Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Horseshoe Indianapolis
Wednesday - October 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
IND-1   10/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR LIBERTY Sep15 Aug25 Aug09 Jul12 May26 (nance jonathan)RIVERA BRYAN 111 5.00    
2  ELVIS JUST ELVIS Aug08 Jun28 Jun07 May17 Apr20 (richardvi)BERMUDEZ E 122 4.00 ★    
3  KING T'CHALLA Sep12 Aug20 May26 May12 Apr28 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 122 6.00 8% 12.10    
4  INGERSOLL Sep21 Aug18 Jul06 May12 May04 (garcia )DE CRUZ 118 1.80 60% 0.70    
5  IKE AND JACK Oct05 Sep21 Aug28     (norris mike)LEBRON VICTOR 120 2.50 ★    
6  LAMP OIL Oct04 Sep16 Aug23 Jul17 Jun23 (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 122 10.00 7% 12.70    
 
IND-2   10/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVELY LISA Sep19 Aug18 Jul19 Jul07 Apr22 (hernandez )MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 3.00 ★    
2  BAND OF ROSES Sep14 Sep07 Aug18     (ashby)ULLOA PATRICIO 115 12.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  BOW DRAW Sep29 Sep13 Aug26 Aug09   (platt noah)PRESCOTT R 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
4  LEMON ROSES Sep09 Aug25 Jun23 May09 Apr02 (love alan)MORALES JOSHUA 122 8.00 9% 9.60    
5  GIMME CANDY May09 Apr02 Jan21     (amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 5.00    
6  RICHEBOURG Sep19 Jul14 Jun11 May10 Feb23 (amoss tho)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.00 32% 2.10    
7  BEACH KITTEN Sep22 Jun24 Jun08 May19 May09 (scherer marianne)PARKER L 118 10.00    
 
IND-3   10/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELI Sep21 Aug20 Jul17 Jun24 Jun02 (macias adolfo)PEREZ E 118 6.00    
2  OVERTHOUGHT Sep26 Aug15 Jul14 Jun21 Jun02 (leonard i)PARKER L 118 10.00    
SCR  JINGLE Aug17 Jul20 Jun30 May13 Apr23 (lauer mic)BERMUDEZ E 119 3.00 13% 6.90    
4  ZOFFA Sep25 Jul17 Jun17 May28 Mar18 (shorter a)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.00 5% 18.30    
5  MIGHTY CRAIC Oct05 Sep27 Aug30 Aug09 Jul26 (deegan jose)STERRITT KENDAL 118 8.00 34% 1.90    
6  WORLD CRUISER Sep24 Jul17 Jun09 May13 Mar18 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 3.50 6% 14.80    
7  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Oct04 Sep27 Aug27 Aug11 Jul21 (howard john)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 12.00    
8  DELFT BLUE Oct07 Sep04 Aug27 Aug03 Jul02 (rodriguez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 5.00 14% 6.30    
9  GOOD FIRST Sep27 Jul29 Jun11 May07   (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00    
SCR  MELTDOWN Sep29 Sep14 Aug15 Jul20 Jun28 (nance w)PRESCOTT R 119 6.00    
SCR  RAMPAGE Sep29 Sep20 Aug04 Jul18 Jun27 (matthew)DE CRUZ 119 10.00    
 
IND-4   10/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 2 F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITZFOREVER Sep28         (granitz)DE CRUZ 119 3.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  VALINE Sep12 Aug22       (natio)ULLOA PATRICIO 119 6.00 ★    
3  MOON DAZE Sep28 Sep06 Aug22 Aug10   (leonard geor)RAMOS D 119 2.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  LEGS FOR DAYS Aug31         (fosdick steve)RIVERA BRYAN 112 15.00    
5  TAMARAC LADY Sep28 Sep06       (haran joh)BERMUDEZ E 119 10.00    
6  CIERRA EMPIRE Sep28 Sep12 Aug31 Aug02   (fosdick steve)PARKER L 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TIZZY JUSTICE Oct05 Sep12 Aug22     (west m)MORALES JOSHUA 119 6.00 11% 7.80    
8  KAYS HEAVENLY STAR Oct06         (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 15.00    
9  DISHIN' IT OUT Oct05 Sep12       (patrick gary)PEREZ E 119 20.00    
10  SHEZA NUT Oct05         (greenhill jeff)SANJUR SANTO 119 15.00    
 
IND-5   10/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST COOKIE Aug12         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00    
2  KNICKS STORY Aug31 Jul22       (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 2.50 7% 13.90    
3  ACCIDENTAL HERO Sep13 Aug09       (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 120 3.50 54% 0.80    
4  EGYPTIAN KING Sep21         (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
5  IMPECCABILITY Sep03         (mcpeek g)MOJICA O 120 8.00    
6  CABALLO FELIZ Sep14 Aug27       (mcpeek ken)MICHEL MICKAELLE 120 4.50 ★    
SCR  MONCRIEF Sep23         (moquett r)BERMUDEZ E 120 6.00 ★    
8  TIZ A BEAST Sep22         (natio)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 12.00    
9  COLOR FIELD Sep22 Aug30 Aug06     (amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.50 16% 5.40    
 
