.50    
SCR  BLESSED ANNA Nov25 Jul10 Jun20 May21 Mar05 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
VISIONOFWILDTIMES Dec01 Aug20 Aug06 Jun20 Jun04 (wilson shan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SKY HIGH SUSAN Dec31 Nov25 Aug24 Jul10 Jun22 (silva miguel)PARKER L 120 8.00 34% 2.00    
ALLIACEOUS Aug27 Aug06 Jul23 Jun10 May07 (alonzo howard)CULP BRIANNE 115 5.00    
MISS KENNEDY Dec31 Dec03 Nov18 Oct13 Aug01 (duke stev)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 20.00    
SPECIAL CONNECTION Dec01 Aug20 Aug05 Jun23 Jun01 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.00    
VALE MALE Dec31 Dec03 Oct13 Sep13 Jul17 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 3.00    
 
FG-7   01/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUMBLE READY Nov25 Nov01 Sep29 Feb11   (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 125 8.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of CELEBRATEGOODTIMES by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
CAROOM Dec17 Nov30 Oct22     (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 4.50    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of ELLE BELLE by EL PRADO (IRE))
MAASAI WARRIOR Jan01 Dec09 Nov13 Nov03 Oct16 (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 125 3.00 59% 0.70    
  (by HARD SPUN out of WALTZINGINTHERAIN by TIZWAY)
BIG COMMERCE         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 5.00 10% 8.60    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SHE'S A WARRIOR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
MO TIME AT ALL         (pessin l)MELANCON G 125 6.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of OLD TIME CHICAGO by STREET SENSE)
MASK PATROL Dec19 Feb19       (lovell michelle)PARKER L 125 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of STRIKE ACCORD by SMART STRIKE)
MONJID Nov30 Oct22 Oct08 Sep03   (mckeever )PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 3.50    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of SUMAYYA by OASIS DREAM (GB))
MEANT TO BE LUCKY Jan05 Nov24 Oct18 Sep11 Aug19 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 117 10.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of MEAN IRENE by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  GUIGUI Sep07         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 117 8.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of PRINCESA CARINA by KNOW HEIGHTS (IRE))
SCR  JOINT VENTURE Dec26 Oct15 Sep24     (flint ber)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 20.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of ABBEYVILLE MISS by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  SAILOR'S RETURN Aug05 Jul23 Jun18 May30 May05 (habeeb dona)BARANDELA SOFIA 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of IT MUST BE MAGIC by STORM CAT)
SCR  FORCIBLE ENTRY Dec18         (foley greg)RIQUELME J 122 8.00    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of SNAKEINTHEGRASS by BERNARDINI)
SCR  KISLOVODSK Jan08 Dec18 Dec04 Nov25 Oct08 (dorochenko genna)RIQUELME J 125 6.00    
  (by GIO PONTI out of STATISTICS by MUSKET MAN)
SCR  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN Jan14 Dec19 Nov19 Oct11 Sep28 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 125 8.00    
  (by FROSTED out of LITTLE JUDE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
FG-8   01/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN ON ACES Jan05 Dec11 Oct28 Jul13   (perron gerard)LANERIE J 125 8.00    
  (by HARD ACES out of RUNNING LADY by EL CORREDOR)
SCR  MAIN DUDE Jan12 Dec22 Dec08     (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 15.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of FORMAL DESIRE by FORMAL DINNER)
PRINCE PERFECTA Jan13 Jan05 Dec17 Nov23 Nov12 (johnson h)HERNANDEZ J 125 2.00 32% 2.10    
  (by AWESOME AGAIN out of PRINCESS PERFECT by CRAFTY FRIEND)
SEA OF LIGHT         (alonzo howar)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 12.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of DIVINE PROVIDENCE by LORD AT WAR (ARG))
OUR HEATSEEKER Nov24         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of HEATSEEKER SHARON by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
SCR  RENATI Nov24 Sep26 Aug28 Jul26 Jun27 (duke steve)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of NURSE EMMIELLE by PRIVATE VOW)
DOUBLE ON THE RED Jan05 Jul01 Jun16 May11   (zenon shelton)MELANCON G 125 4.00 24% 3.10    
  (by IDE LIKE A DOUBLE out of CAROLYN FRANCES by PERSONAL FLAG)
BIG BOO Jan01 Dec11 Nov24 Mar19 Mar03 (singh s)SINGH R 125 8.00    
  (by DRUMS OF THUNDER out of PEAKABOO BRIDE by LANGFUHR)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.