Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Ellis Park
Saturday - August 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ELP-1   08/20/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARTIE'S LADY Jun11         (schwarm lou)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 12.00 12% 7.10    
2  ATTA BOY ANTHONY Jul02 Jun17 May29 May18 Apr29 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 118 6.00 ★    
3  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Jul30 May21 Mar12 Feb13   (maker michael)GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.00    
4  HIGHESTDISTINCTION Jul30 Jun26 Jun02 Mar12 Jan22 (morse rand)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.80 21% 3.80    
5  ABSAM Jul30 Jul15 Jun18 Jun02 Apr27 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 1.40 27% 2.60    
6  ELI Jul17 Jun24 Jun02 May12 Apr09 (macias adolfo)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 20.00    
SCR  SAQEEL Jul17 Jun29 May08 Mar27 Feb12 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 1.20 13% 7.00    
SCR  RED LABEL Jul17 Jun22 May29 Apr23 Feb11 (demeritte larry)COURT K 118 2.00    
 
ELP-2   08/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANO DURA         (asmussen ste)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 1.80 ★    
1A  RABBIT HOUND         (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 1.80 20% 4.00    
2  GHOST NATION         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 ★    
3  ROUTE RUNNER         (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.50 ★    
4  BOXSTER Jul02 Jun02       (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 1.40 59% 0.70    
5  HAYES STRIKE Jul22         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
SCR  MCENROE         (brisset ro)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 ★    
 
ELP-3   08/20/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MERCI ROAD Jun19 May06 Apr13     (kenneally edd)GARCIA MARTIN 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
2  ICY RIVER Aug06 Jun01 May10 Apr22   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50    
3  TWENTYTWENTY HOAX Aug06 Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 May26 (kin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 6.00 ★    
4  BALL GOWN Jul16 Jun22       (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  RAMADHAAN (IRE) Aug15 Feb16       (meah m)HOLMES GAGE 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BELPERRON Aug07 Jul16       (manley ste)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00    
7  ANNIE'S KINGDOM         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 119 15.00    
8  LADY PELE Jul08 Jun18 Apr22     (blair jord)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 16% 5.10    
 
ELP-4   08/20/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMOVITCH Feb19 Jan22       (maker michael)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00    
2  SUPER CONSTITUTION Aug02 Jul01 May06 Apr16 Mar17 (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 15% 5.70    
3  SEARCH ENGINE Jul02 May28 Apr16 Feb18   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 34% 1.90    
4  BEACHWALKER Jul24 May28 May08 Mar27 Mar18 (shorter aaro)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.50 ★    
5  PEEKACHO Jul15 Jun30 Jun18 Apr29 Mar26 (vance r)LANERIE J 122 5.00 ★    
6  CREED Jul23         (mcgaughey claude)BEJARANO R 122 1.80 22% 3.60    
 
ELP-5   08/20/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURAGEOUSLY Jul24 Jun09 May13 Apr13 Mar20 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  OFFICIAL BUSINESS Jul23 May22 Apr24     (sims a)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00    
3  DYNABLUE Jul30 Jun18 May27 May06 Apr16 (poulos dee)CORRALES GERARDO 124 2.00 31% 2.30    
4  SONO GRATO Jun30 Jan07       (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00    
5  OPTIMUS KAT Jul09 May13 Apr21 Mar06   (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 122 8.00    
6  THE PENINSULA Jul23 Apr15 Apr09 Feb11   (meah m)DIAZ RENE 113 10.00    
7  NIP N TUCK Aug03 Jun20 May31 Mar27 Feb11 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.50 19% 4.30    
8  CHASIN CHARLIE         (richardson )HERRFORTH ERICA 112 20.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE Jun30 May29 Apr21 Mar16 Feb17 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.60 ★    
 
ELP-6   08/20/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANEL POINT Jul31         (catalano w)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 6.00    
2  BECKY THATCHER Aug05 Jul09 Apr14     (lovell dennis)BECKMAN ALICE 112 30.00    
3  STORM RATE Jul17         (hamilton sarah)MOJICA JR 119 4.00 63% 0.60    
4  CATCHA LATER MO Jul31 Apr21       (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00    
5  COLLECTED GLORY Jul31 Jul01       (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.00 5% 19.00    
6  HOLY FOLEY Jul17 Jun29       (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50    
7  FAME STREET         (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00    
8  MYSTIFY (GB)         (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 12.00    
9  GREEK HEIRESS         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 ★    
10  BLING Jul22         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 10.00    
SCR  ONE STORMY LADY Apr29 Apr10       (hancock joh)PETERSON FERRIN 119 20.00    
SCR  WILD ACCLAIM         (hamilton s)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00    
SCR  HOLD MY CROWN         (walden wi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
SCR  TIZ ERIN         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  LA SHARK         (brisset ro)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 10% 9.20    
 
ELP-7   08/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. PERRY         (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 4.00    
2  UBER KIRK Jun30 May30 Apr28 Apr10 Jan07 (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
3  BELFAST BOY Jul10 Jun08 May19 Apr07 Mar05 (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 7% 12.70    
4  SILK TRADE Jul30 Jul01 May04 Apr10   (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.50 32% 2.20    
5  MARCHING         (medina rob)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
6  COURTHOUSE COVE Jul29 Jul08 Jun03 May03 Apr19 (plasters lori)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 25.00 5% 19.00    
7  FLAGS UP Jun19 May22       (baker james)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 12% 7.50    
8  TITLE SHOT Jul16         (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
SCR  BADGEBALL Jun25         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00    
10  PRESTONSBIRD         (richardson )HERRFORTH ERICA 112 30.00    
 
ELP-8   08/20/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARLYNE'S CROWN Aug04 Feb17 Jan01     (hiles a)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 8% 12.10    
2  LET'S DUET Jul29 Apr27       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
3  LEGERITY Jul03 Jun17 Apr14 Jan23   (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 118 4.00 20% 4.10    
4  TREATY OF PARIS Mar12 Feb16       (asmussen ste)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
5  DIVINE HOPE Jul23 Jul03 Jun18 May26   (taylor br)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
6  HIGH FASHION Jun24 May26 May03 Feb18 Jan09 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 19% 4.40    
7  MISSION BELLE Jul22 Jun23 May13 Mar16 Jan29 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 118 12.00    
8  SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT Jul22 Jun11 Apr03 Feb18 Feb04 (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00    
9  FABRICATE Jul31 Jun29 May21 Apr24 Mar06 (cano juan )CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  WICKED WONDER Jul16 Mar16 Feb06 Jan14   (peitz dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.