Handicappers' Racing Form

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Horseshoe Indianapolis
Monday - October 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
IND-1   10/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKYS BACK Aug25 Jun19 May13 Apr16 Apr01 (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 120 3.00 8% 11.00    
RUNQUIETLY Aug24 Aug08       (mason ingrid)MORALES JOSHUA 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
BROTHER MILO         (thompson erin)LEZCANO ABEL 117 5.00 13% 6.80    
WHEN IN ROME Sep20 Aug24 Jul12 Jul03   (garcia gena)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50 11% 7.80    
SCR  BIG EARL Sep20 Sep06 Aug24     (thompson er)BERMUDEZ E 121 8.00    
FLAGSTONE Aug19 Jul23 Jun29     (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.00    
MORNING MOTIVATION Sep06 Aug08       (nance jonathan)PARKER L 120 10.00    
 
IND-2   10/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOODASIWONSWAS         (warpool shane)PARKER L 120 5.00    
UNCLE BUFF Jun08 May30 Apr01 Mar11   (love alan)LEZCANO ABEL 120 8.00    
MR. MARIAH Sep21 Aug19 Jul31 Jul15   (pittman bonni)PETERSON FERRIN 120 4.50    
LONGER VIEW Sep15 Jun29 Jun08 Jun01   (elliott michelle )HOLMES GAGE 113 6.00    
JEALOUS EYES         (winebaugh cheryl)REYES ANGEL 124 4.00 59% 0.70    
MIGHTY RIOT         (warpool shane)PRESCOTT R 120 15.00    
PAPA RED Sep06 Aug11       (navarrete)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
PYRITE         (cowans will)HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00    
SCR  MASTER GAME Sep13 Jun05 May07     (casse mark)ACHARD ALEX 120 3.00 14% 6.40    
 
IND-3   10/03/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY SWEET KAT Aug16 Aug02 Jun17 May31 Apr19 (werre danny)LEZCANO ABEL 122 10.00    
POETIC VERSE Aug25 Aug03 Jul09 May25 May03 (gorham m)PEREZ E 115 6.00 10% 9.40    
STELLA TERESA Aug19 Jul16 Jun22 Apr20 Feb26 (wojczynski justin)PARKER L 118 10.00    
CHARLEE O Aug27 Jun04 May07     (waltz brian)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 12.00    
SCR  KANFU Sep24 Aug29 Jun27 May17   (granitz anthony)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 8% 11.70    
MS TEMPTATION Sep14 Aug03 Jul14 Jun09 May24 (brownfield )BERMUDEZ E 122 4.50 11% 8.50    
INFINITE POTENTIAL (IRE) Sep13 Aug10 Jun23 Apr23 Apr09 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 4.00    
QUICK CONVERSATION Mar18 Feb25       (colebrook b)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 11% 7.80    
SOLID TUNE Sep08 Aug15 Jul03 Apr15 Feb26 (beckman whit)RAMOS D 118 6.00    
10  STRAWBERRYLEMONADE Sep14 Aug27 Jul27 Jun30 May21 (castillo richard)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
11  DESIGNED BY KITTEN Sep09 Aug02 Jul03 Jun12 Apr02 (romans dale)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 12.00    
SCR  VARTON Sep19 Aug29 Jul07 May23 Apr20 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
IND-4   10/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK OUT Apr27         (green darle)BERMUDEZ E 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET VALERIA Sep18 Mar19 Feb11     (foster eric)HOLMES GAGE 113 5.00    
ADMIRAL'S GARNET Sep26 Sep06 Aug23 Jul21 Jul11 (davis d)PEREZ E 124 3.00    
SAUCY CAT         (albaroudy manso)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.00 47% 1.10    
PEACH COBBLER Sep08 Aug24 Jul13 Jun22 May09 (winebaugh c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00    
SCR  NILE RIVER QUEEN Sep12 Aug23 Aug06 Jul12 May26 (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 4.50 8% 11.70    
MRS. K Sep12 Aug23 Aug04 Jul18 Jul06 (mullins s)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
SURCHARGE Aug23 Jun11 Apr15     (lyster step)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50 9% 10.10    
 
