Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Saratoga
Wednesday - August 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SAR-1   WIN (1/9/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/2/7)-(1/9/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/2/7)-(1/9/2/7)-(1/9/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/2/7)-(5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/9/2/7)-(5/4)-(3/2/7/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
SAR-2   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(3/2/7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(3/2/7/1)-(4/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SAR-3   WIN (3/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/7/1)-(4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/1)-(4/5/8)-(1/2/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SAR-4   WIN (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/8)-(4/5/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/8)-(4/5/8/6)-(4/5/8/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/8)-(1/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8)-(1/2/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SAR-5   WIN (1/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/4)-(1/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/4)-(1/2/7/4)-(1/2/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7/4)-(1/6/7/4)-(1/5/7/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SAR-6   WIN (1/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/7/4)-(1/5/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/4)-(1/5/7/3)-(2/7/6/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SAR-7   WIN (1/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/3)-(2/7/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/3)-(2/7/6/5)-(9/6/1/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SAR-8   WIN (2/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/5)-(2/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/5)-(2/7/6/5)-(2/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/5)-(9/6/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
SAR-9   WIN (9/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/1/7)-(9/6/3/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/6/1/7)-(9/6/3/1/7)-(9/6/3/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SAR-1   08/27/2025 12540ft TURF RC14 FIRM Jonathan Sheppard Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIVEMEFIVE (IRE)         (murphy cyri)GALLIGAN GERARD 158 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by HOLY ROMAN EMPEROR out of GIRL OF THE HOUR by MAKFI (GB))
THE INSIDER (IRE) Jul24 Mar25 Nov13 Oct15   (brion keri)DALTON BERNARD 142 12.00 13% 6.60    
  (by ELZAAM out of NUEVA by JADE HUNTER)
WHO'S COUNTING Jul23 Jul04 Sep07 Jun20 Aug31 (mcdermott se)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150 5.00    
  (by VANCOUVER out of COUNTER MEASURE by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
HIDDEN PATH Jul30 Jul04 Oct19 Sep19 Aug28 (hendriks rich)TIERNEY CONOR 150 10.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LOTS O' LEX by KITALPHA)
QUICK MASTER Jul16 Mar31 Jan04 Dec06 Sep10 (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 144 10.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of PURA CLASSE by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  SWEET WILL (IRE)         (kingsley ar)PROCTER FREDDIE 142 15.00    
  (by DRAGON PULSE out of HALLIE'S COMET by GOLD CREST)
ST JAMES THE GREAT Jul30 Jun22 Aug22 Jul27 Jul08 (brion keri)MULLINS DANNY 142 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of THAT'S A LADY by CITY ZIP)
ZARAK THE BRAVE (FR) Jul23 Aug14       (garner thomas)DWAN EVAN 158 4.00    
  (by ZARAK out of TEMPO ROYALE by BORIS DE DEAUVILLE)
JIMMY P Jul23 Oct19 Aug14 Jun20 Aug23 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 154 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by SLUMBER out of MY LOVE VENEZUELA by SCAT DADDY)
 
SAR-2   08/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Funny Cide Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ESSENTIALLY FAST Aug03 Jul04       (contessa c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of STORM CROSSING by TIZNOW)
TOGA TWIST Jul06         (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of LITTLE MISS RAELYN by SUPER NINETY NINE)
FOURTH AND ONE         (englehart jer)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60    
  (by MAXFIELD out of WAJEEHA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
RUMBLYOUNGMANRUMBL Aug03         (contessa gar)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of NOTHINGBUTASMILE by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
MINORINCONVENIENCE Jul31 Jul04       (green am)SANTANA JR 122 2.50 58% 0.70    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SKYLER'S LIL CUTIE by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
 
SAR-3   08/27/2025 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEAVER Jul24 Jun22 May04 Mar19 Feb23 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
I'M WIDE AWAKE Aug09 Jul05 Jun08 May01 Apr13 (casse no)SANTANA JR 124 8.00 22% 3.50    
BOSUN Jul19 May26 Apr25 Mar19 May10 (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.00 34% 1.90    
CLANCY FANCY Jun22 Apr12 Jan26 Nov02 Jul20 (englehart chri)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50    
VACATION DANCE Jul24 Jun22 Oct05 Aug24 Jun15 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
RUSSI Jul24 Nov10 Oct05 Sep01 Jul14 (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 122 6.00    
YARROW Jun22 Nov10 Oct05 Sep01 Jul12 (clement migue)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  BOSTONTONIAN Oct17 Sep23 Jun22     (ward wesl)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 2.50    
SCR  MY MAN MATTY Jun08 Dec01 Feb25 Feb05 Jan12 (levine b)SANTANA JR 122 4.00    
 
SAR-4   08/27/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WONDERFUL JUSTICE (GB) Jul20 Jun07 Apr08 Mar06 Jan25 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 123 5.00    
RUSE Aug02 Jul18 Jun04 Mar29 Mar05 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00    
IRWIN (IRE) Oct19 Sep02 Aug11 Jun10 Oct08 (antonacci phil)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.00    
JOHNY'S FIREBALL Jun20 May10 Mar22 Jan25 Nov29 (casse w)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 31% 2.20    
BELOUNI (FR) Jul20 May24 Apr19 Jul20 Jun15 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.50 19% 4.20    
SON OF A BIRCH May08 Mar19 Dec21 Nov09 Oct05 (morley thomas)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 5.00    
TUT'S REVENGE May25 May01 Mar05 Sep29 Sep07 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 123 4.50    
FREDO Jul17 Jun19 May22 Apr27 Apr11 (sano an)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 15.00 16% 5.30    
 
