Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Sunday - August 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-1   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/4/6)-(7/3/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/6)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6)-(5/2/3)-(6/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SAR-2   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(6/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(6/5/4)-(4/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SAR-3   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(4/6/5)-(1/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SAR-4   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(1/2/3)-(3/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SAR-5   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(3/4/1)-(6/3/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SAR-6   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(6/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(6/3/8)-(4/2/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SAR-7   WIN (6/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/8)-(6/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/8)-(6/3/8)-(6/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/8)-(4/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/8)-(4/2/8)-(2/10/5/4/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SAR-8   WIN (4/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/8)-(4/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/8)-(4/2/8)-(4/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/8)-(2/10/5/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/2/8)-(2/10/5/4/6)-(10/7/5/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SAR-9   WIN (2/10/5/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/5/4/6)-(2/10/5/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/5/4/6)-(2/10/5/4/6)-(2/10/5/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/10/5/4/6)-(10/7/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
SAR-10   WIN (10/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/5/3)-(10/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/7/5/3)-(10/7/5/3)-(10/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   08/17/2025 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC SEA Jul03 May30       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of PART THE SEAS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
2  INESPEREE Jul18 Jun19 Mar30 Mar02 Jan19 (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of TERRESTRE by MOTIVATOR)
3  DIMENSIONALITY Jul18 Jun05 May23 Mar30 Jan24 (terranov)SANTANA JR 118 4.50 8% 11.40    
  (by CARACARO out of DIVIDED BY THREE by SHACKLEFORD)
4  ABUNDANT LOVE Jul18 Jun19 May16 Feb06 Jan09 (trombetta mic)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00 ★    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of TSUNAMI OF LOVE by BERNARDINI)
5  PIONUS Jul03 May02 Jan23 Nov14 Oct03 (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BEACH WALTZ by TREASURE BEACH (GB))
6  PEMAQUID Jul18 Apr17       (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURLIN out of ONE WAY PASSAGE by WAR FRONT)
7  READY FOR CANDY Nov30 Nov03 Oct06 Sep14 Aug23 (antonacci phi)ORTIZ JR 118 1.40 67% 0.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ENOREE by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  ENDORSE Aug02 Jul10 Jun06     (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 118 1.00    
  (by CURLIN out of OUT POST by SILVER DEPUTY)
 
SAR-2   08/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORTUNA MIA Aug01 Jun08 Apr27 Mar28 Mar01 (barker e)SANTANA JR 120 3.50    
2  ALCALA Jul23 Mar11 Feb11 Jan04 Dec13 (kirby t)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 17% 4.80    
3  LOOKS FIRST Jul23 Jul10 Jun27 Jun12 May09 (samsundar rosha)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  MOON CACHE Jul12 May16 Apr19 Mar22 Feb22 (gorham michael)ORTIZ L 120 2.50    
5  DAISY DUKE Jul23 Jun21 Jun04 Apr25 Mar14 (moquett ronal)ORTIZ JR 120 1.60 31% 2.20    
6  KADENA Aug01 Jun20 May17 Mar14   (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.50    
 
SAR-3   08/17/2025 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLOWERS FOR ME Jul23 Nov17 Oct27 Sep30 Aug17 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 122 15.00    
2  CARA'S TIME Jun29 Jun04 May11 Mar22 Jan25 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00    
SCR  KAIRYU (IRE) Jul19 Jun05 Oct13 Sep07 Jul12 (devaux cherie)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 0.40    
4  C'EST CHEESE Jul23 Jan31 Nov24 Oct04 Jan10 (beckman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  OBSTREPEROUS Jul19 Jun15 May17 Apr20 Mar14 (d'angelo)SANTANA JR 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
6  SOL HOPE Jun05 Apr27 Feb22 Jan12 Oct27 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 54% 0.90    
SCR  PROUD FOOT Jul10 Jun07 May17 Apr25 Mar22 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
SCR  EVERYONELOVESLINDA Jul23 Jun27 Apr18 Mar22 Feb01 (dutrow e)RIDER TBA 122 1.40    
 
SAR-4   08/17/2025 6270ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALENTINIAN Jul19 Jun14 May03 Apr09 Mar01 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 1.40    
2  FRIZZANTE Jun29 Jun06 Apr13 Mar22 Feb22 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.50    
3  WISE UP Jul04 May10 Mar08     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
4  NEW MAGIC Jul11         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
5  WHITTINGTON PARK Jul11 Jun07 May17 May04 Mar21 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  TRIDENT HIT Jun11 May09 Feb08 Jan24 Dec22 (moquett ronald)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
SAR-5   08/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAUSIBLE DENILE Jul30 Jul10 Jun07 May03 Mar21 (compton gre)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 2.50 ★    
1A  ZIPPY MARK Jul23 May03 Apr19 Mar28 Mar07 (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
2  TRUST ISSUES Jul23 Jun12 May11 Apr16 Feb15 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
3  ROAR READY Jul23 May23 Apr25 Mar09 Feb08 (barboza )SANTANA JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  TYPHOON FURY Jun27 May02 Oct18 Sep27 Aug14 (charlerie grego)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
SCR  THREE B'S Aug08 Jul16 May26 Apr25 Mar23 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
6  GO IRISH Jul19 Jun14 May25 Apr12 Jul13 (antonucci jena )DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00    
7  SHOOT THE NICKEL May23 Apr26 Mar08 Feb02 Jan09 (devaux adrianne)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
 