IND-5   10/03/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO MAMBO Sep21         (gonzalez li)BERMUDEZ E 120 20.00    
GOD OF WINE         (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
CODE ONE         (o'neill doug)ACHARD ALEX 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
DE BERARD         (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 120 4.50 23% 3.30    
IRISH ACES         (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
ALWAYS SPRING         (davis d)PEREZ E 117 15.00    
SOFT PANTS         (amoss thoma)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 5.00    
GHENT Sep11 Aug27 Jul24 Jun26   (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 5.00    
SCR  BE RUTHLESS Aug30         (jazdzewski j)VILLASANA CARLOS 120 15.00    
SCR  MYTHOMANIA         (cowans will)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
11  VADER Aug22         (asmussen steve)RAMOS D 120 12.00 14% 6.30    
12  TALKSCHEAP Sep18 Aug30       (pitts helen)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 15% 5.50    
 
IND-6   10/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUBY SKY Sep21         (hinds lonni)BERMUDEZ E 124 8.00 6% 15.20    
SANTIVA DIVA Aug22 Aug09 Jul13 Jun27 Jun09 (wisner j)PEREZ E 120 6.00    
LILMISS SASSYPANTS Sep19 Jun22 May18     (fontenot dawn)RAMOS D 124 10.00    
MYGALJUSTICE Sep09 Aug22 Aug09 Jul13 Jun22 (patrick g)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00 15% 5.80    
SHINY SHOES Sep19 Jun22 May31     (meraz antonio)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 8.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  AMA LUCY Sep21         (mcbride barbara )LEZCANO ABEL 124 30.00    
VENYATTA May24 May12 Apr19     (martin )ULLOA PATRICIO 120 12.00    
DEPUTY STAR Sep09         (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
MRSINATRAGLORYLADY May11 Apr26       (mcbride barbar)MORALES JOSHUA 124 10.00    
10  JANE'S A DIVA Sep09         (wisner j)MOJICA O 120 6.00    
 
IND-7   10/03/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHORTLIST Sep12 Aug15 Jul04 Apr22 Apr02 (van th)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00    
RUPP N READY         (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00    
JUNGLE WARFARE May10 Mar26 Feb26 Feb10   (romans dale)PARKER L 122 12.00    
SLICKED BACK Sep10 Jul01 May01     (glyshaw t)DE CRUZ 122 3.00    
SCR  BUY ME CANDY Aug15 Jul18 Apr27 Mar18 Feb10 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 4.00 34% 1.90    
HEMP HEMP HURRAY May24         (fontenot da)BERMUDEZ E 122 12.00 5% 17.50    
DEFIED Sep01 Aug13 Jul17 Jun22 Jun03 (ortiz john )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 20.00    
BULLSEYE BUN Sep05 Aug21 Jul30 Jun23   (green troy)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.50 10% 8.70    
MO GOTCHA Mar25 Mar06 Feb26 Jan14   (michael brian)PRESCOTT R 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  ERON DO JAGUARETE (BRZ) Sep01 Jul04 May20     (lobo h)RAMOS D 122 10.00    
11  HOZIER Sep05 Aug06 Jul15 Jun17 May03 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 122 5.00    
12  MORE MEMORIES Jun04 May07 Mar26 Mar01 Feb05 (amoss m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 24% 3.10    
 
IND-8   10/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATIVE LION Aug24 Aug03 Jul18 Jun30 Jun09 (richardville tian)ACHARD ALEX 122 4.00 40% 1.50    
MINTCHOCOLATECHIP Aug24 Aug10 Jun29 May07   (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 2.50    
AMAZING GAL Sep14 May26       (leonard ii)HOLMES GAGE 112 15.00    
RUSSIAN INFLUENCE Sep15 Aug16 Jul21 May23   (granitz ant)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 5.00 13% 6.40    
SECRET SADIE Sep15 Aug10 Jul09     (brown andy)BERMUDEZ E 119 20.00    
SOUTHERN SMILE Aug24 Jul20 Jun27 May25   (granitz a)DE CRUZ 122 6.00    
GET N TIPSY Sep15 Aug29 Aug03 Jul18 Jun16 (haran john)PEREZ E 122 4.50 6% 14.40    
SCR  TRAUMARAMA Sep13 Sep07 Aug17 Aug04 Jul14 (patrick gary)PRESCOTT R 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
PRETTY ASSETS Sep14 Aug03 Jun08 May23   (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 12.00    
SCR  DIAMOND SOLITAIRE Sep14 Aug24 Jul20 Jun16 May07 (lyster s)PARKER L 119 4.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  AZURITA Sep07 Aug17 Jul13 Jun30 Jun01 (haran john)BERMUDEZ E 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.