Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Saturday - November 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   11/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 2 F PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY THIRD CHARM         (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 122 8.00    
ELLIE VICTORINA Oct16 Sep25       (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.80 57% 0.80    
BALI HAI Oct21         (keefe timo)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 15.00    
SUNNY SPIRIT         (salzman joh)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 10.00    
GATITA SUAVE         (sanchez-salomo)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 8.00    
LADY LANCER Nov04 Oct20 Sep11 Aug27 Jul16 (sepulve)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 6.00 6% 14.40    
RIDE THE RAPIDS Oct27 Sep25       (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 12% 7.00    
DONNA'S COURAGE Oct13         (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 12.00    
 
LRL-2   11/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROBEY'S BOY Aug20 Jul02 Mar05 Jan21   (hill david)DELGADO A 123 12.00    
ASKIN FOR A BASKIN Nov05 Oct15 Oct07 Sep18 Sep02 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  PREMIERE CHOICE Oct09 Aug21 Jul15 Jun17   (keefe timot)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 5.00    
SCR  WHERE YOU WAS Oct26 Oct12 Sep23 Sep05 Aug16 (rogers ronald )CONNER TYLER 122 10.00 10% 8.90    
BEN COPENHAGEN Oct21 Sep22 Aug20 Jul01 May28 (sano antonio)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 15.00    
SCR  PANSTER Sep30 Jun26 May15 Apr21   (delacour arnaud)RUIZ JORGE 119 4.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  SILARDI Aug20 Apr01 Mar06 Jan30 Jan02 (runco c)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 3.50    
SAVOY Nov05 Oct13 Aug27 Jul16 Jun24 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 123 8.00 6% 16.90    
SCR  PAPAL LAW Oct30 Oct16 Sep23 Aug13 Aug04 (wolfe jr)CRUZ ANGEL 123 12.00    
SCR  VALMONT Oct07 Jun26 Jun04 Apr21   (brown r)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 12.00    
11  HE'S A SHOOTER Oct22 Sep28 Sep02 Aug03 Jun30 (gorham e)NO RIDER 123 10.00    
SCR  BOSS IS A PAL Oct21 Sep25 Sep11 Aug24 Aug03 (stettinius suz)BOYCE FOREST 122 8.00    
13  SHIRAZ Oct22 Oct07 Aug31 Jul24 Jun26 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 123 4.50    
14  GONE INZANE Sep23 Sep06 Aug22 Jul29 Jul19 (zalalas mic)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 15.00 14% 6.20    
 
LRL-3   11/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM HAPPY Oct20 Sep25 Aug12 Jun24 May29 (bailes robe)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00    
APPRAISAL Oct20 Oct02 Sep18 Aug26 Aug12 (brooks brian)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 8.00    
ROYAL SPY Oct15 Sep25 Sep11 Aug26 Jul30 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 10.00    
BILLINGSGATE Oct15 Oct02 Sep11 Aug20 Aug02 (magana jo)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 15.00 9% 10.70    
KOZY'S WILDCAT Oct20 Sep25 Sep04 Aug13 Jul03 (howard c)CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  RAHMER Oct20 Jul10 Mar19 Feb20 Feb10 (barr donal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 118 6.00    
BACKATYA Oct27 Oct19 Oct03 Sep14 Aug27 (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.80 10% 9.10    
 
LRL-4   11/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTFOOT MISS Oct23 Oct06 Sep22 Aug26 Jul22 (frock a)HESS SARA 113 10.00    
MS. MALEVOLENCE Oct21 Oct01 Sep10 Aug18 Jul28 (nazario pe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 123 10.00    
SCR  LUCKBEALADYTONIGHT Oct26 Oct15 Sep15 Aug26 Aug13 (nambo ces)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 12.00 6% 15.00    
FORTES Oct27 Oct07 Sep24 Sep11 Jul29 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 126 6.00    
SHACKLEFORD COUNTY Aug21 Aug01 Jul09 Jun18 Jun05 (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 116 2.50 39% 1.60    
DOMINEER Oct09 Sep18 Jul21 Jun25 Jun05 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 2.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  TAKE ME HOME Nov05 Oct07 Sep21 Aug11 Jul15 (pickett )BUTTERFLY L 126 5.00 11% 8.50    
ELOQUENT LADY Oct09 Sep18 Aug13 Jul17 Jul01 (pradenas se)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 12.00    
 