SAR-6   08/17/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EXPRESSWAY         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 6% 15.00    
  (by TABASCO CAT out of LINE by MR. PROSPECTOR)
2  SCOPE         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
  (by DEVIL'S BAG out of NASTY by STREET SENSE)
3  GUITARIST         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.60 41% 1.40    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of ROSES N BOWS by ROAR)
4  TELEPORT (IRE)         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 20% 4.10    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of GRAVITEE by GALILEO)
5  DYNADEE         (dini mike)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of DYNATAIL by HIGHTAIL)
6  HONEY'S TO BLAME Jul19         (mcpeek ken)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
  (by BLAME out of HARLEE HONEY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  WOODSTER         (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LADY ESME by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SCR  STIMULATE         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.00    
  (by TAPIT out of ELATE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  TARTABULL Jul05         (summers chad)RIDER TBA 119 2.50    
  (by TAPIT out of ANNA'S BANDIT by GREAT NOTION)
 
SAR-7   08/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IRISH JACKSON Jul24 Jun21 May16 May01 Mar28 (falcone robert)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00    
2  EQUUS Jul23 Jul10 Jul03 Jun19 May02 (potts wa)SANTANA JR 122 15.00    
3  PROBLEMATICA Jul23 Jul10 Jun27 May10 Feb01 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
4  CHAMPAGNE SURPRISE Jul23 Jun25 Jun11 Nov26 Oct29 (sells rachel)ALVARADO R 122 20.00    
SCR  GHOSTLY GIRL Jul13 Mar28 Mar07 Jan12 Oct20 (cha)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 20.00    
6  SPIRITUAL LADY Jul10 Jun21 May01 Apr03 Mar16 (charlerie gre)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  JACKSON'S DIXIE Jun27 Jun06 May23 May02 Apr19 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50    
8  TROUBLED LUCK Jul08 Jun26 Jun04 May13 Apr24 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 30.00 6% 16.40    
 
SAR-8   08/17/2025 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Bolton Landing Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAPPHIRE BEACH (IRE) Jul12 May30       (arnold george )LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00    
  (by LITE THE FUSE out of FEATHERED CROWN by CHIEF'S CROWN)
2  MY SWEETHEART Jul04 May22       (casse mark)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MY DARLING by MUGHAADIR)
3  SNOW FACE PRINCESS Jul30 May23       (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CRUSIN ALONE by HONOR CODE)
4  CY FAIR Jul10         (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 122 1.60 39% 1.60    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of REMARQUED by ARCH)
SCR  GERRARDS CROSS Jul27 Jun06       (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 122 8.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SPANISH CONCERT by CONCERTO)
6  SACRED GODDESS Jul17         (englehart jer)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of THAT'S MY CUE by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  SHOULD'VE         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MORE'N LIKELY by BLAME)
8  BRAMBLE BLAST Jul27         (dini mike)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of REGAL ROSE by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
SAR-9   08/17/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZAPRUDER Dec08 Oct18 Jun29 Jun01 Apr28 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00    
2  ANNEXPERIENCE Jul17 Jun19 May26 Aug25   (englehart jere)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 31% 2.30    
3  DETAIL ORIENTED Jul13 May04 Apr19 Mar29   (sciacc)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00    
4  JUST FOR LUCK (AUS) Jul17 Jun21 Oct31 Sep29 Aug31 (dutrow richard)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00 8% 12.20    
5  REAL SAVVY Nov03 Aug30 Aug01     (clement miguel)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 14% 6.20    
6  THE PADDOCK PASTOR Jul30 Jul13 Jun04 Apr27 Feb14 (green ame)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  VAN VOLLENHOVEN Jul13 May10 Feb14 Jan05 Dec01 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 125 20.00    
8  LI'L LANG Jul13 May26 Apr25 Nov03 Oct04 (abreu r)SAEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
9  ROYAL BROWNE Jun28 May25 Apr27 Nov16 Oct12 (dutrow rich)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 15.00    
10  SOUNDS LIKE A PLAN Jul17 Jun04 Apr26 Nov16 Oct19 (de h)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  MIZTERTONIC Jul20 Jun29 May17 Nov16 Nov09 (brion keri)ROSARIO JOEL 125 5.00    
SCR  OUTTAWATERBURY Jul30 Jul20 May25 May17 Apr26 (donk david)ORTIZ JR 125 12.00    
SCR  NEW MATTHEW Aug04 Jul15 Jun30 Nov30 Nov03 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
SCR  GOLDEN REIGN Jul08 Jun19 Feb21 Jan24 Dec19 (miller-saul bet)CANCEL ERIC 125 30.00    
SCR  HEY TOBY Jul30 Jul02 Apr04 Mar08 Jan31 (englehart jeremia)RIDER TBA 125 2.00    
SCR  SOLO EMPIRE Aug03 Jul11 Jun19 May18 Apr27 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 8.00    
 
SAR-10   08/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARAUCANO Jul24 Jun22       (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
SCR  CYBERBEAST Aug07 Jul24 Jun20 Aug05   (sacco gregory)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00    
3  SERGEANT CAPPS Aug01 Jul04 Apr26 Apr08 Jan04 (sweezey ken)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SENOR PONCHO Jul24 Jun26 Mar28 Feb22 Jan11 (charlerie gre)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00    
5  NO MERLOT Jul20 Feb21 Dec07 Nov10 Oct12 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 15% 5.50    
6  FLEETING FREE Jul30 May04       (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 20.00    
7  VOLT Jun27 Jan25 Dec07 Nov03 Oct12 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
8  SPORTS HERO Jul13 Jun22 May24 Apr19   (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
9  COCKTAILSNKRINGLE Jul03 Jun25 Jun05 Feb22 Jan11 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
10  SECURED LENDER Jul13 Jun07 Apr13 Jan01 Oct10 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.40 34% 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.