SAR-5   08/27/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCOTHEQUE Jul30 Jun20 May15 Apr06 Feb22 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 3.00 65% 0.50    
GRAND GESTURE         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 6% 15.90    
FIDDLING FELIX Jul30 Jul17 Jun27 Oct06 Aug29 (abreu fernando)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00    
PARTY WITH SMARTY Aug10 Apr10 Mar23 Jan01 Nov08 (gutierrez jame)LUZZI J 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SOLUTIONS Jun06 May11       (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00    
IRRELEVANT Jul16         (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
CULTIVATE         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 6% 15.90    
 
SAR-6   08/27/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROVE Jul27         (green am)SANTANA JR 118 2.00 61% 0.60    
1A  BATTLE DRUM (FR) Jul26 Jun27 May18 Mar23 Feb08 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00    
EXTRASENSORY         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00    
2B  COMPLEX AGENDA Jul19 Aug31       (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00    
NOGUCHI Jul30 Jun20       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50    
GOT STRIPES Jul26 Jun20 May26     (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
THE HERO CODE Aug08 Jun22 Jun15 May18 Dec24 (trites land)FRANCO MANUEL 124 12.00    
RETEKO Jun29 Jun06 May04 Mar14 Feb13 (morley thom)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 8% 11.50    
DARK DEVIL Aug07 Jul11 May26 May01 Apr10 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00 7% 12.40    
CAPTCHA Jul26 Jan17       (antonacci phil)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
SCR  METATRON Jun06 Apr13       (david carlos)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00    
SCR  LAST MAN STANDING Jul20 Jun15 May17 Apr08 Mar01 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 1.00    
 
SAR-7   08/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARON OF SEALAND Jun14 Feb15 Jan05 Dec01   (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 125 2.00 67% 0.50    
1A  FREEDOM TRAIL Jun21 May24 Oct05 Aug17 Nov18 (terranov)SANTANA JR 125 2.00    
MASTERWORK Aug03 Jul17 Jun21 May24 May15 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 125 30.00    
LOU Jul17 Jun19 May23 May08 Apr10 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SOLO EMPIRE Aug03 Jul11 Jun19 May18 Apr27 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 8.00    
FUNNY UNCLE Jan24 Dec13 Nov09 Jul24 Jun23 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 5% 19.00    
HOURS IN A DAY Aug09 Nov30 Oct25 Sep28 Aug17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 6.00    
AZ U CHASE ME Jul17 Jun19 Apr11 Mar21 Jan17 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
MUGATU Jul14 Jun26 Jun13 May10 Apr10 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 125 4.50    
 
SAR-8   08/27/2025 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Non-Graded Stake Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 5:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLANCHETT Jul30         (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of KNIT ONE PURR TOO by TALE OF THE CAT)
TIME TO DREAM Jul25         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 36% 1.70    
  (by TIME FOR A CHANGE out of WILD SILK by STREET SENSE)
BAYOU BRIGID Aug08 Jun20 May23     (smullen hea)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 15.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of COURAGEOUS CAJUN by TREASURE BEACH (GB))
TIZ IN SIGHT Aug03 Jun25       (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of HINDSIGHT by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SUSHI Jul31 Jul11 Jun21 May15   (delgado jorge)CARMOUCHE K 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PROUD BIRDIE out of SAKURA by KNOWN FACT)
DEVILISH GRIN Aug06 Jun29       (green j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 10% 8.90    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of CASUAL SMILE by SEA THE STARS)
SCRATCH IT Aug01         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by TAPIT out of CAROLYN'S CAT by FORESTRY)
VERNON VALLEY Jun05 May23       (casse ma)SANTANA JR 122 8.00    
  (by CONTESTED COLORS out of VALLEY CAMPAIGN by CHINATI)
SCR  AMERICATHEGREAT Jun29 May15       (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00    
  (by CURLIN out of AMERICA by A.P. INDY)
 
SAR-9   08/27/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATHOLIC VICE         (martin f)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of JUST JOYFUL by STREET BOSS)
BELLA KNOWS         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of BELLAMY KNOWS by BELLAMY ROAD)
DOPPIO ESPRESSO         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00    
  (by JAVA GOLD out of JUST READ IT by CONSTITUTION)
RUDY UP Jun29         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
  (by KNOWN AGENDA out of THEM THERE EYES by HOLY BULL)
AMERICAN MINK         (morley thomas)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00    
  (by CONNECT out of A P MINK by A.P. INDY)
REVEL TOAST Aug07         (amoss m)LUZZI J 119 3.50 25% 2.90    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of TULANIAN by TWIRLING CANDY)
HONOR THE NUMBERS         (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of DATA ANALYTICS by INTO MISCHIEF)
MISS CALL         (mcpeek ken)RIVERA R 119 15.00    
  (by SILVER STATE out of LADY LAURA by QUALITY ROAD)
SCORCH Jul31         (abreu fernando)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 49% 1.00    
  (by COX'S RIDGE out of OVERHEATED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
10  GIGI CAKE'S Jul31         (gidding)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 8.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of SWEET TOOTH HAVEN by VINEYARD HAVEN)
SCR  TURKISH PISTACHIO         (david carlo)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of SPIN CONTROL by HARD SPUN)
SCR  OSCAR BOUND Aug07         (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 12.00    
  (by LEXITONIAN out of SOUL OF HOLLYWOOD by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
SCR  ROSIE DOZIE         (moubarak tar)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
  (by BEAU LIAM out of KILLAY by AQLAAM)
SCR  IMPERIA BLUE         (sano antonio)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of HELLO CHARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  WINROOSKI Aug06 Jul03 Jun06     (abreu fernando)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of SIREN COVE by MONTBROOK)
SCR  IMMINENT RISK Aug06         (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of ERVSAYSLETHERGO by HOLD ME BACK)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.