LRL-5   11/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WARWICK RIVER Oct06         (allen fe)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 113 20.00    
WAVERLEY Oct27 Oct01 Sep11 Aug27   (bailes robe)KARAMANOS A 122 12.00    
GRASS CUTTER Oct23 Oct01 Sep03 Jul23   (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 10.00    
SWEET FACTOR Sep01 Aug12       (mancil)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 15.00    
WILD BLUE YONDER Aug03         (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 122 20.00    
CIRCUITT Oct28 Sep01 Jul23     (houghton thoma)BOYCE FOREST 122 6.00    
MIDNIGHT REVENGE Oct21 Jun19 May30     (sanchez-salomo)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 5.00    
DUNDER BOSS Oct23         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL MICHELLE Oct26 Oct06       (pickett )BUTTERFLY L 118 20.00    
10  OBER DARE Oct01 Sep18 Sep03 Aug27   (feliciano m)MONTERREY R 118 12.00    
11  GHERKIN Oct12 Aug27       (salzm)LABARRE GRACE 118 20.00    
12  GALACTIC TIDE Oct23 Sep25 Sep05 Aug28 Jul30 (young c)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 3.50    
13  CONTROLLED FIRE Oct21 Sep23 Sep02     (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 4.00    
SCR  FANCY WARRIOR Oct29         (ashby lynn)ACOSTA D 122 4.50 23% 3.30    
 
LRL-6   11/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MARATHONER Oct21 Aug14 Jul19 Jul08 Jun16 (montoya mar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 15.00    
SCR  SHELLY ISLAND Sep25 Aug15 Jul20 May29   (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 12.00    
SCR  SCIENCE (IRE) Oct13 Sep25 Sep11 Aug17 May29 (gorham e)CRUZ ANGEL 123 8.00    
SCR  WHITEKNUCKLEFLYER Oct23 Oct02 Sep10 Jul30 Jul10 (capuano dale)ROSE J 121 4.00    
GERRYS GEM Oct21 Oct02 Sep05 Jul16 Jun24 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 8.00    
SPONSORED Oct02 Aug26 Jul10 May29   (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00    
HOLY SYNCHRONICITY Oct27 Oct08 Sep11 Sep05 Aug07 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 124 6.00    
FULLY CONNECTED Oct12 Aug28 Aug06 Jul18 Jun19 (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 124 6.00 73% 0.40    
SCR  BOMBOLONI Oct30 Oct16 Sep25 Aug14 Jul15 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 10.00    
10  BERKS Oct29 Oct08 Sep24 Aug26 Jul27 (ness jam)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  E. P. MILTON Sep25 Aug21 Aug07 Jul11 Jun24 (cooney sus)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 112 15.00    
12  HEADS OR TAILS Oct21 Oct02 Sep09 Aug07 Jun30 (farrior antho)KARAMANOS A 121 10.00    
SCR  PRINCE PERE Nov04 Oct09 Sep18 Aug07 Jul15 (stettinius )RUSSELL SHELDON 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-7   11/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHICKIENESS Oct22 Sep28 Aug31 Jul09 Jun24 (ness jamie)NO RIDER 122 5.00    
GORMLEY'S GABRIELA Sep30 Sep07 Jul15 Jun19   (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 15.00    
MISS GEORGIE Sep30 Sep04 Aug20     (gaudet lacey)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 10.00    
BOUND BY DESTINY Sep28 Aug31 Aug10 Jul01   (pecoraro anthony)ROSE J 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
TWICE AS SWEET Oct07 Aug28 Aug05     (walsh brendan)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 3.50    
DIAMONDSIFYOUDO Oct12         (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 117 4.50    
SHINY SLAM Sep26 Aug21 Jul24     (avila carl)OLIVERO A 122 20.00 7% 12.80    
DISSOLUTE Oct13         (lynch cathal)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
 
