Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - November 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEST YOUR FAITH Nov02 Oct24 Oct10 Sep19 Aug24 (campbe)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 ★    
2  IMA SURE BET Oct25 Oct10 Sep20 Aug22 Aug01 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 121 10.00    
3  HOPS PETUNIA Nov02 Oct26 Oct11 Sep08 Aug31 (rivera nestor)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 ★    
4  FIONA Oct17 Sep30       (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 4.00 31% 2.30    
5  WILDCAT DREAM Nov07 Oct24 Sep30 Sep21 Sep07 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 124 2.00 ★    
SCR  D'ORO FOREVER Oct25 Sep08       (correas ignacio )RIVERA R 126 1.60 36% 1.80    
 
MVR-2   11/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug29 Aug18 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 122 6.00 ★    
1A  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Aug31 Aug18 Aug02 Jul18 Jul05 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 6.00    
2  AIN'T STRAIGHT Oct05 Aug11 Jul21 Jun13 May21 (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
3  UNCLEJACKOMO Oct27 Oct03 Sep15 Aug29 Aug18 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 ★    
4  T MONEY Oct27 Oct14 Sep21 Aug28 Jul31 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 1.60 43% 1.30    
5  BAD LITTLE BEAST Oct06 Sep15 Aug16 Jul13 Jun25 (londono odin)HALDAR J 124 2.50 14% 5.90    
 
MVR-3   11/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAME IT ON EDDIE Nov03 Oct24 Oct06     (vecchio c)CORREA L 126 3.00    
1A  SMASH Nov08 Oct26 Oct12 Sep29 Sep19 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 34% 1.90    
2  ADANO Nov02 Oct05 Sep12 Aug31 Aug18 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 ★    
3  JUSTENUFFTUFF Oct24 May21 Apr27 Apr02 Mar08 (poole m)BRACHO A 126 10.00    
4  DEBDURITE Nov02 Oct24 Sep19 Mar02 Feb16 (rivera nestor)GONZALEZ A 126 1.60 33% 2.00    
SCR  SEMINOLE JUSTICE Oct26 Oct13 Aug31 Jul21 Jun16 (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 2.50 ★    
6  PERCENTAGE Nov02 Oct24 Aug26 Jul19 Jun02 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 8.00 ★    
 
MVR-4   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRICK OF HEARTS Jun03 May10 Apr13 Feb16   (anderson )BETANCOURT RONNEY 124 2.00 ★    
2  MACHEN REIGNS Aug01 Jul05 Jun13 May12   (baird michael)RIVERA R 124 1.60 43% 1.30    
3  AUGMENTING ASSETS Nov08 Sep15 Aug30 Aug08 Jul26 (romero jose )TAPARA BRANDON 126 3.00 33% 2.00    
4  BIKINI SO TEENY Nov08 Oct25 Sep15 Aug13 Aug01 (rive)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 6.00 ★    
5  MOTOWN HARBOR Oct22 Oct06 Aug19     (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 10.00 ★    
6  OH EYE SEE Jul05 Jun13       (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 126 20.00    
 
MVR-5   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILDCAT PRIDE         (gorham robert )DIAZ I 122 6.00 11% 8.30    
2  MOONLIGHT MEISTER Oct12         (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 20.00    
3  HOTROD BOBBY         (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
4  ROUGE TU RICHES Nov01 Sep26 Sep06 Jul22 Jul12 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00    
5  SWING STATE Nov01 Sep26 Sep06 Aug03 Jul12 (gorham ro)CORREA L 122 2.50 16% 5.40    
6  ORFANO Oct10         (fadlovich megan)STANLEY O 122 8.00 6% 14.80    
7  BAD BOY BOOGIE Nov01 Oct12       (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
8  SEGUE Aug25         (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 122 15.00    
9  HARSH TRUTH Nov01 Oct12 Sep06 Aug18 Aug03 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 117 15.00    
 
MVR-6   11/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEIDI'S BACK Nov03 Oct06 Sep21 Sep08 Aug15 (suarez ja)CORREA L 124 12.00    
2  SANIBEL Oct29 Oct11 Sep27 Sep09 Aug23 (murillo rodr)HALDAR J 124 8.00 17% 4.80    
3  JETTIN PEGASUS Oct29 Oct05 Sep21 Sep08 Aug29 (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 21% 3.70    
4  BEST OF YOU Oct29 Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 124 10.00 ★    
5  QUEEN HIGH (NZ) Oct05 Aug25 Jun20 May26 May12 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 22% 3.40    
6  POWER BANKER Nov03 Sep23 Sep13 Jul14 Jun29 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 1.80 ★    
 
MVR-7   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NANA ROZE Oct25 Sep27 Sep09 Aug24 Jul20 (morelos m)BETANCOURT RONNEY 124 6.00    
2  NORMAS HOPEFULGIRL Nov09 Oct09 Jul21 Jul11 Jun08 (cain crystal)CCAMAQUE M 124 10.00 ★    
3  LADY ABRIL Oct24 Sep27 Aug23 Aug04 Jul20 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 122 1.60 43% 1.30    
4  SHADY BABY Oct24 Sep27 Sep08 Aug31 Aug19 (romero oscar)DIAZ I 122 2.00 8% 10.80    
5  WAR MOON Oct24 Oct06 Sep21 Aug23 Jul20 (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 117 12.00 ★    
6  DEB'S ALL OUT Oct24 Oct06 Sep27 Sep08 Aug23 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 3.50 27% 2.80    
 
MVR-8   11/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT Oct26 Oct12 Sep08 Jul04 Jun13 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 126 6.00 ★    
2  HOSANNA Oct31 Sep08 Aug23 Jun03 May10 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 117 2.00 39% 1.60    
3  LA ROSA Oct05 Aug26 Jul20 Jul04 Jun03 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00 ★    
4  ANGEL WINGS Oct31 Jul25 Jul07 Jun13 May25 (flores isra)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 15.00    
5  MOBIL CHIC Oct05 Sep12 Mar26 Feb18 Jan22 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 31% 2.20    
6  BOSSY LADY Sep23 Aug25 Aug12 Jul19 Jul01 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 1.60 ★    
7  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Oct05 Aug25 Aug03 Jul18 Jun29 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.