IND-6   10/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERSATILE Oct05 Sep15 Aug24 Aug04 Jul03 (garcia )DE CRUZ 120 12.00 ★    
2  XKUZ Oct05 Sep21 Sep07 Aug19 Jul29 (michael brian)PRESCOTT R 120 20.00    
3  ROUND OF APPLAUSE         (hughes byro)PETERSON FERRIN 120 8.00    
SCR  SAPELO SOUND Sep07         (lovell mic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
5  PAINTSVILLE         (gonzalez lilia)PEREZ E 124 8.00    
SCR  FIERCE ASSAULT Oct10 Sep28 Jul20 Jun29 Jun20 (hammond kim)SANJUR SANTO 120 10.00 7% 12.90    
7  BLUEBERRY Oct05 Aug30 Jul29     (rodriguez ger)LEBRON VICTOR 120 5.00    
8  KENRIC Sep29 Sep12 Aug24 Aug11 May20 (huffman pat)PARKER L 120 4.50 ★    
9  TOLKIEN Sep28 Sep01 Jul23 Jun20 May13 (vaccarezz)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 4.00 69% 0.50    
10  TRICOLOUR Oct10 Sep20 Sep06 Aug19 Jun24 (miller ke)BERMUDEZ E 120 5.00 ★    
11  JACK OF ALL TRADES Sep26         (sanch)ULLOA PATRICIO 117 30.00    
12  PAPA RED Oct03 Sep06 Aug11     (navarrete an)RAMOS D 120 15.00    
 
IND-7   10/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEVER EXPLAIN Sep23 Sep03 Jul09 May20   (mcgaughey)BERMUDEZ E 122 4.00    
2  ARTIE'S RUMOR Sep01 May24 Mar19 Feb26 Feb10 (leonard ge)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  BARRISTER TOM Sep14 Sep01 Jun19 Jun05 Feb26 (ewing michael )ELLIOTT JANE 122 15.00    
4  ATTA BOY ANTHONY Sep27 Sep04 Aug20 Jul02 Jun17 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 118 20.00    
SCR  CHEYENNE'S COLONEL         (blair jordan)PARKER L 122 20.00 17% 5.00    
6  RUPP N READY Oct03         (pitts hel)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.50    
7  MAJOR WAGER Sep08 Aug27 Aug06 Jul13 Jun11 (meah m)SANJUR SANTO 122 15.00    
SCR  CREDIBILITY Sep14 Aug26 Apr29 Apr08 Mar05 (moquett ro)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 10% 9.20    
9  UNINVITED GUEST Sep30 Aug05 Jul09 Jun09 May13 (margolis steph)ROCCO S 118 6.00    
10  RED FLAG ALERT Sep12 Aug23 Aug03 Jul14 Jun09 (winebau)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 ★    
11  FEBRUARY SON Sep07 Aug16 Jul13 Jun09 Jan14 (granitz j)MOJICA O 122 8.00 17% 5.00    
12  HAZEL RAH Oct05 Aug03 Jun29 Jun11 Apr26 (guida antho)STERRITT KENDAL 119 15.00    
SCR  SHORTLIST Oct03 Sep12 Aug15 Jul04 Apr22 (van berg )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.00    
 
IND-8   10/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALSHEBA Sep01 May24       (mcbride barb)RAMOS D 122 15.00    
2  ELUSIVE JUSTICE Oct12 Sep19 Aug30 Jul20 Jun27 (davis d)PEREZ E 122 6.00 24% 3.20    
3  LIEUTENANT KITTY Sep29 Sep09 Aug31 Aug24 Jul09 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 3.50 7% 14.10    
4  DOWNDELANE Oct12 Jun27 Jun20     (ashby dakota)MOJICA O 122 30.00    
5  QUICK AND EASY Sep14 Aug24 Aug10 Jul09 Jun20 (davis d)PRESCOTT R 122 2.00    
6  GIVEUSTHISDAY Oct06 Sep20 Aug10 Aug03 Jul07 (griffin roge)MORALES JOSHUA 122 30.00    
7  BOTOX KATIE Sep19 Sep09 Aug18 Aug10 Jul18 (richardvi)BERMUDEZ E 122 4.50 19% 4.30    
8  AMAZINGNESS Oct12 Sep19 Aug30 Aug18 Jul09 (patrick gary)PARKER L 118 4.00 25% 2.90    
9  NOBLE PRIZE Sep20 Aug16 Jul21 Jun27 Jun20 (leonard)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.