LRL-8   11/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELDISH Oct22 Sep10 Aug09 Jul01   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 2.50 19% 4.30    
COFFEEWITHCHRIS Oct14 Aug26 Aug09 May12 May01 (salzman joh)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 20.00    
TIZ NO CLOWN Oct22 Jul18 Jun25 May12 May01 (atkins )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 20.00    
SCR  WHERE IS MIKE Oct19 Sep17       (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00    
RICCIO Oct15 Sep29 Sep01 Jul18 Jun16 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 3.50 6% 16.20    
RECRUITER Oct02 Aug27       (lynch cathal)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.20 45% 1.20    
HONEYQUIST Oct08 Sep24       (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00 11% 8.40    
 
LRL-9   11/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBU BEAUTY Oct22 Oct01 Aug27 Aug13 Jul06 (capuano a)RUIZ JORGE 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
BREVIARY Oct22 Oct01 Sep04 Aug27 Aug06 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 124 12.00    
BERATE Oct02 Sep10 Aug07 Jul08 May29 (mcgaughey cla)LYNCH FEARGAL 124 4.50 7% 14.00    
SCR  BEGUINE Oct07 May20 Apr02 Mar05 Jan23 (allard edward)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 5.00    
CHAMPAGNE TOAST Sep30 Aug19 Jul20 Jun11 May06 (vera miguel)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
CLICK TO CONFIRM Oct20 Oct01 Sep11 Aug27 Jul02 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 118 12.00    
BABY MAN Sep22 Aug12 Jul10 Jun10 May07 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 16% 5.20    
HYBRID ECLIPSE Oct09 Aug27 Jul02 Jun08 Feb21 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
 
LRL-10   11/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIKELY CHOICE Oct27 Sep24 Sep17 Jun25 May08 (gorham mich)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 3.50    
FORTUNATA ITALIA Oct02 Aug25 Jul19 Jul09 Jun23 (farrior anthony)NO RIDER 116 6.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  SASSY BABE Oct27 Sep23 Sep07 Aug14 Jul28 (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 12.00    
ICY REPLY Oct29 Oct21 Oct06 Sep18 Sep11 (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 120 8.00    
SCR  MISS IS ZIPPY Sep24 Aug31 Aug22 Jul16 Jul08 (gorham michae)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 20.00    
LA FAMILIA Oct27 Oct01 Sep23 Aug14 Jul28 (pradenas sergio)MONTERREY R 123 5.00    
MISS CASEY Sep21 Aug26 Aug04 Apr14 Mar11 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 117 4.00    
IMAGINE VICTORY Oct27 Feb11 Jan02     (pickett )BUTTERFLY L 123 12.00    
SCR  LITTLE BIT OF THAT Oct09 Sep17 Jul30 May27 May08 (merryman mic)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 2.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN Oct27 Sep25 Sep09 Aug13 Aug03 (salvaggio v)CRUZ ANGEL 121 5.00    
SCR  SWEET TALIA Oct09 Sep23 Aug26 Jul29 Jul02 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 5.00    
12  ALWAYS MIA May05 Apr14 Mar05 Feb17 Jan28 (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 121 3.00 34% 2.00    
13  ROSY APPLE Oct29 Oct06 Sep17 Aug26 Jul08 (ramirez )BUTTERFLY L 124 6.00    
14  SALAMINA Oct27 Oct01 Sep17 Sep03 Jul30 (juarez calixto)ACOSTA D 119 20.00    
SCR  LA DAME Oct27 Aug22 Jun11 Mar08 Feb18 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 119 15.00    
SCR  TAK E LADY Oct29 Oct12 Sep24 Aug15 Jul27 (ashby lyn)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.